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Blog Entry

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Posted on: February 3, 2009 6:56 pm
 

I'm not sure why, exactly, because I pretty much make my own schedule and go where I want. But for some reason I haven't made it to enough Big Ten games, which is why I'm looking forward to traveling Wednesday (provided there are no weather delays).

First up: No. 19 Minnesota at No. 13 Michigan State on Wednesday night.

Then: Penn State at Michigan on Thursday night.

That's not a bad double-dip.

And here are five questions I'm hoping to have answered by the time I return home Friday ...

1. Can Michigan State win without Raymar Morgan?

2. Can Michigan State win at home?

3. Is Minnesota really a threat to win the Big Ten?

4. Is Michigan capable of turning things around?

5. Is Penn State as close to making the NCAA tournament as I believe?

Comments

Since: Feb 10, 2009
Posted on: February 10, 2009 3:55 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Loser - Why waist your time?  Go see the Big East or even a MAC Game if you need a fix.

 




Since: Feb 27, 2007
Posted on: February 6, 2009 12:15 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Then you watched two of MSU's games without Suton. They're a much better team with him and Morgan both healthy, and if that happens by March MSU will be the team no one wants to see in their bracket.

Pomeroy's rankings are better for prediction but don't take into account wins and losses - a 54-point win followed by four one-point losses counts the same as five 10-point wins.

In any case, the Big Ten has six right now (think you missed Wisconsin, who's #39 despite the horrible conference record).

There's also a huge gap between the SEC and Big Ten in the rankings despite them being #5 and #6 - the Big Ten is nearly twice as close to the ACC (#1) as it is to the SEC, and the SEC is three times closer to the Mountain West than the Big Ten.




Since: Oct 24, 2008
Posted on: February 5, 2009 1:18 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Have you watched a single game this year?

Yeah, I watched MSU get killed by Maryland and UNC. On the other hand I saw Michigan with a nice upset over Duke.

Sargarin's rankings are a joke. Pomeroy's provide more relevant statistics and accounts for nearly every statistic recorded for each game.

Anyway, the SEC has four top 50 teams vs. the Big Ten with five (Minnesota is barely in there at #50). Neither conference has any Top 10 teams. Big Ten is ranked #5 and SEC is ranked #6.




Since: Feb 27, 2007
Posted on: February 4, 2009 5:04 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Probably because the Big Ten isn't much better than the SEC

Have you watched a single game this year?

Sagarin's conference rankings: Big Ten #1 (no, not a typo - he puts a little extra weight on the middle of the conference, which is the reason it's ahead of the ACC), SEC #6

Top 25 teams (by Sagarin): Big Ten 4, SEC 0

Top 50: Big Ten 8, SEC 5

Top 75: Big Ten 10, SEC 5

Record against top 25 non-conference: Big Ten 7-13, SEC 5-15

Record against top 50 non-conference: Big Ten 12-15, SEC 7-20

By what measure could you possibly argue that the Big Ten isn't leaps and bounds ahead of the SEC?

I would expect MSU, Purdue, and one of Illinois and Minnesota to make the Sweet 16, and MSU is a legitimate Final Four contender if they can get everyone healthy.




Since: Oct 24, 2008
Posted on: February 4, 2009 1:29 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Probably because the Big Ten isn't much better than the SEC. I will be shocked if any teams from the Big Ten are in the elite eight. Out of Michigan State, Purdue, Minnesota, Michigan, Ohio State, and Wisconsin IMO only one team will make it to the sweet sixteen. Too many good teams, not enough (some might say any) great teams.




Since: Feb 6, 2008
Posted on: February 4, 2009 12:50 am
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

If the Gophers beat MSU it will unleash a free for all in the B10.  Minnesota, MSU, Purdue, Illinois, PSU would all have a shot to win it.  If Morgan doesnt play tomorrow that is a huge advantage for Minnesota and their young front court.  MSU losing three times in a row in East Lansing is unheard of.  It should be a great game tomorrow.

 

PSU is better than Michigan.  Michigan does have a great non-confrence win in Duke, another good win in underachieving UCLA.  But PSU has beat some of the brass in the B10, (MSU, Purdue) PSU would recover more from a loss in this contest because they are playing better and winning games inside the B10.  Michigan cant expect to finish in the bottom half of the B10 and still expect to make the tourney based on something they did early in the season.




Since: Oct 16, 2008
Posted on: February 4, 2009 12:12 am
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

GARY!

 

I am an avid follower of your postings, and this is the jewel of them all (imo.)

 

I go to MSU and would love to see you face to face! Im not a huge genius about college basketball or anything, but a handshake, photo op or autograph would be fantastic!

 

Also, what do you think is really plaguing MSU right now? I really cant seem to figure it out...it seems like we do everything right (defense, rebounding, scoring) but in the end we come up short or barely pull out wins.

 

What needs to change in East Lansing for success in the tourney?




Since: Dec 22, 2008
Posted on: February 3, 2009 11:46 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

yes i totally agree




Since: Aug 25, 2006
Posted on: February 3, 2009 10:52 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

If Minnesota pulls it out against MSU tomorrow, it will unleash one massive free-for-all in terms of capturing the Big Ten Title.  So in that event, yes, the Gophers would be very much a legitimate threat to win it, since they would've just pulled into a tie for 1st.  If they lose, they are 2 back, and probably out of the running.

By the way, PSU is in another tier above Michigan.  The wolverines probably would get a sort of tie-breaker boost for their wins against Duke and UCLA (which has not proven anything this year), but they need to position themselves at least at #6 in the Big Ten, so they have some work to do.  In other words, PSU would recover from a loss more easily than Michigan would.




Since: Jan 3, 2008
Posted on: February 3, 2009 8:18 pm
 

I'm headed to Big Ten Country

Penn State-Michigan isn't what I would call a bubble elimination game (mainly because its February) but it basically is. Penn State's RPI is still higher than it should be for a 17-5 team, mainly due to their SOS which is even worse. Michigan has their great two OOC wins but not a lot else. The winner will likely be in everyone's bracketology while the loser slides out. It's going to be a tough loss to overcome for either team, but PSU already won round one. That means a loss for the Wolverines would be the beginning of the word "D-O-N-E" in a hangman game. The potential of six losses in seven games is deadly for Michigan. If Penn State loses they aren't done but their climb back into the field won't be easy.



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