So now what?
Is Pittsburgh still a No. 1 seed?
What about Oklahoma?
And what does this mean for Michigan State and Memphis?
Never fear, I've got the some answers.
First, let me say this: I can't imagine any scenario under which Pitt won't get a No. 1 seed.
Yeah, the Panthers lost to West Virginia in the quarterfinals of the Big East tournament. But Pitt is still No. 1 in the RPI, 7-3 against the top 25, 8-3 against the top 50 and 16-4 against the top 100 with just one loss outside the top 20. If you can find four bodies of work better than that, by all means, feel free to bump Pitt off the top line. But I don't think there are four bodies of work better than that, and there won't be four on Selection Sunday, either.
Thus, the Panthers should still be one of our four No. 1 seeds.
I think that's pretty clear.
North Carolina should/will be another. That's a safe bet. And the other two will almost certainly come from some combination of Louisville, Connecticut, Michigan State, Memphis and Duke -- sorry OU; I can't see a team that didn't win the Big 12 regular-season title or Big 12 tournament title getting a No. 1 seed -- and reasonable minds can and will have different opinions.
With UConn and Pitt out of the Big East tournament, things have set-up nicely for the Cards to win that event, which would clearly earn a No. 1 seed. To me, that makes Louisville the lone school of the above-mentioned group that essentially controls its own fate, if only because any school that wins the Big East regular-season title and Big East tournament title has to be a No. 1 seed.
So Louisville will get a No. 1 if it wins out.
We can all agree on that, I think.
But will Memphis get one if it wins out?
Will Duke get one if it wins out?
Will Michigan State get one if it wins out?
Truth be told, UConn (17-4 against the top 100 with just one loss outside the top 15) might still have a better body of work than any of those come Selection Sunday -- although Memphis will be on a 25-game winning streak if it wins the C-USA tournament, Duke will (at least) have the second-best RPI if it wins the ACC tournament, and Michigan State will likely be 15-2 against the top 50 if it wins the Big Ten tournament. Strong stuff, all-around. Under those circumstances, each school would have a reasonable argument. So the best thing to do is sit back, see how it unfolds and have a blast watching four teams (Louisville, Michigan State, Memphis and Duke) attempt to build a resume more impressive than UConn's resume in hopes of joining Pitt and UNC as No. 1 seeds.
May the best schools win.
And if not the best, at least the most accomplished.