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Blog Entry

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

Posted on: February 19, 2010 2:53 pm
Edited on: February 19, 2010 5:24 pm
 

Many of the people who've emailed in the past 24 hours about my Player of the Year column acknowledge John Wall is the best player in the country, but still think Evan Turner should get the award because he's having a better season. Me? I'm not convinced Turner is having a better season considering Wall is averaging 17.0 points and 6.5 assists for a team that's 25-1 and on pace to earn a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament, but whatever. I'm done with this argument for now. What I think we can all agree on is that the Player of the Year will be Wall or Turner, and the oddsmakers have it pegged that way, too.

Sportsbook.com is taking bets on the Wooden Award.

Wall is +200.

Turner is +200.

Third-place is Texas' Damion James at +550, which would be a horrible bet to make considering his team has gone in the tank. But a good bet, I think, is that Purdue will be a No. 1 seed. Right now, Sportsbook.com has it at +140. That means you can essentially win $140 off of a $100 bet, and that's reasonable odds even if you assume Kansas and Kentucky will be two of the four No. 1 seeds.

Jerry Palm currently has Syracuse and Villanova as the other No. 1 seeds. But the Wildcats are coming off a loss to Connecticut, they might lose Sunday at Pittsburgh, and they'll be underdogs at Syracuse next weekend. In other words, Villanova should probably slip and enter Selection Sunday with five losses, minimum. Meantime,  Purdue is sitting at 22-3 with wins over Tennessee (neutral), Wake Forest (home), West Virginia (home), Wisconsin (home), Michigan State (away), and Ohio State (away).

The only remaining road games are at Minnesota and Penn State.

The remaining home games are against Illinois, Michigan State and Indiana.

So Purdue will be favored to win every one of its remaining regular season games, and they might be the favorite in the Big Ten tournament, too. I'm not predicting the Boilermakers will win out, exactly, but I don't think they'll enter Selection Sunday with more than four losses, five at the most, and that'll have them in good shape for a No. 1 seed as long as Villanova loses at least one of these upcoming road games and doesn't win the Big East tournament.

Bottom line, I like Purdue's chances to be a No. 1 seed.

So take the Boilermakers at +140.

And thank me later.
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Purdue, Villanova
 
Comments

Since: Mar 20, 2009
Posted on: February 26, 2010 8:26 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

Time for a Wooden update, Gary.  This thing is OVER.  Wall has been upstaged continually down the stretch.  Downey was
the best guard on the court last night.  Please communicate to your readers that Turner +175 is like gold.  Both teams are top 10, of ppg/reb/asst/steals/blocked shots, wall has the edge over turner in 1 (one) category.  Turner is absolutely carrying his team, Wall is surrounded by superb talent.  Case in point a miserable game last night and Kentucky wins by 21.  It's over, +175 to the bank.




Since: Feb 26, 2007
Posted on: February 20, 2010 9:35 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

If you truly believe that it will be either Wall or Turner and the odds are +200 for each you bet each in a single bet.  If you bet 200 total (100 on each), you're going to end up with 300 total, which is more than you started with.  This seems like a much, much, much better bet to me.

Wow, andtinez that's a great point.  Making those two bets is all but a guaranteed win.  There is no chance anyone other than Wall or Turner will win.  



Since: Nov 4, 2008
Posted on: February 20, 2010 9:14 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

Gary WAS talking about Purdue getting one of the #1 seeds and I'm not talking about anything that he wrote in his article.  I just have no idea what YOU, Grizzly, were talking about.

"Thank you for the thoughts, and I agree with you to some degree for sure. I love my Boilers and I really don't care what seed they get, even though their first ever #1 overall seed would be spectactular..."

That is from your first post.  It makes no sense.  Especially the "first ever" part since Purdue has done it before multiple times.



Since: May 20, 2008
Posted on: February 20, 2010 5:18 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be "a" No. 1 seed

dude either you are an idiot and obviously don't know much about college basketball or you need to reread the post i replied to.  you see when the brackets are done every team is ranked from 1 to 64.  this is called the s-curve.  to be the "overall #1 seed" you have to be #1 on the s-curve.  uk and ku have only 1 loss.  it is very very likely that one of the two will be the "overall #1 seed".  purdue likely will not be.  for the post i was replying to to make sense that would have to be what he was talking about.  otherwise if he was just talking about being one of the #1 seeds, which i hope by now you can understand is different than being the "overall #1 seed", purdue has done it before multiple times, specifically '88, '94, and '96.  they are also well on their way to get there this year.  my only point was that purdue has been a #1 seed multiple times before.  i've forgotten more about purdue basketball than you ever will so please read carefully before you mock someone next time.


Actually I appreciate the information on Purdue's histroy with #1 seeds, because I wasn't sure which years this occured in. And, you are absolutly correct Kansas or Kentucky will be the overall #1, and I could have swore Gary was just talkign about Purdue getting one of the #1 seeds, not the overall #1. Since we were talking about completely different things, I apologize for mocking you. I do/did know the difference between the #1 seeds and I know about the s-curve.

Hopefully you have "forgotten" too much as I would love to hear more of what you know.... I like to get as many historical facts as possible. *Plus I think you might have messed up your last sentence which was suppose to be a diss, but no harsh feelings*

Grizz



Since: Nov 4, 2008
Posted on: February 20, 2010 1:48 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

dude either you are an idiot and obviously don't know much about college basketball or you need to reread the post i replied to.  you see when the brackets are done every team is ranked from 1 to 64.  this is called the s-curve.  to be the "overall #1 seed" you have to be #1 on the s-curve.  uk and ku have only 1 loss.  it is very very likely that one of the two will be the "overall #1 seed".  purdue likely will not be.  for the post i was replying to to make sense that would have to be what he was talking about.  otherwise if he was just talking about being one of the #1 seeds, which i hope by now you can understand is different than being the "overall #1 seed", purdue has done it before multiple times, specifically '88, '94, and '96.  they are also well on their way to get there this year.  my only point was that purdue has been a #1 seed multiple times before.  i've forgotten more about purdue basketball than you ever will so please read carefully before you mock someone next time.



Since: May 20, 2008
Posted on: February 20, 2010 12:35 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

if you mean #1 on the s-curve, there's almost no way it will happen for purdue unless there is a total collapse by uk and ku.  if you just mean a #1 seed purdue has done it before multiple times.

I have to give you extreme props buddy, I mean your posting is just the most fantastic thing I have ever read. Just outstanding, I am stunned for words.... you certainly desevre a job with a sports writing team and I hope CBS or ESPN hires you.

Okay, now back to the real world. The wild-cats and jay-hawks don't have to collapse for this to happen, seriously just read what Parrish said. The battle currently is with Syracuse, Villinova, and Purdue for the final two #1 seeds, but with soo much time left this season anything can happen.

Good luck to all!

Grizz



Since: Nov 4, 2008
Posted on: February 20, 2010 12:18 am
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

if you mean #1 on the s-curve, there's almost no way it will happen for purdue unless there is a total collapse by uk and ku.  if you just mean a #1 seed purdue has done it before multiple times.



Since: May 20, 2008
Posted on: February 19, 2010 11:47 pm
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

Hey Gary,

Thank you for the thoughts, and I agree with you to some degree for sure. I love my Boilers and I really don't care what seed they get, even though their first ever #1 overall seed would be spectactular especially if they can do anything with it. I think this weeked is going to be rough agaisnt Illinois but winnable for Purdue if they just play their game with focus... basically play the same game they did agaisnt West Virginia at Mackey. The game agaisnt Michigan State is going to be a knock-down-drag-out-dog fight since we took one from them at home. And, after the way the Gohpers just blasted Wisconsin at the barn, that game is looking tougher. Here's hoping Purdue takes each game as it comes and just does there business.

Good luck to Syracuse and Villinova and it should be a great battle for what seems to be for the final two #1 seeds.

Grizz



Since: Sep 28, 2007
Posted on: February 19, 2010 4:27 pm
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed

The UConn victory over Villanova was in Philadelphia at the Wachovia Center.



Since: Dec 15, 2008
Posted on: February 19, 2010 3:17 pm
 

Just watch: Purdue will be a No. 1 seed


If you truly believe that it will be either Wall or Turner and the odds are +200 for each you bet each in a single bet.  If you bet 200 total (100 on each), you're going to end up with 300 total, which is more than you started with.  This seems like a much, much, much better bet to me. 


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