Blog Entry

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

Posted on: March 2, 2010 2:58 pm
Edited on: March 2, 2010 3:01 pm

One of the keys to building a nice body of work is to avoid bad losses.

Would you believe almost nobody does that better than ... Xavier?

It's true.

I just went through pretty much every relevant school's body of work, and I could only find four teams that have avoided losing to a team Jerry Palm describes as unqualified to earn an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament. Those teams are Syracuse (only losses to Pittsburgh and Louisville), Kansas (only losses to Tennessee and Oklahoma State), Villanova (only losses to Temple, Georgetown, Connecticut, Pittsburgh and Syracuse), and Xavier (only losses to Marquette, Baylor, Kansas State, Butler, Wake Forest, Temple and Dayton).

So what does all this mean?

I'm not sure beyond the obvious.

I just found it interesting that Xavier doesn't really have any bad losses, and that pretty much everybody else has at least one. Makes me wish I would've put the Musketeers higher than 26th in the Top 25 (and one). I plan to adjust Sunday night provided Xavier doesn't, you know, take a bad loss between now and then.
Category: NCAAB

Since: Sep 22, 2006
Posted on: March 3, 2010 1:19 pm

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

Butler's losses aren't "bad," but they don't meet the criteria.  Minnesota probably will not make the tournament, particularly after an ugly loss to Michigan last night.  UAB probably won't make it either, and Clemson is a bubble team right now.  All of those losses looked better when they happened, in other words; Clemson was Top 20, Minnesota was ranked in the pre-season, and UAB was cruising, despite a loss to UVa--which also didn't look bad when the Cavs lead the ACC briefly.  Since that time, however, the teams that beat Butler have sunk, so Butler's losses look worse than they are.  It's the major pitfall of computer-based rankings (RPI, SOS): the numbers take no account of how teams change over time.

Since: Oct 9, 2006
Posted on: March 3, 2010 9:00 am

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

I bleed Orange, but that SU fan had it coming.  Frankly the fan should apologize to Parish.
To the flake that "has bYU higher in their own poll," if you make your own poll and don't get paid or at least published, then there is probably a very good reason you don't get paid or published.  

Since: Feb 17, 2008
Posted on: March 2, 2010 6:13 pm

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

Wow, Xavier's getting some good pub this week. Most of it is from you ,Parrish, so hopefully Xavier can keep giving you reasons to write about them. :)

Since: Feb 26, 2008
Posted on: March 2, 2010 4:55 pm

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

The Syracuse fan said he should be fired and he responded playfully. Get a life and make a real post

Since: Jan 21, 2009
Posted on: March 2, 2010 4:00 pm

Your missing 1 team that ha avoided a bad losses

BYU would be the only other team I would add to your list of teams with no bad losses. They have lost at Utah St (RPI 30's), at New Mexico & home to New Mexico (RPI 7), and UNLV (RPI 40's).

I think you should also move BYU up. I have them at 17 in my poll.

I definetely agree about moving up Xavier, I have them at 16 in my poll.

Since: Jun 18, 2009
Posted on: March 2, 2010 3:58 pm

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

I would question Dayton being capable of an at-large at this point.  If they beat Richmond (on the road, no less - Dayton stinks on the road) and St. Louis to get to 10-6 in the A-10, then makes it at least to the semi-finals of the A-10 tournament, I think it's possible, but the probability of all those things happening is pretty small.

To that effect, two of the bubble teams Butler lost to - Minnesota and UAB - are just as likely to make the tournament as Dayton.  Georgetown is in for sure, and Clemson would have to pull off a royal choke-fest to not make the tournament.

Since: Jan 2, 2008
Posted on: March 2, 2010 3:35 pm

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

Butler has lost to Georgetown, Minnesota, Clemson, and UAB.

Since: Mar 2, 2010
Posted on: March 2, 2010 3:21 pm

Xavier among best at avoiding bad losses

And one of the keys to being a decent human being is admitting when you've done something wrong.  Insulting the appearance of a sports fan for something she didn't even say is wrong.  Apologize and retract your statement from yesterday.

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