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Blog Entry

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

Posted on: March 24, 2008 4:57 pm
Edited on: March 24, 2008 4:59 pm
 

The first weekend seems to have changed what the oddsmakers are thinking.

According to Bodog, UCLA and North Carolina are now co-favorites to win the national title. Both are currently at 3-to-1, followed by Kansas (7-to-2), Louisville (4-to-1), Memphis (6-to-1) and Texas (10-to-1). What stands out from that list is that the oddsmakers saw the same thing I saw this past weekend in Birmingham, which is that Louisville is playing at a high level -- so high that the Cards are now considered the fourth most-likely team to win this NCAA Tournament despite being the No. 3 seed in the East Region. If you're wondering, they also opened as a 2.5-point favorite over Tennessee in Thursday's Sweet 16 matchup in Charlotte.

The biggest Sweet 16 spread?

That's UCLA minus-13 over Western Kentucky.

The smallest Sweet 16 spread?

That's West Virginia minus-1 over Xavier.

And how many points will Stephen Curry have Friday against Wisconsin?

The over-under is 27.5.

And my instincts tell me I should tell you to take the under, particularly because Wisconsin just held Michael Beasley to 23 points. But my instincts have been totally wrong about all things related to Davidson. So if you're betting against Curry, you're doing so at your own risk.
Category: NCAAB
Comments

Since: Oct 25, 2007
Posted on: March 27, 2008 1:42 pm
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

Louisville fans better save their pennies for the ponies becuase the Vols win tonight.

On paper it looks like the Cards win this one but paper dont play.




Since: Aug 20, 2007
Posted on: March 26, 2008 1:15 pm
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

MICHIGAN STATE ROCKS

Detroit #1 ... yeah...




Since: Mar 12, 2008
Posted on: March 25, 2008 8:26 pm
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

UNC, Kansas, and Louisville are playing head and shoulders above the rest of field. One problem is that KU or Ville have games that they just do not show up for, so hopefully neither one lets that happen in the swt 16. Im sick of hearing how great the UCLA defense is. The played two anaemic offenses in the first two rounds, so i hope they can hold their opponents to 41 pt/g. KU's defense on the other hand is smothering right now and should get some recognition.




Since: Mar 17, 2008
Posted on: March 25, 2008 4:40 pm
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

Chris Lofton is averaging a wopping 7.0 points a game in the tournament. Louisville is 4-0 against Tennessee under Pitino. Xavier is my sleeper pick.... they are probably the most complete team in the tournament besides Kansas.



Since: Sep 18, 2006
Posted on: March 25, 2008 12:26 pm
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

Let the Gamblers Know that Lofton is in a walking boot, and he is not going to be 100% for the game against Louisville. When he in in the game, U of L knows which weakness to focus on, and that is Chris Lofton on D. He was bad at defense to begin with, but with a bad foot/ankle, he could be in for a real long night! The Cards will expose Lofton all night with Sosa and McGEE.



Since: Sep 1, 2006
Posted on: March 25, 2008 11:24 am
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville




Since: Oct 14, 2006
Posted on: March 25, 2008 9:07 am
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

Ok, so Louisville beat Oklahoma by 30.  But if you look at Oklahoma's season, many teams have pasted them.  Texas did it by 28,  Nebraska by 18,  Texas by 17, Colorado by 14,  Texas by 10, Kansas by 30, USC by 11, Memphis by 10.  

Has their there been an at-large team in recent memory to get in the tourney with so many 10, 20, and 30 point losses?  The 10 and 11 point losses plus one of the 30 point losses were early in the season, but one would expect them to get better as the season progressed, but they got worse.

The point:  Louisville beat an overseeded Oklahoma team that quite frankly wasn't very good.  That is not to take away from their win, but there are several  teams that can say. -- been there, done that -- when it comes to whipping Oklahoma, and that is why people should at least keep the Cards 30 point win in perspective.




Since: Oct 14, 2006
Posted on: March 25, 2008 9:02 am
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

Ok, so Louisville beat Oklahoma by 30.  But if you look at Oklahoma's season, many teams have pasted them.  Texas did it by 28,  Nebraska by 18,  Texas by 17, Colorado by 14,  Texas by 10, Kansas by 30, USC by 11, Memphis by 10,  

Has their been an at-large team in recent memory to get in the tourney with so many 10, 20, and 30 point losses?  The 10 and 11 point losses plus one of the 30 point losses were early in the season, but one would expect them to get better as the season progressed, but they got worse.

The point:  Louisville beat an overseeded Oklahoma team that quite frankly wasn't very good.  That is not to take away from their win, but there are several  teams that can say. -- been there, done that -- when it comes to whipping Oklahoma, and that is why people should at least keep the Cards 30 point win in perspective.

 




Since: Aug 20, 2007
Posted on: March 25, 2008 5:51 am
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

GO MSU SPARTANS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Detroit #1 ... yeah...




Since: Feb 15, 2008
Posted on: March 25, 2008 5:05 am
 

Gamblers are falling in love with Louisville

I don't see UCLA having much problem with WKU...UCLA plays a very physical style versus the finesse, jump shooting 'Toppers. A&M is a physical team, much like the Bruins...which is what gave UCLA so much trouble. They probably won't have the same trouble with Western...



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