Blog Entry

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Posted on: October 11, 2011 11:39 am
Edited on: October 11, 2011 12:33 pm
Mirror, mirror, on the wall, who's the poorest of them all? St. Louis. Nope, Miami. Correction: Indianapolis. All are winless, which means all are contenders for Andrew Luck. Except my guess is that St. Louis makes a run at respectability the second half of the season.That would leave, yep, Miami and Indianapolis in a stretch run that, for the time being, is too close to call. All I can say is that now I know why the Dolphins keep Tony Sparano. The more he loses the more Miami has a chance to win Luck. Who says Stephen Ross doesn't know what he's doing?

5. Jacksonville. The Jags can't beat Carolina. They can't beat Cincinnati. And now they can't beat the schedule. Look at their next three games: At Pittsburgh, Baltimore and at Houston. That's three more losses. Then there's a Nov. 6 bye that could have special meaning for beleagured coach Jack Del Rio. I don't know that he makes it, but I do know that I give the guy credit: He went for the future when he started quarterback Blaine Gabbert, knowing he could be sacrificing this season ... and maybe, just maybe, himself. The club will be better in 2012 for rushing Gabbert on the field. But Del Rio? Maybe not.

Next loss:  at Pittsburgh. Ben Roethlisberger is gimping, the defense is slow and the offensive line can't block. Steelers win by 20.

4. Arizona.
I can't believe I have them here, but then I can't believe they just got smoked by Minnesota, either. These guys were supposed to challenge for a division that, suddenly, looks like it's all San Francisco again. Of course, Kevin Kolb was supposed to solidify the quarterback position, too, but he's caught in a spin cycle that won't quit. People tell me the offensive line is getting the poor guy killed. I just know that he's not making the plays he's supposed to make, with one TD pass and five interceptions the last three games. You saw what happened when quarterbacks struggled here last season. Let's not make this an encore, fellas.

Next loss: Pittsburgh. The Cards earn the week off with the loss to Minnesota and don't play until Oct. 23 ... when they follow Jacksonville into the Valley of Death. Life is not fair.

3. Indianapolis.
So the Colts nearly beat Pittsburgh.They nearly beat Tampa Bay, too. And they nearly beat Kansas City, shifting in reverse to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Now they play three straight road games -- at Cincinnati, at New Orleans and at Tennessee -- to keep their record clean. Owner Jim Irsay insists Peyton Manning could still play this year, but why? I mean, it makes no sense. Give the ball to Curtis Painter, and hope for ... well, hope for the worst. Three consecutive road games is a start. Just lose, baby.  

Next loss: at Cincinnati. These two split their last six, but look closely: Cincinnati always wins the odd-numbered year. It's 2011. Say good night, Curtis.

2. Miami.
People ask where's the best home for Luck, and it doesn't take a genius to figure out it's here. The Dolphins need a quarterback like Texas needs water. Chad Henne's not the answer. Besides, he just took a pass on the season, which means Matt Moore steps in at quarterback. That makes it a Matt Moore-Curtis Painter race to a photo finish, and you have to like Miami's chances. Indianapolis keeps playing it close with opponents, which means sooner or later it breaks through. But these guys have been down this road before, going 1-15 in 2007, so they're ... well, they're experienced at stinking. Looking for an edge? These guys have it.

Next loss: at New York JetsThree Jets' receivers now happy with the schedule.

1. St. Louis. People ask what happens if the Rams wind up with the first pick, and I tell them to relax. They won't. Yeah, their first seven games are brutal, and they probably go 0-7. But they'll recover. They're too good not to. And if they don't? Well, then they make the easy decision and trade away the first pick for a zillion choices, all of which they turn into wide receivers. When you have Sam Bradford, you give him franchise wide receivers. The Rams haven't. Instead, he's surrounded by the Santa Clara volleyball team. St. Louis has a franchise quarterback. It doesn't need another. So the choice is simple: Make someone else the Lucky Loser, and trade the pick.

Next loss: at Green Bay. Someone in the league office must hate these guys.

So who are the top players in the draft class? Check out our NFL Draft prospect rankings.
Category: NFL

Since: Sep 12, 2007
Posted on: October 12, 2011 1:35 am

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Based on the 3 games I've seen Luck play this year I think he is overrated.  I'm sure the scouts know what they're doing and I'm sure he has outstanding attributes but if he were QB at someplace like New Mexico would he be the rock star of college QB's?

Since: Jan 22, 2007
Posted on: October 12, 2011 1:08 am

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Case in point name one QB not named Brady and who was drafted after the 2nd round, started any NFL game this season and has a playoff win.  Let me help you out with this exclusive list Matt Hasselbeck and maybe Kyle Orton.
Tony Romo, off the top of my head (undrafted counts, I'd assume).

Since: Jan 11, 2008
Posted on: October 11, 2011 11:33 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Seriously, I think the Vikings should be in this conversation. Although I don't think their talent is really at the bottom, I look at their schedule and wins could be pretty sparse. I can see them losing all their division games, and they've only played one of those so far, so that could make them 1-9. NFC South left: Atlanta, New Orleans, Carolina (away) are all easily losable. 1-12. That leaves Oakland, Washington, and Denver. I could see the Vikes with 2-3 wins, which should put them in the running. Of course, there is no guarantee Luck will live up to all the hype.

Since: Jun 24, 2010
Posted on: October 11, 2011 10:12 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

rams wont get the #1 pick in next yrs draft, take that to the bank. also, take the -15.5pts for GB vs the rams in lambeau. no way in hell that this yrs rams can come within 3 tds of the pack with the way rodgers is playing. maybe if they pull rodgers at halftime the rams may make it interesting. starks and grant will probably still suck, but rodgers might do the 5-TD dance he posterized denver with earlier this yr vs the rams on sunday

Since: Jan 6, 2007
Posted on: October 11, 2011 9:36 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Stop with Moore and Wilson. Neither one is projected to go prior to the 5th round at best. Maybe the scouts are wrong about Luck, but they are rarely wrong about missing out on a guy. Case in point name one QB not named Brady and who was drafted after the 2nd round, started any NFL game this season and has a playoff win.  Let me help you out with this exclusive list Matt Hasselbeck and maybe Kyle Orton. One could look back 10 years for every NFL team and I bet you could count on your hands, maybe one hand qb's drafted after round two who have won playoff games.

You may not agree that a guy is a top pick even a 1st round pick, but if that guy is not picked early you can almost guarantee 32 teams did not whiff on him and it's the exception if he succeeds.

Since: Feb 22, 2008
Posted on: October 11, 2011 7:51 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Andrew Luck may not be the best QB in college football, but he will be a better pro type QB than Russell Wilson.  Pro scouts are in love with Andrew.  The Rams should get the number 1 pick and make a trade with Dallas, much like the Lions did when they traded Dallas Roy Williams.
Says the Dallas fan.

Since: Nov 15, 2007
Posted on: October 11, 2011 7:18 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Blackshirys must be a college football fan. In the NFL you have to have size and real skill. Russell Wilson is no Andrew Luck, not even close.
Kellen Moore is Doug Flutie, Tim Tebow, and Reggie Bush, He may win a college trophy and be popular with the frat girls but he with never be more than a clipboard holder in the Mens league. Luck, if he stays healthy is the next John Elway,Jim Plunkett, or Carson Palmer in the worse case scenario. Then, maybe all the experts could be wrong and you college yahoos correct, Even in Miami next year, Luck will be worth 5 more wins. He is better than both Stafford and Bradford and they both went #1. We have Tom Brady and Belicheck would trade his entire draft to get Luck next year. By the way, hes pretty good at choosing good players if you havent noticed. Say hi to your roommate Russel Wilson for us though!

Since: Jul 29, 2011
Posted on: October 11, 2011 6:40 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

What about the pathetic Broncos.  Do you think Tim Tebow is going to make a huge difference and turn this team around?  He can scramble and he may get a win or two.  But if Denver ends up with the first overall pick you can bet that John Elway will salivating at the fact of drafting a Stanford alum as teh QB of The Broncos.  It makes the most sense - Elway would never pass up this opportunity.  Tebow could become a half back, tight end, wild cat threat?  The Broncos also need to square away their offensive line.  That would have helped Orton but this Denver season seems to be a lost one.  So, let the Tebow/Orton connection get pummeled this year.  Find some continuity on your offensive line for next year.  But don't pass up the chance to draft Andrew Luck!  Denver needs to be relevant again!  Elway knows that!  Luck would make The Broncos relevant again.  It could be deja-vous.   

Since: Aug 2, 2009
Posted on: October 11, 2011 6:11 pm

Lucky Losers: no mention of the Broncos?

Seriously, the Broncos aren't even mentioned?  Elway is at the helm, Luck is from Standford, they just named Tebow as their starter, they are 1 and 5 and the schedule doesn't get easier.  All of this means that, in the very least, they will be in the running for the no. 1 pick. 

Since: Sep 9, 2008
Posted on: October 11, 2011 5:55 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Five

Have you watched Bradford play in the NFL?  If you have and still think he is not a franchise QB, then you sir are a moron.  With the crap he has to work with at WR and the horrible OLine he has protecting him, he still put up great numbers as a rookie and looks very good so far this year too!  Make Andrew Luck face NFL defenses with Danny Amendola, Brandon Gibson and Greg Salas as his targets and see if he looks like a stud.  Bradford is definitely the real deal and once he has some kind of supporting cast, the Rams will be back on top of the NFC West. 

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