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Blog Entry

Your FIRST look at the Final Four

Posted on: March 29, 2009 8:44 pm
Edited on: March 29, 2009 8:46 pm

What is going to happen at the Final Four? I will give you my best thoughts as the best week progresses, but here's the first few things you may want to know about the four team teams at the Final Four:

Best Player at the Final Four: Ty Lawson
I actually think Lawson is the best player in the country (non Blake Griffin category). He sets up everything in North Carolina's offense and when he is playing well the Tar Heels are almost impossible to beat. Lawson is the key to a UNC championship. Don't be fooled by the hype for Tyler Hansbrough.

Notable Possible Rematch: North Carolina-Michigan State

The last time these two teams played was December 3rd and it was ironically at Ford Field. The Tar Heels won 98-63 behind Tyler Hansbrough's 23 points. After the game someone said "See you in April" to UNC head coach Roy Williams. He replied with "I will be back and I hope my team is with me." Well guess what Roy? They are.

Points Per Game in the Tournament:
North Carolina 88.75
Connecticut 87.25
Villanova 81
Michigan State 70.5

Points Allowed Per Game in the Tournament:
Michigsn State 61.25
Connecticut 62
North Carolina 66.25
Villanova 66.5

Threes Point %:
Michigan State 23-57 (40%)
North Carolina 27-70 (39%)
Connecticut 16-54 (30%)
Villanova 24-81 (30%)

Rebounds Per Game:
Connecticut 47.5
North Carolina 38.25
Villanova 36.5
Michigan State 34.5

Free Throw %:
Michigan State 65-82 (79%)
Villanova 86-112 (77%)
Connecticut 89-129 (69%)
North Carolina 64-95 (67%)

Turnovers Forced:
North Carolina 60
Villanova 54
Michigan State 48
Connecticut 41

North Carolina 43
Connecticut 48
Michigan State 49
Villanova 52

Wins by 5 or Less:
Michigan State 2
Villanova 1
Connecticut 0
North Carolina 0

Closest Winning Margin (in the tourney):
Villanova 2
Michigan State 5 (twice)
Connecticut 7
North Carolina 12

If you give a point for each stat (not counting the wins by five or less or winning margin) in a 4-3-2-1 format you end up with this:

Point System Totals:
North Carolina 21
Connecticut 18
Michigan State 18
Villanova 13

It's really interesting that the team that causes the most turnovers (North Carolina) also turns it over the least. Michigan State is the most efficient team offensively based off leading all four teams in 3PT% and FT% but they also score the least amount of PPG due to their slow it down type tempo. Also UNC hasn't even played a close game yet outside of the LSU game, where they pulled away late. I had the Tar Heels last April winning the national title this year and they are the team to beat this April. I won't reveal my picks just yet though.



Since: Mar 24, 2009
Posted on: April 1, 2009 2:15 pm

Your FIRST look at the Final Four


 I'm a bit surprised and a bit flattered to see people picking nova here.  I was even more surprised not to see a "V" in anyones favorite teams.  The reason I think we can win is mostly our versatility.  Everyone has been watching us in the tourney where we have been running the court getting transition points and what not.  However we definately have the ability to slow it down and run our offense effectively if thats what Jay Wright thinks it will give us a better chance to win. Ty Lawson and Tyler Hansbrough are both phenominal players, and there is no way we will "stop" them.  However I dont think theres a reason we cant slow them down enough, using our physical scrappy play, to give ourselves a chance to win. Although we've won some close games lately, our shooting hasn't been hot.  We've shot well, but when were hot Stokes, Fisher, and Renyolds are wet from behind NBA range and Anderson and Redding will be money from just outside the arc. If that happens theres no reason we can't advance. LETS GO NOVA!

-see you in detroit!

Since: Sep 6, 2006
Posted on: March 30, 2009 8:35 am

Your FIRST look at the Final Four


 I would love to see UCONN and UNC playing in the final game.  UCONN vs MSU will be an interesting game in and of itself however.  I just think UCONN has been so  dominant over the course of the tournament it looks like they are firing on all cylanders. UNC has both Tyler Hansborough and Ty Lawson moving a mile a minute and working together as a team that is just on fire.

I look forward to the final game.  I still am going with UNC, but am looking forward to it even more with the play that UCONN has put on so far.

The stats behind the games this past week were interesting.  The fact that UNC hasn't played a close game in the tournament so far shouldn't affect them as they have definitely proved they know how to survive a close game.

Since: Feb 19, 2007
Posted on: March 30, 2009 12:21 am

Your FIRST look at the Final Four

Let's go Big East!

My brackets are busted at this point, so I just want to see a good matchup.  Actually, UConn v. UNC would probably be the best one (or the most intriguing to me).  But since I like the Big East so much, I'd like to see UConn take on Villanova.

As long as Michigan State doesn't win it all, I'll be satisfied.


Since: Aug 19, 2006
Posted on: March 29, 2009 11:38 pm

Your FIRST look at the Final Four

I like that we have the two front-court slow down teams playing, and the 2 helter-skelter guard oriented teams matched up.  I have UNC in my bracket, but I think the Huskies take it, they're just so dominant on the boards and they're getting guys like Walker and Robinson contributing.  Price vs. Lawson would be a great PG showdown.


Since: Nov 7, 2006
Posted on: March 29, 2009 10:27 pm
This comment has been removed.

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Since: May 31, 2007
Posted on: March 29, 2009 9:53 pm
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Since: Nov 28, 2008
Posted on: March 29, 2009 9:17 pm

Your FIRST look at the Final Four

Very good stats Dan. I think this makes it even more clear that UNC vs. UCONN for the National Championship, and I think UCONN wins it.

If UNC and Michigan State play, would it be another blowout???

But let me give you a stat Dan.

Michigan Teams at Ford Field this year are winless. WINLESS!

The Lions lost 8 games, Central Michigan Lost the Bowl game, and there was something else I am missing as well. But that is just another stat, I guess. 

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