Blog Entry

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

Posted on: March 6, 2008 11:32 pm
Edited on: March 7, 2008 2:37 pm
 

Thursday's Bracketogy (After all Thursday's games)
1s: Memphis (29-1),Tennessee (27-3), North Carolina (28-2), UCLA (26-3)
2s:Kansas (26-3) Duke (26-4), Georgetown (24-4), Texas (25-5)
3s: Xavier (25-5), Stanford (24-5), Louisville (24-6), Wisconsin (24-4)
4s:
Notre Dame (22-6), Vanderbilt (25-5), Connecticut (23-7), Indiana (25-5)
5s:
Butler (26-3), Michigan State (24-6), Drake (25-4), Marquette (22-7)
6s: Washington State (22-7), Gonzaga (23-6), BYU (24-6), Purdue (23-7)
7s: Clemson (21-8), St. Mary's (23-5), USC (18-10), Mississippi State (19-9)
8s:
Kansas State (19-10), Miami (21-8), West Virginia (20-9), Oklahoma (19-10)
9s: South Alabama (25-5)
, Texas A&M (22-8), Pittsburgh (21-9), Massachusetts (20-9)
10s:
UNLV (22-7),Kent State (23-6),Arizona (17-12), Arkansas (19-10)
11s:
Davidson (23-6) , New Mexico (23-7), UAB (22-8), Arizona State (18-11)
12s:
Virginia Tech (18-11), Western Kentucky (24-6), Maryland (18-12), Baylor (20-9)
13s: Oral Roberts (21-8), Utah State (22-9), Virginia Commonwealth (23-6),
Illinois State (22-8)
14s: UNC Asheville (22-8), Cornell (19-5), Belmont (20-8), Robert Morris (24-6)
15s: UMBC (21-7), Lamar (16-8), Austin Peay (21-10), CSU-Northridge (17-6)
16s: Alabama State (14-9), Morgan State (17-9), American (19-11), Rider (21-9), Portland State (19-9)

Last Four In: Western Kentucky, Illinois State Arizona State, New Mexico
Last Four Out:
Kentucky, Villanova, Florida, Saint Josephs
Next Four Out:
Rhode Island, Syracuse, Ohio State, Oregon
The Next Few Out:
Dayton, Houston, Creighton, Mississippi

Moved In: None
Fell Out:
None
Moving Up Quickly:
Oregon
Sliding Down Quickly:
Arizona State

Locks (27):

ACC (3):

Atlantic Ten (1):
Big East (5):
Big Ten (4):
Big 12 (2):
Conference USA (1):
Horizon (1):
Missouri Valley (1):
Mountain West (1):
Pac 10 (3):
SEC (3):

West Coast (2):

Almost Locks (5):



Automatic Bid Winners: (For more on the conference tournaments click here!)
1) Cornell (Ivy League)
2) UNC Aseville/ Winthrop (Big South; Big South title game is March 8)
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
 
Comments

Since: Feb 10, 2008
Posted on: March 7, 2008 10:36 pm
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

I disagree on Rhode Island being higher than Dayton, or frankly anywhere close to a bubble team.  They've lost 6 of their last 8 and the committee always looks how you've performed down the stretch.  Granted those were teams in the top half of their conference, but if you can't beat the teams in the top half of your conference do you really deserve to be considered?

 




Since: Oct 24, 2007
Posted on: March 7, 2008 9:57 am
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

I was wondering what the logic is for having URI closer to the tourney than Dayton. They both have 7-8 league records, with Dayton playing the tougher league schedule (They played X twice). The Flyers also did more in the non-conference. I think if the Flyers beat St. Joe's and win a couple in Atlantic City with Chris Wright back they deserve a bid, even with the .500 mark in league play, since the committee is supposed to look at the whole body of work.




Since: Jan 3, 2008
Posted on: March 7, 2008 7:37 am
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

Gonzaga will probably not get a 4 seed, I'd guess that right this second 5 is the limit for them. Oregon needs to win against Arizona (Huge bubble game on Saturday) and then probably win a game in the Pac 10 tournament.  If they stay in the 7 slot then that first round game would be against Oregon State, which would be absolutely huge because Stanford would be next.



Since: Jan 3, 2008
Posted on: March 7, 2008 7:34 am
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

I just have Texas as the winner because they are tied with Kansas for the Big 12 lead. Honestly I think Kansas will win the Big 12 Tournament. The brackets are going to be wild on Selection Sunday and it all comes down to conference tournaments. If Memphis, Tennessee, UCLA, Kansas, and North Carolina win their conferences then I'm not sure what will happen. Any of the five could be #1 seeds. I'd say that right now Kansas is the odd team out if that scenario takes place (assuming no more losses for any of these teams the rest of the season). If UCLA loses then Kansas or Texas can easily take the #1 seed.



Since: Jan 3, 2008
Posted on: March 7, 2008 7:24 am
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

I have looked, I've hand drawn all 30 in a notebook....I just wasn't thinking when I wrote that.



Since: Apr 4, 2007
Posted on: March 7, 2008 6:38 am
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

Dan, I saw your bubble watch and you mentioned that Arkansas needs to win a "couple" games in the SEC tourney. Do you realize by a "couple" games, with the bracket locked, that means either a win over Kentucky or Vandy in the First Round and then a win over Tennessee in the Semis? Just curious if you had looked at the SEC Bracket. If the Hogs win a "couple" games in the SEC tourney then I think there is no way they lose to Miss St or Florida (both teams they have beat by 20+ this season for the Final.



Since: Feb 19, 2008
Posted on: March 6, 2008 11:44 pm
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

i gotta ask. What is gonna need to happen for gonzaga to get a 4 seed?

What is gonna need to happen for Oregon to get into the tournament?




Since: Oct 22, 2007
Posted on: March 6, 2008 11:41 pm
 

March 7 Bracketology: Arizona St on the slide

i see you're predicting texas to win the big 12 tournament, so i've got a hypothetical question for ya: let's say texas gets knocked out early in that tournament and kansas advances to the title game where they are expected to win. does kansas get the one seed over ucla then, if we assume that the brackets are set without regard for the big 12 tournament because it's played so late?

alternatively, if ucla drops in the pac 10 tournament, is kansas/texas close enough to slide up and take that one seed?

just wondering what your take is. you're workin your ass off and i'm really enjoying poring over these.



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