Blog Entry

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

Posted on: September 28, 2011 3:52 pm
 

When I pick a game that is so off, it makes me realize that I'm no expert. I picked Tulane +10 at Duke. The Green Wave were never in it, losing 48-27. Please keep this in mind, if you're playing my suggestions.

Please, don't bet the house and don't try to get it all back in one swoop. That's the biggest mistake by any gambler and why the house easily makes money.

I did go 2-1 in my top plays, however, nailing the over in Florida-Kentucky and winning on K-State, which beat Miami as a 12-point underdog. That makes me 7-5 on the season.

Against the experts, I was 11-6. Jerry Hinnen leads the group with an astounding 50-27 mark. I'm second among the experts at 46-31.

I need to admit I didn't study as much this week with the Jewish holiday starting Wednesday night.

On to Week 5

SATURDAY
No. 16 South Florida -2.5 at Pittsburgh
Minnesota +20.5 at No. 19 Michigan
At No. 24 Illinois -6.5 vs. Northwestern
No. 14 Texas A&M -3.5 vs. No. 18 Arkansas (At Arlington)
Kentucky +29.5 at No. 1 LSU

At No. 4 Boise State -27.5 vs. Nevada
At N.C. State +11.5 vs. No. 21 Georgia Tech
Auburn +10.5 at No. 10 South Carolina
Bowling Green +20.5 at No. 22 West Virginia
No. 15 Baylor -3.5 at Kansas State

At No. 20 TCU -11.5 vs. Southern Methodist
No. 13 Clemson +7.5 at No. 11 Virginia Tech
No. 17 Texas -10.5 at Iowa State
Ball State +37.5 at No. 2 Oklahoma -37.5
No. 3 Alabama -5.5 at No. 12 Florida

No. 8 Nebraska +9.5 at No. 7 Wisconsin
At No. 25 Arizona State -17.5 vs. Oregon State
At No. 6 Stanford -20.5 vs. UCLA

---------------------------------
TOP HANDICAP PLAYS (All games Saturday)
Cincinnati -14.5 at Miami (Ohio)
OVER 56.5 No. 8 Nebraska at No. 7 Wisconsin
Idaho +16 at Virginia

-----------------------------------
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WEEK 4 HANDICAPPING (2-1; 7-5 overall)
Wins
Kansas State +12.5 in a 28-24 win at Miami
OVER 43 in Florida 48, Kentucky 10

Loss
Tulane +10 in a 48-27 loss at Duke 

A Happy & Healthy New Year to all those who celebrate!

Comments

Since: Jan 8, 2008
Posted on: October 1, 2011 11:01 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

Beginning of the fourth quarter and the over is in the bag.  Nothing like getting a good nights sleep.  3-0 on Saturday and if I did not open my yap it would have been a perfect weekend.



Since: Jan 8, 2008
Posted on: October 1, 2011 6:40 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

A very nice afternoon and all that is needed now for the trifecta is the over Nebraska/Wisconsin.

Congrats Johnny, I hope that you enjoyed the holiday I know that I have.Smile

 




Since: Jan 8, 2008
Posted on: October 1, 2011 5:02 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

Surprised that Virginia did not try for FG right before half time.  I guess that makes up for the Vandals not kicking FG and going for it on fourth down after getting a turnover.  Tight game but Virginia looks too fast for the visitors.  Idaho needs to go with more misdirection plays, the dink and dunks are getting blocked by DL of Virginia.  Turnovers have kept the Vandals close but can not rely on this for the 2nd half.  Still believe in getting the cover and that is all that matters.



Since: Jan 8, 2008
Posted on: October 1, 2011 2:26 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

Tough first half so far in Ohio, Cinn too many turnovers and a missed XP.  Second half hopefully will see Cinn focus they have dominated but not on the scoreboard.  Ball security and fundamentals will bring this one home.



Since: Jan 8, 2008
Posted on: September 30, 2011 1:04 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

LOL Johnny, I should have just kept things to myself.  I thought that this USF team was actually decent.  Their run defense was exposed big time.  Enjoy the weekend and lets see how the Saturday games go.



Since: Aug 24, 2006
Posted on: September 30, 2011 1:56 am
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

Teaches me right for offering a top play during Rosh Hashanah.  



Since: Aug 24, 2006
Posted on: September 29, 2011 4:41 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

1. I realize I listed Saturday, but South Florida-Pitt is actually Thursday.

2. I like USF. too. We'll add it to our top handicap plays. 



Since: Jan 8, 2008
Posted on: September 28, 2011 5:54 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

Soo many college games it is dizzying.  I like the South Florida team on Thursday, got them at -2. This will hopefully get me back on the track to those flowery drinks in St. Maarten.  Looking forward to another good week.  Good Luck JR and enjoy the New Year and the start of the High Holidays.


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