Blog Entry

Bowl Games By the Numbers. Home games and milage

Posted on: January 9, 2009 12:57 pm
 

I have been tracking the bowl games this season and now that they are completed I will begin presenting some data from what I have found.  One thing I tracked was milage traveled by teams to bowl sites.  I looked at distances, the difference between the opponents travel, results of the games compared to difference in travel and "home" bowl game statistics.  Here is what I have found in my analysis so far.

There were 11 "home" bowl games this bowl season.  I classified those as games in which one of the teams traveled 100 miles or less to the bowl site.  The home teams were Navy, USF, Southern Miss, Hawaii, Cal, La Tech, Rice, Vanderbilt, Georgia Tech, Buffalo, and USC.

These teams went 7-4 in their bowl games this season.  The "home" team was 6-5 against the spread in these games.

I also looked at the teams who traveled fewer miles in all of the bowl games and by that qualification the less traveled team was 20-14.

I also broke down the games by score of the games.

There were 8 games that were "blowouts" which I qualified as 21 point or greater victories.  The median milage difference in these games was 852 miles and the mean milage difference was 1270 miles.  The closest milage difference in a blowout was 81 miles and the furthest was 5000 miles.  The other differences were 503, 525, 835, 870, 1050, and 1293 miles

There were 10 games that were decided by 8-20 points. The median milage difference in these games was 225 miles and the mean milage difference was 610 miles.  The closest milage difference in these games was 99 miles and the furthest was 2227 miles.  The other differences were 128, 142, 216, 233, 439, 702, 758, and 1159 miles

There were 16 games that were decided by 7 points or fewer.  The median milage difference in these games was 494 miles and the mean milage difference was 789 miles. The closest milage difference in these games was 156 miles and the furthest was 3097.  The other differences were 204, 234, 242, 304, 347, 405, 439, 549, 795, 802, 1103, 1187, and 1953 miles.

Of the 16 games decided by 7 or fewer points there were 11 games decided by 5 points or fewer.  The median milage difference in these games was 405 miles and the mean milage difference was 570 miles.

Of the 16 games decided by 7 or fewer points there were 7 games decided by 3 points or fewer.  The median milage difference in these games was 242 miles and the mean milage difference was 560 miles.

Obviously these are small samples.  I just find things like this interesting.  Take it for what it's worth. 

Category: NCAAF
Comments

Since: Jan 1, 2008
Posted on: January 9, 2009 5:29 pm
 

Bowl Games By the Numbers. Home games and milage

Darn CBS.  Milage and mileage are both acceptable spellings B2B.



Since: Jan 1, 2008
Posted on: January 9, 2009 5:28 pm
 

Bowl Games By the Numbers. Home games and milage

<pre>Milage \Mil"age\ (?; 48), n. Same as .</pre> <pre>Mileage \Mile"age\ (?; 48), n. </pre> <pre>Actually Gatorz, it is spelled both ways.</pre> <pre>I just presented the numbers no interpretation from me.</pre>



Since: Jan 8, 2009
Posted on: January 9, 2009 4:58 pm
 

Bowl Games By the Numbers. Home games and milage

Maestro,

2 things....

1. It's mileage. Not milage. No biggie.

2. Not to dismiss all of your work, but it seems that any perceived 'home field advantage' does not, in fact, exist. Even though the closer team won 20 out of 34 times, a 6 game advantage of 34 games isn't enough to cry foul. And for the closer games to have bigger mileage spreads tells us that it doesn't really matter how far teams travel, if they were going to lose, they lost.

There is a slight advantage for the closer team, but not enough to bet my paycheck on, and not enough to say it isn't attributed to some other factor. Like they say, correlation does not equal causation.

Otherwise, great work as usual.



Since: Jan 1, 2008
Posted on: January 9, 2009 3:58 pm
 

Bowl Games By the Numbers. Home games and milage

Wow Maestro you have way too much time on your hands.

Not really, I just try to use it wisely.




Since: Apr 26, 2008
Posted on: January 9, 2009 3:18 pm
 

Bowl Games By the Numbers. Home games and milage

Wow Maestro you have way too much time on your hands.

But you are right it is interesting.



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