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Blog Entry

Mets outlook for 2010.

Posted on: February 7, 2010 4:18 pm
Edited on: February 7, 2010 4:28 pm
 

Here's my breakdown...


The offense will be much better. The return of Reyes, the addition of Bay and having Francoeur from the start of the year are all major positives. Losing Beltran for 1-2 months hurts. They needed the offense to get off to a fast start to compensate for their pitching woes. Matthews and Pagan are okay, but not Beltran. Wright-Bay-Beltran-Francoeur should be a very solid middle-of-the-order. Reyes at the top will help. Wright and Bay should each hit 20+ HRS and have 100+ RBI. Beltran(due to missing 30+ games) and Francoeur should have 75-80 RBI each. Reyes should score well over 100 runs, steal 40 bases and hopefully hit over .300. Murphy should benefit from who is in front of him and have decent numbers. I expect little from the catchers or Castillo. Obviously, the Mets must stay healthy. If they do, the offense should be fine.

The defense is mediocre overall. Murphy is not a true 1B man and has little range. Hopefully, he'll improve, but the best we can hope for is he's adequate. Castillo has little range and often has lapses in the field. At least 6 times he failed to cover 2B and he actually cost the Mets one game by failing to do so. He also made 11 errors last year and his fielding pct was .982 his worst since 2002. Reyes is a huge upgrade @ SS over Valdez, Cora and the other scrubs that played there. Jose has the ability to win a gold glove, but his positioning and mental approach often cost him. Wright is a 2-time gold glove winner coming off a bad season both at the plate and in the field. Without a real 1B man, he'll make most of his errors on throws. He needs to rush less when making those throws. Overall, he's solid. Behind the plate the Mets have Santos who is pedestrian defensively and a poor caller of games. Blanco is better defensively, but is nearly 40. The outfield is solid in RF and when Beltran returns in CF. Bay is a pedestrian LF. He'll misjudge balls, but he'll hustle so because of his bat, the Mets can live with less than stellar defense. Matthews may become his defensive replacement there. The Mets bench is not great as far as defensive replacements. Cora is okay, with little range at either 2B or SS. Tatis is also mediocre wherever he plays. If it's 2B, he's pathetic. Catalanotto is a hitter, not a fielder. Blanco is a good defensive catcher, but he's ancient. Pagan is athletic, but far from a polished fielder. Hence, SS, 3B, CF and RF are solid. All other areas are mediocre or worse.


The pitching staff is this team's biggest weakness. I'll breakdown the rotation and bullpen in the next 2 paragraphs.

The rotation is a mess. You have a true ace coming off an injury followed by 4 huge question marks. You'd hope to have maybe one, but 4? Pelfrey took 2 steps back last year. He showed that he may not be mentally ready to be a top pitcher. He has the stuff. Of the 4 question marks, I put by far the most faith in him. I think Pelfrey will bounce back and win 13-15 games. John Maine also has good stuff, but is oft-injured and unable to put away hitters. That's a major problem. He also throws too many pitches and rarely if ever gets into the 8th inning. I like John, but have little faith in him. Oliver Perez is a mental case. He has no-hitter stuff, but has no knowledge of how to pitch and melts down faster than the wicked witch of the west when hit by water. I have zero faith in him. The #5 slot is a mess. Nieve, Fogg, Figueroa and Misch are all journeyman pitchers and not MLB starters. Niese is the lone hope, but he should start @ AAA after his up-and-down 2009 season and the injury he sustained. Tread lightly with him because he's one of the few talented pitchers this team has in its system. Do not rush him.


The bullpen could actually be fairly decent. I have zero faith in Escobar. He has hardly pitched in 2 years and I believe Minaya envisions him as another Duaner Sanchez. However, if he remembers how Sanchez pitched after his injury, he'd know not to expect anything from Escobar. I don't expect anything at all from him. However, I think Parnell could be as true set-up guy if they don't Heilmanize him. Let him set-up and let it rip. He can reach in the high 90's. That's what is needed from your set-up guy. As for the others, it's a mixed bag. Green is a typical middle reliever. He'll vary from year-to-year. You just hope this will be his good year. Igarashi is a total unknown. Knowing the Mets past with Japanese players, especially pitchers, one should expect little. Misch could be a decent long reliever and occasional lefty situational guy. Feliciano is a top middle reliever. K-Rod is a top 5 reliever. No doubt there about him.


The bench is very ordinary. The back-up catcher is ancient. Blanco is a good defensive catcher, but will be 39 in season. Cora is seen as a cerebral player and leader, but his skills are at best pedestrian. He's an adequate fielder and a punch-and-judy hitter. 2B is a position where the Mets could go homerless. That's unacceptable in today's game. Tatis is a jack-of-all -trades and master of none. He can't field at any position you put him. He has some pop, but if thrust into a platoon or everyday role, will be detrimental to the team. Blalock or Garko would have been a much better move. Pagan or Matthews on the bench is fine. They're both 4th outfielders who can play all 3 OF spots and have some pop. Matthews is the more polished player, Pagan the more athletic. The final spot will be between guys like Hessman and Catalanotto. I think Frank wins out because he's more experienced and can hit. He's an ideal PH and can play some infield and outfield.


Finally, we need to look at coaching and leadership. I'll break these down into 2 paragraphs as well.

The manager of this team is a lame duck. He kept his job by the skin-of-his-teeth and due to the lame injury excuse. Manuel quit on this team after Minaya quit on them after his embarrassing press conference and public banishment. Jerry fancies himself a comedian, but the only time he's funny is when he tries to use strategy. He makes Art Howe look like Sparky Anderson. He is supposedly good with the players, but based on how they quit last year, that also seems to be a hollow appraisal. Manuel is mediocrity warmed over. He inspires no confidence what-so-ever. The pitching coach and hitting coaches are far from cutting edge. The removal of the worst coach in the sport(Razor Shines) from 3B will help. However, this staff is far from great. All are replaceable.


Leadership IMHO starts in the front-office. The Mets owners are IMHO apathetic. They built a stadium and forgot it was for the Mets, not Brooklyn Dodgers. Their SNY station at times allows the cross-town rivals to be the main story even when they're playing. They swore they'd spend money to improve the team, yet only added Bay while cutting payroll and leaving gaping holes at catcher, the starting staff and the right-side of their infield. Like their partner in crime Madoff, they're liars and frauds. They re-upped a GM who came off 2 choke jobs and has continually embarrassed them with his moves on-and-off the field. That GM has made them the laughingstock of baseball. He and his minions(Bernazard, Ricco and Pena) nearly destroyed the farm system once the best of MLB. Somehow, he kept his job, while 2 of his minions(Bernazard and Pena) were sacrificed. My guess is Minaya may have some Mayan blood. This team has no leadership.


Overall, you have a team with potentially a good offense, mediocre defense, and pedestrain pitching. That adds up to a mediocre season where they will struggle from start to finish. There will be streaks both ways, but in the end this is a 3rd or 4th place team, winning between 80-84 games. I'll say 82-80 for arguments sake. That's far from the predictions in 2006, 2007, 2008 and even 2009. This team is getting worse. That is at all times unacceptable.
Category: MLB
Tags: Mets
 
Comments

Since: Feb 19, 2010
Posted on: February 21, 2010 10:41 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

The mets could go either way to me at this point..No denying this team has the talent to be a playoff contender but i could possibly see this time at .500 on july 1st and having a managerial and front office shake up (we could only hope)...im gonna be optimistic about this team and believe if theyre healthy they will contend..You Gotta Believe




Since: Dec 19, 2008
Posted on: February 14, 2010 8:59 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

I wish they would sell the team to somebody who actually cares about fielding a competitive product.I hate it when people say the Wilpons don't care about fielding a competitive team.  Come on dude don't give me that crap.  We have one of the highest payrolls in baseball of course the Wilpons care about winning.  This comment makes no sense every owner wants to field a competitive team... that's how they make money. 



AbouttheU
Since: Feb 3, 2010
Posted on: February 8, 2010 10:52 pm
This comment has been removed.

Post Deleted by Administrator




Since: Dec 27, 2007
Posted on: February 8, 2010 9:44 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

Space Boy,

That team had Delgado, Wright, Reyes, Beltran, LoDuca, Wagner and Tommy Glavine. Tommy was still a very solid pitcher. Pedro was coming off a great year. Beltran didn't have 2 operations on his knees. Reyes wasn't coming off a major leg injury. Wright wasn't coming off his worst year and in fact was a rising star. Lo Duca was a breathe of fresh air and Delgado came in a deal after he had a great first year in the NL. Wagner was just signed and ready to go. That team was coming off a year where they won 83 games and were on the upswing. They wern't coming off 2 major choke jobs and the most humiliating year in club history. In fact, that was Minaya's greatest off-season by far. This was his worst. It's not even debateable.

If you believe this team is anywhere near 2006, then all I can say is bless you. You have true blind faith. I hope your faith pays off. Unfortunately, I do not have any faith it will. Let's hope you're right. That would make me extremely happy.



Since: Dec 6, 2006
Posted on: February 8, 2010 4:58 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

Mets outlook for 2010..........



Not good



Since: Jan 15, 2007
Posted on: February 8, 2010 1:36 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

I present to you the Opening Day roster of tthe 2006 Mets:

   $ 327,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 13,571,428      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Outfielder    $ 1,400,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 800,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Catcher    $ 500,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Outfielder    $ 13,500,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      First Baseman    $ 335,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Outfielder    $ 6,616,856      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Outfielder    $ 1,050,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      First Baseman    $ 9,993,640      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 359,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 327,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Second Baseman    $ 2,525,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 6,599,206      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Catcher    $ 14,875,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 8,033,333      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Second Baseman    $ 427,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Outfielder    $ 600,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 333,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 401,500      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Shortstop    $ 399,500      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 2,500,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 912,500      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Third Baseman    $ 10,500,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher    $ 825,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Shortstop    $ 374,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Third Baseman    $ 3,000,000      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;      Pitcher


Did anyone see this team getting within one at-bat of the World Series?  Probably not.




Since: Feb 8, 2007
Posted on: February 8, 2010 12:36 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

I always have high hopes for my team heading into pitchers and catchers, but this year, I would be happy with .500 based on what happened last year and the fact that Beltran may be MIA for about a month of the season.  We did nothing to improve our pitching and that will ultimately be our demise in 2010.

The entire front office and coaching staff will be gone at the end of this season, if not sooner, depending on what kind of start we get to the season.
Sorry I can't be more upbeat, but it is what it is roster-wise with this team for 2010.

Let's put it this way, I would be shocked if we won the division or were the wild card team in the NL this year.


finsbucksmets
Since: Oct 19, 2009
Posted on: February 8, 2010 12:32 pm
This comment has been removed.

Post Deleted by Administrator




Since: Jan 6, 2010
Posted on: February 8, 2010 12:07 pm
 

Mets outlook for 2010.

Did anyone but the writer read the above epistle? It is about baseball, I think, and can't help wondering if anyone cares about a sport that only huge market share teams can be successul. Lets pray the NFL does not go the route of George Steinbrunner and the other greed monsters that control baseball.


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