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2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

Posted on: August 6, 2008 4:07 pm
 
AL:

MVP: Josh Hamilton. There really isn't any debate. The guy is the best offensive player on arguably the best offensive team. He has a substantial lead in the RBI department, and hits for average too. He set a new single round HR derby record, for what that's worth. He has been the most feared hitter in baseball this year, and his numbers make him the run-away MVP

Cy Young: Francisco Rodriguez. Cliff Lee has had a great year ERA and wins wise. However, he is on a totally irrelevant team. I'm not one to hold that against someone, but in a race as close as him and K-Rod. K-Rod is the best closer in the game now, in my opinion. He's going for Thigpen's single-season saves record, and I think he'll reach it. If he does, it should be a wash for him. If he doesn't I think he'll still win the award.

R.O.Y.: Evan Longoria. There really isn't any competition here. Evan was a member of the AL all-star team. He was in the HR derby. He's a gold glove candidate. Did I mention that this kid has become the face of the franchise, and has been on almost every major television or radio show? His hitting is solid with a 280 average and 22 HR's, with 66 RBI at this point. His glove is even better. He has 6 SB too. Longoria is head and shoulders above any other rookie

NL:

MVPRyan Howard. Ryan is leading the Phillies to the lead in one of the toughest divisions in baseball. He does strike-out way too much, but his power numbers are phenomenal. 31 HR's puts him second in the NL, and second in the entire league. 96 RBI's puts him 1st in the NL, and 2nd in the majors. Ryan Howard wins his 2nd MVP in 3 years.

Cy Young: Carlos Zambrano. Carlos is the leader of the Cubs and has been for a while. He has a 2.76 ERA. He's the best player on the best team in the National League. This one was also a close race, just like the AL. Dan Haren is a very, very close second. Zambrano has the edge because he is on the better team.

R.O.Y
. Giovanni Soto. Just like the AL, this is a run-away. The Cubs have a good pitching staff which makes his catching abilities a little more shined, but his hitting is what makes this so slanted. He's batting 280, with 17 HR's and 62 RBI's. Those a very solid numbers for anyone, but especially a rookie catcher. Soto, like Longoria has been the head of his class.

Play-offs:

AL East: Red Sox - They have a much easier schedule than the Rays and experience will give them a very slight advantage at the end of the year.
AL Central: Twins - The Twins pitching staff is now stronger with Liriano being called up. The hitting is solid, and I believe they have the highest team batting average.
AL West: Angles - They play in a garbage division where the A's have thrown away the season and the Rangers don't have the pitching
AL Wild Card: Rays - They have a tough schedule, but I think they have the talent to hang on.

NL East: Phillies - They have too much hitting, and I think the Marlins will have a SMALL fall-off
NL Central: Cubs - They have too large a lead and too solid of a pitching staff. If Feukodome can get back on track, this team could be the favorites.
NL West: Dodgers - Man-Ram puts them over the edge. I don't like Ramirez, but he's a great player. He seems to be playing a lot harder in LA than in Boston.
NL Wild Card: Brewers - They have a good line-up and arguably the best pitcher in baseball in C.C. Sabathia. If this team makes the play-offs, then they could make the WS. You only need 2, maybe 3 solid pitchers in the play-offs.

Red Sox beat the Twins in 3.
                                                     Rays beat the Red Sox in 6
Rays beat the Angels in 5.
                                                                                                            Rays beat the Cubs in 7
Brewers beat the Phillies in 4
                                                     Cubs beat the Brewers in 5
Cubs beat the Dodgers in 3

A little biased towards the Rays, but whatever.
Comments

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Since: Jun 22, 2008
Posted on: August 17, 2008 6:20 pm
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

I think has a better shot at the Cy Young then . Dempster hasn't allowed more then 2 runs in 7 of hist last 8 games, and a couple of losses he gave up a couple but got not run support.

I also think the lose to the in game seven



Since: Jun 4, 2008
Posted on: August 9, 2008 3:50 pm
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

The Yankees are done. No Joba in the rotation. Kennedy proved again last night that he's not worth a spot on a major league roster. The Rays have been in first for most of the year. They already had their collapse. They got right back up and strengthened the lead.

Halladay could get it, but not being on a play-off team will hurt him. Same with Lee. Dice-K doesn't get deep enough into games. Record breakers usualy get the nod.




Since: Apr 20, 2008
Posted on: August 9, 2008 2:14 pm
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

Love the Predictions and I think you hit the nail on the head with most of them.  The only one that I would change would be the Rays.  They really struggled pre-all star break when the Red Sox were breathing down their neck and collapsed.  They did however manage to pull it together here in the second half so far with a monster run.  However when push comes to shove I believe experience will win out in this battle.  Red Sox win the division and the Yankees some how by the grace of God enter into the playoffs again in the wild card slot.

Secondly I can't see K-Rod getting the Cy-Young, even though he would be deserving.  Dont forget about Roy Halliday who has been brilliant this year or even Dice-K.  I believe one of these two will win the Cy-Young. 

Overall besides that, Great Picks.




Since: Jun 4, 2008
Posted on: August 8, 2008 8:02 pm
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

Howard's the run producer on his team. It's hard, and I had a lot of issues with that pick.  I have none of the guys you just mentioned making the post-season. That's what it came down to for me in close races. I just think that Hamitlon is just heads-and-shoulders above everyone.

Rays have played very well against the Angles this year. I like the Rays big 2 against anyone in baseball. Plus, David Price could be an X-Factor.




Since: Dec 17, 2007
Posted on: August 8, 2008 11:51 am
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

And to think a guy who is hitting .241 could win MVP! a few names for you for the NL:

Lance Berkman .335 22 hr, 77 rbi, 15 sb

Hanley Ramirez  .294 25 hr, 51 rbi, 27 sb

Albert Pujols .350  23 hr 73 rbi 6sb

Matt Holliday .345 22 hr 69 rbi 16 sb

 

You be the judge




Since: Jan 15, 2007
Posted on: August 8, 2008 10:05 am
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

I agree with this almost 100%.  Rays-Cubs is the World Series I WANT to see, but I think the Angels are baseball's best this year.  That doesn't mean they'll get there, though.

I have all of your playoff teams, as well, though I think the Rays might just hold on to win the division.  I wouldn't totally discount the Yankees, but they have an uphill battle.

I'm not sure Hamilton will win the MVP on a non-playoff team, however good his numbers are.  Don't know if K-Rod will win the Cy as a closer, either.  I agree that both are the deserving candidates, though.




Since: Oct 1, 2006
Posted on: August 8, 2008 9:15 am
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

I like the predictions (especially the one with the Cubs in the World Series) but...................There is no way a .235 avg and 200 strikeouts will get Howard even close enough to sniff the MVP award I think you have to give it to Braun or Utley. Also, I don't think if the Rays went against the Angels in the first they could come close to getting past them. They lack the experience, which I think is underrated by alot of fans in October. ( I know I know the Angels are choke artists ) I would pick the Red Sox to get Healthy and play in the ALCS to 7 games. Finally the Rodriguez pick is one I agree with right now but I swear that guys arm is going to fall off Sept 1st, He pitches every frickin day and his velocity has been a little off lately so I think it will be interesting how he pitches in September and October. That AL Central pick is a tough one but don't forget the Twins have that super long road trip due to the political convention.   



Since: Jul 13, 2008
Posted on: August 7, 2008 11:50 pm
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

Excellent points. I think your dead one with most of them.  Your Tampa bias shows, but thats ok - I like it.




Since: Jun 4, 2008
Posted on: August 7, 2008 3:27 pm
 

2/3rds way Play-Off Predictions and Award Winners

I know that the save is an over-rated stat. Thing is, wins can be too. Not in the case of Lee. But, it can be misleading. Andy Sonnanstine has the worst ERA of the Rays starters, but he has the most wins. ERA can be over-hyped. Say a guy goes 5 innings, but gives up 2 runs. ERA looks pretty good, but that's not a great season.

I had a lot of trouble with the NL awards. Soto was my only run-away winner. I gave Zambrano the edge because he pitches very well in big games, and he is the ace on the best team in the NL. Howards' power numbers stand out to me. I mean, Utley does deserve major consideration, but you have to remember how hot he started. He's still producing, but he has cooled down. I get a little caught p in the RBI's and HR's, but runs are produced with HR's and RBI's. It's a really tough call.

AL MVP and ROY were very easy. Cy Young is hard. I have them neck-and-neck, but Rodriguez is on a play-off team so he has a slight advantage. It's hard to unbiasedly pick these awards. Those writers, even though they look stupid sometimes actually have a pretty tough job.



The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com