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Category:NCAAF
Posted on: January 11, 2010 1:32 pm
 

Postseason Blogpoll


Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Alabama (57) 25.0 0.1 --
2 Boise State (1) 23.1 1.0 3
3 Florida 22.9 0.8 3
4 Texas 22.8 0.9 2
5 Ohio State 20.3 1.0 3
6 TCU 19.9 1.6 3
7 Iowa 18.9 1.0 3
8 Cincinnati 17.8 2.0 4
9 Penn State 16.2 2.1 3
10 Oregon 15.6 1.8 3
11 Virginia Tech 15.2 2.8 --
12 Georgia Tech 13.0 2.7 3
13 Brigham Young 12.7 2.9 2
14 Nebraska 11.9 2.5 6
15 Pittsburgh 10.9 3.2 1
16 Wisconsin 9.6 3.1 7
17 LSU 8.3 3.1 3
18 Utah 6.6 3.6 7
19 Miami (Florida) 6.2 2.8 6
20 Mississippi 5.1 3.0 6
21 Southern Cal 4.6 3.3 5
22 Texas Tech 3.3 2.7 4
23 Central Michigan 3.3 3.0 1
24 Clemson 2.3 2.9 2
25 West Virginia 1.6 2.7 6

Also Receiving Votes: Navy(1.5), Stanford(1.3), Oklahoma(1.1), Oklahoma State(0.9), Oregon State(0.8), Arizona(0.7), Arkansas(0.3), Virginia(0.3), Connecticut(0.2), Houston(0.2), Auburn(0.1), Florida State(0.1), Rutgers(0.1), Georgia(0.1), California(0.1), Northwestern(0.1), Middle Tennessee State(0.1), Air Force(0.0), North Carolina(0.0),

Total Ballots: 58

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

Plenty of movement, as you might expect when everyone plays someone about as good as everyone else, and one final non-move at the top: Alabama is #1 nearly unanimously, with one voter going for Boise State. Elsewhere, teams mostly move up or down three spots based on a bowl win or loss. Some got bigger bumps: Nebraska, Wisconsin, Utah, and Mississippi are biggest winners after surprising or flat dominant performances. Miami and West Virginia get the harshest treatment amongst the losers.

Justify Your Existence

So… yeah. By the end of the year there isn't much room for disagreement when all the results are in. And the coaches poll did, unfortunately, fix their goofy decision to put Penn State above an Iowa team with a tougher schedule, identical record, and head-to-head victory.

But there is one team with all the votes in every poll across the country: Alabama. And there is one poll in which the Crimson Tide ascended to #1 early and returned to it frequently: the Blogpoll. This poll was the only one in which the results on the field were enough to move the voters before the inevitable.

Other differences:

  • The Blogpoll moves Boise State to #2; the coaches keep the Broncos behind Texas and Florida.
  • West Virginia barely holds on at #25; they're #22 to the coaches.

As I said: at the end of the year it's hard to have a lot of disagreement. But in the event there was a choice to be made at the top, I think it's evident that bloggers are in a better spot to do that than the current folk.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

Now that the horn has tooted, the soft seamy underbelly of the thing:

  • Your Boise State voter is Card Chronicle
  • The Auburner  is still really into Arizona (#15) despite the Cats getting smashed by Nebraska.
  • This is almost certainly an error: Beat Visitor puts Virginia, not Virginia Tech #11.
  • From The Rumble Seat, who we'll see later, puts Cincinnati way down at #17 .

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Utah 3.6
2 Southern Cal 3.3
3 Pittsburgh 3.2
4 LSU 3.1
5 Wisconsin 3.1

The Mountain West's season-long dominance of this category comes home with a final win. USC, meanwhile, figures to finish high up in this category's preseason balloting after an offseason of turmoil.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team Avg Error
1 From The Rumble Seat Georgia Tech 3.11
2 Dawg Sports Georgia 3.00
3 Bleed Scarlet Rutgers 2.69
4 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia 2.65
5 Frank Helps You Tulane 2.56

The state of Georgia dominates the final collection of weird ballots of the year, with GT blog From The Rumble Seat taking top honors. Nothing on their ballot is too weird until Virginia Tech shoots up to #8 from totally unranked. But the Hokies did club Tennessee something wicked and the VT vote from FTRS is a lot closer to the poll consensus, so this actually represents a correction.

The weird stuff actually starts at #15, where Oklahoma State—booted from the poll at large—resides despite losing to Ole Miss limply. Okie State is even up one spot. Then you've got Cincinnati crushed all the way down to #17, West Virginia up three to #20 after the Gator pratfall, and a number of other strange or indefensible postseason moves.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team Avg Error
1 WSU Football Blog Washington State 0.76
2 The Wolverine Blog Michigan 0.77
3 Corn Nation Nebraska 0.78
4 Bama Sports Report Alabama 0.81
5 Dan Shanoff Florida 0.94

This award's season-long tendency to go to the cold, desparate stragglers at the end of I-A sees Washington State and Michigan bloggers finish one-two before descending into the fat and happy—at least mostly—realms of Nebraska, Alabama, and Florida blogs.

Our pointless, season-long quest for a Perfect Ballot, or at least a Perfect Top Two, ends with a thud: WSU Football blog goes with Texas and refuses to put Boise State higher than #5.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Krugman Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Block U Utah 4.38
2 From The Rumble Seat Georgia Tech 3.98
3 Double Extra Point Nebraska 3.07
4 Linebacker-U Penn State 1.78
5 Barking Carnival Texas 1.19

For about the first time all year, the CK Award just plain failed. Block U  was the last poll's winner and thus drew the whammy for its Poinsettia Bowl matchup against Cal. Utah covered a three point spread by seven. Last time's runner up was West Virginia, though, so there's that.

Block U wins here again, but the foul award has demonstrated no power to punish foes across season. Also there will be a preseason poll that supersedes this one when opening week 2010 rolls around. Congratulations, Utah. We would have gotten away with it without you meddling Samoans. 

For the record, the CK Award finished the year 10-5 against the spread and 9-6 straight up. Some of those covers were beyond painful, though. They include Iowa's three-point win against Arkansas State and Nebraska's heart-crushing defeat in the Big 12 championship game. Sometimes the horror this thing doles out is not captured by numbers.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Dan Shanoff Florida -0.93
2 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa -0.90
3 RazorBloggers Arkansas -0.29
4 From Old Virginia Virginia -0.26
5 SimonOnSports Connecticut -0.21

This place is a ghost town, with the winner and second place turning in ballots that had their teams one spot below the poll consensus; the remainder omitted their teams that didn't really deserve votes anyway. Half-hearted congratulations to Dan Shanoff.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team Swing
1 SimonOnSports Connecticut 164
2 Clone Chronicles Iowa State 162
3 Boiled Sports Purdue 158
4 BC Interruption Boston College 150
5 Over the Pylon Ball State 150

I'm not really sure how one gets swings this big on the last week of the season, but here they are. Simon on Sports  is your winner with an impressive 164.

I guess it helps when you shove Penn State at #24 only to see them beat LSU, or have Miami #13 only to have them lose to previously unranked Wisconsin. UNC—inexplicably included last time—is gone after being #16, and the only team on the ballot not to move is #1 Alabama.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team Swing
1 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 62
2 Linebacker-U Penn State 84
3 One Bronco Nation Under God Boise State 84
4 BCS Guru UCLA 90
5 Frank Helps You Tulane 92

On the flip site, Black Heart Gold Pants  wins this by an epic margin of 22. This is borne of two things: faith in the Big 10 and general calmness (or apathy) in the face of a  bowl result. BHGP already had three Big Ten teams in the top ten and Wisconsin chilling comfortably at #17 and had to move those teams far less than virtually everyone else in the poll. And then there's stuff like Cincinnati dropping a single slot or Miami just three or GT just two and LSU actually moving up and so forth and so on.

Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: December 9, 2009 12:03 pm
 

Blogpoll Week 14

Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Alabama (77) 25.0 0.1 1
2 Texas (1) 23.3 0.9 1
3 TCU 23.0 0.9 1
4 Cincinnati 22.2 1.0 1
5 Boise State 20.9 1.0 1
6 Florida 20.2 1.4 5
7 Oregon 19.0 0.6 --
8 Ohio State 17.7 1.2 --
9 Georgia Tech 16.7 1.4 1
10 Iowa 15.3 2.5 1
11 Virginia Tech 14.1 2.3 --
12 Penn State 13.6 3.3 --
13 Miami (Florida) 11.5 2.5 2
14 LSU 11.5 3.1 2
15 Brigham Young 9.6 4.0 2
16 Pittsburgh 8.8 3.5 3
17 Oregon State 8.1 3.7 3
18 Stanford 7.1 3.7 3
19 West Virginia 6.9 3.6 5
20 Nebraska 5.9 3.1 3
21 Oklahoma State 5.8 3.1 1
22 Arizona 5.2 3.7 4
23 Wisconsin 2.9 3.3 3
24 Central Michigan 2.4 2.8 2
25 Utah 2.3 2.9 1

Also Receiving Votes: Southern Cal(1.2), Clemson(0.9), Houston(0.9), California(0.8), Northwestern(0.7), Texas Tech(0.4), East Carolina(0.4), North Carolina(0.3), Mississippi(0.2), Navy(0.1), Oklahoma(0.1), Tennessee(0.1), Troy(0.0), Arkansas(0.0), Temple(0.0), Missouri(0.0), South Carolina(0.0),

Total Ballots: 78

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

Not a lot went down over a weekend in which a lot of things almost happened. The main thing was Alabama putting an end to the season-long wishy-washiness at the top of the poll, emerging as a near-unanimous #1 after throttling Tim Tebow and some other guys 32-13.

Elsewhere, Pitt slips a little after narrowly losing to Cincinnati, WVU makes a leap, and the back end of the poll is fresh and new; Central Michigan finally gets in after a season wondering why persistent mediocrities kept scraping in at the back of the poll.

Justify Your Existence

The Blogpoll's season-long willingness to consider anyone other than Florida a plausible choice at #1 was validated by the outcome of the SEC championship game even if the poll reacted to the last week of the season by installing Florida at the top. Even with that shift the battle for #1 was tight.

As for major differences: we've kind of run out. But it was a good run.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

The lone #1 vote for Texas will get handled in Mr. Bold. Other anomalies:

  • Tennessee blog Gate 21 was just itching to give it to Florida , I guess, as they drop the Gators down to #13—behind luminaries like Penn State, LSU, and BYU—which is three spots worse than anyone else and I'm cocking an eyebrow at anyone who would even put them that low.
  • Kentucky blog A Sea Of Blue has Houston #14, 4 slots higher than anyone else. Houston didn't even average 1 point per ballot.
  • Similarly, poll nonentity North Carolina is #16 to UConn blog Simon on Sports ; there is one other guy voting North Carolina #20—Sea of Blue again—and then a few folks who throw UNC in at the tail end of their ballot.
  • And saving the weirdest for last: Orange::44 is a Syracuse blog and was thus presumably one of the few people to actually watch actual Northwestern actually lose to Syracuse early in the year. This has not dissuaded them from merrily marching the Wildcats into the top 15 ; they actually sit 13th on their latest ballot, four spots ahead of even the weirdos who ranked the 'Cats 17th. Northwestern, like UNC and Houston, isn't even in the poll and averaged less than a point per ballot.
  • Dawg Sports didn't bother to drop USC for losing to Arizona—they did, on the other hand, shoot Arizona up to #13—and are thus the poll's most enthusiastic USC voter ; the Trojans check in at #15.

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Brigham Young 4.0
2 Oregon State 3.7
3 Arizona 3.7
4 Stanford 3.7
5 West Virginia 3.6

BYU: your most confusing team. I'm with the people ranking them low, for what it's worth.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 3.26
2 Dawg Sports Georgia 3.13
3 Gate 21 Tennessee 2.89
4 Braves and Birds Georgia 2.83
5 From The Rumble Seat Georgia Tech 2.71

Let's Go Rockets is the only voter in the poll who goes with Texas #1 and dares to drop Florida behind not only Oregon but also Penn State(!?). This appears to be some lingering SEC hatred for whatever reasons. But then the order of teams in the Big Ten is just all goofy: Penn State is #7 and two teams (Ohio State and Iowa) that beat them by two scores and have equal records, better nonconference schedules, and bigger wins languish at 14 and 15. Oklahoma State's been permitted to stay at #13 after getting hammered by Oklahoma, Cal is #18, etc., etc., etc. Very odd all around.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois 0.79
2 Fantasy College Blitz Oklahoma State 1.02
3 The Wolverine Blog Michigan 1.03
4 Foul Balls Notre Dame 1.05
5 Block C Clemson 1.05

Wow, Red and Black Attack obliterates the year's best number in this category—which was just under 1.0—with a ballot that doesn't even get past #2 (TCU) before there's a difference from the poll at large. Odd.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Krugman Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Block U Utah 4.67
2 WVU Pressbox West Virginia 4.12
3 Double Extra Point Nebraska 4.06
4 Big Red Network Nebraska 3.06
5 Corn Nation Nebraska 3.06

So we have definitive proof that Ndamukong Suh is invulnerable to the foul power of the CK Award. This makes the foul power of the CK Award exactly like offensive linemen and nuclear weapons worldwide. Not invulnerable: Nebraska's kickoff specialist. The Cornhuskers lost in a fashion so utterly painful that it's tempting to declare the CK Award the victor here despite NU's easy cover. But they did cover, bringing the award's record here

The last blogger to tempt fate this year will be Block U , which stuck Utah #18 and narrowly beats out a horde of Nebraska bloggers and one lone WVU supporter to draw the bowl game whammy. Utah is a three-point underdog against Cal in the Poinsettia Bowl.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 SportsFrog Central Michigan -2.37
2 Conquest Chronicles Southern Cal -1.24
3 Block C Clemson -0.91
4 California Golden Blogs California -0.82
5 Gobbler Country Virginia Tech -0.12

Very strange victory here as I don't think a mid-major supporter has ever finished in the top five, let alone won this thing. Usually fans of teams like Central Michigan are so giddy that the team seems good that they end up on the other list. They certainly don't fail to rank their team entirely when there's almost no way to rationalize them out of the poll.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 From The Rumble Seat Georgia Tech 108
2 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois 104
3 Hammer & Rails Purdue 98
4 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 96
5 Block U Utah 94

How do you get up to 108 points of swing after a weekend in which like ten teams played?

First, start with Alabama #4 and drop Florida behind Oregon. Then shuffle the back of the poll like mad: Pitt down 14(!?!) for losing by a point to undefeated Cincinnati, Ohio State down three and Iowa and Penn State up three despite all of those teams finishing their seasons two weeks ago, Oklahoma State up eight and Houson up seven inexplicably, Virginia Tech completely omitted after not playing this weekend and being #10 last week… this is not engineering's finest moment.

I couldn't find an explanation or even a ballot at From The Rumble Seat, so it is what it is.

Double weird is R&B Attack , your Numb Existence winner, showing up second here. He must have significantly de-crazied his ballot this week.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1 The Ciskie Blog Wisconsin 26
2 NittanyWhiteOut Penn State 38
3 Anton Azucar Miami (Florida) 40
4 Rock M Nation Missouri 40
5 mgoblog Michigan 44

I have no problems with low swings this week since there were so few games. A quick glance at the winner's ballot seems totally reasonable except for maybe being too kind to USC. Okay, definitely being too kind to USC.


Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: December 2, 2009 12:07 pm
 

Blogpoll Week 13

 
Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Florida (39) 24.3 0.9 1
2 Alabama (28) 23.9 1.0 1
3 Texas (8) 23.3 0.9 --
4 TCU (4) 22.2 1.1 --
5 Cincinnati 21.0 0.8 --
6 Boise State 20.2 0.7 --
7 Oregon 18.8 0.6 2
8 Ohio State 17.8 1.7 2
9 Iowa 15.2 3.0 3
10 Georgia Tech 14.8 2.8 3
11 Virginia Tech 14.0 3.0 3
12 Penn State 13.7 3.3 1
13 Pittsburgh 11.5 2.8 5
14 Oregon State 11.1 3.6 1
15 Miami (Florida) 10.5 3.0 2
16 LSU 10.0 3.7 2
17 Brigham Young 8.3 4.7 3
18 Southern Cal 8.1 3.3 1
19 Houston 6.4 3.7 5
20 California 6.1 3.5 3
21 Stanford 5.7 4.4 5
22 Oklahoma State 4.7 2.8 11
23 Nebraska 4.4 2.9 3
24 West Virginia 3.1 2.8 2
25 Clemson 1.4 2.3 9

Also Receiving Votes: Utah(1.3), Central Michigan(1.0), Wisconsin(0.9), Arizona(0.5), Northwestern(0.3), Texas Tech(0.3), North Carolina(0.2), Navy(0.1), Mississippi(0.1), Arkansas(0.1), Rutgers(0.0), Troy(0.0), Tennessee(0.0), Temple(0.0), Missouri(0.0), Ohio(0.0),

Total Ballots: 79

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

Get a good look at the up and down arrows because you won't see much of them next week, and then there's just the post-bowl poll before the long, cold dark of the offseason. Florida's dominant performance against Florida State coupled with weak wins from Texas and Alabama propels the Gators into the season's last disputed #1 spot; even with a Texas win the SEC champion figures to be nigh-unanimous next week.

Elsewhere, Pitt and Georgia Tech cede ground after losses, though Tech has a soft landing after narrowly losing to Georgia with Josh Nesbitt out or injured much of the game. Neither gets hammered nearly as severely as Clemson or Oklahoma State.

Doctor Saturday will be pleased to see Utah outside the poll. Barely outside, but outside.

Justify Your Existence

With the poll going back over to Florida hegemony, the best argument for the BlogPoll over the things that actually comprise the BCS this week is the coaches continued, inane insistence that Penn State should be ranked ahead of Iowa. Here PSU's incredibly weak schedule is duly punished and instead of Penn State 9, Iowa 10, it's Iowa 9, Penn State 12.

By this point in the season there's not a whole lot of opportunity to defy the conventional wisdoom elsewhere; there are a bunch of teams two or three spots off their Coaches' poll position but nothing that screams justice like the above comparison.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

There's not a whole lot of flat crazy stuff this week, but a sampling:

  • There are a few teams with crazy distributions. Ohio State is almost universally 7, 8, or 9, but there's this small cadre of five voters clustered around #14. Northwestern gets a few pity/sympathy/whatever I'm out of teams votes toward the tail end of the poll, and then two Big Ten bloggers slot them in at #18. Daily Gopher and NittanyWhiteOut : seriously? Seriously Northwestern as the #18 team in all the land? They lost to Syracuse!
  • Boiled Sports hates Virginia Tech , ranking the Hokies #25. Next worst vote is #18.
  • Roll Bama Roll , oddly, is a huge Central Michigan fan . They place the Chips #14; 18th is the best anyone else will do.
  • I'm not even going to bother with the TCU voters since at this point I'd probably have to do the same with anyone holding on to Texas as the #1 team in the country, and one you get to twelve goofy first place votes that's too many to catalog here.

Ballot Math

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Brigham Young 4.8
2 Stanford 4.4
3 Houston 3.8
4 LSU 3.7
5 Oregon State 3.6

BYU's 10-2 record with horrific loss to FSU is indeed confusing. 

Next up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 3.00
2 Bleed Scarlet Rutgers 2.93
3 Boiled Sports Purdue 2.88
4 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 2.78
5 Gate 21 Tennessee 2.73

Let's Go Rockets picks up the week's weirdest poll and the reasons are right there in the 10-12 range: BYU, Cal, and Houston. All of those folk are at least seven spots lower in the poll at large. #19 Iowa gets boned, as do Oregon State and Miami.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 The Wolverine Blog Michigan 1.00
2 SpartyMSU Michigan State 1.01
3 Subway Domer Notre Dame 1.12
4 Not Qualified to Comment Illinois 1.15
5 The Bull Gator South Florida 1.16

That's more like it: after a couple weeks in which the Numb Existence Award was horned in on by people following teams that are having, you know, good seasons, we're back to the unrelenting bleah of midwest mediocrity. The Wolverine Blog is your narrow winner, and the first team better than 6-6 or from outside a set of three adjacent states comes in fifth. It's too cold to defy the man up here.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Corn Nation Nebraska 7.57
2 Eye of a Panther Pittsburgh 3.53
3 From The Rumble Seat Georgia Tech 3.24
4 Mountain West Connection TCU 2.84
5 The Nittany Line Penn State 2.32

The CK Award needed a pointless 56-yard last-second touchdown in a game that Colorado trailed by 14 to cover. It got it, remarkably, and drove its record against the spread to an improbable 10-3. Straight up it's not quite as rosy at 8-5, but some of those games are things like Iowa-Arkansas State in which a narrow loss straight up is an achievement.

Anyway, Corn Nation is undeterred by the ominous precedents in this space—Nebraska blogpoll voters were personally responsible for at least five of Nebraska's eight turnovers in a loss to Iowa State—and wins this in a landslide, conveniently mere days before the Cornhuskers take on heavily-favored Texas in the Big 12 championship game. Texas is a two-touchdown favorite.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Block C Clemson -1.44
2 Husker Mike's Blasphemy Nebraska -1.43
3 Block U Utah -1.32
4 Conquest Chronicles Southern Cal -1.05
5 Gobbler Country Virginia Tech -1.00

Slim pickings here, but Block C manages to scrape the award by omitting #25 Clemson entirely. Husker Mike's attempt to give Nebraska some anti-CK mojo going into this weekend narrowly fails, and Block U completes a 1-3 finish in this category for the two "block" blogs in the poll.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Roll Bama Roll Alabama 130
2 Boiled Sports Purdue 114
3 Braves and Birds Georgia 110
4 Football Outsiders Syracuse 110
5 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois 108

Roll Bama Roll is hopped up on PCP this week, and understandably since his team managed to scrape by Auburn and put the finishing touches on what was probably the most boring season in the SEC this decade. The ballot starts the chaos at the top by dropping Alabama two spots after the aforementioned scrape and continues all the way down: #14 Clemson, #16 North Carolina, #18 Utah, and #21 Mississippi all deservedly get the axe, and there's a huge surge from everyone below about #13 as a result, with BYU jumping up a whopping ten spots.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1 mgoblog Michigan 46
2 Big Red Network Nebraska 48
3 Lake The Posts Northwestern 56
4 Burnt Orange Nation Texas 56
5 ScalpEm.com Florida State 56

Intrepid mgoblog compatriot Tim wins this thing for the second time this year; Georgia Tech drops only a single spot, Pitt only three, and Oklahoma State only five. Utah and Clemson exit but were already pretty low in Tim's poll.

Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: November 25, 2009 11:55 am
 

Blogpoll Week 12

 
Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Alabama (32) 24.1 0.9 --
2 Florida (21) 23.7 1.1 1
3 Texas (15) 23.6 1.0 1
4 TCU (6) 22.2 1.1 --
5 Cincinnati 21.0 0.8 --
6 Boise State 20.0 1.0 --
7 Georgia Tech 18.9 2.3 --
8 Pittsburgh 17.2 1.4 --
9 Oregon 17.0 1.2 --
10 Ohio State 16.4 1.8 --
11 Oklahoma State 13.2 2.6 1
12 Iowa 12.7 3.5 2
13 Penn State 12.0 3.1 2
14 Virginia Tech 11.4 2.9 2
15 Oregon State 9.1 3.6 4
16 Clemson 9.0 3.7 2
17 Miami (Florida) 7.6 3.0 3
18 LSU 6.7 3.8 7
19 Southern Cal 5.5 3.5 2
20 Brigham Young 5.3 4.9 2
21 Utah 4.9 4.3 2
22 North Carolina 4.3 3.7 3
23 California 4.0 3.3 3
24 Houston 3.9 4.0 --
25 Mississippi 3.3 3.4 1

Also Receiving Votes: Stanford(3.0), Nebraska(1.9), Wisconsin(0.7), Navy(0.6), Arizona(0.4), Temple(0.3), Northwestern(0.3), Central Michigan(0.3), Georgia(0.2), Texas Tech(0.2), West Virginia(0.1), Nevada(0.1), Arkansas(0.1), Syracuse(0.0),

Total Ballots: 74

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

An extremely quiet week, with on-field events providing little in the way of reason to shake things up. LSU plummets after Les Miles' clock management fiasco and Stanford and Wisconsin drop out after suffering upsets; other than that the only thing of note is Florida barely edging past Texas for the #2 spot that will be moot after the SEC championship game.

Justify Your Existence

This is pretty much the same as last week: this is the only poll willing to move Florida off its pedestal and the only one that gets the order of Iowa and Penn State correct.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

Boiled Sports has a beef :

In an example of how stupid AP voters are, Stanford dropped out of their poll with a close loss to Cal in their rivalry game. So Stanford loses to a now-ranked Cal team, and falls from 14th to out of the polls. Yet the team they rolled 55-21 (USC) last week remains ranked. Seriously, this is an abomination. I kept Stanford in the poll because losing a close game to your rival -- who is also pretty good -- should not be penalized that harshly.

Er… well… it's not just the AP. And I think BS has a point: Stanford is 7-4 but against a very difficult schedule that has just one nonconference tomato-can on it. They've played a ton of losable games and have excellent wins over Oregon and USC. Surely that's more deserving than Utah, which has one win over a BCS team and that's Louisville, or Ole Miss, which may have just beaten LSU but only has three losses mostly because the nonconference schedule is Memphis, SE Louisiana, UAB, and Northern Arizona. This is a prime example of schedule strength not being taken into account enough; Stanford might not be a top 15 team but they probably should be somewhere in the poll.

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Brigham Young 4.9
2 Utah 4.3
3 Houston 4.0
4 Stanford 3.8
5 LSU 3.8

And the universe is back to normal: mid-majors dominate here.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Dan Shanoff Florida 3.36
2 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia 3.21
3 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois 2.97
4 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 2.91
5 BCS Guru UCLA 2.91

Dan Shanoff has the week's most bat-crap poll of all and how did this guy not win the most manic-depressive ballot below, too? Utah, who has beaten zero teams of relevance and just got shellacked by TCU, flies up 11 spots to #11. Ole Miss flies up 11 spots to #14. Cal up ten spots. Iowa and Penn State down at 20 and 21, down 6 and five spots, respectively, after 1) a 12-0 shutout and 2) a 42-14 waxing. Shanoff, for his part… says nothing ! Arrrgh.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Buffs.tv Colorado 0.98
2 Bama Sports Report Alabama 1.07
3 Atomic Teeth Missouri 1.09
4 The Bull Gator Florida 1.10
5 WSU Football Blog Washington State 1.11

Alabama and Florida blogs break up this award's recent run of top fives consisting exclusively of dull-eyed bloggers watching their teams soldier through miserable years; this may be because several of these teams have finished their seasons and the crushing weight of ennui is lifted. (No, this isn't about me. Yes it is.)

Anyway: Colorado blog Buffs.tv has the most macro-ish poll and manages to get the average error under one point, but there's still no consensus at the top and a perfect ballot is not on the way.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Corn Nation Nebraska 5.15
2 California Golden Blogs California 3.96
3 The Nittany Line Penn State 2.97
4 RazorBloggers Arkansas 2.89
5 Fantasy College Blitz Oklahoma State 2.82

Bah: Minnesota's miserable offense defied the CK Award last week as ten-point favorite Iowa beat the Gophers 12-0; the award is still an impressive 9-3 against the spread and 8-4 straight up.

This week it's another repeat offender tempting fate, as Nebraska—which escaped punishment thanks to a bye week before the horrendous, eight-turnover Iowa State game—finds itself under the gun for a second week. The Cornhusker's traditional Thanksgiving weekend rivalry game against Colorado is on the docket; Nebraska is favored by ten.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Anton Azucar Miami (Florida) -3.55
2 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech -2.42
3 Gobbler Country Virginia Tech -2.42
4 Husker Mike's Blasphemy Nebraska -1.85
5 Dan Shanoff Florida -0.69

More Virginia Tech hangover is beaten out by Miami (That Miami) blogger Anton Azucar's skepticism about the 'Canes after a narrow escape against Duke. Which… yeah, I get that, man.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Dawg Sports Georgia 104
2 Roll Bama Roll Alabama 102
3 All Pac 10 Washington State 100
4 Dan Shanoff Florida 96
5 Falcon Nation Bowling Green 90

The chaos in Dawg Sports 's ballot is impressive given the relative lack of thunderous on-field events. In addition to the usual array of stuff that make sense, Houston and Oklahoma State plummet, Pitt and Georgia Tech move up three spots each, and Wisconsin goes from #13 to out.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1 The Nittany Line Penn State 30
2 Testudo Times Maryland 36
3 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 40
4 Orange::44 Syracuse 40
5 Big Red Network Nebraska 44

In a week that saw little movement overall, The Nittany Line surpasses all thanks to kindness towards Wisconsin (down only five after a loss to Northwestern) and skepticism towards Stanford, which did not appear in last week's poll and doesn't have to get dropped as a result.

Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: November 18, 2009 12:09 pm
 

Blogpoll Week 11

 
Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Alabama (35) 24.1 0.8 1
2 Texas (21) 23.8 0.9 1
3 Florida (26) 23.7 1.1 2
4 TCU (3) 22.0 1.1 --
5 Cincinnati 21.0 0.7 --
6 Boise State 20.0 1.2 --
7 Georgia Tech 19.1 1.0 --
8 Pittsburgh 17.2 1.6 --
9 Oregon 16.0 1.5 1
10 Ohio State 16.0 1.8 2
11 LSU 15.5 2.1 2
12 Oklahoma State 12.4 2.8 6
13 Stanford 11.0 3.8 13
14 Iowa 11.0 3.7 1
15 Penn State 10.8 3.5 4
16 Virginia Tech 9.1 3.6 4
17 Wisconsin 8.5 3.6 4
18 Clemson 7.0 3.7 6
19 Oregon State 5.5 3.6 6
20 Miami (Florida) 5.4 2.9 6
21 Southern Cal 4.8 3.4 10
22 Brigham Young 4.4 4.3 --
23 Utah 3.9 3.4 7
24 Houston 3.4 3.6 9
25 North Carolina 1.8 2.6 1

Also Receiving Votes: Arizona(1.6), Rutgers(1.4), California(1.0), Nebraska(0.9), Navy(0.7), West Virginia(0.4), Oklahoma(0.3), Temple(0.2), Mississippi(0.2), Boston College(0.2), Central Michigan(0.2), Washington(0.1), Northwestern(0.1), Nevada(0.1), Texas Tech(0.1), Arkansas(0.0), South Florida(0.0),

Total Ballots: 85

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

There is not longer any controversy about whether USC should be higher than Oregon, eh? I'm not sure if the Blogpoll should thank Stanford for making the point so emphatically or curse them for removing what was sure to be a weeks-long abomination. In any case, they make a huge leap from unranked to #13—virtually unprecedented this late in the season—and USC slides all the way to #21.

Elsewhere, Florida's taken a back seat again after another meh performance against questionable competition, sliding from #1 to #3 in the weekly carousel of things that don't matter at the top of the polls. Alabama reasserts their claim to the top spot.

The rest is pretty static.

Justify Your Existence

All three major polls maintain their season-long coronation of Florida, so the Blogpoll is once again different at the very top. From there many differences have been ironed out by events on the field, but there remains one major win for bloggers versus the mainstream guys this week: the poll above manages to slot Iowa, its head to head win, and its vastly superior resume ahead of Penn State, whereas the other major polls have the Nittany Lions two or three spots in front of the Hawkeyes.

Other items:

  • Relative to the coaches, bloggers love Miami and Stanford, both of whom are up four slots…
  • …and they hate Penn State, Wisconsin, and BYU. The former two are down three, the latter down four.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

Our TCU #1 votes spread like weeds, with Dan Shanoff and Tilting at Windmills  being joined by Block U . Block U witnessed a first-hand demolition, so that makes sense. The other two guys still don't provide much, if any, reasoning for their placement. Shanoff does hit on a good point , though:

I'm going to give TCU a lot of credit for thumping Utah -- it's a more quality win than any Texas will have this season (certainly more than any Texas will finish with).

Texas's best win will be against Oklahoma, a team that lost to BYU, who Utah killed.

Other items:

  • Why is Syracuse blog Orange::44 voting Northwestern #17 ? Northwestern lost to Syracuse! If there's any blog on the planet that has seen Northwestern's status as a non top-25 team up close and personal it's Orange::44. That's the only NU vote in the poll.
  • Elsewhere in weird single votes, Maryland blog Around The Harbor  goes for South Florida at #24 . And Mizzourah  must be joking with 3-7 Washington #15 .
  • Every week some guy votes Oklahoma up high for reasons unknown; this time it's Rocky Top Talk  shooting them up to #15 .
  • Bruce Ciskie  has West Virginia #13 , five slots higher than any other voter and that's just one guy in a poll consisting of mostly ballots on which WVU is unranked.
  • Iowa gets votes in every slot from 8 to 25, and Miami is somewhere from 14 to 24 except definitely not 17th. We are in agreement that Miami is not the 17th best team in the country.

 

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Brigham Young 4.3
2 Stanford 3.8
3 Clemson 3.7
4 Iowa 3.7
5 Wisconsin 3.6

BYU is your default victor, as a mid-major in the teens almost always is. Stanford shoots up into the "where do I put these guys?" range, which is better than their previous "not in the poll" range.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team Avg Error
1 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 3.29
2 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 3.00
3 Rocky Top Talk Tennessee 2.93
4 Orange::44 Syracuse 2.89
5 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia 2.76

This isn't a huge number at the top of of the list here and the corresponding ballot isn't too crazy, but it does display a distinct Big Ten bias—OSU up three, Iowa up five, Penn State up four from actual poll positions—and hates on Georgia Tech for some reason. New poll darling Stanford is provided admission only grudgingly, as they check in at #23, and BHGP's season-long LSU hating continues.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1t The Wolverine Blog Michigan 0.91
1t WSU Football Blog Washington State 0.91
3 Card Chronicle Louisville 0.96
4 My Opinion on Sports Oklahoma 1.03
5 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 1.06

The season-long theme here holds: the award for a numb existence is exclusively populated by dull-eyed football zombies looking forward to the season's end, with Michigan and Washington State blogs tying for the win and Louisville, Oklahoma, and Michigan (again) rounding out the list. Let this be an unofficial account of fan misery.

This year is not good for perfect ballots since there's so much disagreement at the top that we haven't gotten past spot two for a while.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team Bias
1 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 5.96
2 Beat Visitor Rutgers 5.62
3 The Nittany Line Penn State 3.20
4 Fantasy College Blitz Oklahoma State 2.62
5 Mountain West Connection TCU 2.05

The CK Award continued its run of mayhem, condemning Utah to a 55-28 defeat by TCU and running its record on the season to 9-2 against the spread and 8-3 straight up.

This week's whammy falls to Iowa, again, as Black Heart, Gold Pants ranks the Hawkeyes 9th. In Iowa's first go-round as the CK Award curse recipient, they narrowly avoided a loss against Arkansas State in a game that ended 24-21. We might see something similar when the Hawkeyes close their season against terrible Minnesota. Iowa is a ten-point favorite.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team Bias
1 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech -4.14
2 Conquest Chronicles Southern Cal -2.84
3 Gobbler Country Virginia Tech -2.14
4 Dan Shanoff Florida -1.73
5 Anton Azucar Miami (Florida) -1.44

Virginia Tech and College Game Balls  continue their run at the top of this category, with the winning ballot placing VT #21. Odd to see Dan Shanoff in here since the Gators should be locked into everyone's top three, but Shanoff is one of our TCU voters and this bumps the Gators down to #4.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team Swing
1 Block U Utah 156
2 Over the Pylon Ball State 150
3 Tilting at WindMills Oklahoma 138
4 Dan Shanoff Florida 136
5 Subway Domer Notre Dame 136

Whee! Block U  is fed up with this crazy world and is turning it upside down. USC: out. Miami (That Miami): out. Arizona: out. Houston and Utah: not quite out but seriously thinking about out. And the award-winning coup de grace: Florida down five from #1 to #6. That extra bit of poll wandering is the winning margin.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team Swing
1t Buffs.tv Colorado 72
1t From Old Virginia Virginia 72
1t mgoblog Michigan 72
1t Big Red Network Nebraska 72
5 Foul Balls Notre Dame 76

A four-way tie at the top and a number as high as 72 means that this category isn't flagging any super-weird ballots, as all these categories are designed to do, and the general snark has been suspended for this category.


Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: November 11, 2009 11:54 am
 

Blogpoll Week 10

 
Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Florida (32) 24.0 0.8 --
2 Alabama (37) 24.0 1.0 1
3 Texas (24) 23.8 0.9 1
4 TCU (1) 21.4 1.0 1
5 Cincinnati 21.3 0.8 1
6 Boise State 20.0 1.4 1
7 Georgia Tech 18.9 1.3 3
8 Pittsburgh 15.8 2.8 5
9 LSU 14.6 3.4 --
10 Oregon 14.2 2.6 2
11 Southern Cal 13.9 2.4 1
12 Ohio State 13.8 2.9 4
13 Iowa 13.5 3.8 7
14 Miami (Florida) 13.3 3.0 1
15 Houston 12.4 3.4 1
16 Utah 10.1 4.7 1
17 Arizona 8.6 3.0 1
18 Oklahoma State 7.8 2.9 1
19 Penn State 7.5 3.4 8
20 Virginia Tech 5.3 3.6 3
21 Wisconsin 4.6 2.8 3
22 Brigham Young 2.9 2.9 3
23 South Florida 2.6 2.7 3
24 Clemson 2.4 2.6 2
25 Oregon State 2.2 2.7 1

Also Receiving Votes: Stanford(2.0), West Virginia(1.2), Auburn(0.7), Texas Tech(0.5), Navy(0.4), Tennessee(0.2), Boston College(0.2), Temple(0.1), Nebraska(0.1), Rutgers(0.1), North Carolina(0.1), Central Michigan(0.1), Arkansas(0.1), Oklahoma(0.1), California(0.1), Troy(0.0), Mississippi(0.0), Northwestern(0.0), Kansas State(0.0), Notre Dame(0.0), Idaho(0.0),

Total Ballots: 94

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

It remains tight at the top, with Florida pulling in the most first place votes but losing out by a tiny margin to Alabama—I know the software says it's a tie, but Alabama has a couple more points than the Gators. Texas drops a slot but is basically in a dead heat with the two SEC powers, and then there's a dropoff.

But all that is window-dressing. The main event:

Justify Your Existence

Unlike the Coaches, Harris, and AP polls, Oregon is in front of a team they housed by 27 two weeks ago and shares the same record they do. Elsewhere, Oregon is as many as six spots behind Trojan royalty. Here, they are in front, albeit by an uncomfortably small margin.

That is all. The Blogpoll wins. I give up: we should use it for the BCS now. Yes, even though some people are clearly insane—as we'll see in the next section—the net has consistently made more sense than any of the other major polls.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

Your wack TCU voter is Tilting at Windmills . No explanation is given.

Other items:

  • Right, USC above Oregon : many, many voters did this. If you are one of them, please review "47-20" kthx. You have not put enough thought into your ballots.
  • On the other hand, Saurian Sagacity drops USC four spots for an ugly win over Arizona State and now has them nine slots behind Ohio State .
  • This one is about as bad as putting USC above Oregon: at least a few voters have Iowa underneath Arizona, a team they beat by two scores and has a shiny loss to Washington on their resume to go with no win as impressive as Penn State. Dan Shanoff , Tilting at Windmills , and Braves & Birds all come in for scolding, especially because not one of them even mentioned Arizona's position relative to the Hawkeyes in this week's ballot.
  • Toledo blog Let's Go Rockets has BYU #12 , six spots higher than any other voter.
  • Navy gets a ton of "thanks for beating Notre Dame " #25 votes.
  • Husker Mike will not be dissuaded from voting for Oklahoma ! They can lose to Baylor and Husker Mike will manage to jam them in at #25! They can go 3-9 and Husker Mike will hack the system so that his ballot goes to 75 teams!

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Utah 4.7
2 Iowa 3.8
3 Virginia Tech 3.6
4 Penn State 3.4
5 Houston 3.4

Oklahoma finally relinquishes the top spot here by virtue of a loss to Nebraska that finally knocks them out of ballots entirely. Utah, #16 without having done much of anything other than lose to Oregon, is a strong replacement. Check out their team profile : they get at least three votes in every slot from 8 to 24 save three.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Tomahawk Nation Florida State 3.65
2 Eagle in Atlanta Boston College 3.19
3 Clone Chronicles Iowa State 2.98
4 Let's Go Rockets Toledo 2.94
5 Braves and Birds Georgia 2.74

Tomahawk Nation is your winner here for some serious ACC bias: GT is #4, Miami (That Miami) #7, Clemson #13, and VT #14. That's three, seven, eleven, and six spots higher than the rest of the poll has them. Boise languishes at #10—which I get if you're putting a lot of emphasis on strength of schedule—and the Big Ten languishes, as does LSU.

Irritatingly, TN appears to have not posted the ballot, let alone attempt to explain the ACC slant to it.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 WSU Football Blog Washington State 0.93
2 Mizzourah Missouri 1.10
3 Beat Visitor Rutgers 1.12
4 Not Qualified to Comment Illinois 1.18
5 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 1.18

Yea, truly, the Mr. Numb Existence award has devolved to the teams that cause so much pain for their fans that all they can do when it comes time to put some teams in a top twenty-five is dully click the "chalk" button before moving on to the next pointless exercise in their meaningless lives. Rutgers is headed for a decent bowl, but other than that it's Worst BCS Team, Biggest Dropoff From Last Year To This Year, Most Disappointing BCS Team, Team That Lost To Most Disappointing BCS Team.

I should probably rename this category WHISKEY.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Block U Utah 7.88
2 FNF Magazine: The Blog South Florida 7.45
3 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 5.52
4 We Will Always Have Tempe Ohio State 5.16
5 Eleven Warriors Ohio State 4.16

This thing has always been sort of creepy, but last week it went from sort of creepy to officially creepy as hell: Notre Dame lost to two-touchdown underdog Navy despite not punting because of redzone turnovers and a last-minute safety on what was attempting to be another game-tying last-ditch drive. The CK Award, picked up by Subway Domer last week, may have ended Charlie Weis's tenure as Notre Dame's head coach.

The CK Award is now 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 straight up. The last two weeks it's killed heavy favorites West Virginia and Notre Dame against lesser competition. Fear the CK.

This week's whammy falls to Utah. This probably the first time in the history of the award—at least the first time since I've been tracking the thing's creepy power—that the winner is a three-score underdog, but it is so: TCU is favored by a whopping 20 points this weekend.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech -4.34
2 NittanyWhiteOut Penn State -3.46
3 The Lions Den Penn State -2.46
4 Gobbler Country Virginia Tech -1.34
5 The Smoking Musket West Virginia -1.20

This award sees a return of its previous tradition: disappointed powers overrating how bad their team is after a crushing loss. Hi, Penn State. It'll be okay.

But your winners here—and your #4 finisher—are Virginia Tech fans, who may be coming off a win but it's a 16-3 win against East Carolina and is nothing to write home about. The lingering stench of giving North Carolina its first ACC victory is enough for College Game Balls to stick the Hokies down at #25, giving them a decent-sized win.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Eagle in Atlanta Boston College 138
2 Corn Nation Nebraska 114
3 Gate 21 Tennessee 112
4 Braves and Birds Georgia 110
5 TheUConnBlog Connecticut 110

When you drop a team that went from 9-0 to 9-1 entirely out of your poll, and eject a couple other teams for no particular reason and totally hammer Penn State and LSU for losing against excellent competition… you win this easily. Eagle In Atlanta's had enough of this Iowa crap : the Hawkeyes plummet from #8 to entirely out of the poll, falling behind Penn State, who Iowa beat and has a better record than.

Surely this is an error, right?

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Anton Azucar Miami (Florida) 50
2 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 52
3 Beat Visitor Rutgers 52
4 The Nittany Line Penn State 54
5 Foul Balls Notre Dame 56

Miami blogger Anton Azucar narrowly edges out the field here thanks to existing skepticism over Oklahoma and Notre Dame (dropping out of the poll from 21 and 23, respectively) and kindness towards Iowa, down only four after losing to Northwestern this weekend.

Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: November 4, 2009 11:39 am
 

Blogpoll Week 9

 
Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Florida (33) 24.1 0.8 1
2 Texas (34) 23.9 1.1 1
3 Alabama (20) 23.6 1.1 2
4 Cincinnati 20.6 1.5 --
5 TCU 20.1 1.8 1
6 Iowa 20.1 1.9 1
7 Boise State 19.8 1.6 --
8 Oregon 18.9 1.5 1
9 LSU 16.8 1.8 1
10 Georgia Tech 16.2 1.3 1
11 Penn State 15.0 1.8 1
12 Southern Cal 12.6 2.0 4
13 Pittsburgh 12.1 2.4 2
14 Houston 11.5 2.8 2
15 Miami (Florida) 10.3 2.9 2
16 Ohio State 9.8 2.4 2
17 Utah 9.0 3.6 2
18 Arizona 7.0 2.9 4
19 Oklahoma State 6.3 3.0 5
20 Notre Dame 4.9 3.1 4
21 California 4.4 2.7 5
22 Oklahoma 4.3 4.0 1
23 Virginia Tech 3.7 3.3 10
24 Wisconsin 3.6 2.6 2
25 Brigham Young 1.8 2.5 1

Also Receiving Votes: South Florida(1.7), Clemson(0.6), Texas Tech(0.4), West Virginia(0.3), Auburn(0.2), Oregon State(0.2), Rutgers(0.2), Mississippi(0.1), Tennessee(0.1), Troy(0.1), Duke(0.1), Temple(0.1), Boston College(0.1), Central Michigan(0.1), Idaho(0.0), Arkansas(0.0), Nebraska(0.0), North Carolina(0.0), South Carolina(0.0),

Total Ballots: 87

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

Bad week to have a bye for Alabama. The Tide sat idle as it watched its two main competitors for #1 pound opponents and dropped behind both of them. Seeing their marquee nonconference win get pounded and fall out of the ACC title race once and for all didn't help, either.

As a result: there is a new #1. It is the old #1, Florida, but now Texas actually has more first-place votes. The margins are so small here that the poll could see more shifts as the season steams towards a conclusion, assuming the top three keep winning.

Elsewhere, Oregon is still locked into the spot directly behind Boise State because of their opening-weekend loss; I wonder if there's anything Oregon can do the rest of the season that would see them leap the Broncos. Stanford, Arizona State, Arizona, and Oregon State are all at least decent, and Arizona is enjoying a top-20 ranking at the moment. Boise will finish out against WAC opponents. At what point does strength of schedule overcome a head-to-head loss?

Justify Your Existence

The Blogpoll falls back into the same order at the top that the other polls have with the Alabama decline, which is unfortunate for hey-we're-cool purposes but the right move given the events of the weekend. And things are beginning to calcify as other polls take "the season that his happening" into account, reducing the variance between the bloggers and others. Major differences this week between the Coaches' and bloggers:

  • Cinci is #4 here, #7 there, behind Iowa, Boise, and TCU.
  • Ohio State is #16 here, #12 there.

There are a bunch of other one and two slot disagreements; we're down to just two major outliers.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

No weird #1s so just bullets:

  • Weird votes late in the ballot: Husker Mike goes for Arkansas , a 4-4 team that's 1-4 in the SEC, #22. Tar Heel Mania is the only voter going for CMU after their solid loss to BC, and he's got them #20. And I think this is a first in blogpoll history: a trio of non-ironic votes for Duke. Which Duke may well deserve.
  • The single most hateful vote in the poll is Black Heart, Gold Pants dropping LSU down to #19, which is seven spots worse than any other voter ranked the Tigers. That seems mighty hypocritical given Iowa's status as another team with a pretty record that's lived on the edge this fall and their spot—third—on the BHGP ballot. Show us on the doll, BHGP.
  • The single most insane Cupid moment in the poll is The Daily Gopher's continued romance with Ole Miss . The Rebels are now 2-3 in the SEC after a 13-point loss to Auburn and their best nonconference win is UAB. Two voters slide them in #25; TDG still has them #15. They drop only two slots after their latest uncompetitive loss.
  • Penn State has folk ranking them #5 or #6 and then as low as #18 .
  • Northern Illinois blog Red and Black Attack has a bit of a mid-major fetish : TCU #2 and Boise shoots up to #3 after Oregon's win. This displaces Florida and Alabama, which find themselves lower on this ballot than any other in the poll. Texas is #1.
  • No, I don't get why Oklahoma is high up on a bunch of ballots . 5-3 with best win Kansas, loss against BYU looking uglier every week, okay you kept it close against some good teams… this is not a top 15 team right now except for the name recognition.

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at #25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Eastern Michigan) would all be at the top.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Oklahoma 4.0
2 Utah 3.6
3 Virginia Tech 3.3
4 Notre Dame 3.1
5 Oklahoma State 3.0

Oklahoma is officially this year's most confusing team, as they've been at or near the top of this category ever since Sam Branford's shoulder exploded.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 3.25
2 Husker Mike's Blasphemy Nebraska 3.04
3 The Daily Gopher Minnesota 2.64
4 And The Valley Shook! LSU 2.58
5 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia 2.55

BHGP wrests this award back from Husker Mike in the race to become king of weird late-season ballots. Reasons why include :

  • Super Big Ten hurray forever . Three Big Ten teams are wildly overrated relative to the rest of the poll: #3 Iowa, #6 Penn State, and #16 Wisconsin.
  • Les Miles did something horrible to me . LSU is #19.
  • I hate fun, and Houston . Georgia Tech is #14. Houston languishes at #20.

It's not a super-weird ballot. I've seen more bizarre ones.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Around the Harbor Maryland 0.81
2 Not Qualified to Comment Illinois 0.88
3 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 0.94
4 Double Extra Point Nebraska 1.08
5 The Lions Den Penn State 1.17

A Washington State blog numbly punched in a chalk ballot last week and returned to his doctor-recommended diet of whiskey and gravel; this week it's Around the Harbor , a Maryland blog, executing the same trudge towards oblivion/the end of the season. Note that the next three blogs here are not exactly enjoying stellar seasons.

The perfect ballot quest is still a long way off with all this chaos at the top: Around The Harbor doesn't get past #2 Alabama before he's got a disagreement with the poll at large.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 Subway Domer Notre Dame 5.06
2 Block U Utah 3.98
3 The Lions Den Penn State 2.97
4 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 2.92
5 Mountain West Connection TCU 2.90

The CK Award claimed another victim, as two-time-consecutive winner West Virginia could not escape the whammy this week, falling in a weird Friday night game against USF despite being favored. The CK Award is now 7-2 against the spread this year and 6-3 straight up, with one of those losses being Arkansas State at Iowa. It is uncanny.

With the West Virginia folk dropping out of the way, Subway Domer ascends to the top of the list after weeks of hanging around in second or third as he watched the Irish come down to the final play against anyone better than Washington State. It's too bad the now extremely interesting game at Pitt is next week; this week Notre Dame has traditional rival-type-substance Navy. Notre Dame is favored by 11.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 CollegeGameBalls Virginia Tech -3.75
2 California Golden Blogs California -1.37
3 Dan Shanoff Florida -1.14
4 And The Valley Shook! LSU -0.77
5 Roll Bama Roll Alabama -0.60

Finally we see the return of this category's long-running theme: my team lost and disappointed me so I will show them by ranking them lower than everyone else. This week's winner and the only guy to get above a slot or two is College Game Balls , which reacts to the end of Virginia Tech's ACC run by totally omitting the Hokies from his poll.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Roll Bama Roll Alabama 120
2 Over the Pylon Ball State 118
3 Corn Nation Nebraska 106
4 Husker Mike's Blasphemy Nebraska 106
5 The Joe Cribbs Car Wash Auburn 102

Chaos is getting significantly reduced, with Alabama blog Roll Bama Roll taking this with a relatively low number. There's a significant amount of movement on the ballot, with a bad bet on CMU (previously #16) and excessive faith in Oklahoma State and VaTech, coupled with strong reactions to those folk losing, are the difference.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1t Rocky Top Talk Tennessee 50
1t mgoblog Michigan 50
3 One Bronco Nation Under God Boise State 52
4 Clone Chronicles Iowa State 52
5 The Nittany Line Penn State 56

A tie at the top featuring Rocky Top Talk and MGoBlog , my home site. This is the second time Tim has won the Mr. Stubborn award this year. I will have a talk with him that he will not listen to, evidently. Reasons for victory here are mostly leaving Oklahoma State and VT rather high (they drop only two and four slots, respectively), which is enough for the slight edge that got him the award. Very strange to see a ballot on which 80% of the teams move winning here.

As far as RTT goes, it's similar: Oklahoma State and VT drop only six spots btween them and everyone else moves around a little bit but not much. WVU doesn't even slide out of the poll, sticking in at #21.


Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
Posted on: October 28, 2009 11:49 am
 

Blogpoll Week 8

 
Rank Team PPB StdDev Delta
1 Alabama (46) 24.2 0.9 --
2 Florida (24) 23.9 0.9 --
3 Texas (17) 23.4 1.2 --
4 Cincinnati 20.4 1.9 --
5 Iowa (2) 20.3 2.1 --
6 TCU (2) 19.8 2.1 2
7 Boise State 19.2 2.0 --
8 Southern Cal 19.1 2.1 2
9 Oregon 16.2 1.8 2
10 LSU 16.2 2.1 --
11 Georgia Tech 15.6 1.6 1
12 Penn State 13.7 2.2 1
13 Virginia Tech 12.2 2.1 1
14 Oklahoma State 12.2 2.4 1
15 Pittsburgh 9.7 2.7 3
16 Houston 9.5 3.2 1
17 Miami (Florida) 8.7 2.9 8
18 Ohio State 7.3 2.9 2
19 Utah 6.3 3.4 --
20 West Virginia 5.8 2.7 2
21 South Carolina 4.6 2.7 2
22 Arizona 4.3 2.8 4
23 Oklahoma 2.8 3.5 3
24 Notre Dame 2.6 3.0 2
25 Mississippi 2.1 2.9 1

Also Receiving Votes: Central Michigan(1.7), California(1.1), Brigham Young(0.7), Wisconsin(0.5), Clemson(0.2), Kansas(0.2), Navy(0.1), Arkansas(0.1), Texas Tech(0.1), Oregon State(0.1), Georgia(0.0), Central Florida(0.0), Troy(0.0), South Florida(0.0), Rutgers(0.0), Connecticut(0.0),

Total Ballots: 91

Votes by blog here , votes by team here .

Iffy performances by both SEC powerhouses, with Alabama's being considerably iffier, see first-place votes shift away from the formerly dominant Tide to Florida, Texas, Iowa, and even TCU. Alabama still maintains its grip on #1, and there's no danger of anyone in the top three falling out without a loss: after Texas's 23.4 points per ballot the next team in the poll, Cincinnati, is a full three points back.

Elsewhere it's fairly boring, with Miami taking a tumble for its loss to Clemson and the back end of the poll getting wiped out and replaced with poll debutant Arizona and a few other teams who've hopped in and out this season.

Justify Your Existence

The AP poll's one-week dalliance with Alabama #1 came to an end, leaving the Blogpoll the only poll in all the land with Alabama #1. The other striking feature of the blogpoll is its wish to hurt USC. USC is #8 here and  #4 in the AP/Coaches poll. If Texas eats it and Cincinnati or Iowa  go undefeated this poll may have a different opinion of who should play for the national title than the actual polls do.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

Now that the #1 votes are spreading out from their status last week (overwhelmingly Alabama with some Florida stragglers and one or two folks going for Texas), let's focus on the arguments for the outlying #1 votes. Two voters went for TCU. Irritatingly, Dan Shanoff provides no explanation other than "TCU!" and Tilting at Windmills doesn't even go that far. Lame.

The lack of explanation is probably because there just isn't one unless the only football game you saw this year is TCU-BYU. TCU's beaten Virginia solidly and Clemson narrowly, escaped from Air Force by three, and then clobbered BYU, which I'll remind you is something that Florida State has done this year. This is a nice resume, definitely a top 15 team. It doesn't come close to beating out those of Florida, Alabama, Iowa, and even Texas.

Two others went for Iowa, citing the Hawkeye's excellent strength of schedule thanks to its fortune with Arizona and sudden bowl-threat Iowa State. Dawg Sports :

The Iowa Hawkeyes earned the top spot on my ballot, in spite of their narrow escapes against Arkansas State and Division I-AA Northern Iowa, because their six triumphs over teams at or above .500 include solid victories over the 17th-ranked Penn St. Nittany Lions and the 21st-ranked Arizona Wildcats , as well as wins of moderate quality against the likes of the Wisconsin Badgers and the now slightly less wholly unworthy Iowa St. Cyclones .

Dr. Saturday … well, Dr. Saturday does not have his poll post up right now. But I'm sure when he does it will have similar justifications based on strength of schedule that will get weaker as the season progresses. Iowa's got three home games against Big Ten dregs (Indiana, Northwestern, and Minnesota) coming up with one trip to Columbus standing between them and (probably) a national title shot.

A few other oddities:

  • Dan Shanoff shot Florida down to #4 and Alabama down to #5 after the weekend's events, which seems kind of silly when the beneficiaries are Cincinnati and TCU.
  • Hail to the Orange (an Illinois blog, not a Syracuse one) left Miami #8 despite their loss to Clemson.
  • Not one but two voters have Oklahoma #9. One of them will win Mr. Bold below. The other is Buckeye Commentary .

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at #25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Eastern Michigan) would all be at the top.

Most Disagreement

# Team StdDev
1 Oklahoma 3.5
2 Utah 3.3
3 Houston 3.2
4 Mississippi 2.9
5 Miami (Florida) 2.9

Oklahoma, which we'll get to in a moment, is a winner here. Weird year when this isn't dominated by the questionable undeafated mid-major. This year the questionable undefeated mid-major is in the top ten.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 Husker Mike's Blasphemy Nebraska 3.90
2 Buckeye Commentary Ohio State 3.36
3 Black Heart Gold Pants Iowa 3.19
4 The Joe Cribbs Car Wash Auburn 2.85
5 Frank Helps You Tulane 2.68

Husker Mike's Blasphemy comes in solidly on top of this category for some extreme Big 12 love and Big 10 hatred: Oklahoma and Oklahoma State, respectively #23 and #14 above, come in at #9 and #10 on his ballot. Iowa doesn't show until #14. Unranked Arkansas also finds its way to  #16, in front of Penn State. Mike is the only voter going for Arkansas at all. Other oddities dot the ballot but those are the most extreme. Oklahoma! #9!

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team   Avg Error
1 WSU Football Blog Washington State 0.91
2 Yet Another N.C. State Sports Blog North Carolina State 0.94
3 Michigan Sports Center Michigan 0.95
4 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois 0.97
5 The Only Colors Michigan State 1.06

This is what I like to see in when it comes to Mr. Numb Existence: Washington State at the top, followed by NC State and Michigan. It doesn't feel right when the chalk is getting submitted by teams that aren't trudging through a miserable gray season. We're still nowhere near the hypothetical perfect ballot; WSU Football Blog doesn't even get past #1 before a change (Florida is its choice for the top spot). Margins are dipping as more information comes in, though.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award , which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The Coulter/Kos Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 The Smoking Musket West Virginia 6.19
2 Subway Domer Notre Dame 5.49
3 WVU Pressbox West Virginia 5.19
4 Conquest Chronicles Southern Cal 3.91
5 Men of the Scarlet and Gray Ohio State 3.69

A late blip-gone run from Noel Devine saved West Virginia's bacon against UConn and prevented the CK Award from winning straight up, but a four point win for WVU does beat the spread and sends the award to 6-2 on the year there. (It's 5-3 straight up, with one of those losses being the Arkansas State-Iowa game.) Also, remember earlier in the season when three Nebraska voters had huge 8-11 point margins for two consecutive weeks? And remember how the award was thwarted by a furious fourth-quarter comeback in a monsoon against Missouri?

Yeah.

Sat, Oct 17 -- Texas Tech -- 10 - 31 (L)
Sat, Oct 24 --Iowa State -- 7 - 9 (L)

That latter game featured eight (eight!) turnovers. The CK Award took a bye week of its own, then rained down the thunder on Nebraska for its two weeks of insolence. As always, the lesson is don't vote your team too high in a poll because malevolent entities from opposite ends of the political spectrum will rip your team from limb to limb.

This week's winner is again West Virginia, though this time the victorious blog is The Smoking Musket . Chagrined, WVU Pressbox has slightly scaled back its enthusiasm. West Virginia gets… bler. South Florida. Remarkably, West Virginia is only a three-point favorite, so it will be tough to win with the points without winning straight up. How is this possible when USF's been humiliated by Pitt and Cincinnati its last two trips out? Grumble.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team   Bias
1 My Opinion on Sports Oklahoma -2.83
2 Dan Shanoff Florida -1.89
3 Tilting at WindMills Oklahoma -1.83
4 SportsFrog Central Michigan -1.73
5 Foul Balls Notre Dame -1.51

Thin gruel here as no team in the midst of a top-ten season has lost ignominiously in a while. I mean, when you get a Central Michigan voter in the top five you know it's a lean year for seasoon-changing upsets. MOOS wins for taking the completely reasonable step of omitting Oklahoma from its poll.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic-Depressive

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Oread Boom Kings Kansas 298
2 Braves and Birds Georgia 128
3 Tilting at WindMills Oklahoma 110
4 Clone Chronicles Iowa State 108
5 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia 106

Um. Please pay no attention to the spectacular number put up by Oread Boom Kings , as there was a glitch in the system last week that saw their ballot only register a top nine . I've never seen that before. I'll investigate.

Your real winner is Georgia blog Braves and Birds, which wasn't going to take the SEC teams' poor performance lying down. Texas gets bumped to #1. And only two teams—#11 Boise State and #23 South Carolina—remain static. Miami, VT, Texas Tech, Arkansas, and BYU all plummet. LSU, Pitt, Penn State, and a host of teams that slide up three or four slots are the main beneficiaries. This ballot is a classic example of late-season high swing events: you bet on a bunch of teams that run out and get crushed, and next week you hurl them out for their impertinence.

Mr. Stubborn

# Blog Team   Swing
1 Rocky Top Talk Tennessee 16
2 Husker Mike's Blasphemy Nebraska 34
3 Gate 21 Tennessee 38
4 My Opinion on Sports Oklahoma 44
5 Football Outsiders Syracuse 44

Also pay no attention to Rocky Top Talk at the top of this list; that was another glitch. It's been that kind of week. Your real winner is Husker Mike's Blasphemy, which we've already talked about. The blasphemy.

Category: NCAAF
Tags: blogpoll
 
 
 
 
 
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