Category:NCAAB
Posted on: December 13, 2010 6:44 pm
 

Math Rankings 2

Here's week 2 of my BCS-like Mathematical rankings, taking into account coach votes, ap votes, and RPI

1 Duke (10-0) - 0.9585
2 Ohio State (8-0) - 0.926581
3 Kansas (9-0) - 0.914159
4 Tennessee (7-0) - 0.882139
5 Connecticut (8-0) - 0.870811
6 Syracuse (10-0) - 0.85065
7 Kansas St. (8-1) - 0.834377
8 Pittsburgh (10-1) - 0.783128
9 Baylor (6-0) - 0.733096
10 Georgetown (9-1) - 0.716957
11 San Diego St. (9-0) - 0.712562
12 Villanova (8-1) - 0.697193
13 Missouri (8-1) - 0.668597
14 Kentucky (7-2) - 0.667117
15 Illinois (10-1) - 0.66176
16 BYU (10-1) - 0.653256
17 Michigan St. (6-3) - 0.619488
18 Louisville (8-0) - 0.568746
19 Memphis (7-1) - 0.56578
20 Purdue (9-1) - 0.56244
21 Minnesota (9-1) - 0.527737
22 UNLV (9-1) - 0.514258
23 Florida (7-2) - 0.475106
24 Notre Dame (9-1) - 0.469818
25 West Virginia (7-2) - 0.449225

26 Vanderbilt (7-2) - 0.441335
27 Old Dominion (8-2) - 0.439893
28 Boston College (8-2) - 0.439839
29 North Carolina (7-3) - 0.437979
30 UCF (7-0) - 0.437749
31 Texas (7-2) - 0.437522
32 Temple (7-2) - 0.436863
33 Cleveland St. (10-0) - 0.434543
34 Texas A&M (8-1) - 0.421849
35 Wisconsin (8-2) - 0.417645
36 Washington (6-3) - 0.411365
37 Richmond (8-2) - 0.408655
38 Wichita St. (5-2) - 0.399297
39 Arizona (8-2) - 0.392544
40 St. Mary's (5-2) - 0.383763
41 Cincinnati (8-0) - 0.376904
42 Northwestern (5-0) - 0.3703
43 New Mexico (6-1) - 0.367572
44 Washington St. (7-1) - 0.35731

***Remember that the records might not be completely accurate. I'm not counting games againt D2 or D3 schools into the records because the RPI does not.
Category: NCAAB
Tags: NCAAB
 
Posted on: December 12, 2010 6:19 pm
Edited on: December 13, 2010 6:34 pm
 

Rankings 2 - December 13

Hey folks, week 2 of my college basketball rankings. Enjoy

1 Duke 10-0 --
2 Ohio State 8-0 +1
3 Kansas 9-0 +1
4 Connecticut 8-0 +1
5 Syracuse 10-0 +2
6 Tennessee 7-0 +3
7 Pittsburgh 10-1 -5
8 Kansas State 9-1 -2
9 Missouri 8-1 +1
10 San Diego State 10-0 +5
11 Brigham Young 10-0 +8
12 Georgetown 9-1 -4
13 Baylor 6-0 -2
14 Minnesota 9-1 -1
15 Illinois 10-1 +3
16 Memphis 7-1 -2
17 Villanova 8-1 -1
18 Kentucky 7-2 -1
19 Purdue 9-1 +4
20 Michigan State 7-3 -8
21 Louisville +4
22 UNLV 9-1 -2
23 Notre Dame 9-1 -2
24 Florida 7-2 NR
25 Texas 7-2 -2


First Team Out
26 Texas A&M 8-1
27 Temple 7-2

Dropped
Washington 6-3

Closing In?   (in no particular order)
Wisconsin 8-2
Cleveland St. 12-0
Vanderbilt 7-2
North Carolina 7-3
UCF 8-0

Biggest Movers
Up:
Brigham Young +8
Down: Michigan State -8

Notes
- Syracuse in my eyes proved that they are for real this week.
- Tennessee, although having played only 7 games, have some quality wins already
- Illinois might be a little too low in this poll, but i'm not sure how to judge teams like Villanova and Memphis and Baylor yet.
- Michigan State is looking like they will freefall out of the top 25 in a few weeks
- Louisville looks impressive. Watch out for these guys.
- Once again I don't know where to put Minnesota considering they keep winning.
- This is the week where I tried to start moving unbeatens together, hence why BYU and SD State were big movers.





Category: NCAAB
Tags: NCAA, Rankings
 
Posted on: December 6, 2010 6:56 pm
 

NCAAB Mathematical Rankings 1 (Week 5)

Hey folks. Here's how these Mathematical Rankings are going to work this season. For no other reason than my interest in mathematically figuring out the best team in the nation, I have decided to compile only numerical data do come up with these Monday rankings. The formula is as follows:

AP+CO+RPI = x
where x is the numerical ranking value
     AP: AP Votes (25%)
     CO: Coach Votes (25%)
     RPI: RPI (50%)
In each category, the highest number gets 1, and each other value gets divided by that high value, then weighted.

We'll use Duke as an example from this week.

Duke (8-0) AP Votes: 1625  Coach Votes: 775  RPI: .7174

1625/1625 = 1
1*0.25 = 0.25

775/775 = 1
1*0.25 = 0.25

0.7174/0.749(TENN) = .95781
0.95781*0.5 = 0.478905

0.25+0.25+0.478905 = .978905, which is Duke's final ranking number and happens to be first place overall.

Rankings are formatted as follows: # Team Name (Rec) - #ranking value

THE ONLY TEAMS INCLUDED ARE TEAMS WHICH RECEIVE VOTES IN AP OR COACH POLLS!!! This means that there could be teams that fir mathematically in to the rankings above some teams who receive votes, but for my own purposes it is easier if I only include teams which receive votes in the polls.

Hope these aren't too complex for most of you, and are an interesting addition to the AP and Coach's Polls. I'll talk about each in my weekly rankings analysis post. Enjoy!

1 Duke (8-0) - 0.978905
2 Ohio St (6-0) - 0.954016
3 Pittsburgh (9-0) - 0.926112
4 Kansas (7-0) - 0.904704
5 Connecticut (7-0) - 0.865151
6 Kansas State (7-1) - 0.84182
7 Georgetown (8-0) - 0.824546
8 Syracuse (8-0) - 0.821732
9 Tennessee (6-0) - 0.760904
10 Michigan State (6-2) - 0.758624
11 Baylor (6-0) - 0.71381
12 San Diego State (8-0) - 0.678729
13 Missouri (6-1) - 0.66263
14 Villanova (6-1) - 0.655847
15 Memphis (7-0) - 0.63195
16 Kentucky (5-2) - 0.624034
17 Illinois (8-1) - 0.620416
18 UNLV (8-0) - 0.593503
19 BYU (8-0) - 0.5648
20 Purdue (7-1) - 0.537593
21 Minnesota (7-1) - 0.532932
22 Notre Dame (8-0) - 0.502494
23 Florida (6-2) - 0.488084
24 Washington (5-2) - 0.475812
25 Texas (6-1) - 0.468572

26 Louisville (6-0) - 0.458754
27 West Virginia (5-2) - 0.452034
28 UCF (7-0) - 0.451926
29 Cleveland St. (10-0) - 0.445986
30 Vanderbilt (7-1) - 0.443691
31 North Carolina (5-3) - 0.436899
32 St. Mary's (6-2) - 0.419594
33 Wisconsin (6-2) - 0.409412
34 Temple (5-2) - 0.40272
35 Wichita St. (5-2) - 0.398503
36 Texas A&M (6-1) - 0.390848
37 Arizona (7-1) - 0.38899
38 New Mexico (5-1) - 0.386036
39 Richmond (6-2) - 0.38488
40 Virginia Tech (4-3) - 0.376624
41 Cincinnati (7-0) - 0.376491
42 Northwestern (5-0) - 0.375121
43 Washington State (5-1) - 0.360002
44 Gonzaga (4-3) - 0.348992

If you for some reason would like an extended breakdown for a particular team let me know, or you could do the math yourself. Either way it would work. Enjoy!

Posted on: December 5, 2010 2:33 pm
Edited on: December 6, 2010 12:57 pm
 

Rankings 1 - December 6

Well folks, I told you they would come and here they are. Sundays will be my heartfelt 'this is how I see it' rankings while I have developed a mathematical ranking system which I will explain and leave for Mondays this year. Hope you enjoy.

1 Duke 8-0
2 Pittsburgh 9-0
3 Ohio State 6-0
4 Kansas 7-0
5 Connecticut 7-0
6 Kansas State 7-1
7 Syracuse 8-0
8 Georgetown 8-0
9 Tennessee 6-0
10 Missouri 6-1
11 Baylor 6-0
12 Michigan State 6-2
13 Minnesota 7-1
14 Memphis 7-0
15 San Diego St. 8-0
16 Villanova 6-1
17 Kentucky 5-2
18 Illinois 8-1
19 BYU 8-0
20 UNLV 8-0
21 Notre Dame 8-0
22 Purdue 7-1
23 Texas 6-2
24 Washington 5-2
25 Louisville 6-0

Notes:
- Yes, UNC's win against Kentucky was a big win, but I'm going to need to see another quality win before I put them in my rankings. 
- Vanderbilt is my 26th team for the week. Just missed.
- I don't necessarily think that Syracuse has won by enough in their games to justify a top 10 ranking, but the upside is there so I'm going to leave them at 7 for the time being. Could easily be down in the 15's but they just keep winning. We'll see how they do against Michigan State at the Garden on Tuesday.
- Butler put up more of a fight than I expected them to against Duke, but Duke is far and away the best team in the nation and I don't forsee them losing anytime soon.
- I am still very unimpressed with Baylor.
- Washington is still a quality team no matter how low they drop in the rankings. Losing to KTY and MST and blowing out other opponents by averaging 93.7 PPG.
- Anyone who thinks about giving Gonzaga a vote is a fool. 4-3 with an RPI ranked 143? I don't think so.

Best 2 conferences this year in no particular order are clearly the Big East and the Big Ten (12) this year. I don't want to hear the arguments for other conferences because they just aren't good enough. Sorry.





Posted on: November 11, 2010 10:31 pm
 

2010-2011 Season is Underway

Welcome back to me, after almost a year hiatus I am back. Done school now, so the good news is that I'll have a lot of time to spend on college basketball this season. The only bad news is that I need some time to get my rankings sheets in order, so look for a nice week 1 ranking this Monday.

Until then, i bid you adieu.
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:06 pm
 

NCAAB Rankings 5 - Sunday, December 27, 2009

1. Kansas 11-0
2. Kentucky 13-0
3. Syracuse 12-0
4. Texas 11-0
5. Purdue 11-0
6. West Virginia 10-0
7. Villanova 11-1
8. Duke 9-1
9. Connecticut 9-2
10. Georgetown 9-1
11. Kansas State 11-1
12. Tennessee 9-2
13. North Carolina 9-3
14. Michigan State 9-3
15. Clemson 11-2
16. Ohio State 10-2
17. New Mexico 11-1
18. Texas Tech 10-1
19. Florida State 11-2
20. UAB 11-1
21. Mississippi 10-2
22. Washington 9-2
23. Temple 9-2
24. Wisconsin 10-2
25. Georgia Tech 9-2

Last 5 Out
26. BYU 12-1
27. Oklahoma State 10-1
28. Texas A&M
29. Gonzaga 8-3
30. UNLV 12-2
Posted on: December 20, 2009 8:23 pm
Edited on: December 22, 2009 11:43 am
 

NCAAB Rankings 4 - Sunday, December 20, 2009

Numbers in parenthesis are the previous week's ranking in my system.

1. Kansas 10-0 (1) --
2. Syracuse 11-0 (2) --
3. Kentucky 11-0 (3) --
4. Texas 10-0 (4) --
5. Purdue 10-0 (5) --
6. West Virginia 8-0 (6) --
7. Villanova 10-1 (7) --
8. Duke 9-1 (8) --
9. Michigan State 9-2 (13) +4
10. Connecticut 7-2 (15) +5
11. Georgetown 8-1 (11) --
12. Tennessee 8-2 (9) -3
13. Kansas State 10-1 (20) +7
14. New Mexico 11-0 (21) +7
15. Mississippi 10-1 (22) +7
16. UNLV 10-1 (25) +9
17. Florida 8-2 (10) -7
18. North Carolina 8-3 (12) -6
19. Butler 8-3, 1-0 (23) +4
20. Clemson 10-2 (19) -1
21. Ohio State 9-2 (16) -5
22. Texas A&M 9-2 (17) -5
23. Texas Tech 9-1 (18) -5
24. Florida State (NR)
25. Gonzaga 8-3 (14) -11

Last 5 Out:
26. Temple 9-2 (NR)
27. BYU 10-1 (NR)
28. Oklahoma State 9-1 (NR)
29. Georgia Tech 8-2 (24) -5
30. UAB 10-1 (NR)

Posted on: December 15, 2009 1:56 pm
 

Saturday Can't Come Soon Enough!

If you are a fan of college basketball, you'll know that we are entering those few weeks of the season before conference play when the absolute cupcake weeks of the schedule happen. Until Saturday, no ranked team plays another ranked team, making for a boring week of basketball. If you have the patience to wait until Saturday, however, you are in for quite a treat. Here is the listings of quality matchups for Saturday:

#10/10 North Carolina @ #2/2 Texas - 2:00 PM
ESPN

Xavier @ #21/17 Butler - 2:00 PM
ESPN2

#15/15 Gonzaga vs. #7/7 Duke - 4:00 PM
CBS - Game Played in New York City

Portland @ #24/21 Washington - 10:00 PM
all times Eastern.

The only reason I am including the Portland game is that they are one of those teams that you need to prepare well for and watch because if teams just brush them off they will come out to get you. Just look at the Anaheim Tournament, which earned them a spot in the AP Top 25 for one week.

Also, keep watching out for Temple in the future. They've got #1/1 Kansas coming in on Jan. 2, and that should be a pretty good game. They are in the area of 28-30 in both polls, so we could end up with a matchup of ranked teams. The A10 always has some sleepers in it, and by the way Temple beat Villanova and was close to taking down GTown, don't sleep on this team.

Early Saturday Picks:
Texas
over UNC*
Butler over Xavier in a very very close one.
Duke over Gonzaga
Washington over Portland

*I am picking Texas here, but if there is a team that is going to get upset this weekend, I think that this is the game where we will see it.

My Pick Stats:
Overall: 5-4
Conference Games: 0-0
Ranked vs. Ranked: 0-1
Ranked vs. Unranked: 4-1
Unranked vs. Unranked: 1-2



 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com