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Category:NCAAB
Posted on: March 9, 2009 2:01 pm
 

Bubble-icious

I saw an interesting Post regarding some of the bubble teams, specifically Davidson/Arizona/Kentucky - and I'm going to just throw Creighton in there to prove my point. Lets take a look.

Davidson Wildcats 26-7 (18-2)
RPI: 72
SOS: 165
vs. Top 50 RPI: 1-4
Key Wins: West Virginia
Key Losses: Citadel, Coll. of Charleston (2)
Last 10: 6-4

Arizona Wildcats 19-12 (9-9)
RPI: 51
SOS: 33
vs. Top 50 RPI: 5-8
Key Wins: Kansas, Washington, UCLA, Gonzaga
Key Losses: Stanford (Washington State)
Last 10: 6-4

Kentucky Wildcats 19-12 (8-8)
RPI: 82
SOS: 63
vs. Top 50 RPI: 4-6
Key Wins: Tennessee (2), WVU
Key Losses: Georgia, VMI
Last 10: 3-7

Creighton Blue Jays 26-7 (14-4)
RPI: 41
SOS: 106
vs. Top 50 RPI: 3-2
Key Wins: Dayton, Illinois State
Key Losses: Drake, @Wich. State
Last 10: 9-1

 

Alright lets start talking here. If you were only given the option of putting one of these teams in who would it be? Creighton has the best RPI and best record vs. the top 50, While Kentucky's RPI is the worst and Davidson's SOS is abysmal. In the last 10, Creighton is 9-1, so they are coming in hot. I think we can eliminate Kentucky, because there is nothing very impressive about that. Arizona has key wins vs. 4 well-seeded tournament teams, and they have shown that they are going to be able to compete at a high level with their 5-8 top 50 record. You could make a very compelling argument for Creighton here, and since Davidson is 1-4 vs. the top 50, and 24-3 vs. RPI above 100, I think we can eliminate them. I don't see how you can justify the bad losses with just that one win vs. West Virginia. There is no reason that they should have lost the conference tournament, and I don't think they deserve to be in. This leaves Creighton and Arizona. The problem here for Creighton is that I think Arizona is already a good bit ahead of Creighton, and as long as they win a game in their conference tournament they should be the clear favorite out of this group.

Any way you slice it, Arizona looks the best out of these 4 teams, followed by Creighton, Davidson, and Kentucky, in that order. It's very possible too that none of these teams will appear in the tournament.

 

Posted on: March 8, 2009 4:19 pm
 

Big East Conference Tournament Preview

Great weekend of basketball this weekend, from the Duke/UNC matchup to the Syracuse/Marquette game to the Pitt/UConn game all the way down to the Missouri Valley Conference Championship between Illinois State and Northern Iowa. The Big East Tournament is all set, the 16 seeds are locked, so it's time to look at the matchups and see who is going to be able to make a run to the top.

The Tuesday games in the first round should be no brainers, at least I think.

9 Cincinatti vs. 16 Depaul - 12PM - Depaul has not won a conference game this year, don't expect that to change, although Cincy has been slipping all over the place lately

12 Georgetown vs. 13 St. Johns - 2PM - This one should be interesting. St. John's is playing at home, coming off of a win over Georgetown last week, but expect the Hoyas to give the Red Storm enough trouble to win that game.

10 Notre Dame vs. 15 Rutgers - 7PM - Be careful of Notre Dame. If they can shoot the ball over 40 percent they could be very dangerous.

11 Seton Hall vs. 14 South Florida - 9PM - There is no reason why Seton Hall should lose this game. We shall see.

This would put 9 Cincy vs. 8 Providence, 5 Marquette vs. 12 Georgetown, 7 West Virginia vs. 10 Notre Dame, and 6 Syracuse vs. 11 Seton Hall. I like Providence, Marquette, Notre Dame, and Syracuse. (Notre Dame is my upset team for this tournament)

In the third round, we have then 1 Louisville vs. 8 Providence, 4 Villanova vs. 5 Marquette, 2 Pittsburgh vs. 10 Notre Dame, and 3 UConn vs. 6 Syracuse. I have Louisville, Pitt, Nova, and UConn all winning here, but don't be suprised at all if Marquette and Syracuse advance to the semifinals.

In the Semis, Louisville vs. Nova and Pitt vs. UConn. Pitt clearly will beat UConn again and I like Villanova over Louisville. Pittsburgh should win the whole thing somewhat easily, with their toughest test coming vs. UConn in the semis. I say that Marquette could upset Villanova, and this is true, but if Villanova wins that game then I think they could beat Louisville if they play well and play defense.

 

Another thing, if you did not watch the Missouri Valley Conference Championship, you missed one heck of a basketball game. Northern Iowa got off to an early lead in the first half, only to see Illinois State claw its way back into the game through halftime. The entire second half was back and forth trading of leads, and absolute slugfest. The Illinois State run was led by Osiris Eldrich, hitting three circus-type threes in a row to give the Redbirds the lead. Northern Iowa is a higher seed despite Ill. St. having a better overall record. Ill. St. got the last possession of regulation, tied up at 48, and forced up a terrible-looking three which sent the game into overtime. Northern Iowa eventually won it in a shootout-type overtime period - but it goes to show you that when you're playing for a tournament berth the games are just going to get better and better.

 

 

 

Posted on: March 4, 2009 12:23 pm
 

Syracuse vs. Rutgers

So in my previous post, I outlined the fact that Notre Dame, Georgetown, and Syracuse need to get off their slides, Georgetown more than any of those teams, but only one team has proven that they deserve to be in the tournament and that is Syracuse. Granted, the schedule has been a little lackluster, but their three consecutive blowout wins are exactly what the Orange needed to do to solidify a spot in March.

The game last night was particularly impressive for Syracuse, if you erase the fact that the first half actually existed. The Syracuse defense was lackluster, they weren't getting the rotation in the zone that they needed, and Rutgers started the game up 14-6. It looked like the Orange's offense was very still, and their drives to the hoop were getting rejected by the big men. The defense started to clamp down at about the 10:00 mark, allowing only 6 points the rest of the half. Cuse went into halftime down 20-19.

Boeheim must have said something at halftime, because Syracuse came out in the second half and outscored Rutgers 51-20 in the second. Paul Harris had a game high 18 points, with about four really nice slams and moves that would make the highlight reel. Senior Kristof Onganeat really stepped up his game and scored in double digits for the first time in a long time. The crowd has been recently rallying behind him ever since he got ejected from the game against Georgetown. The walk-ons came in at about the 4:00 mark left in the game, and all of the seniors on the team scored.

Rutgers looks so bad right now. They can't play a full 40 minutes, they have no offense, and they barely have a defense. The program isn't looking real good right now.

My favorite moment of the game was when the starters were all on the bench. They took their shoes off, signed them, and then started chucking them into the stands. It was quite dangerous, but the guy in front of me got one of Arinze Onuaku's shoes. It was pretty awesome.

Syracuse 22-8 (10-7) has put themselves into good position to lock up anywhere from a 5-7 seed in the tournament. Georgetown has absolutely no shot after losing to St. John's and Notre Dame has an outside chance of making it in. If the committee puts Notre Dame in the tournament and leaves Providence out, I will probably riot. And if anyone tells me that Georgetown deserves to be even in the discussion come to New York so that I can slap you in the face, please.

 

 

Posted on: February 24, 2009 3:49 pm
 

Spiraling

The conference tournaments are a few weeks away, leaving teams about 4-5 games each left to help or hurt their seedings for the conference tourney. I'll be closely following the Big East tournament, as that I am currently in the heart of Big East country. Oh, and I go to Syracuse. That too.

Speaking of the suprising and absolutely terrifying Big East Conference, three teams stand out to me as the teams who could play their way out of the tournament easier than the rest.

1. Georgetown Hoyas 14-12 (5-10)
          The Hoyas, in my opinion, are already out of the tournament, pending that they don't win the Big East tournament, and I don't see how that could happen. They've gone from 12-3, nationally ranked in the top 10 to an abysmal 5-10 conference record, including a season sweep by the Cincinnati Bearcats. Some nights they come to play, but most nights they don't play the full 40 minutes. The Hoyas are probably the biggest suprise in the Big East this year, and if they get into the tournament it would be nothing short of miraculous.

2. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 15-11 (6-8)
           
The Irish have shown that they are capable of beating good teams, none more impressive than their absolute beatdown of Louisville not so long ago, but their terrible 7-game losing streak, in my opinion has them out of the tournament. The only way I see them getting an at-large bid would be by beating either UConn or Nova, AND making it to at least the semifinals of the Big East Tournament. That's probably a stretch.

3. Syracuse Orange 19-8 (7-7)
          Syracuse is a really interesting case. They played extremely well in their non-conference schedule, and the fact that Memphis and Kansas keep winning is really going to help them on Selection Sunday. In conference play, the Orange have looked as average as their record looks. The team has been mostly healthy, it's just a question of which Syracuse team will show up. Will the team that beat Memphis and Kansas come to play, or is this the team that showed up for the Cleveland State loss take the court. That being said, barring any major mistakes (like losing to Rutgers) I have Syracuse in the tournament. Seed will be interesting.

 

I'm going to be paying attention to the Big Ten tournament, because my good friend (Cyclops007) goes to school there. Unfortunately I will not be able to attend either of those conference tournaments this year.

Posted on: February 20, 2009 10:30 pm
 

The Davidson Curry's

The Davidson Wildcats make me laugh quite a lot. They should be renamed the Davidson Curries, after the only guy on the team who can play on a consistent basis.

It's really quite a shame that one of, if not the best player in college basketball could be playing in the NIT this year. It's a very legitimate concern if you are a Davidson fan. If this team can't pull it together and win some games while Curry is out they'll need a conference championship to make the tournament. They've got 4 games left which means that this game against a fading Butler team will be a must-win if Davidson's NCAA Tournament hopes are to be kept alive...

...or they just win the conference tournament and none of this will ever come up again.

Each conference loss for Davidson is a killer, because the teams in the conference are very weak. SoCon is not what you might call the cream of the crop. Where in the Big East it is very possible that a 10-loss team will make the tournament, if Davidson falls to 22-6 this weekend very loud sirens will be blaring in John Belk Arena. Right now, the team is in the hands of their second leading scorer, Andrew Lovedale, who is scoring a whopping 12.7 points a game behind Curry. As we saw in their last game vs. The Citadel, it just wasn't going to cut it.

Now I think that Davidson will win their conference tournament, and this point will most likely become moot, however Davidson hasn't found themselves in the position of "must win" in their conference tournament to make the big dance in a couple of years. They were a great story last year, reaching the Elite Eight and coming ever so close to a Final Four bid.

Clearly the team is a different team without Curry, and clearly they are much worse. So until the Davidson Curries return to the court, enjoy watching the Davidson Wildcats dash their dreams of dancing.

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: February 20, 2009 4:03 pm
 

Welcome

Welcome to my blog. I had been using another site for a while until I got up to All Star status here.

What I generally do is come out with a top 25 NCAABB every week, and try to give my input on what's going on in sports. I'm in school, so if there aren't posts each day that would be why. As you can see by my favorite teams, I am a Philadelphia everything guy, and I go to school at Syracuse.

Enjoy!

Category: NCAAB
 
 
 
 
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