Category:NCAAB
Posted on: March 13, 2011 9:26 pm
 

Comments on the Real Bracket (Seeds/Brackets)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Now I will critique the seeding and bracketing of the real dance as opposed to mine.

I had all four No. 1 seeds but had Pittsburgh and Duke reversed. I thought it was close between the two and I could have seen it either way.

As for No. 2 seeds, I disagree with Florida. I had Kentucky but I can see it both ways. Kentucky won the SEC Tournament but Florida won the SEC regular season. Then again, Kentucky won two of the three meetings. I had Kentucky a No. 2 and Florida a No. 4 (the reverse of what the NCAA had). Had Florida won, I would have swapped the two teams. It may look weird that one game could be a two seed difference but I was looking at my four No. 4 seeds and I think all four of them have an argument to be a No. 3 seed and I think there wasn't a huge gap between the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds. I had Kentucky and Florida on my bracket this morning as SEC 1 and SEC 2. I thought the SEC champion would be a No. 2 seed but when it came down to it, I thought the four teams on the 3rd line were all more deserving than the SEC runner up.

As for Florida, it is not the first time I think Florida got a gift from the Selection Committee. Last year, Florida was the one team I didn't have in the field and they turned out to be a 10 seed. I actually think Louisville is a better team than Syracuse. Louisville beat Syracuse in the regular season and also beat Pittsburgh as well.

Once again, I think the mid majors get shafted. I had CAA champion Old Dominion as a 6 seed, they had them as a 9 seed. I had Gonzaga as a 9, they had them an 11. The one team I really think has a beef is Utah State. Their RPI was 15. I had them as a 7, the NCAA gave them a 12 seed. Other than the teams I didn't think belonged in the field, however, there was no team I thought was grossly overseeded.

As for the brackets, one problem I have is that Big East teams are scheduled to meet in the third round (for all Big East teams, their second game). In the East Regional, Syracuse (#3) and Marquette (#11) would meet if each win their first game (although Marquette is an underdog to Xavier (#6). In the West Regional, Connecticut (#3) and Cincinnati (#6) also would meet (and both wouild be favored by seed). With 11 teams in the field, it was impossible to make sure no Big East teams met before the regional final but I would think without that your goal should be they wouldn't meet until the Sweet 16. I think that rule should be in place and the NCAA should add it next season. I can think of just swapping Marquette and Georgia in the East (I think Marquette is more worthy of a #10 anyway) and swap Temple and Cincinnati (I think Cincinnati is a better team but then again you are allowed to swap teams one line for bracket reasons).

The matchup by far I have the most interest in the "second" round is Penn State vs. Temple. I have a master's degree from both schools. I am thrilled to see Penn State in the NCAA's for the first time since 2001 (the great Sweet 16 run). Guess who beat Penn State in the Sweet 16 that year? Temple. Of course where is a Temple/Penn State game played? Tucson, Arizona, the farthest location away from Pennsylvania. Go figure. I also went to Illinois for undergrad so I have three alma maters in the field for the first time since I started Temple.

Actually the name other than my three schools that I was most excited to hear? St. Peter's. Not the name itself, but the team name. You see, they are the St. Peter's ... Peacocks! The last time the Peacocks made the field was 1995. I just liked wanting to hear Greg Gumbel say the name "Peacocks". Unless St. Peter's gets good in the next few years, when will be the next time we hear them say "Peacocks"?

Coming in the next few days, Schmolik Bracket Analysis! Stay tuned!

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Big East, Florida
 
Posted on: March 13, 2011 8:52 pm
 

Comments on the Real Bracket (Selection of Teams)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Time for me to compare the NCAA bracket to my last bracket: http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/
entry/13974652/27891567


The Selection Committee differed on four NCAA teams. I had Harvard, Colorado, Alabama, and Missouri State instead of Georgia, USC, VCU, and Clemson. I have records since 1997 and this is the first time the NCAA differed on four teams (the last two seasons we only differed on one). Now you can say I "did worse", but that assumes the NCAA is "right" and I beg to differ. Actually, I like to compare my bracket to the Bracket Matrix (http://bracketproject.50webs.com/ma
trix.htm
) as to what is right. There are only ten members on the Committtee, the Bracket Matrix has 87 brackets.

Another thing I thought about the differences between my bracket and the NCAA's. Of the four teams I put in that the NCAA left out, three were in the First Four. Harvard was the only team that was not in the First Four that the NCAA chose and Harvard was the last team in before the First Four teams. Of the four teams the NCAA put in that I missed, three were in their First Four (the only team was Georgia). Had this been a 64 team field, we would have differed on just one team (and the team I would have missed would have been the last team I put in). My #65 would have been Colorado. I'm not sure who their #65 was. Clearly those next four created the huge gap between our brackets. If you have to choose more teams (or more at large teams), you are likely to get more differences. That's my story and I'm sticking with it. 

I am very big on "head to head" and I have a problem that Alabama beat Georgia twice (this month, including a victory in the SEC Tournament) but Georgia got in over Alabama (and got in as a 10 seed). Alabama finished three full games (although in a weaker division) than Georgia. I can see Alabama not getting in but then you shouldn't put Georgia in either.

I am not a fan of USC getting in. Their RPI, conference RPI, and non conference RPI were all over 60. The Trojans had five Top 50 wins but so did Colorado. Alabama had four Top 50 wins. I consider a bad loss any home loss to a team with an RPI over 100 and any loss to a team with an RPI over 200. USC had FOUR bad losses, they lost to Oregon at home and lost to TCU, Oregon State, and Bradley, all teams with RPI's worse than 200. No team that I considered a bubble team had more than two. Those three horrible losses should have cancelled out USC's good wins.

This was a down year for the ACC. The Big East had 10 teams in the Top 50 RPI. The Big 10 had six and Michigan at 51. The ACC had only Duke and North Carolina in the Top 50. Clemson had no top 50 wins this season. I can understand an Alabama or a Colorado with a high RPI getting in over a Missouri State that has no top 50 wins. But if Clemson and Missouri State  both have no top 50 wins, how is Clemson a better team than Missouri State (or Harvard, who did beat Princeton)? The ACC is no doubt a stronger conference than the MVC but Missouri State won the MVC outright and Clemson was just 9-7 in the regular season.

The last team I did not have was VCU. They finished third in the Colonial Athletic Association and lost six games in the league. They beat Old Dominion during the regular season and George Mason in the CAA semifinals and that probably got them in. I don't think wins over ODU and GMU are what should put you in the NCAA's. VCU also lost five of their last ten games.

I mentioned Missouri State and Harvard and I realized they were longshots.

I really feel bad for Harvard as they lost on the buzzer yesterday vs. Princeton. I was actually worried with Illinois on the bubble that Princeton's win could have cost someone else a bid. It turned out that was not the case. I'm sure most people were cheering for Old Dominion last week in the CAA final afraid that VCU would steal a bid. It turns out the final was irrelevant and VCU actually did steal a bid. 

As for Missouri State, a lot of people feel for Virginia Tech's Seth Greenberg but to be fair it's hard to justify an NCAA bid with an RPI over 60. If you want to feel bad for someone, consider that Missouri State is the first regular season MVC champion to miss the NCAA Tournament since 1993. Five years ago, these same Missouri State Bears were the highest RPI ever to be left out of the NCAA's (21). If you are going to feel for Virginia Tech, you got to feel for Missouri State who continue to fall short of the NCAA's. Virginia Tech last made the NCAA's in 2007. Missouri State? 1999.

One team that quite a few people on another four letter network that I don't think I'm allowed to mention that I do agree with is UAB. Their RPI was 31 and they were the regular season champion of Conference USA. According to the RPI, Conference USA had eight teams in the top 100 RPI so why not reward their champion? I think Memphis's last second win probably put UAB in. Memphis probably had a better profile if you had to compare the two (Memphis swept UAB). Then again, if the Committee put in Georgia head of Alabama, they probably could have put UAB over Memphis too (although there was less of a difference in RPI). Both the NCAA and I did have UAB in the First Four so we both were skeptical about the Blazers.

I'm not happy about the four teams the NCAA put in that I didn't but then again I'm not too thrilled with the First Four teams I had in either. I think the tournament would have been better with 64 teams. I actually think there would be less disagreement had there been only 64 teams instead of 68.

In Part 2, I will discuss seeding and bracketing disagreements.



 


Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 13, 2011 5:07 pm
Edited on: March 13, 2011 6:18 pm
 

Final 2011 Schmolik 64!

Hello, college basketball fans!

It is time to start the road to Houston and this year's Final Four! Before seeing the actual NCAA bracket, here is the 18th annual Schmolik 64 (yes, I've been doing it since they actually had only 64 teams). I am like the Big Ten in my name, I am keeping the "64".

I am not going to reveal the First Four matchups, you will have to wait until the very end to see who the last four teams in the field are. I figure it will add to the drama. I introduce the regions in the pre-Big Ten Tournament order of No. 1 seeds. You'll have to flip through to see who they are!

* Automatic qualifier

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ Fri./Sun. March 25-27)

Cleveland, OH (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 1 Ohio State* (32-2) vs. No. 16 First Four???

No. 8 UNLV (24-8) vs. No. 9 Villanova (21-11)

Denver, CO (Thur./Sat. March 17-19)

No. 5 Arizona (27-7) vs. No. 12 Harvard (21-6)

No. 4 Syracuse (26-7) vs. No. 13 First Four???

Washington, DC (Thur./Sat. March 17-19)

No. 6 Vanderbilt (23-10) vs. No. 11 Richmond* (27-7)

No. 3 Connecticut* (26-9) vs. No. 14 St. Peter's* (20-13)

Charlotte, NC (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 7 Texas A&M (23-8) vs. No. 10 Michigan (19-13)

No. 2 North Carolina (26-7)  vs. No. 15 Boston University* (21-13)


SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX Fri./Sun. March 25-27)

Tulsa, OK (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 1 Kansas* (32-2) vs. No. 16 UNC-Asheville* (16-13)

No. 8 Washington* (23-10) vs. No. 9 Gonzaga* (22-9)

Tucson, AZ (Thur./Sat. March 17-19)

No. 5 West Virginia (20-11) vs. No. 12 Princeton* (24-6)

No. 4 Wisconsin (23-8) vs. No. 13 Indiana State* (19-13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat March 17-19)

No. 6 Old Dominion* (27-6) vs. No. 11 Illinois (19-13)

No. 3 Louisville (25-9) vs. No. 14 Bucknell* (25-8)

Tampa, FL (Thur./Sat. March 17-19)

No. 7 Temple (25-7) vs. No. 10 Marquette (20-14)

No. 2 Kentucky* (25-8) vs. No. 15 Wofford* (21-12)


SOUTHEAST REGIONAL
(New Orleans, LA Thur./Sat. March 24-26)

Charlotte, NC (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 1 Duke* (30-4) vs. No. 16 Hampton* (23-8)

No. 8 George Mason (26-6) vs. No. 9 Missouri (22-10)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat March 17-19)

No. 5 St. John’s (21-11) vs. No. 12 Memphis* (25-9)

No. 4 Florida (26-7) vs. No. 13 Oakland* (24-9)

Denver, CO (Thur./Sat. March 17-19)

No. 6 Kansas State (21-10) vs. No. 11 Michigan State (18-14)

No. 3 BYU (29-4) vs. No. 14 Morehead State* (22-9)

Chicago, IL (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 7 Xavier (24-7) vs. No. 10 Tennessee (19-14)

No. 2 Notre Dame (26-6) vs. No. 15 Akron* (22-12)


WEST REGIONAL
(Anaheim, CA Thur./Sat. March 24-26)

Cleveland, OH (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 1 Pittsburgh (27-5) vs. No. 16 First Four???

No. 8 Butler* (22-9) vs. No. 9 UCLA (22-10)

Chicago, IL (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 5 Georgetown (21-10) vs. No. 12 First Four???

No. 4 Purdue (25-7) vs. No. 13 Belmont* (30-4)

Tulsa, OK (Fri./Sun. March 18-20)

No. 6 Cincinnati (25-8) vs. No. 11 Florida State (21-10)

No. 3 Texas (27-7) vs. No. 14 LIU-Brooklyn* (27-5)

Tucson, AZ (Thur./Sat. March 17-19)

No. 7 Utah State* (29-3) vs. No. 10 Penn State (19-14)

No. 2 San Diego State* (30-2) vs. No. 15 Northern Colorado* (19-10)


First Four Games

All games in Dayton, OH

Automatic Bids

Tue. March 15 6:30pm

East Regional No. 16 : Tex-San Antonio* (16-13) vs. Ark Little Rock* (17-16)

Winner plays Ohio State in Cleveland, OH Fri. March 18

Wed. March 16 6:30pm

West Regional No. 16 - Alabama State* (15-17) vs. UC Santa Barbara* (16-13) 

Winner plays Pittsburgh in Cleveland, OH Fri. March 18

Last Four Teams In

Tue. March 15 9pm

East Regional No. 13: Alabama (21-11) vs. Missouri State (25-8) 

Winner plays Syracuse in Denver, CO Thur. March 17

Wed. March 16 9pm

West Regional No. 12: Colorado (20-13) vs. UAB (22-8)

Winner plays Georgetown in Chicago, IL Fri. March 18

Bubble Burst

Cleveland State, St. Mary's, Georgia, Virginia Commonwealth, Clemson, Boston College, Virginia Tech (sorry Seth!), USC


Final Four Matchups

Ohio State is the No. 1 overall seed. Kansas is the No. 2 overall seed. Duke is the No. 3 overall seed. Pittsburgh is the No. 4 overall seed.

East vs. West

Southwest vs. Southeast

No. 1 seeds:

Ohio State (East)

Kansas (Southwest)

Duke (Southeast)

Pittsburgh (West)

Bids By Conference

Big East: 11

Big Ten: 7

Big 12: 6

SEC: 5

ACC: 3

Pac-10: 3

A-10: 3

MWC: 3

Colonial: 2

Conference USA: 2

Ivy: 2

Missouri Valley: 2

One bid conferences: 19

 

Thanks for reading!

Posted on: March 11, 2011 3:44 pm
Edited on: March 11, 2011 7:30 pm
 

Race for #1 Seeds

Hello, college basketball fans!

Before I begin, I'm starting to wonder about this format where almost every conference tournament has the No. 1 seed playing first on quarterfinal day.

Pittsburgh, Conference USA regular season champion UAB, and Atlantic 10 regular season champion all lost, Ohio State, North Carolina, Kansas, Mountain West regular season champion BYU, and Missouri Valley regular season champion Missouri State survived huge scares. Is it a disadvantage for top seeds to be the first to play in the day? Sure seems like it this season.

This is my personal opinion as to who is in the race for the No. 1 seeds and what has to happen:

Teams that don't need to win their tournament to get a No. 1 seed:

Ohio State - The Buckeyes didn't play like a No. 1 seed today for sure, but their body of work looks like they have done enough now to warrant a place on the top line even with a loss tomorrow. For sure, the Buckeyes will either win the crown or lose to a team that is going to the NCAA's (if Michigan or Illinois beat them, for sure they will make the field and Michigan State or Penn State can only meet Ohio State in the final).

Since there is no Midwest Regional this year, Ohio State is shooting for the East Regional in Newark and should get priority at this point over potential challengers from the ACC (Duke or North Carolina) or the Big East (Notre Dame).

Kansas - I think Kansas could be the most overrated team in college basketball. Consider that the only top level team in the Big 12 Conference is Texas and Kansas couldn't even beat Texas in Lawrence this year. What is Kansas's best conference win, a Kansas State team that lost to Colorado three times or a Texas A&M team that couldn't even beat Baylor?

If Kansas blows it tonight against Colorado, I think they could lose their No. 1 seed and I would probably move Pittsburgh ahead of them. Kansas would probably lose about seven games in the Big East this year.

If Kansas doesn't win the Big 12 Championship (in Kansas City by the way), I would put Notre Dame, the ACC Champion, and even BYU over them (all of them would have to win though). Consider this, the best team that Kansas could lose to is Texas. Texas lost at home to Connecticut, the team that beat Pittsburgh in the Big East.

Teams that control their own destiny for No. 1 seeds:

Notre Dame - They finished second in the Big East (a conference that is projected to send 11 teams into the NCAA Tournament and is unarguably the best and most competitive conference in college basketball), are the highest seed remaining, and have a win at regular season champ Pittsburgh. I think they are a slam dunk No. 1 if they win out (they will have to beat Louisville and either Connecticut or Syracuse to do so).

Duke or North Carolina - I think either team is in line fro a No. 1 seed if they win the ACC Tournament. It will be hard for either to beat out Ohio State for the top seed in the East and if Notre Dame wins the Big East, I think the winner (if it's one of the two) will likely have to go out West.

Teams that can get a No. 1 seed with help:

BYU - I think their home loss to New Mexico hurt their chances for a No. 1 seed. Assuming BYU wins tonight (if they don't win, BYU isn't getting a No. 1 seed anyway), they will have lost a home game to a team that won't even make the NCAA Tournament. No other No. 1 seed candidate has done so. I would even rank Pittsburgh over BYU even if BYU wins the MWC Tournament. I think they would need Notre Dame to lose and an upset winner (not Duke or North Carolina) in the ACC to have a chance. If the Cougars played like they did vs. TCU, they won't have to worry about contending for a No. 1 seed.

Pittsburgh - Pittsburgh clearly deserves a No. 1 seed and if the Selection Committee decides to reward regular season champions over tournament champions (Notre Dame and/or Duke), they may still be able to get a top seed. They most likely can kiss the East Regional No. 1 goodbye though and they have to go out west to be a No. 1 seed.

Longshots:

Purdue, Syracuse, Texas, San Diego State. These teams need a lot of help. Purdue shot themselves in the foot with a loss at Iowa to end the regular season and I don't think any of the others did enough before their tournament to warrant a No. 1 seed even if they win their conference tournament.

Predictions:

East: Ohio State (Most likely overall No. 1 seed)

Southwest: Kansas

Southeast: Duke - Historically Duke has done better in the ACC Tournament (four championships in six years) and today's performance has me thinking Roy Williams is indifferent towards winning the tournament even though it likely will get them a No. 1 seed. Remember that the last two North Carolina teams that won the national championship lost in the ACC semifinals.

West: Pittsburgh - Notre Dame is a great team but the Big East is too competitive and favorites have a tough time at Madison Square Garden (the favorite this year already lost). Also keep in mind the Fighting Irish have never even played in the Big East final let alone won it.

I think Ohio State will be hard to move from the East. No one else wants to go to the Southwest so assuming Kansas is a No. 1 you have to like their chances to be there. I think Notre Dame has priority over either Duke or North Carolina for the race for the Southeast Regional (to avoid going out West).

Posted on: March 11, 2011 7:30 am
 

Who Should Bubble Teams Root Against?

Hello, college basketball fans!

It's the time of year when if you are a bubble team, you not only have to worry about winning your tournament games (assuming you are still in your tournament), you also have to worry about other teams winning or losing around you. So if you want to make the NCAA's, who should you root for today and the rest of the weekend? Here's a guide.

These are the teams I think bubble teams should root against or hope lose:

ACC: Virginia Tech and Clemson

Boston College of course is also a bubble team but Boston College has the better profile outside of the fact that Clemson beat BC at home this year (if BC wins today, their neutral site win will trump Clemson's home win). Boston College also swept Virginia Tech this year. If Clemson loses today, it almost certainly knocks Clemson out but I can't say the same about Boston College.

As for Virginia Tech, the win over Duke is great but I think they would be a long shot if they don't beat Florida State today. If you are a Hokie, the worst case scenario for you would be a loss and a Clemson win. For sure, FSU, Clemson, and BC get in ahead of you. Can the ACC get six teams in? I doubt it.

Now if Clemson and Virginia Tech both lose today, both seem like longshots. If you had to choose one, who would you take? They tied in conference play. Clemson won the head to head but it was at home and Virginia Tech didn't have the chance to play in Blacksburg. On the other hand, Virginia Tech beat Duke but Clemson had to play at Duke. If Clemson had a chance at Duke at home, would they have won? Duke hasn't beaten any NCAA caliber conference teams on the road this year.

Big Ten: Michigan, Michigan State, and Penn State

Similar situation with Illinois and Michigan. Illinois's overall profile is better right now (and they did beat Michigan in their only meeting although it was in Champaign). I think the Illini have a better chance at surviving a loss than Michigan does. Then again, Michigan swept both Michigan State and Penn State and unless one of them pulls an upset today (and possibly another one Saturday), I have a hard time picking either the Spartans or Nittany Lions ahead of the Wolverines.

I think Penn State has the worst chances of making the NCAA's if they lose today (Michigan State probably has a better chance). If you're not from Michigan State and Penn State, you certainly don't want either of them winning.

I think Illinois is safe right now but the total nightmare situation for Illinois would be if they lose to Michigan and Michigan State and Penn State also win today. All of a sudden six Big Ten teams have 10 wins while Illinois has only 9. All six of those teams beat Illinois this year. Is seven Big Ten teams a possibility? As an Illini fan, I don't want to have to find out.

Big 12: Colorado

Colorado may have punched their ticket with a win over Kansas State in Kansas City (their third win over the Wildcats this year). But a win over Colorado and of course the Buffaloes will be dancing. There is no shame losing to Kansas but maybe if Colorado loses by about 30 they could be in trouble.

C-USA: Memphis, UTEP

Both need to make the final to have any chance of dancing. That's still not including UAB, who were stunned in the first round but still won the regular season and will likely have an RPI in the 30's (it was 28 before the game according to CBS Sports). I doubt this league will not have an at large berth as it is hard to pass over UAB.

As for UAB, here's your nightmare scenario. Memphis makes the final and loses and loses to UTEP (essentially a road loss and a reasonable one). If you compare Memphis and UAB straight up, UAB was two games better than Memphis in conference but Memphis swept UAB and would have made it to the final, beating the team that knocked off UAB. Memphis also beat Gonzaga at Spokane (not a true road game but close). If you had to take one team in that scenario, you probably take Memphis. If you are UAB, you probably would rather Memphis win the whole thing to guarantee you will be the best at large candidate in the conference (assuming C-USA gets an at large team at all).

As for UTEP, I thought the only chance they had for getting in as at large would be to lose to UAB in the final (they would win a head to head over Memphis since they beat the Tigers and would have made it farther in the tournament). UTEP certainly can't lose today and if they don't win the tournament at least UAB has to be ahead of them in the pecking order.

Ivy: Princeton

Don't laugh. Harvard would have a slight chance of getting an at large bid. At the very least, how do you like your at large chances if you are either Boston College or Colorado, two teams that lost to Harvard this year? Harvard probably doesn't get in as at large but they certainly can take BC and/or Colorado with them to the NIT. It would be hard to justify either team over Harvard (who has Boston College beaten this year?)

Pac-10: USC

USC has almost no chance to get in if they lose to Arizona but I think they would have a shot if they beat the Wildcats. Of course in that scenario, the Trojans would be in the final, would have already knocked off the top seed, and No. 2 seed UCLA has already lost. They would have a chance to actually win the whole thing and guarantee they will be in.

Of course, you want absolutely no part of Oregon winning it all.

SEC: Alabama?

If you still believe RPI means something, you clearly want Georgia to beat Alabama in the head to head match. Maybe a loss by Georgia would knock them out of bubble consideration but I imagine Alabama would have a harder time getting in with a loss than Georgia would. On the flip side, maybe an Alabama win takes Georgia out but doesn't put Alabama in and neither team makes it if Kentucky wins today and beats Alabama on Saturday.

Tennessee plays Florida and a loss probably doesn't hurt them too much. What probably would hurt them would be if Alabama wins today. Then you have to take the Crimson Tide over the Vols (who are just .500 in the SEC and who lost to Alabama in Knoxville). They also don't want to see Georgia make the final either.

It's a little too early to call, but the SEC probably has the best chance among BCS conferences of a party crasher to win the tournament and steal another at large bid. Last year, Mississippi State went to overtime against Kentucky, who had pretty much had a No. 1 seed locked up (luckily John Calipari played to win and did someone a favor in keeping MSU out last year). In 2008 (the year of the tornado in Atlanta), Georgia stole a bid. Hopefully, Kentucky, Florida, and/or Vanderbilt take care of business because the last thing any bubble team wants is a Mississippi school winning the tournament. Heck, no one outside of Mississippi wants to see either of them win and I'm not sure anyone in Mississippi even cares about basketball.

WAC: Anyone other than Utah State

Some people think Utah State is a shaky at large candidate. Well they are currently 16th in the RPI and have lost only 3 games (two to teams currently in the top 5 of the RPI). I can't believe for a second the Aggies would miss the Dance, if someone else wins the WAC then some other bubble will pop, not Utah State's.

So you now know who to cheer for, bubble teams! Get your popcorn ready and start cheering for the big boys, your Ohio State's, your Duke's and North Carolina's, etc.

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bubble
 
Posted on: March 9, 2011 7:20 am
Edited on: March 9, 2011 6:03 pm
 

Schmolik 64 Update (3/9/11)

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the March 9, 2011 update of the Schmolik 64.

Small tweaks from the Monday update to include the auto bids from the last two days and the first day of the Big East Tournament. Villanova has to be considered a bubble team now after choking last night. Clearly they have reasons to be left out but they still have many quality wins as reasons to be left in.

Also, since Gonzaga is now officially in, one team had to get the boot. The last team I put in Monday was Memphis and one reason was they beat Gonzaga. Well since Gonzaga now is an automatic bid, Memphis loses the head to head edge in bubble competition and is eliminated.

Dates:

Opening Weekend: Thur/Sat March 17-19, Fri/Sun March 18-20

Regionals: Thur/Sat March 24-26, Fri/Sun March 25-27

* Clinched Automatic Bid

Wednesday's games not included in record. 

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ - Fri/Sun)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun)

(1) Ohio State (29-2) vs. (16) First Four: Bethune Cookman / MEAC (16-11) vs. McNeese State / Southland (15-10)

(8) UCLA (22-9) vs. (9) Butler * (22-9)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat)

(5) Texas A&M (22-7) vs. (12) St. Mary's (22-7)

(4) Syracuse (25-6) vs. (13) First Four: Missouri State (25-8) vs. Virginia Tech (19-10)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat)

(6) Temple (24-6) vs. (11) Michigan (18-12)

(3) Louisville (23-8) vs. (14) LIU-Brooklyn / Northeast (26-5)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun)

(7) Connecticut (21-9) vs. (10) Georgia (20-10)

(2) North Carolina (24-6) vs. (15)  St. Peter's* (20-13)



WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim, CA - Thur/Sat)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun)

(1) Notre Dame (25-5) vs. (16) Boston University / America East (20-13)

(8) Missouri (21-9)  vs. (9)  Tennessee (18-13)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat)

(5) Arizona (25-6) vs. (12) Richmond (24-7)

(4) Wisconsin (23-7) vs. (13) Oakland* / Summit (22-9)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun)

(6) Georgetown (21-9) vs. (11) Gonzaga * (23-9)

(3) Texas (25-6) vs. (14) Morehead State* / Ohio Valley (22-9)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat)

(7) Vanderbilt (21-9) vs. (10) Illinois (19-12)

(2) Brigham Young (27-3) vs. (15) Long Beach State / Big West (18-10)

 

SOUTHEAST REGIONAL (New Orleans, LA - Thur/Sat)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun)

(1) Pittsburgh (27-4) vs. (16) First Four: Arkansas-Little Rock* / Sun Belt (16-16) vs. Texas Southern / SWAC (18-11)

(8) UNLV (23-7) vs. (9) Florida State (21-9)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat)

(5) Kansas State (21-9) vs. (12) Washington (20-10)

(4) Kentucky (22-8) vs. (13) Indiana State * / Missouri Valley (19-13)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun)

(6) Cincinnati (24-7) vs. (11) Harvard / Ivy (21-5)

(3) Purdue (25-6) vs. (14) Kent State / MAC (20-10)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun)

(7) Old Dominion * (26-6)  vs. (10) Villanova (21-10)

(2) Duke (27-4) vs. (15) Wofford * / Southern (21-12)

 

SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX -  Fri/Sun)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun)

(1) Kansas (29-2) vs. (16) UNC Asheville * / Big South (16-13)

(8) George Mason (26-6) vs. (9) UAB (22-7)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat)

(5) Xavier (24-6) vs. (12) First Four: Clemson (20-10) vs. Penn State (16-13)

(4) St. John's (20-10) vs. (13) Belmont * / Atlantic Sun (30-4)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat)

(6) West Virginia (20-10) vs. (11) Michigan State (16-13)

(3) Florida (24-6) vs. (14) Bucknell / Patriot (24-8)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat)

(7) Utah State (27-3) vs. (10) Boston College (19-11)

(2) San Diego State (27-2) vs. (15) Northern Colorado / Big Sky (17-10)

 
By Seed (East/Southeast/Southwest/West)

1. Ohio State, Pittsburgh. Kansas, Notre Dame
2. North Carolina, Duke, San Diego State, BYU
3. Louisville, Purdue, Florida, Texas
4. Syracuse, Kentucky, St. John's, Wisconsin
5. Texas A&M, Kansas State, Xavier, Arizona
6. Temple, Cincinnati, West Virginia, Georgetown
7. Connecticut, Old Dominion*, Utah State, Vanderbilt
8. UCLA, UNLV, George Mason, Missouri
9. Butler*, Florida State, UAB, Tennessee
10. Georgia, Villanova, Boston College, Illinois
11. Michigan, Harvard, Michigan State, Gonzaga*
12. St. Mary's, Washington, Clemson/Penn State, Richmond
13. Missouri State/Virgina Tech, Indiana State*, Belmont*, Oakland*
14. LIU-Brooklyn, Kent State, Bucknell, Morehead State*
15. St. Peter's*, Wofford*, Northern Colorado, Long Beach State
16. Bethune Cookman/McNeese State, Ark Little Rock*/Texas Southern, UNC Asheville*, Boston University

RPI Numbers according to CBS Sports RPI

Lowest RPI at large berth: Virginia Tech (65)

Lowest RPI at large berth, non First Four: Michigan (56)

Highest RPI not selected: Memphis (38)

RPI in top 50 not selected: Memphis (38), Cleveland State (41), Colorado State (43), Virginia Commonwealth (T49), Princeton (T49)

RPI below 50 at large berths, non First Four: Michigan (56), Richmond (58)

First Four: Missouri State (42), Penn State (55), Clemson (60), Virginia Tech (65) 

 

Bids By Conference:

Big East (10)

Big Ten (7)

ACC (6)

Big 12 (5)

SEC (5)

Pac-10 (3)

MWC (3)

A-10 (3)

Colonial (2)

WCC (2)

MVC (2)

One Team (for now): (20)

No. 1 Seed Ranks: No. 1 Ohio State, No. 2 Pittsburgh, No. 3 Kansas, No. 4 Notre Dame (East vs. West and Southeast vs. Southwest in Final Four)

Compare my brackets to CBS Sports Bracketology and others at the Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix.

Remember to comment! If you think a team or teams that are out should be in or vice versa, let me hear from you!

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 7, 2011 3:06 pm
 

Schmolik 64 Update (3/7/11) - Championship Week!

Hello, college basketball fans!

Welcome to the March 7, 2011 update of the Schmolik 64.

This is the update for Championship Week so for the first time I will include all 64 teams. For one bid conferences, I will list the highest seed remaining in the conference. Keep in mind these seeds will go up or down depending on who wins at the end. Expect the final Schmolik 64 Sunday after the conclusion of the Big Ten Tournament.

Dates:

Opening Weekend: Thur/Sat March 17-19, Fri/Sun March 18-20

Regionals: Thur/Sat March 24-26, Fri/Sun March 25-27

* Clinched Automatic Bid

 

EAST REGIONAL (Newark, NJ - Fri/Sun)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun)

(1) Ohio State (29-2) vs. (16) First Four: Bethune Cookman / MEAC (16-11) vs. McNeese State / Southland (15-10)

(8) UCLA (22-9) vs. (9) Tennessee (18-13)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat)

(5) Texas A&M (22-7) vs. (12) Missouri State (25-8)

(4) Syracuse (25-6) vs. (13) First Four: Memphis (22-9) vs. Virginia Tech (19-10)

Washington, DC (Thur/Sat)

(6) Temple (24-6) vs. (11) Michigan (18-12)

(3) Louisville (23-8) vs. (14) Iona / MAAC (22-10)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun)

(7) Connecticut (21-9) vs. (10) Butler (21-9)

(2) North Carolina (24-6) vs. (15) LIU-Brooklyn / Northeast (26-5)

 

WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim, CA - Thur/Sat)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun)

(1) Notre Dame (25-5) vs. (16) Boston University / America East (20-13)

(8) George Mason (26-6) vs. (9) Missouri (21-9)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat)

(5) Arizona (25-6) vs. (12) Richmond (24-7)

(4) Wisconsin (23-7) vs. (13) Oakland / Summit (22-9)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun)

(6) Georgetown (21-9) vs. (11) St. Mary's (22-7)

(3) Texas (25-6) vs. (14) Morehead State* / Ohio Valley (22-9)

Denver, CO (Thur/Sat)

(7) Vanderbilt (21-9) vs. (10) Illinois (19-12)

(2) Brigham Young (27-3) vs. (15) Long Beach State / Big West (18-10)

 

SOUTHEAST REGIONAL (New Orleans, LA - Thur/Sat)

Cleveland, OH (Fri/Sun)

(1) Pittsburgh (27-4) vs. (16) First Four: Middle Tennessee State / Sun Belt (15-15) vs. Texas Southern / SWAC (18-11)

(8) UNLV (23-7) vs. (9) Florida State (21-9)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat)

(5) Kansas State (21-9) vs. (12) Washington (20-10)

(4) Kentucky (22-8) vs. (13) Indiana State * / Missouri Valley (19-13)

Chicago, IL (Fri/Sun)

(6) Cincinnati (24-7) vs. (11) Harvard / Ivy (21-5)

(3) Purdue (25-6) vs. (14) Kent State / MAC (20-10)

Charlotte, NC (Fri/Sun)

(7) Villanova (21-10) vs. (10) Georgia (20-10)

(2) Duke (27-4) vs. (15) Bucknell / Patriot (24-8)

 

SOUTHWEST REGIONAL (San Antonio, TX -  Fri/Sun)

Tulsa, OK (Fri/Sun)

(1) Kansas (29-2) vs. (16) UNC Asheville * / Big South (16-13)

(8) Old Dominion (26-6) vs. (9) UAB (22-7)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat)

(5) Xavier (24-6) vs. (12) First Four: Clemson (20-10) vs. Penn State (16-13)

(4) St. John's (20-10) vs. (13) Belmont * / Atlantic Sun (30-4)

Tampa, FL (Thur/Sat)

(6) West Virginia (20-10) vs. (11) Michigan State (16-13)

(3) Florida (24-6) vs. (14) College of Charleston / Southern (24-9)

Tucson, AZ (Thur/Sat)

(7) Utah State (27-3) vs. (10) Boston College (19-11)

(2) San Diego State (27-2) vs. (15) Northern Colorado / Big Sky (17-10)

 
By Seed (East/Southeast/Southwest/West)

1. Ohio State, Pittsburgh. Kansas, Notre Dame
2. North Carolina, Duke, San Diego State, BYU
3. Louisville, Purdue, Florida, Texas
4. Syracuse, Kentucky, St. John's, Wisconsin
5. Texas A&M, Kansas State, Xavier, Arizona
6. Temple, Cincinnati, West Virginia, Georgetown
7. Connecticut, Villanova, Utah State, Vanderbilt
8. UCLA, UNLV, Old Dominion, George Mason
9. Tennessee, Florida State, UAB, Missouri
10. Butler, Georgia, Boston College, Illinois
11. Michigan, Harvard, Michigan State, St. Mary's
12. Missouri State, Washington, Clemson/Penn State, Richmond
13. Virgina Tech/Memphis, Indiana State*, Belmont*, Oakland
14. Iona, Kent State, Coll. of Charleston, Morehead State*
15. LIU-Brooklyn, Bucknell, Northern Colorado, Long Beach State
16. Bethune Cookman/McNeese State, Midd Tenn State/Texas Southern, UNC Asheville*, Boston University

RPI Numbers according to CBS Sports RPI:

Lowest RPI at large berth: Virginia Tech (63)

Lowest RPI at large berth, non First Four: Michigan (56)

Highest RPI not selected: Cleveland State (41)

RPI in top 50 not selected: Cleveland State (41), Colorado State (43), Virginia Commonwealth (48), Marshall (49)

RPI below 50 at large berths, non First Four: Richmond (55), Michigan (56)

First Four: Memphis (38), Penn State (54), Clemson (59), Virginia Tech (63)

 

Bids By Conference:

Big East (10)

Big Ten (7)

ACC (6)

Big 12 (5)

SEC (5)

Pac-10 (3)

MWC (3)

A-10 (3)

Colonial (2)

C-USA (2)

MVC (2)

One Team (for now): (20)

No. 1 Seed Ranks: No. 1 Ohio State, No. 2 Pittsburgh, No. 3 Kansas, No. 4 Notre Dame (East vs. West and Southeast vs. Southwest in Final Four)

Compare my brackets to CBS Sports Bracketology and others at the Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix.

Remember to comment! If you think a team or teams that are out should be in or vice versa, let me hear from you!

Posted on: March 5, 2011 8:58 pm
 

Scheduling of Championship Week Games on CBS

Hello, college basketball fans!

Some things I would change about the schedule of conference tournament games on CBS.

I would like the Big Ten final on Sunday to be earlier in the day. I have seen Big Ten champions not be seeded where they should because the game ends too late for the NCAA bracket to be adjusted. Maybe they should swap with the Atlantic 10 on Sunday and play at 1pm (I think the Big Ten should have priority over the A-10 as to when they get to play). Another option is to move the A-10 final to noon and the Big Ten game to 2:30pm ET (an extra hour before the Selection Show).

I also think that the Missouri Valley Championship "Arch Madness" should replace Conference USA on Saturday. Excluding Memphis's run, I think the MVC has been a better overall basketball conference than C-USA and they deserve to be part of the final weekend more than Conference USA. Either move C-USA to the MVC slot or just move them to another network (I wouldn't miss them). Or how about split national coverage between C-USA and the MVC in the same slot on Saturday? I think the chance to play on the final weekend for the MVC is worth sharing TV coverage with C-USA.

I kind of like the A-10 but I would prefer to see the ACC or Big East on Sunday on CBS instead. I believe the ACC signed a huge contract with a rival network so they are likely out. Maybe CBS could get the Big East back? We can always put their championship on Saturday night in place of the Pac-10(12) final.
Category: NCAAB
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com