Tag:NBA draft
Posted on: June 14, 2012 11:49 am
 

1st 2012 NBA MOCK DRAFT!

I only do the first 18 picks because that's when the Wolves pick and I'm an unabashed homer. Just accept it and this will be easier to digest.

1. Hornets – Anthony Davis, PF KENTUCKY

* No brainer. I think the Hornets should go with the ultimate rebranding/rebuilding plan and trade Eric Gordon for another top 7 pick. Then with the #10 pick that they already have they come out of this draft with three pretty talented rooks. This would definitely be in line with the OKC model that is awfully trendy these days.

 

2. Bobcats – Bradley Beal, SG FLORIDA

* Charlotte needs to trade this pick. They need a franchise face to build around. There’s only one of those in this draft and he’s going #1. Beal is a good player, probably the best scorer outside of Davis but he’s not going to do anything to shore up their atrocious front court. Don’t sleep on this rumor: Wolves deal Derrick Williams, #18 and their 2013 1<sup>st</sup> Rounder from Memphis for this pick. Win-Win. Wolves take Beal and fill their one glaring weakness. Bobcats get more of a #1 talent and the #2 pick in last year’s draft while also picking up some other pieces. Or they should trade down with Portland at #6 and take the hometown kid, Harrison Barnes, if he gets there.

 

3. Wizards – Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, SF KENTUCKY

* Apparently the Wiz used Jan Vesely almost exclusively as a PF last year. I think Thomas Robinson would be a better pick for them, as he would be a massive talent, heart and IQ upgrade over former front courters, JaVale McGee and Andray Blatche. However, I think they’ll go with MKG, which for me is a concern because although he’d be great in transition with John Wall that also means they wold have two poor shooters starting at the 1-3 spots.

 

4. Cavaliers – Harrison Barnes, SF UNC

*Thomas Robinson slips again because the Cavs are already invested in Tristan Thompson and Anderson Varejao. Barnes gives them a wing scorer and a well-known name to market alongside Kyrie Irving. I fully expect Barnes to be a serviceable, if not overrated, player in much the same way that OJ Mayo has been. Just don’t expect stardom, or anything close to it.

 

5. Kings – Thomas Robinson, PF KANSAS

* Finally. This would be a tremendous acquisition for the Kings. Robinson, known for his incredibly high motor and great character, would round out their front court and be an invaluable counter balance to DeMarcus Cousins’ lackadaisical effort and explosive attitude. I wouldn’t at all be surprised if he ends up being one of the top 2 or 3 players from this draft.

 

6. Blazers – Damien Lillard, PG WEBER STATE

* The first somewhat surprise pick of the draft. The Blazers are desperate for a PG and even though they also have pick #11 they know New Orleans will snipe him at #10. Lillard was a scoring monster in college, but the question will be does the competition at Weber State translate to the NBA.

 

7. Warriors – Dion Waiters, SG SYRACUSE

* Another surprise pick. Sullinger and Drummond are the two best talents on the board but the Warriors already have Andrew Bogut, David Lee and Andres Biedrins hogging their big spots. They need to replace Monta Ellis and think Klay Thompson might be better at SF. Waiters’ stock is rapidly rising right now.

 

8. Raptors – Jared Sullinger, PF OHIO STATE

* Not a super need pick but the almost solid production guarantee from Sully forces their hand. Andres Bargnani doesn’t give them enough interior toughness and Ed Davis has been a super bust. Sullinger could be a very intriguing future match with Jonas Valanciunas.

9. Pistons – Andre Drummond, C UCONN

* Maturity issues and a lack of a track record cause Drummond to fall a bit but the Pistons can’t pass on the potential. Brandon Knight, Greg Monroe, Jonas Jerebko and Drummond are a nice quadrant to build around. Too bad the contracts of Ben Gordon and Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer are still handcuffing them.

 

10. Hornets – Kendall Marshall, PG UNC

* Marshall fills a need for them and is a fine floor general type. He just don’t have an offensive game to speak of. He played in a big program. It seems like a pretty big flaw to still go this early but this draft is void of quality PGs so Marshall will have to do.

 

11. Blazers – Jeremy Lamb, SG UCONN

* Fits the prototype of big time scoring NBA guard perfectly but there are major knocks against his maturity, intelligence, drive and willingness to play within a system. The Blazers can take the risk at this point and hope he begins to fill in for Brandon Roy.

 

12. Bucks – Meyers Leonard, C ILLINOIS

* The departure of Andrew Bogut and the emergence of Ersan Ilyasova  leaves one major hole at the center spot. Leonard certainly looks the part of slow, clumsy white guy center, but he’s surprisingly athletic and has improved drastically every year.

 

13. Suns – Austin Rivers, SG DUKE

* It’s hard to say where this team stands without knowing the status of Steve Nash. Ultimately, I think they’ll be looking for scoring from their backcourt with their frontcourt occupied by Marcin Gortat, Markieff Morris and Channing Frye.

 

14. Rockets – Tyler Zeller, C UNC

* The Rockets keep drafting big men but don’t have one that can adequately play the 5. So they reach a little bit on Zeller, a true 7 footer who seems like an inevitable bust to me but size sells and the Rockets are still trying to buy a replacement for Yao.

 

15. 76ers – John Henson, PF UNC

* Philly is thrilled to have the eventual Elton Brand replacement fall to them here. Henson strikes me as another in a seeming trend of soft UNC bigs that can’t hack it in the pros (ie. Ed Davis) but even I’ll admit this spot is good value for him.

 

16. Rockets – Quincy Miller, SF BAYLOR

*Miller is an enigma type. Tons of talent but an ACL tear and inconsistent performance in college held him back from reaching his top 10 potential. There are a few things the Rockets could do here but I’ll give the nod to the Texas connection.

 

17. Mavericks – Terrence Jones, SF KENTUCKY

* Jones is extremely raw but a super athlete. The Mavs can begin to add youth with Jones, who can eventually take over the Shawn Marion role and be for them what Lamar Odom never was.

 

18. Wolves – Terrence Ross, SF WASHINGTON

* This wouldn’t be a homerun pick but would definitely fill a need. It’s almost a bit unnerving for a Wolves fan to hear Ross’ game described as basically what we were supposed to be getting with the Wes Johnson pick. Ross is a great shooter and defender, but his one big weakness (poor handle) does concern me. If Derrick Williams is dealt look for either Perry Jones or Royce White to go here as two big man picks with higher upside than Ross. Another higher upside pick would be the SF out of St. John’s, Moe Harkless. The problem with him is that he can’t shoot very well at this point. That’s a major problem for this team. One other player to keep an eye on is John Jenkins, a SG from Vanderbilt. He’s a one trick pony, but he’s amazing at that one trick – 3 point shooting. He shot 43% from 3-land throughout his college career. He can’t create his own shot, which limits him. Jenkins would be a reach right here but the Wolves need shooting badly.



Category: NBA
Posted on: May 14, 2011 8:43 pm
 

My Lottery Pick Prospects in 50 Words or Less

1. Kyrie Irving, PG Duke – Critics knock this draft’s talent level but in an alternate reality he had been in last year’s class he would have gone third, after only John Wall and Evan Turner.  Washington is the only lottery team that would pass on him with the #1 pick.

2. Derrick Williams, SF/PF Arizona – Williams combines the respective games of Josh Smith (big but doesn’t play like a traditional big), Channing Frye (great outsider shooter for his size) and Michael Beasley (quick step with a fair degree of boom or bust potential).

3. Enes Kanter, C Turkey – Euro who took the rare approach of attempting to play US college ball (NCAA banned him). Given his strong frame and experience in pro leagues, I have to believe he would have put up gaudy numbers on a Kentucky team starved for a post presence.

4. Bismack Biyombo, PF/C Congo – An admittedly one dimensional prospect, but so potentially dominant at that one dimension, defense, that he might warrant a pick this high. Concerns about his true age aside, a Serge Ibaka-like projection is very realistic.

5. Jan Vesely, SF/PF Czech Republic – A lot of Dirk Nowitzki projections have been haphazardly made over the years for a slue of Euro prospects. I believe Vesely is the first one who actually possesses the overall athleticism and well rounded game to, however unlikely, pull it off.

6. Alec Burks, SG Colorado – He’s every bit the prospect Evan Turner was. People will knock the fact that Burks played at a smaller school but in games against Texas, Kansas, Baylor, Missouri and Kansas State he averaged over 20 points. Like Turner, he’s not a great shooter. Unlike Turner, he’s got NBA caliber athleticism.

7. Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky – Super high turnover rate came down as the season progressed, as did his overall performance. Knight vaulted himself into top 5 pick range with an outstanding NCAA tournament. I have a suspicion he could end up being one of the steals of this draft.

8. Kenneth Faried, PF Morehead State – The small school thing doesn’t bother me. He averaged 13 rebs over the season, including a 17 reb effort vs. Louisville in the NCAA tourney, as well as 20 pts/18 rebs against Florida and 15 pts/12 rebs against Jared Sullinger and Ohio State. The intensity and passion he brings are outstanding.

9. Kemba Walker, PG Connecticut – Great talent, intangibles and leadership. His 6 foot height doesn’t concern me as much as it does others. My hesitation is that given Walker’s tendency to dominate the ball, he would need to go to a team that would fully turn the reigns over to him. Is he that great of a talent?

10. Chris Singleton, SF Florida State – Singleton has the size, strength and speed to guard the 2-4 positions depending on the matchup. He has the rare potential to be a true lock-down defender in the NBA. Not a great offensive player, but not a liability either.

11. Kawhi Leonard, SF San Diego State – A safe and somewhat boring pick, but also a very solid pick. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if when all is said and done he's being drafted in the top 5 picks. Good defender and great rebounder for a SF. A prototypical wing who didn't get a lot of attention at San Diego.

12. Jimmer Fredette, PG BYU – Is #12 too high to draft a 6th man? I think Jason Terry has shown it can be worth it. Fredette could start on a team like Sacramento with a ball-dominant two guard such as Tyreke Evans. His shooting and passing will translate, defense will be rough.

13. Jonas Valanciunas, C Lithuania – Multi-faceted center holding his own in Europe’s top leagues. On talent alone he deserves a ranking higher than this but, I would still hesitate to draft him in the lottery at all. He’s barely 18 years old and I would bet he’ll stay in Europe for at least one or two more seasons.

14. Marcus Morris, PF Kansas – Holds the distinction of being the most pure PF in the draft. He does everything well and brings great intensity and work ethic. Ultimately, I think he’s a great college players who will need to find a niche as a solid role player in the pros.



Category: NBA
Tags: NBA draft
 
Posted on: May 20, 2010 12:08 pm
 

2nd Mock - Post Lottery

Here you go. Commentary on only the lottery for now. Endulge yourself. Comment below, make it all right.


1. Washington
Wizards - They’ll take John Wall (PG Kentucky) and not even think twice about it. Gilbert and Wall will clumsily co-exist for just as long as it takes the Wiz to find a trade partner willing to take on the old gunslinger, ala the Kevin Martin donation to Houston from a few months back. A year ago Washington was primed to contend in the Eastern Conference. A stacked veteran roster with a new playoff tested head coach set the stage. A series of escalating debacles later and they’re rewarded with the #1 pick in the draft. Rebuilding sure is easy.

2. Philadelphia 76ers - Evan Turner (SG/SF Ohio State) is the guy here. Pairing him with Andre Igoudala is a bit suspect, as neither can really shoot all that well. This suggests they might be open to moving down a spot or two if it meant adding a couple of equivalent pieces and unloading one of their terrible contracts in the process. However, unless they are wowed by an offer they’ll sit tight, take Turner and eventually unload Iggy if the duo is proved to be too flawed.

3. New Jersey Nets - One thing we have learned for sure is that having the worst record in the NBA basically guarantees you will not have the #1 pick in the draft. It’s only happened four times in the twenty five year history of the lottery, and that includes the LeBron-Cavs rigging of 2003. The Nets will take Derrick Favors (PF Georgia Tech) because he matches up well with Brook Lopez and because his ceiling is right up there with Wall. Favors is an athletic freak. The combine and workout sessions are where his gifts will truly come out, meaning from here on his stock will only rise.

4. Minnesota Timberwolves - The Wolves will do every thing in their power to trade into the top 2. Assuming that doesn’t work, because nothing every works for the Wolves, they’ll take DeMarcus Cousins (C Kentucky). His college stats were ridiculous and if the guy had a better history of intelligent decisions he’d be right up there with Turner as a toss up for the 2nd pick. He makes Al Jefferson expendable, who will be flipped into a wing or another lottery pick.

5. Sacramento Kings - Tyreke Evans and a bunch of roleplayers. That’s what the Kings have right now. They’ll give Wesley Johnson a long look but eventually decide on Greg Monroe (PF Georgetown). His stock is on the rise and he’s exactly the kind of guy to anchor the other end of the Kings starting lineup. His well-regarded passing makes for an intriguing inside-outside game with Evans.

6. Golden State Warriors - The Warriors really wanted Favors or Cousins. Instead they’ll continue to gorge on scorers when they take Wesley Johnson (SF Syracuse). He’ll probably average 20 points a game in the Golden State offense…and play no defense whatsoever.

7. Detroit Pistons - Ekpe Udoh (PF/C Baylor) might be a surprise here but I doubt that would be the case if he had played for a bigger college program. He reminds me a lot of Ben Wallace; high energy and defensively oriented, a lesser shot blocker but more offensively talented. The odds that Detroit trades out of this spot are extremely likely in my opinion.

8. Los Angeles Clippers - The one player who fills a major need for the Clippers in Al-Farouq Aminu (SF Wake Forest) actually falls to them. He’s raw but has the potential to hold down their small forward spot as a versatile defender who, unlike all their other players, doesn’t need the ball to be effective.

9. Utah Jazz - If Greg Monroe falls they’ll take him to replace Carlos Boozer. They’ll also give Ed Davis a look, but let’s be honest, Ed Davis sucks. In the end, the Jazz prepare for the eventual departure of Mehmet Okur and take Cole Aldrich (C Kansas). Greg Ostertag comparisons will be abound but they’re way off in anything other than a racial sense. Aldrich can be a strong defender immediately and pair nicely with Paul Milsap.

10. Indiana Pacers - Gordon Hayward (SF Butler) getting picked here will probably be regarded as the biggest reach of the draft, not entirely unlike their first round pick last year, Tyler Hansbrough. The hometown Goliath killer, the Larry Bird comparisons. It’s all too perfect. How he fits with Danny Granger is beyond me and whether or not he actually gets picked in this spot or later via trade down I’m not sure, but I really believe he’s a Pacer before the end of draft night.

11. New Orleans Hornets - The Hornets are in limbo right now. They have a lot of high priced veteran talent but find themselves outside the playoffs. Much of that can be attributed to Chris Paul’s chronic injuries last season. The rest of it has to do with their high priced veteran talent not being very good. I think they’ll go with the boom or bust pick in Hassan Whiteside (PF/C Marshall), hoping they get what they had in Tyson Chandler for a fraction of the cost.

12. Memphis Grizzlies - I think there’s a 90% chance that the Grizzlies trade out of this spot. Their only glaring need is point guard and no one outside of John Wall warrants a pick this high. I’ll say they lose Rudy Gay to free agency and draft Damion James (SF Texas) as his replacement. James can also play power forward in a pinch and will bring a nice element of a power game to their mix. But again, this is moot because they won’t pick here.

13. Toronto Raptors - Ed Davis (PF North Carolina) will assume the Chris Bosh mantle, which will be nearly impossible for a vastly inferior talent to live up to. I personally wouldn’t touch Davis with a Top 20 pick but the report on him is inexplicably decent and he’ll probably end up going around here.

14.  Houston Rockets - The Rockets are also a candidate to trade but I think they’ll end up using this pick on Patrick Patterson (PF Kentucky).  Even Patterson probably knows he’ll never be a star, but a fair projection is as a versatile role player who can contribute immediately in a system such as the one Houston runs. He’ll quickly establish a reputation as one of the best long distance shooting big men in the league. Think Channing Frye but stronger…and shorter.

15. Milwaukee Bucks - Xavier Henry (SG Kansas)
16. Minnesota Timberwolves - James Anderson (SG Oklahoma State)
17. Chicago Bulls - Donatas Montiejunas (PF/C Europe)
18. Miami Heat - Avery Bradley (PG/SG Texas)
19. Boston Celtics - Luke Babbitt (SF Nevada)
20. San Antonio Spurs - Daniel Orton (C Kentucky)
21. Oklahoma City Thunder - Larry Sanders PF (VCU)
22. Portland Trailblazers - Dominique Jones (PG/SG SouthFlorida)
23. Minnesota Timberwolves - Paul George (SF Fresno State)
24. Atlanta Hawks - Lance Stephenson (SG Cincinnati)
25. Memphis Grizzlies - Eric Bledsoe (PG Kentucky)
26. Oklahoma City Thunder - Soloman Alabi (C Florida State)
27. New Jersey Nets - Darrington Hobson (SG/SF New Mexico)
28. Memphis Grizzlies - Stanley Robinson (SF Connecticut)
29. Orlando Magic - Willie Warren (PG Oklahoma)
30. Washington Wizards - Gani Lawal (PF Georgia Tech)


That's it. Agree? Disagree? Thanks for your participation.

Category: NBA
Tags: mock, nba draft
 
 
 
 
 
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