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Tag:Texans
Posted on: October 30, 2012 9:52 pm
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 8

Greetings, readers!  Well, that was a little more exciting, wasn't it?  If you like your Sunday (and Monday) with a few beatdowns, you were probably pleased with Week 8.  Not every game was great, but there was enough excitement to go around to wash the bad taste of a couple of the bad games out of our mouths (or eyes, I suppose).  Let's get to the stories from this past week.

We start in Minnesota, where the Vikings just failed to show up.  I think this is the point where analysts start to question whether or not the Vikings have been "exposed".  And maybe the word "fradulent" gets thrown out there.  I'm not sayin', just sayin'.  Anyway, the Vikings didn't show up and they got beat by the Buccaneers.  Doug Martin held a party and made the Vikings look like chumps on defense.  A solid effort, but Tampa Bay still has work to do before they can be considered a threat for the NFC Wild Card.

Chicago took on Carolina in Soldier Field and Tim Jennings made what is arguably the play of the game, if you discount the game-winning field goal.  Jennings took advantage of a receiver falling down on the route and took the ball to the house.  Jay Cutler played alright, but he's being held hostage by his mostly terrible offensive line.  If he gets time to throw, he looks like less of a whining malcontent and more like a winning QB.  Maybe that's the secret?  I think he'd still look like a whining malcontent after every loss, but whatever.  I'm obviously biased, since I've never liked Cutler, even when he was in Denver.

The Atlanta Falcons remain the league's only undefeated team at 7-0.  Funnily enough, they looked better coming off the bye than they had in the last three or four weeks.  It helped that they were playing a weak Philly defense and that they were able to get out to an early lead.  In fact, Atlanta didn't really do much after halftime, but since they were up 24-7, they didn't exactly need to.

New England headed to London and it was business as usual.  Even without Aaron Hernandez, they had no problems on offense, putting up 45 on the Rams with impunity.  There isn't much else to say about the game besides, "beatdown"!  Oh, and Rob Gronkowski played huge with 2 TD's.

Not to be outdone, Denver went out on Sunday night and delivered a multi-faceted beatdown on the Saints.  Not only did Peyton Manning put up a bunch of points, again, but the defense stepped up and held the Saints down until the very end, when they gave up a garbage time TD.  It looks like Manning is rounding into form.  I'm not going to commit to anything further than that, because I've been burned before.  And despite an easy schedule, Denver has been prone to inconsistent play in the last few years.

San Francisco does things a bit differently.  I'm fond of saying that they run a 1960 offense, because they only seem to care about running the ball and don't particularly care for throwing it down the field.  Again I was proven right.  However, a lot of people appear to be getting on the Alex Smith bandwagon because he went 18/19 with 3 TD's.  Let's just slow down on him, alright?  Most of those completions were short passes.  Not all of them were for positive yardage, either.  Until he proves that he can throw it down the field, he can't be considered anything more than a slightly advanced game manager.

Here are the Rankings for Week 8:

1.) Atlanta (7-0) [no change]
 They just keep rolling.  Actually looked better than they have, and now get the hapless Cowboys at home.

2.) Houston (6-1) [no change]
 The bye helped them stay near the top; now they get the defensively offensive Bills at home.

3.) Chicago (6-1) [no change]
 Heading to Tennessee after a tough win; will Jay Cutler stay upright and get another win?

4.) NY Giants (6-2) [no change]
 After a bit of a lucky break against the Cowboys, the Steelers come to town.  Could be a good one.

5.) San Francisco (6-2) [no change]
 One of two teams in the Rankings on a bye.  Not sold on Alex Smith, no matter what his coach says.

6.) Baltimore (5-2) [+1]
 Did the bye help them regain some mojo?  They have a potentially easy win on the slate.

7.) Green Bay (5-3) [+1]
 Funny that Arizona now stinks without Kevin Kolb.  Green Bay can take advantage, if Rodgers plays well.

8.) New England (5-3) [-]
 The second team in the Rankings on a bye, New England gets to rest on their laurels after a nice beatdown.

9.) Minnesota (5-3) [-3]
 I'm not sure what to make of the Vikings now.  And they're heading to Seattle, which can't help.

10.) Denver (4-3) [-]
 Manning might not be all the way back, but it's gotta be close.  It sure looks that way when they win.

That's all for this week.  See you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 9):
Arizona @ Green Bay (Sunday, FOX)
Pittsburgh @ NY Giants (Sunday, CBS)
Dallas @ Atlanta (Sunday, NBC)
Category: NFL
Posted on: October 23, 2012 6:05 pm
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 7

Greetings, readers.  Week 7 has come and gone and it feels like not much of interest happened.  Sure, there was a bit of controversy in Tampa (due to an odd rule about going out-of-bounds and coming back in) and some OT drama, but the matchups really were not prime time stuff.  Let's get to the stories, though.

As usual, we're starting with the Thursday night game.  As usual, it wasn't terribly memorable.  This week, it was more due to the playing style of the two teams involved.  It angers me to watch a game where running the ball and defense is prioritized over throwing the ball.  The NFL is a passing league.  Take advantage of the rules that Goodell has put in!  The commissioner and the rules committee has made it so that throwing the ball is very easy.  And yet you have teams like Seattle and San Francisco either running the ball all day or dinking-and-dunking; either way, it translates to boring football.  And the game on Thursday was a defensive struggle where the offenses looked mostly inept.  That is boring to me.  Oh, and by the way, the 49ers won.

Most disappointing game of the week?  Baltimore at Houston, no contest.  The Ravens didn't show up until the second half, and even then they weren't all that impressive.  When the safety happened in the 1st quarter, I had a bad feeling, but I thought Flacco could maybe get a breather at halftime and come out ready for a comeback.  Oops!  So, once again, we have a guy who thinks he's elite and isn't.  I remain unconvinced about the Texans, though, because they didn't show up the week before against Green Bay (also at home, it should be noted).  But it is Baltimore that has really slipped in my estimation.

Minnesota and the NY Giants both won their games and now they're 5-2.  Given Christian Ponder's recent play, it's hard to say that the Vikings are for real; they're another team that relies on the run for the most part.  However, where they get an exemption from most people (and I suppose I'm included in that group) is that they have an All-World guy at RB.  Adrian Peterson is a beast.  The Giants pulled out a close one against Washington.  I was impressed by the play that won the game for the Giants; Eli Manning lofted one to Victor Cruz and the salsa dancer did the rest, running it in for a TD.  Much as I dislike the Giants (especially Eli), they played well and beat a pretty good Washington team.  Well, Washington's offense is pretty good.  Their defense is pretty stinky.

There were a couple OT games this week as well.  New England went to OT against the Jets (at home, no less) while Oakland beat the Jaguars in OT.  The Patriots blew a lead and looked bad down the stretch, but were able to rally in OT.  Oakland turned a recovered fumble into the game-winning FG.  Good to have a win, but neither game should have needed OT, really.

Finally we have the Chicago Bears.  Despite getting knocked out for a play and then leaving the field before halftime, Jay Cutler seemingly willed the Bears to victory even while struggling offensively.  He also looked pretty tough.  That's not something I normally say about a guy I consider to be one of the biggest whiners in the NFL, but I try to be fair.  Chicago is now 5-1 and look like the team to beat in the NFC North.  I'm not entirely sold on them, though; while their defense is solid, I've never been a fan of Cutler and think that he's just a few INT's away from letting this season fall into the toilet.  But right now, they're looking good.

Here are the Rankings for Week 7:

1.) Atlanta (6-0) [no change]
 Well-rested and heading to Philly.  7-0.

2.) Houston (6-1) [+1]
 They've been on both sides of a beatdown and now get a bye.

3.) Chicago (5-1) [+1]
 Woeful Carolina comes to town.  Bears shall feast.

4.) NY Giants (5-2) [+1]
 Giants head to Dallas to attempt to beat the team that got them in Week 1.

5.) San Francisco (5-2) [+1]
 A big Monday night game against Arizona could help determine the division winner.

6.) Minnesota (5-2) [+2]
 The Vikings get their crack at a Thursday night game.  Let's hope they fare better than Seattle.

7.) Baltimore (5-2) [-5]
 A bye after a stunning beatdown.  I guess that's a good thing, but too much stewing may hurt more than help.

8.) Green Bay (4-3) [+2]
 An easy game with Jacksonville coming in.  Three in a row for Rodgers &co.

9.) Arizona (4-3) [-2]
 Falling off the pace dramatically, Arizona needs a win to "right the ship".

10.) Seattle (4-3) [-2]
 Falling off the pace dramatically, but has a better chance of getting a win.

That's all for this week.  See you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 8):
Washington @ Pittsburgh (Sunday, FOX)
NY Giants @ Dallas (Sunday, FOX)
San Francisco @ Arizona (Monday, ESPN)
Category: NFL
Posted on: October 16, 2012 8:49 pm
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 6

Greetings, readers.  Week 6 was another tough one for me personally; my picks stunk!  I guess that's becoming the usual refrain around here with two bad weeks in the first six.  So let's get to the stories and ignore the rest of the mess.

First up is the Thursday night game.  I don't know about you, but I barely remember what happened.  What I do remember is that the Titans won; Rob Bironas hit his FG after Shawn Suisham missed his.  Whoops!  I hate to get on my high horse and be all judgmental about what is usually a very good team...but let's be serious here: the Steelers got issues.  Not only are they weak on the O-line again (how does this happen three years in a row?) they're losing RB's and Roethlisberger doesn't seem to have the usual magic.  They're a disappointing 2-3 so far.  As for the Titans, I don't know how they pulled that out after being smoked by the Vikings.  I guess Matt Hasselbeck really does have something left in the tank.  I should really listen to Mayock on these things...the guy knows his stuff and is an excellent analyst.

We're down to one undefeated team in the NFL.  It's the Atlanta Falcons.  Hurrah!  Better them than the Texans.  Bias aside, Atlanta has had a couple tough games that probably should have been easier.  So I'm not sure they've really rounded into form yet.  It looks like they could play better, but as always, I've got to see it first.  Being undefeated after the squeakers they've had is pretty impressive, though.  Mike Smith is a heck of a coach and thanks to new OC Dirk Koetter, Matt Ryan is probably playing the best football of his career thus far.

Thankfully, there are no more winless teams in the NFL.  Cleveland got "off the schneid", as they say, by beating AFC North rival Cincinnati.  I really just have one thing to say to this: WTF, Cincy?  That encompasses my feelings quite well.

Philly and Arizona both went to OT in their games; surprise, surprise, they both lost.  And I look like a moron for picking them.  Arizona is still 4-2, so they have the appearance of "goodness", whereas Philly is mediocre and has the record to prove it.  The Eagles fired Juan Castillo, their embattled DC, today.  Surely, there is no way to interpret that other than scapegoating.  When the offense (read: Michael Vick) has as many turnovers as it does, firing anyone not coaching the offense will obviously fix nothing.  The move is completely reactionary; a change made simply for the sake of it.

New England and San Francisco had big games on the left coast.  The Pats went into Seattle, while the 49ers had the Giants at home.  Not surprisingly, both lost.  At least New England showed up, though.  San Francisco didn't bother playing any offense and was even worse on the defensive side of the ball.  They still look decent at 4-2, while the Pats are 3-3.  It's a little funny, and a little weird, to see Tom Brady slumming like this.

Also, thanks to Denver's win, there are 11 3-3 teams.  Let us never forget that parity rules this league.  That also means there are only nine "good" teams.  Although, to be honest, it's hard to say that anybody is worth a darn after six weeks.  That includes Atlanta.

Here are the Rankings for Week 6:
1.) Atlanta (6-0) [no change]
 Rolling into the bye week 6-0.  Doesn't get much better than that.

2.) Baltimore (5-1) [+1]
 Another squeaker, but injuries are mounting.

3.) Houston (5-1) [-1]
 Beat 'em down!  The first loss for the Texans was a bad one.

4.) Chicago (4-1) [+1]
 They moved up on a bye.  That says a lot about the rest of the league.

5.) NY Giants (4-2) [-]
 An impressive win.  Can they keep it going?  Or will "bad" Eli show up again?

6.) San Francisco (4-2) [-2]
 A slight move downward after a home loss where they didn't show up.

7.) Arizona (4-2) [-1]
 With Kevin Kolb out, is it Skelton's team again?

8.) Minnesota (4-2) [-1]
 Two steps forward, one step back.  Allowing RGIII to carve them up like that is inexcusable.

9.) Seattle (4-2) [-]
 A solid win propels Seattle into the Rankings.  Much like the Giants, I doubt them very much.

10.) Green Bay (3-3) [-]
 Beating a previously undefeated team is worth entry, for this week at least.

That's all for this week.  See you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 7):
Seattle @ San Francisco (Thursday, NFL Network)
Baltimore @ Houston (Sunday, CBS)
Arizona @ Minnesota (Sunday, FOX)
Category: NFL
Posted on: October 9, 2012 10:35 pm
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 5

Greetings, readers.  Week 5 went much as I expected it would.  Not a lot of surprises, though we're now down to two undefeated teams.  Also, there are no longer ten good teams; there are a couple 3-2 teams included this week.  It's not something I like to do, but it's what has to be done for this week unless I want to cut it to a top 5.  A top 5 would probably be pointless.

Anyway, on to the stories from this week.

First off, Arizona fell to 4-1.  They went to St. Louis on Thursday and didn't play very well, only managing three points.  Part of that has to do with the Rams' defense, which played quite well.  But for Kevin Kolb and the Cardinals offense, there's really not much of an excuse; they knew before the season that they'd have to handle this hurdle and they didn't look prepared to do so.  A disappointing loss for the Cardinals, but they have plenty of opportunities to bounce back.

I think the most memorable win has to belong to the Indianapolis Colts.  I'm sure everyone knows the story by now; their head coach Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia, so the Colts really wanted to win this one.  I'm glad they got the win, yet there's something I feel most people ignored that I feel obligated to point out: Aaron Rodgers did not play well down the stretch.  Actually, he looked jumpy even when the pressure wasn't getting into his face.  I guess he got unsettled early in the game and that carried over to the last couple drives.  Rodgers is far from the only "elite" QB to struggle in the first five weeks of the season, but his struggles have to be seen as the most surprising.  Congratulations to the Colts for taking advantage, and get well soon, Coach Pagano!

As mentioned above, there are only two undefeated teams left after five weeks.  They are Atlanta and Houston.  Of the two, I would guess that Atlanta is the more surprising one.  Houston, for all the plaudits they receive from the national media, has beaten no one of note.  Outside of the AFC West, the AFC South has to be the weakest of the eight divisions.  Both teams look mostly convincing on offense, but defense really looks to be their calling card.

The NFC North, on the other hand, looks like one of the stronger divisions.  Now, don't get me wrong, that doesn't mean I'm entirely sold on Chicago.  But they're 4-1 and so are the Vikings, which puts the NFC North ahead of the pack, alongside the surprising NFC West.  The Bears have a bye in Week 6, while the Vikings head to Washington.  Detroit comes off the bye to face Philadelphia while the Packers head down to Houston in what has to be the first Sunday night game for the Texans since NBC took over that time slot.  So while the division is looking fairly strong this week, it could turn by 11PM CDT on Sunday.

Another week, another win for New England.  It got close enough to not be considered a beatdown in garbage time, but for the majority of the game, Denver wasn't in sight.  I'm sure people were worried after they lost to Arizona and Baltimore, but at 3-2 they look to be rising.  Still, it's not what most of us would expect after five weeks.

The most impressive win goes to San Francisco for the second week in a row.  I guess if they're playing an AFC East team other than New England, the forecast is straight up beatdown.  Putting 34 on the Jets wasn't enough for Jim Harbaugh and Alex Smith, so they put 45 on Buffalo and made them look pitiful.  Speaking of which, how bad is Buffalo's defense?  They've let up 48 to the Jets, 52 to the Pats, and 45 to the 49ers.  Has to be the worst scoring defense, at least.

A weird ending to the San Diego/New Orleans game.  There were consecutive penalties against the Chargers and then a freak injury to the left tackle that ended the game with Rivers getting taken down on a sack/fumble.  The penalties took the Chargers out of range for a TD that would have tied the game up.  And for the coaching staff to fail to notice that the left tackle was injured...well, that's on them.  But the penalties made it look a little fishy.  And let's not go crazy about the Saints; when they started 0-4, they essentially ended the season after Week 4.

Here are the Rankings for Week 5:
1.) Atlanta (5-0) [no change]
 Another close game, but still undefeated, thus still the best.

2.) Houston (5-0) [no change]
 Taking advantage of a weak early season schedule.  Will Cushing injury derail them?

3.) Baltimore (4-1) [+1]
 A field goal festival leads the Ravens to the top of the AFC North.  Back home for the Cowboys this week.

4.) San Francisco (4-1) [+1]
 Two beatdowns in a row and now the Giants come in.  Can they make it three in a row?

5.) Chicago (4-1) [+2]
 Bye week coming up; not sure if it's a good time since they've won three in a row.

6.) Arizona (4-1) [-3]
 While losing in that fashion might cast doubt on the Cards' legitimacy, let's remember it was a short week.

7.) Minnesota (4-1) [+3]
 A pretty spectacular beatdown by the Vikings.  Now they head to Washington, who might be without RGIII.

8.) New England (3-2) [-]
 It's a long trip to Seattle, but it helps to have a couple wins under the belt.

9.) St. Louis (3-2) [-]
 Over .500 for the first time in 5+ years?  It's a good time to be the Rams.  They head to Miami next.

10.) Cincinnati (3-2) [-4]
 A bad loss for the Bengals, but they head to Cleveland for what should be an easy win.

That's all for this week.  See you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 6):
New England @ Seattle (Sunday, CBS)
NY Giants @ San Francisco (Sunday, FOX)
Denver @ San Diego (Monday, ESPN)
Category: NFL
Posted on: October 2, 2012 9:48 am
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 4

Greetings, readers!  Week 4 is over so it's time for another edition of the Rankings.  I have to say that this week went a lot better for me; I try to pick the winners of every game every week and was immensely disappointed to only get four right last week.  This week I got 11-of-15 right and feel a lot better about how I did.  Of course, I got thrown by a couple of the late results; that's to be expected, really.

Still, what I said last week remains mostly in effect.  It won't be quite as serious here as it was in previous weeks or previous seasons.  That's probably for the better anyway.

Not quite as many stories to get to, but I think there were some important developments, just as in every week of the NFL season.  That's one good thing about football: with only 16 games in a season, every week has something important happening.  Often, there are multiple something's and this week was no exception.

Let's start with last Thursday's game, Browns @ Ravens.  It went down to the wire with a surprising finish.  I guess the Browns being close was a surprise to people other than me?  I remember seeing Ron Jaworski on Pardon the Interruption that afternoon and he said the Browns had a chance to keep it close.  Obviously, their offense played better than expected, especially on the last drive.  Their defense wasn't too bad either; while Baltimore had 23 points, their offense didn't look as crisp as it has at times this season.  Of course Brandon Weeden ended up showing his true colors at the end.  He's a rookie, after all.  Despite that close scrape, the Ravens are 3-1 and appear to be in control of the division.  They hold the tiebreaker on Cincinnati.  That's probably a good thing, because the Bengals continue to round into form by the week.  We'll see how Baltimore plays when they head to Cincy later this season.

Most surprising 3-1 team?  My vote goes to the Minnesota Vikings.  I'm not sure I could name more than 10-12 players on the team, yet they've taken out the 49ers and won a division game this week against the Lions.  Apparently Christian Ponder is the last QB to have not thrown an INT this season.  Quite impressive, considering how turnover-happy some QB's have been already.  Adrian Peterson appears to have recovered from his knee injury quite well.  Likely better than expected.  It's hard to predict where this team can end up.  Obviously, if their effort remains close to where it was against the 49ers, they have a legitimate shot just like the other teams in their division.  Some teams start out hot and then fade down the stretch.  We'll see what happens.

I think I heard Tom Brady make a comment about getting back on track, or something to that effect against Buffalo.  Next time I'll make sure to pay better attention, since they just hung 52 up on the Bills.  This performance raises two quite obvious points.  First, the Bills absolutely stink on defense; they've given up 48 and 52, to division opponents no less.  Second, Tom Brady's still got it.  I didn't think losing Aaron Hernandez would have such an effect, but then Brady got Welker and Branch back into the game plan and the TD's started pouring in once more.  I doubt anyone was really selling on the Pats so early, especially with that division, but it was a little troublesome to see them lose to Arizona and Baltimore.  Both games were close, though, something that you can't say about Sunday's game.

Surprisingly, there are still three undefeated teams after four weeks.  Atlanta and Arizona had hard-fought wins while the Texans coasted for most of the day.  Atlanta's defense nearly failed them, but held up enough to get Matt Ryan in position to win it.  And how!  He threw a bomb to Roddy White which traveled at least 60 yards in mid-air and then proceeded to get surgical, taking short chunks of yardage in order to set up his kicker.  Probably one of the better drives I've seen this season.  And yet, I can't shake the feeling that if they had played better earlier in the game, they wouldn't have been in that situation to begin with.  Similarly, the Cardinals took awhile to really wake up.  Once they did, though, they ended up scoring late in the 4th and then won the game in OT.  A bit troubling that it took so much effort against Miami, of all teams.  Houston not only won, they knocked out Jake Locker too.  Unlike the majority of the national media, I'm not quite convinced that the Texans really are the best team in the league.  For now it's Atlanta, until they get beat.  And it just might happen that the Texans lose before Atlanta does.  I don't think it'll be in Week 5, though.

Finally, we get to the Giants.  This one is kind of a referendum on the entire NFC East, since the entire division insists on being unpredictable in a rather stupid way.  Washington went down to Tampa and pulled a win out of the hat despite their kicker's "difficulties" throughout the day.  The Giants lost while having two cracks at a game-winning FG.  And we all saw what Dallas did (and didn't) do last night.  I found the Giants result particularly maddening because the statistics say that Eli Manning is great in the 4th quarter as well as in comeback victories.  He had neither of those things going for him Sunday night and didn't really look like he was in the game for the entirety of it.  Now, even when he's really playing well, he doesn't look all that impressive.  At least, I've never seen a game where his play has really impressed me.  But he looked particularly bad in the 4th quarter Sunday night and failed to make even basic throws.  He wasn't helped by his bonehead receivers who committed ridiculous offensive PI penalties either.  So they're a disappointing 2-2 while the Eagles are somehow 3-1 when they should be 0-4.  I wouldn't be surprised in the least to see Michael Vick get benched at some point this season.  If it happened to McNabb, it can happen to Vick.

Here are the Rankings for Week 4:
1.) Atlanta (4-0) [no change]
 An impressive end to last week's game.  Now they head to Washington to face RGIII.

2.) Houston (4-0) [no change]
 The defense looks for real.  TJ Yates has more playoff wins than Matt Schaub, though.

3.) Arizona (4-0) [no change]
 Kevin Kolb showed why he got beat out by Skelton.  Short week + division rival = Trouble?

4.) Baltimore (3-1) [no change]
 Better to be lucky than good.  Heading out to KC for what should be an easy win.

5.) San Francisco (3-1) [+1]
 No losing streaks allowed, apparently.  That beatdown was probably the most impressive win of the weekend.

6.) Cincinnati (3-1) [+1]
 Can anyone stop A.J. Green?  I'm going to take a wild guess and say not Miami.

7.) Chicago (3-1) [+1]
 They'll feast on another bad QB in Jacksonville.  Now if they could keep Cutler from being Cutler....

8.) San Diego (3-1) [+1]
 Philip Rivers rebounded nicely from that debacle against Atlanta.  Going on the road to New Orleans is tougher, but winnable.

9.) Philadelphia (3-1) [+1]
 Turning the NFC East on its head while trying not to turn the ball over on every possession.  Ugly, but effective.

10.) Minnesota (3-1) [-]
 The most surprising 3-1 team gets a Titans team starting their #2 guy.  4-1 is looking likely.

That's all for this week.  See you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 5):
Arizona @ St. Louis (Thursday, NFL Network)
Atlanta @ Washington (Sunday, FOX)
Denver @ New England (Sunday, CBS)
Category: NFL
Posted on: September 25, 2012 7:10 pm
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 3

Greetings, readers!  Week 3 was a doozy, wasn't it?  I literally cannot remember a week in the NFL that has more severely tested my fandom.  Even the playoffs aren't as rough as this.  So many games went opposite to what I was expecting.  Now that it's Tuesday, I can't say I'm really angry about what happened.  The funny thing about this week is that my team actually won!  Yet the other results were so damaging to my ego and pretension that I know something about this game that I was nearly despondent by the time Baltimore's game-winning field goal went ...above?  the uprights.

So with that said, I'd like to make an "official" statement: Given what happened in Week 3, I obviously know very little (if anything) about professional football.  I'd like all the readers to keep that in mind from here on out.  I've tried to keep these Rankings objective and to impart some knowledge for the last couple years that I've done it here.  After this week, I'm no longer certain that I should be doing this, since I'm just a fan, and not a particularly knowledgable one.  But I'm not a quitter, so I will at least finish out this season.

I guess the takeaway from all this is that none of us are experts, especially me.  So this column will be less serious from now on, I think.  They're just one guy's view of the NFL and not meant to be taken too seriously.

OK, now that that's done with, there are a TON of stories to cover.  I'm going to try to keep these short so this entry doesn't look too inflated, but with everything that happened, I'm not sure how it'll go.  Bear with me, readers!

First off, there was a game last Thursday.  I remember most of it, I think, but I have to admit it got overshadowed by some of the crazy stuff that went on Sunday and last night.  The Giants went into Carolina minus four starters (including Bradshaw and Nicks) and absolutely beat down the Panthers.  Now, this might seem obvious, but I sure as hell didn't see that happening.  I have to give some credit (oh, how reluctantly!) to Eli Manning and Tom Coughlin.  They were ready to play and they took out some frustration on the Panthers.  Cam Newton played pretty terribly as well.  I have a feeling some of that was forced.  Perhaps even most of it.

To Sunday, and the first stunning result: San Francisco headed to Minnesota and got trapped.  I usually have trouble buying into the notion of the "trap game"; if a team is really as good as they and everyone else say they are, then the "trap game" is an illusion created by outside influences.  What actually happened, of course, is that the 49ers played poorly and the Vikings capitalized on that.  Watching Christian Ponder run through the middle of the 49ers' defense was pretty stunning.  So for everyone who jumped on the 49ers' bandwagon and calling them the best team in the league, I think we should probably back off.  In case anyone is wondering, I asked last week how far this run would go.  As it turns out, it went two weeks, and that's that.  Now, they could start another run...but they have to play better first.

There were three overtime games early on Sunday.  Based on the commentary at the top, I don't think anyone would be surprised that all three of them went contrary to how I picked them.  The Jets, Chiefs, and Titans won, spoiling the early part of my Sunday.  These results dovetail into another topic I wanted to mention, which is the Saints going 0-3 to start.  According to a stat I heard on TV (I forget the exact source, my bad), the Saints' chances of making the playoffs are ~3% now.  Teams that start 0-2 have it bad enough, but 0-3?  Forget it.  As far as the Jets go, they're 2-1 but are now missing Revis for the rest of the season.  Their division is kind of a mess at the moment.  The Titans and Chiefs are still at the bottom, but at least they've got some confidence and a win under their belts.

One nice surprise was that I picked Arizona to beat Philly.  I got that one right, at least.  It's one of the few feathers in my cap after a disatrous week.  Arizona's defense was fairly unstoppable, knocking Michael Vick around all day and forcing a fumble that turned into a TD after a couple solid blocks.  Another surprise was that Kevin Kolb was up to the challenge again and didn't wilt under the pressure.  I'm not completely sold on the Cardinals yet, though.  Their win against the Patriots was a little fluky and I don't see Kolb as being even a "good" QB.  I realize that most QB's have been quite inconsistent and that even the "elite" ones have had games where they looked as bad or worse than the bottom-third at their position.  Still, Kolb wasn't considered a great QB before the season and the results haven't done much to change that perception.  As usual, it comes down to solid playoff performance.  The Cardinals are in the driver's seat at the moment thanks to San Francisco slipping, but they still have a long way to go.

Finally, the last two games of Week 3, and the two worst endings.  Baltimore won late on what appeared to be a missed field goal.  It went above the upright, which by rule results in a made field goal.  But looking at it from the views that were on NBC, I'm not sure it actually went ABOVE the upright and not just to the side of the top.  With the win, Baltimore is now 2-1 and leading the AFC North.  Last night, Seattle won on what has to be the most controversial call of the last 3-5 years.  Russell Wilson threw a pass to the end zone with no time remaining and appeared to be intercepted.  Somehow, Seattle receiver Golden Tate got a hand on the ball, which led one of the officials on the field to call simultaneous possesssion and a Seahawks victory.  The rule for simultaneous possession states that the offensive player gets credit for the catch.  So in this case, Tate got one hand on the ball and apparently caught it.  This ignores the fact that he pushed off quite visibly before the "catch" was made, and the appearance that the Packers DB in the area actually brought the ball in with both hands to his chest.  I think that while there was no indisputable visual evidence that the Packers DB had the ball secured, to give the TD to Seattle reeks.

Now, I can only assume and speculate at this point because I don't really know the mindset of the officials on the field.  But, seeing as the game was played in Seattle and the crowd was going crazy at the time...well, you can draw your own conclusions, readers.  In case it wasn't clear from the previous sentence, I do think that the Seattle crowd had at least some bearing on the call.  And I think the Packers were clearly jobbed, even though the outcome of the play was unclear.

I think that's everything from Week 3 that I wanted to mention.  Readers, I want to know what you thought of these stories, so please share your opinion in the comments!

Here are the Rankings for Week 3:
1.) Atlanta (3-0) [+1]
 Matt Ryan + one of the league's best defenses = 3-0.  If I wasn't already painfully aware of how little I know, I'd be surprised.

2.) Houston (3-0) [+1]
 Matt Schaub + one of the league's best defenses = 3-0.  But not quite good enough to top the Rankings yet.

3.) Arizona (3-0) [+2]
 Not quite sold on the QB situation.  That said, Darnell Dockett and that defense are making plays.

4.) Baltimore (2-1) [+4]
 Better to be lucky than good, huh?  Joe Flacco may not be elite yet, but he's 2-1 so far.

5.) NY Giants (2-1) [-]
 Here come the Giants roaring back into the Rankings.  Let's see how it carries over in Philly on Sunday night.

6.) San Francisco (2-1) [-5]
 Minor slip or something more?  We'll see, but no definitive conclusions.  They head east to take on the Jets in Week 4.

7.) Cincinnati (2-1) [-]
 The Bengals are down a tiebreaker but are looking sharp with consecutive wins.  A.J. Green has to be one of the best WR out there.

8.) Chicago (2-1) [-]
 A statement win, perhaps?  Tied with Minnesota at the top, the Bears head to Dallas with an overrated offense vs. an overrated team.  You can guess which is which.

9.) San Diego (2-1) [-5]
 Like Denver, the Chargers flopped hard against Atlanta.  Is it the start of their usual swoon in KC?

10.) Philadelphia (2-1) [-4]
 Is Vick's play a concern yet?  After next Sunday night, it just might be.

That's all for this week, see you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 4):
Cleveland @ Baltimore (Thursday, NFL Network)
San Francisco @ NY Jets (Sunday, FOX)
Carolina @ Atlanta (Sunday, FOX)
Category: NFL
Posted on: September 19, 2012 12:25 am
 

2012 NFL Power Rankings, Week 2

Greetings, readers!  Week 2 is over, so it's time for another edition of the Rankings.  I know it's a little late compared to last week; I'll try my best to get them out earlier in the afternoon next time.  Still, there's a lot to look at, so let's get to it.

Before I get to the Rankings themselves, there are a number of stories that I thought I would highlight.  I'm sure lots of other outlets have covered them, because they were big, but I wanted to impart my own point-of-view on them.

I think the first story to look at has to be the end of the Redskins @ Rams game.  I'm sure you saw the replays; Josh Morgan made one of the dumber mistakes I've ever seen.  He threw the ball at Rams DB Cortland Finnegan after a contentious play.  He was flagged 15 yards for unsportsmanlike conduct, a penalty that essentially sealed the win for the Rams.  One could also look at the defense the Redskins played for most of the game; they made Sam Bradford look like an elite QB for the first time...maybe ever.  The Rams played well, but without Morgan's mistake they probably have another tough loss on the heels of the Week 1 loss at Detroit.

Secondly, the Saints are 0-2.  They're also the only team in the NFC to not have a win.  It's hard to say that this isn't a referendum on the importance of the head coach, but it's not like the Saints have played sterling defense either.  Also, Drew Brees hasn't played at an elite level yet.  He's thrown INT's at inopportune times that have turned the tide against his team.  That said, while their playoff chances have diminished, they have an opportunity to get back on track this week against Kansas City.

The Patriots were driving late in the game against Arizona when they got cute with the clock and decided to kick a game-winning FG instead of taking an easy touchdown and letting Arizona have the ball back.  Now, we know that New England's defense has not been among the best in the league in the last couple years.  In fact, they've kinda stunk out the joint, to be kind about it.  So far in 2012, though, they look to have improved.  Also, despite a generally poor effort throughout, Brady and co. were driving late.  They did have a questionable holding call on Gronkowski that took away a touchdown, but it seemed that momentum was on their side.  It seemed inevitable that a touchdown would happen.  Instead, they ran out the clock and tried a game-winning FG that Gostkowski missed so incredibly that people are creating new words to describe how much it stunk.  That decision is literally the difference between the Patriots being 2-0 and 1-1.

Speaking of 2-0 teams, it should be noted that there are only 6 unbeaten teams after two weeks.  That number has been steadily decreasing since 2009, as well.  The league has embraced parity.  That said, there'll always be a couple bad teams that start off in the dumpster and don't rise above it.  At least, I think there will be...it's difficult for me to predict what will happen in the NFL successfully.  I already feel a little lost thanks to some of the things that have happened already.

Here are the Rankings for Week 2:

1.) San Francisco (2-0) [+2]
 Aside from a garbage time touchdown, the 49ers defense looked nearly unbeatable Sunday night.  Alex Smith had a couple drives at the end of the game that not only killed the clock but put points on the board when they needed them.  Included in that was a nice TD pass to Vernon Davis.  So after two games they've taken out two playoff teams and looked good doing it.  I know it's too early to come to definitive conclusions, but one has to wonder...how far does this go?  The 49ers were in the NFC championship game back in January, so another run like that doesn't seem far-fetched.  But again, it's early.  All I know is that I'd rather start off like this than not.

2.) Atlanta (2-0) [+3]
 Home teams did unusually well this week.  Atlanta has played exceptionally well in the Georgia Dome since Matt Ryan and head coach Mike Smith came aboard.  So I guess it's not a huge surprise that the Falcons played well last night in taking out Denver.  Of course, it helps that Peyton Manning threw three picks in the first quarter...but yeah.  Atlanta's offense ran smoothly for most of the night, and their defense came up huge on the second-to-last Denver drive when Manning got sacked on 3rd down.  That play won the game, I think.  Atlanta now has a slight edge in the division; what I would look at in the next couple weeks is how they build off of this win, especially if they go on the road.

3.) Houston (2-0) [+5]
 It's hard to say that I'm surprised by the Texans feasting on what looks like weaker competition at this point.  Usually, they would have thrown a monkey wrench into their own machine and screwed up one of those games.  Let's be honest, though, that division is theirs for the taking, and I'd be surprised if they even needed 10 wins to get it done.  They head up to Denver in Week 3 and that should be a better test of their defense's abilities.  So far, they're aces.

4.) San Diego (2-0) [-]
 I guess I should have had the Chargers in last week.  But I didn't, and they gave me a pleasant surprise.  That's always nice.  They're 2-0 based off of beating weaker competition; Philip Rivers has played quite well, though.  He has to continue like this, keeping the mistakes to a minimum and tossing TD's to whoever's healthy enough to catch 'em.

5.) Arizona (2-0) [-]
 Apparently, that victory against Seattle last week was worth more than I figured.  And despite the boneheaded fumble against the Pats, things worked out and now the Cardinals are 2-0.  If it sounds like I'm doubtful of Arizona...well, I am.  I don't think they're playoff-bound, whatever the odds might say about 2-0 teams.  I know, they have a good shot, especially given how some of the supposed "power" teams in the conference have performed thus far.  But they still have to contend with the 49ers.  Let's see how those games turn out before we "crown" Arizona prematurely.

6.) Philadelphia (2-0) [-]
 The Eagles are literally getting just enough defense so far.  Their margin of victory?  Two points.  I don't think Michael Vick can continue playing as wildly as he has and keep winning.  It also seems unlikely that he'll play all 16 games at this rate, either.  In any case, Philly's the ugliest 2-0 team out there.  That sentiment may annoy their fans, but an objective viewer can hardly conclude otherwise.

7.) Pittsburgh (1-1) [-]
 A defensive unit minus Polamalu and Harrison held the Jets to 10 points.  After that 48 point explosion in Week 1, the Jets looked downright ordinary, and I would say that most of that has to do with the Steelers.  It's become popular to say that defense has been legislated out of the league (and I'm assuming that because Michael Wilbon thinks it that other people agree), but the Steelers are one of the few teams that came to play on that side of the field.  Yes, they got burned in Denver, but then they rediscovered their motivation at home against what looked like a heavily overrated team.

8.) Baltimore (1-1) [-4]
 Another year, another Week 2 hiccup for Joe Flacco and the Ravens.  Much like last year, when they had an utterly disappointing loss to Tennessee, Baltimore went into Week 2 high off a complete decimation and basically stunk up the joint.  Now, I'll be a bit more kind and say that this loss was nowhere near as bad as the one last year against Tennessee.  But the result is the same, isn't it?  Joe Flacco once again proved that he's neither an elite QB nor a reliable one; he couldn't make the plays when it mattered.  But the more surprising thing is the final Eagles drive that sealed the game: Michael Vick ran a QB draw and the Ravens were powerless to stop him.  Really?  That seems unexpected.

9.) New England (1-1) [-8]
 I already took a look at the play that decided their game against Arizona.  So there's really not much else to say.  I guess the couple roster moves they made in the last day or two could have an impact.  Or it could just be window dressing.  All I know is that Brandon Lloyd looked more like another guy who wore 85 than the guy he was while playing in Denver and St. Louis last season.  Also, the Pats offensive line isn't protecting like it usually does.

10.) Denver (1-1) [-8]
 Three INT's in the first quarter.  Yeah, that pretty much sealed it, even with a savant like Peyton Manning playing QB.  They had a chance late, but a crucial drive-ending sack on 3rd down killed it.  The Broncos made it close, but they continue to be a frustrating bunch, winning when they have no business doing so and losing games they ought to win.  Even with the change at QB from a guy who couldn't throw to a guy that throws it as well as anyone in the last 15 years, Denver continues to be inconsistent.  So now they host the Texans at home in Week 3, and your guess is as good as mine as to what happens.

That's all for this week.  See you next week.

Three Games to Watch (Week 3):
Atlanta @ San Diego (FOX)
Philadelphia @ Arizona (FOX)
New England @ Baltimore (NBC)
Category: NFL
Posted on: December 21, 2011 9:07 pm
 

2011 NFL Power Rankings, Week 15

There are times when parity in the NFL just gets annoying.  This week was one of them.

Finally, there are no more undefeated teams.  The Packers lost to Kansas City in one of the more improbable results of 2011 and some believe that they're "in trouble" thanks to injuries on the offensive line and to star WR Greg Jennings.  I think that's ridiculous; they didn't fluke their way to 13-0, even with a leaky sieve of a defense.  Injuries on the O-line are troublesome, there's no doubt about that.  But I don't think it's to such a degree that the Packers go from the best team in the league to a team that's "in trouble".

Then again, if the Packers don't repeat, so much the better.

Here are the standings for Week 15:

Prisco: 9-7
Red: 7-9
King: 9-7

None of us did that great, but I really took it on the chin.  I could go through all the mistakes, but we saw how teams played.  We know what happened.

Here are the Rankings for Week 15:

1.) New Orleans (11-3) [+1]
 This is not to say that the Saints are better; in fact, the Packers already beat New Orleans in Week 1.  Does anyone still remember that game?  I admit, it's becoming more and more obscure with distance.  Anyway, the Packers lost this week while the Saints put up a ton of points on the hapless Vikings, so the Saints are moving up this week while the Packers drop a spot.  That's just how these things go.

2.) Green Bay (13-1) [-1]
  Like I said above, I don't think this team is in trouble.  There are still two weeks left in the season, plus a bye and home-field advantage throughout (let's face it, they're not losing out), so there is time to get things straightened out.  Plus, without the whole undefeated bugaboo holding them down and/or back, they should be feeling free.  Aaron Rodgers isn't injured, so they've got a chance to win.

3.) New England (11-3) [+2]
 Apparently, this Denver team doesn't bother Tom Brady.  Even the defense stiffened.  Losing Andre Carter will probably hurt them in the playoffs, but it's hard not to see the Pats winning out and getting a first-round bye.

4.) San Francisco (11-3) [+3]
 Despite the power outages, the 49ers persevered and got a tough win at home.  I guess it would have been better had the Steelers shown up, but whatever.  A win is a win, right?  Just when it looked like San Francisco was getting a little too pleased with itself, they go out and beat one of the better teams in the league.  I'm not sure if they can hold off New Orleans for the #2 seed, but if they keep playing like they did on Monday, it'll be a heck of a race.

5.) Houston (10-4) [-2]
 It's funny how the Texans can beat good teams and then lose to Carolina.  I hesitate to say that T.J. Yates was "exposed" or what have you.  He's not a good QB to begin with.

6.) Pittsburgh (10-4) [-2]
 I don't think it was expected that the Steelers would lose in SF, nor should it have been.  But with Roethlisberger's injury, plus his rash of turnovers, they apparently didn't have much of a chance.  I wish I had known that beforehand.

7.) Baltimore (10-4) [-1]
 I know that Baltimore should technically be in front of Pittsburgh, but can you really blame me for moving them down after that pathetic non-effort they put in on Sunday night?  Well, whatever, it doesn't matter.  Losing to the Chargers, even when they're no longer slumbering, is pretty embarrassing given that Rivers was throwing games away with regularity just a couple weeks ago.  We all expect Baltimore's defense to do more than it did, as well.  They looked absolutely pathetic, unable to cover anybody or hit Rivers in the mouth.  Once again, another disappointing and inexplicable loss.

8.) Atlanta (9-5) [+1]
 It seems funny to say it now, but I had a hunch that Atlanta would do something like this late in the season.  There's just too much talent there for them to flounder around.  Hard to see them catching New Orleans for the division, but the Wild Card is theirs to lose.  Given how home-field worked for them last season, maybe a road playoff game or two would be better to build some character.  Or display some character, who knows.  There are no guarantees, but with Matt Ryan and those receivers, I imagine Atlanta is a tough out if they're playing like they're capable of.

9.) Detroit (9-5) [+1]
 Why is it that nobody can figure out that covering Calvin Johnson is a good idea?  And that leaving him open for even a second will lead to very bad things.  We know the Lions started out great and then got sidetracked in the wilderness there for a bit.  Where do they go from here?  Well, they have San Diego in Week 16, and that seems troublesome.  But this Lions team specializes in comebacks and we've seen San Diego's vulnerability arise in that specific area.  So at this point I'd call it a wash.

10.) Dallas (8-6) [-]
 Nothing better for the Cowboys than to go out on Saturday, beat Tampa Bay, and then watch Sunday as the Giants somehow find a way to fall flat on their goddamn faces to Washington.  I imagine any number of Cowboys players (and coaches, and maybe even Jerry himself) saying a prayer of thanks for that one.  Still, they play Philadelphia and the Giants to close out, and as a Cowboys fan, I've gotta say I have a bad feeling.  It's not like they can't win both of these remaining games...it's just not bloody likely.

Just one team dropped out of the Rankings this week. It was the Jets.  Good riddance, I say; that's what you get for losing to Philadelphia and giving them false hope about making the playoffs.  Yeesh.

I'll take the Texans tomorrow night; the Colts might be a little frisky thanks to finally winning a game, but they can't afford to keep winning, blah, blah, blah.

Thanks for reading.  See you next week! 
Category: NFL
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com