Tag:Packers
Posted on: January 6, 2011 10:12 am
Edited on: January 7, 2011 4:02 pm
 

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

The playoffs are finally here!  This is my favorite time of the year, there is nothing like playoff NFL football.  Wildcard weekend will feature 4 games, 3 of which have a spread of 3 or less points.  The home teams are favored in all but one of the close spread games and normally Vegas gives the home team three points so Vegas is basically saying those two games are pick'ems.  I finished the season above .500 against the spread but barely.  This is my time to shine and I am predicting I will have a better than .800 record during the playoffs.  Let's get down to business...here we go...

Saturday, January 8th - 4:30 PM - New Orleans Saints (-10.5) at Seattle Seahawks - Mole & Meares Show Pick - Seattle Seahawks

At first blush this line seems really big, especially considering both Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory are done for the season.  The Saints running game will have to rely heavily on Julius Jones and Reggie Bush to step up or they will become one dimensional for the entire playoffs.  The Saints will win this game, especially considering the quarterback situation with the Seahawks.  Both Hasselbeck and Whitehurst have been sharing reps in practice this week meaning they have yet to decide on who will start the game.  I am not confident that the Saints will cover the spread though, mainly due to Seattle being at home and the Saints having to rely heavily on the pass.  I will take the points and take the Seahawks to cover.

Saturday, January 8th - 8:20 PM - New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) - Mole & Meares Show Pick  - New York Jets

This game is a rematch of last year's AFC Championship game where the Colts came out on top.  This is a completely different Colts team who, although they have won four straight games, is no where near the caliber of team they were last year.  Injuries have taken their toll on both sides of the ball and if it wasn't for Peyton Manning the Colts would have been 4-12 this year.  I like the matchup of the Jets defense against a depleted Colts offense and although I don't think the Jets will put up many points I believe they will put up enough to win this game outright.  I will take the two and a half points and take the Jets to win on the road.

Sunday, January 9th - 1:00 PM - Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Kansas City Chiefs - Mole & Meares Show Pick - Baltimore Ravens

There are a lot of factors going in the Chiefs favor in this game.  First they are 7-1 at Arrowhead stadium this year which is a very difficult place for opposing teams to play.  Second, they are basically playing with house money as no one expected them to be in the playoffs this year let alone host a first round game.  Third, they have the leading rusher in the NFL this season in Jamal Charles.  With all of that said I believe experience is going to play a huge role in this game.  The Ravens have been here before and they know how to win a road playoff game in a hostile environment.  The Ravens offense is much improved from a year ago with new weapons at the wide receiver position and Ray Rice can bruise opposing defenses with the run.   The Ravens defense will need to find away to shut down Charles and force Cassel to beat them through the air which I don't believe he can do.  I will give the three points and take the Ravens on the road.

Sunday, January 9th - 4:30 PM - Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) - Mole & Meares Show Pick - Philadelphia Eagles

This is the marquee game of the weekend.  The Green Bay Packers were a lot of people's preseason pick to represent the NFC in the Superbowl.  Since then they have been decimated with injuries but have found a way to make it to the playoffs.  Aaron Rodgers is having a great season when he is able to stay healthy and on the field.  The Packers have absolutely no running game and are basically a one dimensional team.  The Philadelphia Eagles, on the other hand, were not on anyone's radar before the start of the season, they were supposed to be in a rebuilding year.  But Michael Vick has proven he can still play quarterback and is perhaps playing better than when he was in Atlanta.  Even though the Eagles defense has been brutal this year I believe they can game plan accordingly for a team that is only going to throw the ball.  The x factor in this game is Vick, can the Packers contain him and keep him bottled up?  I like the Eagles to pull this one out at home so I will give the two and a half points and take Philadelphia.

There you have it, my wildcard playoff game picks against the spread.  I have a good feeling that I am going to get off to a great start in this year's playoffs.  Do you see the games going differently?  Let me know by leaving a comment below.  Also, on my site, www.moleandmeares.com, we are running a playoff contest for a chance to win a great prize.  You have to pick the participants in both the AFC and NFC championship games, the teams in the Superbowl and the eventual Superbowl winner.  Make sure to sign up before Saturday and Good Luck!

Mole & Meares
Posted on: December 31, 2010 1:16 pm
Edited on: December 31, 2010 1:21 pm
 

NFL Week 17 Playoff Predictions

Normally I make my picks against the spread at this time but i am going to forgo that option this week as their are so many games that are not going to be played with starters, etc.  What I am going to do this week is make my playoff predictions.  I will tell you what three teams will lock up playoff spots on Sunday and which teams will make it to the Superbowl.  At the beginning of the season, I predicted the Packers vs the Ravens in the Superbowl and it appears as though both of those teams will make the playoffs.  Lets see how far away from my beginning prediction I end up now.  Here we go...

NFC Playoff seeds

1.  Atlanta Falcons (bye)

2.  Chicago Bears (bye)

3.  Philadelphia Eagles

4.  St. Louis Rams

5.  New Orleans Saints

6.  Green Bay Packers

With the above seeds in place the wild card round of the playoffs will feature the Packers traveling to Philly and the Saints going into St. Louis.  I like one road team in these games and that would be the Saints.  

Divisional playoff weekend will feature the Eagles at the Bears and the Saints at the Falcons.  This would make for two great games and I believe we will see the home teams come out victorious in both situations setting up a Bears/Falcons NFL Conference Championship.

I like the way the Falcons are playing this year, they can run the ball effectively and Matt Ryan has progressed as a starting quarterback and is having the best year of his short career.  I believe he is ready to take the next step and lead his team to the Superbowl so I will take the Falcons to top the Bears in a close, hard fought game.

AFC Playoff seeds

1.  New England Patriots

2.  Pittsburgh Steelers

3.  Kansas City Chiefs

4.  Indianapolis Colts

5.  Baltimore Ravens

6.  New York Jets

With the above seeds, the wild card weekend in the AFC should feature some interesting games as the Jets will travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs and the Ravens will go into Indianapolis to face the Colts.  Again, I like one road team in this situation with the Ravens shutting down Peyton Manning and company.

Divisional playoff weekend would then feature the Ravens going into New England and the Chiefs traveling to Pittsburgh.  Tough to go against the home teams in either of these situations.

The AFC championship would then feature the Steelers traveling into New England to face the Patriots.  Tom Brady has owned the Steelers in his career and I am not sure how this game is going to end up differently.  I like New England to come out on top and return to the Superbowl.  

That would set up a Falcons/Patriots Superbowl which would be a great game featuring the two top teams from each conference.  I will not bet against Tom Brady to lose another Superbowl so I will take the Patriots and their high powered offense to win the game.

Do you have a different opinion?  Let me know by leaving comments...also don't forget to visit my website, www.moleandmeares.com, where we have a weekly NFL picks video that was featured on Showtime's Inside the NFL.  

Meares

Posted on: December 23, 2010 10:07 am
 

NFL Week 16 Picks

Well...I just cannot get on track with my picks against the spread.  I went 8-8 last week which marks the third time in a row I haven't been able to go above .500.  On top of that, my online NFL picks show, The Mole & Meares Show, was supposed to be featured in a segment on Inside the NFL last night but the segment was postponed again!  I am not going to make any promises on when it is going to air anymore so as to not jinx myself.  Two weeks left in the NFL regular season in order to get my overall record to be respectable.  I have done extra homework this week to hopefully put up some decent numbers.  Here we go...

Record to Date - 74-68-3

Carolina at Pittsburgh (-14) - Pittsburgh Steelers - The Thursday night game couldn't be much more of a bore than watching the Steelers decimate the Panthers.  If you don't have the NFL network it really isn't that big of a deal.  14 points is a lot to give in an NFL game but I am willing to give the points in this one because I don't think the Panthers are going to score.

Dallas at Arizona (+7) - Dallas Cowboys - Another boring game on the NFL network on Christmas day.  Don't worry about turning it on, enjoy the time with your family and opening gifts.  This game isn't going to be close as the Cowboys will be way too much for the Cardinals to handle.  I will give the seven and take the Boys on the road.

New England at Buffalo (+7.5) - Buffalo Bills - Let me be clear, I, in no way, believe the Bills are going to win this game.  I do, however, believe that Buffalo is going to play them tough and keep it close for much of the game.  The elements in Buffalo, combined with the fact that the Bills have played many opponents tough this year, makes me think this will be closer than 7 points.  Give me the 7 and a half and I will take the Bills to circle the wagons at home. 

NY Jets at Chicago (-1) - NY Jets - The Bears clinched their division last week and although they would like to lock up the second seed I think they are primed for a let down game.  The Jets on the other hand are clinging to a playoff spot and need a victory this week to solidify their post season hopes.  They are coming off an enormous win at Pittsburgh last week and should be playing with a renewed confidence.  I will take the one measly point and take the Jets on the road.

Baltimore at Cleveland (+3) - Baltimore Ravens - The Cleveland Browns are a team that I just can't get a read on.  This game should be a battle but after the loss that Cleveland suffered last week and the win the Ravens had at home against the Saints, I think this line is too small.  I like the Ravens to punch the Browns in the mouth for 60 minutes so I will give the points and take the Ravens.

Tennessee at Kansas City (-4.5) - Kansas City Chiefs - There is no doubt that when Matt Cassell is behind center for the Chiefs they are a good football team.  They need a win this week to put a strangle hold on the AFC West and Tennessee is only playing for pride.  Kansas City is a tough place to play for good teams and Tennessee is not a good team.  I will give the points and take the Chiefs at home.

San Francisco at St. Louis (-2.5) - St. Louis Rams - This is a huge game in the worst division in the NFL.  San Francisco, who is 5-9, holds their own playoff destiny in their hands which is incredible.  With that said, the Rams are the better team and if Sam Bradford and Steven Jackson can find a way to get the ball in the endzone the Rams should have no problem taking this one at home.  I will give the points and take the Rams to win at home.

Detroit at Miami (-3.5) - Detroit Lions - The Lions are coming off a big win in Tampa Bay last week.  Perhaps they enjoy playing in Florida in December.  The Dolphins lost a heart breaker against the Bills at home last week ending any chance of making the playoffs.  The Lions are a young team that is hungry to win  and I think they are going to want this game more the Dolphins.  I will take the points and take the Lions in Florida.

Minnesota at Philadelphia (-15.5) - Philadelphia Eagles - Was there a better game last week than the Eagles coming back from 21 points with less than 8 minutes to go in the game?  The Eagles confidence has to be at an all time high and they get to face an Adrian Peterson and Brett Favre-less Vikings team at home this week with a chance to lock up the NFC East.  The line could be 21 and I would still take the Eagles.  

Seattle at Tampa Bay (-5.5) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tampa Bay's playoff hopes took a huge hit at home last week when they lost to the Lions.  With that said, this team is young and hungry and still thinks they have a chance.  The Seahawks are absolutely brutal on the road and traveling across country from west to east never works out well for the west coast team.  I will give the five and a half points and take the Bucs.

Washington at Jacksonville (-7) - Jacksonville Jaguars - The Redskins are in complete turmoil, McNabb has been benched, Haynesworth suspended, Rex Grossman is starting at quarterback, none of this sounds good.  The Jaguars need a win to keep pace with the Colts for the AFC South.  I have no problem giving the 7 points here and taking the Jaguars at home.

Indianapolis at Oakland (+3) - Indianapolis Colts - Peyton Manning willed the Colts to victory last week against the Jaguars and now holds the playoff hopes of the entire city of Indianapolis in his hands; he usually doesn't disappoint.  Oakland has been playing well this year and is much improved from last season but I think this is where the dream ends for them.  I will give the three points and take the Colts on the road.

Houston at Denver (+3) - Denver Broncos - Tim Tebow made his first NFL start last week and played better than many expected.  Look for Denver to loosen the leash a little more on him this week and allow him to throw the ball around more.  The Texans have just had a brutal season and I don't think it is going to get any better this week.   I like the Tebow led Broncos to win this game outright so I will take the 3 points and take the Bronocs at home.

NY Giants at Green Bay (-2.5) - Green Bay Packers - The Giants will not win another game this year after their horrific collapse in the new Meadowlands this past week.  Tom Coughlin is now on the hot seat and when they don't make the playoffs for the second consecutive year he will no longer be employed.  The Packers get Aaron Rodgers back this week and if they can win out they can still make the playoffs.  I like the Packers in Lambeau in December no matter who they are playing so I will give the points and take the Packers.

San Diego at Cincinnati (+7) - San Diego Chargers - The Cincinnati Bengals ended their 10 game skid last week but will be ready to start another losing streak this week.  The Chargers till believe they can make the playoffs and they have had a few extra days to prepare for the Bengals.  Philip Rivers will rip apart the weak Bengals secondary and the Chargers will easily cover the 7 point spread.

New Orleans at Atlanta (-2.5) - Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons just continue to win and impress me at the same time.  I keep waiting for the let down game but it seems as though it will never come.  The Saints are coming off a loss to the Ravens on Sunday and would love to go into Atlanta and win but unfortunately that is not going to happen.  The Ravens exposed the Saints defense last week and I guarantee you the Falcons coaching staff was paying attention.  Look for Michael Turner to have a monster game and the Falcons to cover the two and a half point spread.

There are my week 16 picks ATS.  Check back next week to see how I did.

Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week.  We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 16 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize!  Good Luck!

Meares
Posted on: December 16, 2010 11:13 am
 

NFL Week 15 Picks

The only thing I can say about last week is...ouch!  I went 6-10 and it was by far my worst week of the year.  It isn't going to get any easier this week as we have a ton of games with major playoff implications which usually means close games.  I need to give a quick plug to my online NFL picks show, The Mole & Meares Show (www.moleandmeares.com), which will be featured on Showtime's Inside the NFL on December 22nd.  Our show this week was shot on the set of Inside the NFL and professional edited by NFL Films.  I want to thank NFL Films, Jason Weber and Susannah Collins for making all of this possible.  Okay, enough self promotion, on to the picks.  Here we go...

Record to date (66-60-3)

San Francisco at San Diego (-10) - San Diego Chargers - This game features two teams that are fighting for their respective playoff lives.  A loss will virtually eliminate each team from playoff contention.  With that said, San Diego is clearly the better team and with this game being at home I like the Chargers to win big so I am okay giving the 10 points.

Cleveland at Cincinnati (-1) - Cincinnati Bengals - One of the few games that features two teams with absolutely nothing to play for but pride.  The Bengals have lost 10 games in a row so something has to give and I think this is one of those divisional games they will step it up for and show some pride.  I like the Bengals at home and giving a point is fine by me. 

Washington at Dallas (-6) - Dallas Cowboys - Another game with absolutely no playoff implications.  Dallas has been vastly improved since the firing of Wade Phillips and Washington has been playing brutally bad of late, losing a game last week due to a botched extra point.  Witht his game being in Dallas, I like that explosive Cowboys offensive to take care of business so I will give the points and take the Boys at home.

Houston at Tennessee (-1.5) - Houston Texans - The last of the games featuring two teams with no chance of making the playoffs.  Houston started the season with so much promise being the Colts at home for the first time.  Since then they have really struggled and came up short last week against the Ravens.  With that said I think they are a better team than the Titans and will win a road game for the first time in a long time.  I will take the little bit of points and put my money on the Texans.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-5) - Jacksonville Jaguars - One of the biggest games of the week.  If Jacksonville wins they all but lock up the AFC South and their first division crown in a long time.  Peyton Manning is still playing with players from the JV team but never count him out.  I think the Colts will pull this one out but it will be too close for me to give 5 points so I will take the points and take the Jaguars.

Kansas City at St. Louis OFF - St. Louis - This game is off the board due to the uncertainty surrounding Matt Cassell's playing status for Sunday.  If he plays I think the Chiefs have a chance to win, unfortunately I don't think he is going to be able to suit up so I will take the Rams to win this game and move one step closer to a division crown.

Buffalo at Miami (-5.5) - Miami Dolphins - The Dolphins still have the smallest glimmer of hope of making the playoffs...they would have to win out and hope everyone else loses but stranger things have happened.  They are coming off arguably their biggest win of the season against the Jets.  The Bills are also coming off a win but I think Miami's rushing attack is going to be too much for them to handle.  I will give the points and take the Dolphins at home.

Detroit at Tampa Bay (-6) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Buccaneers are fighting for a playoff spot and still have an outside chance of getting in if they can win out.  Detroit is coming off their biggest win of the season when they took out both Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week.  I think Tampa Bay is definitely the better team here and is out to prove they deserve to play in January so I will give the 6 points and take the Bucs at home.

Arizona at Carolina (-3) - Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals are still alive, albeit barely, in their division even though they have looked like a high school team at times this season.  Carolina is the worst team in the NFC and probably the entire NFL.  Even though the Cardinals have been absolutely dreadful on the road this year I think they will want this game more than Carolina so I will take the points and pray the Cardinals find a way to pull this out on the road.

New Orleans at Baltimore (-1) - Baltimore Ravens - Another one of the featured games of the week.  New Orleans has quietly returned to their Superbowl champion form over the past few weeks and travels into Baltimore to face the stingy Ravens defense.  If this game was played in New Orleans I would take the Saints and put my mortgage payment on it but since it will be in Baltimore, played outside in wintry conditions, I like the Ravens rushing attack and their defense to hinder the pass happy Saints offense.  I will give the point and take the Ravens at home to end the Saints run of 6 games in a row.

Philadelphia at NY Giants (-3) - Philadelphia Eagles - Ok, I will admit, I am a little biased in this pick being a diehard Eagles fan, but at the same time I think the Eagles can win this game.  The Giants did contain Michael Vick the last time these two teams met and they will probably do the same this time.  With that said the Eagles have been running the ball much better in recent weeks and if they stick to the run game I like them to pull this out.  I will take the points and take the Eagles, big surprise, I know.

Atlanta at Seattle (+7) - Seattle Seahawks - This is my upset pick of the week.  Do I think the Seahawks are going to win out right?  Probably not but I like them to keep this close.  The Seahawks are fighting for their division title and the Falcons have a huge game against the Saints the following week and have to travel across country to play in a difficult stadium.  If there is a week where there is a chance for the Falcons to stumble then it is this week and this game.  I will take the 7 points in the only game featuring a home dog and I will take the Seahawks.

NY Jets at Pittsburgh (-6) - NY Jets - This game features two of the premier defenses in the NFL and that is the ONLY reason I will take the Jets.  I think the Steelers will win this game but it will come down to a game winning field goal in the final seconds.  6 points is just too much to give in a game that might have a combined 20 points scored.  Give me the points and the Jets.

Denver at Oakland (-7) - Oakland Raiders - The Raiders are playing Raider football and they are playing it well.  They are pounding the ball down the throats  of their opponents and getting to the quarterback on defense.  The Broncos season is over and they have nothing to play for but pride.  The Raiders on the other hand have a chance to win their division if they get some help down the stretch.  I believe the Raiders will run the ball all over the Broncos so I have no problem giving the 7 points and taking the Raiders.

Green Bay at New England OFF - New England Patriots - This game is off the board due to the uncertainty of Aaron Rodgers playing status.  If Rodgers doesn't play then Green Bay has absolutely no shot at winning this game.  If he does play they have a tiny chance of winning.  The one thing that scares me is this is a must win game for the Packers whereas for the Patriots they can basically go on cruise control.  With that said, I still like the Patriots at home, their offense is way too good.

Chicago at Minnesota OFF - Chicago Bears - This game is also off the board but for mulitple reasons.  We have no idea who will be taking the snaps behind center for Minnesota and it will be played at the University of Minnesota's stadium where it will be really &^%$# cold.  Chicago needs to rebound after getting embarrassed by the Patriots last week and there is no better team to take out your anger on then the Minnesota Vikings.  I don't care if Brett Farve plays or not, Chicago will win this game.

There are my week 15 picks ATS.  Check back next week to see how I did.

Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week.  We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 14 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize!  Good Luck!

Meares
Posted on: December 9, 2010 10:45 am
Edited on: December 13, 2010 2:50 pm
 

NFL Week 14 Picks

Not a stellar week for me last week as I went 8-8 ATS.  More importantly, my online NFL picks show, The Mole & Meares Show, caught the eye of Showtime's Inside the NFL and is going to be featured as a segment next week, December 22nd at 9 pm on Showtime.  You can check out our most recent show at www.moleandmeares.com where Susannah from Showtime appears as a guest at around the 5 minute mark.  Okay, enough self promotion, lets get on with the picks, here we go...

Record to date (60-50-3)

Indianapolis at Tennessee (+3.5) - Indianapolis Colts - Peyton Manning has thrown 11 interceptions in the last 3 games and 4 for touchdowns in the last 2 games.  That is not the Peyton Manning we are used to seeing.  This week he has a favorable matchup against the reeling Titans.  The Colts should win this game comfortably because of the turmoil going on in Tennessee, remember they were shutout by the Texans who have one of the worst defenses in the league.

Cleveland at Buffalo (pick em) - Cleveland Browns - This game features two teams that I believe will have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs...next year.   The Browns are playing better all around football than the Bills and Peyton Hillis will have a huge game this week.  I will take the Browns.

New England at Chicago (+3) - New England Patriots - Game of the week.  The Bears have a chance to prove that they belong among the elite teams in the NFL, a place the Patriots are already in.  Unfortunately for the Bears, I don't think they have much of a chance.  I will give the 3 points on the road and take the Patriots and feel very confident.

Tampa Bay at Washington (+2) - Washington Redskins - This line seems awfully small for a Buccaneers team that has shown they can play with anyone in the NFC.  With that said, Vegas usually knows what they are talking about and I think the Redskins are poised to win a game now that the cancer of Haynesworth is no longer lingering in the locker room.  I will take the points and take the Redskins.

Atlanta at Carolina (+7.5) - Atlanta Falcons - I am hesitant to give up more than a touchdown in this game because I feel like it could be a trap game for the Falcons.  The Panthers are running the ball better and the Falcons have had some close games recently that could be taking their tool on their confidence.  If they are looking ahead to their match up with the Saints they could end up fighting to the end.  With that said I will still give the points and take the Falcons on the road.

Oakland at Jacksonville (-4) - Jacksonville Jaguars - I have yet to buy into either one of these teams but the Jaguars are leading their division and this is a must win road game for the Raiders.  Comparing these two teams, they both play the same game, pound the ball down their opponents throats and play stingy defense.  I like Garrard over Jason Campbell so I will give the points and take the Jags.

Green Bay at Detroit (+6.5) - Green Bay Packers - Detroit has been playing almost every opponent tough this year and have been covering a lot of spreads.  With that said I think the Packers are one of the most dangerous teams left in the NFC and they will take care of business in Detroit.  Look for Aaron Rodgers to have a big day against the weak Detroit secondary.  I will give the points and take the Packers on the road.

NY Giants at Minnesota (+1) - NY Giants - This should be a very interesting game with the quarterback situation in Minnesota.  If Farve starts will he be effective?  If Tavaris Jackson starts with the Giants D eat him alive?  Either way, the Giants need a victory to keep pace in the NFC east and they will be ready to play.  I will give the one point and take the Giants on the road.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-8.5) - Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh won a huge game this past week against the Ravens and now they face the lowly Bengals.  The Steelers seem to have played to their competition this year and I am not willing to give up 8 and half points to a team they lost to twice last season.  I think the Bengals keep this close and cover the spread.

St. Louis at New Orleans (-9.5) - St. Louis Rams - The Saints are another team that seems to be playing to the level of their competition and the Rams are a much improved team.  Sam Bradford seems poised to win the Rookie of the Year award in a runaway and I think he will play well in the dome at New Orleans.  I will take the points and take St. Louis.

Seattle at San Francisco (-5.5) - Seattle Seahawks - This line is sort of baffling to me.  The 49ers have a huge issue at quarterback and have decided to go back to Alex Smith this week.  As bad as the Seahawks have been on the road they need to win this game to keep pace in the NFC west and I think they will win this game outright so I have no problem taking the points.

Miami at NY Jets (-5.5) - NY Jets - The Jets are coming off of an embarrassing loss to the Patriots last week and this team has too much pride to allow themselves to play two bad games in a row.  People are questioning how good the Jets really are and I think they will prove this week they are still contenders in the AFC.  I will give the points and take the Jets at home.

Denver at Arizona (+5.5) - Denver Broncos - If the trend continues, when a team fires their coach they tend to play with more passion and more enthusiasm (see Cowboys and Vikings).  The Cardinals are just not a good team this year and the decision to allow Leinart to leave has seemed to have backfired.  I will give the points and take the Broncos on the road.

Kansas City at San Diego (-6.5) - Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have a chance to sweep the season series against the Chargers and at the same time eliminate the Chargers from the division race.  The Chargers are really hampered by injuries and Kansas City has a really good rushing attack.  I like the Chiefs to win this game outright so I will take the points and take the Chiefs on the road.

Philadelphia at Dallas (+3.5) - Philadelphia Eagles - The last two times this time faced each other, Dallas beat the Eagles and eliminated them from the playoffs.  The Cowboys have been playing much better since Garrett took over the head coaching duties.  The Eagles will take advantage of their speed against a Dallas defense that hasn't been really good this year and I will give the points and take the Eagles.

Baltimore at Houston (+3) - Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens are coming off a very tough loss against the Steelers.  The Texans have had a couple of extra days to rest before this game but I still think Baltimore is going to be too much for the Texans to handle.  I will give the points on the road again and take the Ravens.

There are my week 14 picks ATS.  Check back next week to see how I did.

Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week.  We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 14 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize!  Good Luck!

Meares
Posted on: December 2, 2010 9:49 am
Edited on: December 2, 2010 9:51 am
 

NFL Week 13 Picks

So I didn't put my picks up last week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, for week 11 I went 9-6-1, which is respectable.  I am feeling very confident this week as the games seem to be slightly easier then in weeks past.  With that said I am sure I will go under .500 this week.  Here we go...

Record to date (52-42-3)

Houston at Philadelphia (-9) - Houston Texans - The Eagles are coming off a very difficult loss and are on short rest against the visiting Texans.  I believe the Eagles will win this game but 9 points is a bit too much for my liking so I will take the Texans with the points.

Jacksonville at Tennessee (no line) - Jacksonville Jaguars - Not sure why there is no line for this game but even if there was I would still take Jacksonville whether they were favorited or not.  Tennessee is in a world of hurt right now with a rookie quarterback who looks like a rookie quarterback leading their team.  Should be an easy win for the Jaguars.

Denver at Kansas City (-9) - Kansas City Chiefs - Although this is a pretty large line, I really like the way Kansas City is playing and the Broncos have not been putting up a fight lately.  I think the Chiefs will take care of business and easily cover the 9.

Washington at New York Giants (-7) - Washington Redskins - Seven points is a lot to give up in a heated divisional rivalry game so I will take the points and the Redskins.  They lost a tough game to the Vikings last week but I still think they can compete and will keep the game close.

Chicago at Detroit (+3.5) - Detroit Lions - I think the Bears are poised for a letdown game this week and Detroit has played almost all of its opponents tough this year.  I like the Lions straight up this game so I will definitely take the 3 and half points and take the Lions.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (+3) - Atlanta Falcons - I can almost say the same thing about the Falcons as I did about the Bears, this could be a letdown game for them.  I also believe that the Falcons are a much more complete team than the Bears and they will not allow the Buccaneers to be overlooked.  I will give the 3 and take the Falcons.

New Orleans at Cincinnati (+7) - New Orleans Saints - This line seems way too low to me.  The Bengals season is over and they have looked absolutely terrible at times this season.  The Saints are playing the best football they have played all year.  If they were giving 14 I would still take the Saints.

Buffalo at Minnesota (-6) - Buffalo Bills - The Bills are the best one win team in the history of the NFL through 12 weeks.  This game will be close and could go either way.  With that said I will take the points and the Bills all day long.

Cleveland at Miami (-4.5) - Cleveland Browns - I have been riding the Browns for over a month now and I they haven't been proving me right.  I am going to ride them for one more week.  I think they can win this game against the Dolphins because Miami is not very good against the run.  Give me the 4 and a half points and I will take the Browns.

San Francisco at Green Bay (-10) - Green Bay Packers - San Francisco is one of those teams that I cannot get a read on this year.  Green Bay is coming off a brutal last minute loss to the Falcons and they will be ready for the 49ers.  I think this game could get out of hand fast so I will give the 10 and take the Packers.

Oakland at San Diego (-13) - San Diego Chargers - The fact that this is the biggest line of the week really surprises me.  I know San Diego is playing well but 13 points in a pivotal division showdown seems like a lot.  With that said I think San Diego is playing that good right now and I will give up the 13 and take the Chargers.

St. Louis at Arizona (+3.5) - St. Louis Rams - Arizona is a really bad team right now having lost 6 games in a row.  St. Louis has a real shot at winning the NFC West and I think they will be ready for this game and will take care of business.  I will give the 3 and a half and take the Rams.

Dallas at Indianapolis (-5.5) - Dallas Cowboys - This is my upset pick of the week.  Dallas is coming off an extra few days of rest and a loss against the Saints.  I think they will play the Colts close and could pull out a win against an extremely depleted Indianapolis team.  I will take the 5 and a half points and take the Cowboys.

Carolina at Seattle (-6) - Seattle Seahawks - To be honest, I have no idea who to take in this game.  The Panthers showed some signs of life last week and the Seahawks are the most up and down team in the NFL.  I will give the points and take Seattle only because they are at home.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore (even) - Baltimore Ravens - Game of the week #1, I like the way the Ravens are playing right now, their defense has been steady and improved.  On the other hand, Pittsburgh has been struggling lately even though they have been winning.  It is very hard to beat a team in your division twice in a season but I am going to go out on a limb and take the Ravens.

New York Jets at New England (-3.5) - New York Jets - Game of the week #2.  This is the biggest game of the week and should allow the winner to get home field advantage in the AFC playoffs.  New England's defense has been too inconsistent this year for me to be willing to give up 3 and a half points so I will take the Jets and enjoy watching this Monday night game.

There are my week 13 picks ATS.  Check back next week to see how I did.

Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week.  We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 11 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize!  Good Luck!

Meares
Posted on: November 18, 2010 9:43 am
Edited on: November 18, 2010 9:44 am
 

NFL Week 11 Picks

Is it just me or are these games getting progressively harder to pick?  I barely managed to be above .500 last week with a 7-6 record and this week doesn't seem to be getting any easier.  Lets see if I can improve this week and get my head out of my ass. I am also adding a new feature this week with a quick blurb on each game...here we go...

Record to date (43-36-2)

Chicago at Miami (-1.5) - Miami Dolphins - The line seems to indicate the Bears but I like Thigpen and I think Miami gets it done at home.

Detroit at Dallas (-6.5) - Detroit Lions - Dallas will be the sexy pick this week but Detroit has played everyone tough and close.
Arizona at Kansas City (-8) - Kansas City Chiefs - 8 points is a lot for a weak Chiefs offense to overcome but the Cardinals are that bad on the road.

Green Bay at Minnesota (+3) - Green Bay Packers - This is the lock of the week, the Vikings need a lot more than 3 points at home.
Baltimore at Carolina (+10) - Baltimore Ravens - Carolina is awful and won't score...look for a shutout and an easy cover.

Cleveland at Jacksonville (-1) - Cleveland Browns - The Browns resurgence this year is great to see and it will continue in Jacksonville.

Oakland at Pittsburgh (-7.5) - Pittsburgh Steelers - After last week's loss the Steelers will be playing mad...look for an easy cover against a good Raiders team.

Buffalo at Cincinnati (-5.5) - Buffalo Bills - The Bills are getting no respect after their first win, Cincinnati is not good and 5.5 points is too much to overcome in this one.

Washington at Tennessee (-7) - Washington Redskins - This line is way to one sided, I know the Redskins get embarrassed on Monday night but they will play Tennessee tough.

Houston at N.Y. Jets (-7) - NY Jets - Houston has just imploded since a hot start and the Jets will start playing well, I like them to cover but this isn't my favorite pick of the week.

Atlanta at St. Louis (+3) - Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons are the best team in the NFC right now and although St. Louis is playing well I still really like the Falcons to cover.

Tampa Bay at San Francisco (-3) - San Francisco 49ers - One of the three games that Vegas has as a pick'em (home team usually gets 3 points for being the home team), with that said I think Tampa is the more complete team but traveling across the country never works out well.

Seattle at New Orleans (-12) - New Orleans Saints - 12 points is a lot but New Orleans is coming off of a bye and Seattle has been awful on the road.  

Indianapolis at New England (-3) - New England Patriots - Indianapolis is playing with their JV squad and without Peyton Manning they are 2-7, they are awful in Foxboro too, give me the Pats.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-3) - Philadelphia Eagles - Michael Vick is good, enough said.

Denver at San Diego (-10) - Denver Broncos - 10 points is too much for San Diego to give up, this isn't the same team as past years, I like a cover by the Broncos.

There are my week 11 picks ATS.  Check back next week to see how I did.

Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week.  We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 11 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize!  Good Luck!

Meares

Posted on: November 11, 2010 9:05 am
Edited on: November 11, 2010 9:06 am
 

NFL Week 10 Picks

Not such a good week last week but I kept it at .500 by going 6-6-1 ATS.  This week is going to be a tough one and if I can find a way to win more games than I lose it will be a miracle.  Here we go...

Record to date (36-30-2)

Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) - Baltimore Ravens
Detroit at Buffalo (-3) - Detroit Lions
Minnesota at Chicago (+1) - Minnesota Vikings
NY Jets at Cleveland (+3) - Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati at Indianapolis (-7) - Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee at Miami (+2) - Tennessee Titans
Carolina at Tampa Bay (-7) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston at Jacksonville (-1.5) - Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City at Denver (+1) - Kansas City Chiefs
Dallas at NY Giants (-14) - Dallas Cowboys
Seattle at Arizona (-3) - Arizona Cardinals
St. Louis at San Francisco (-6) - St. Louis Rams
New England at Pittsburgh (-5) - New England Patriots
Philadelphia at Washington (+3) - Philadelphia Eagles

There are my week 10 picks ATS.  Check back next week to see how I did.

Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week.  We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 10 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize!  Good Luck!

Meares
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com