The only thing I can say about last week is...ouch! I went 6-10 and it was by far my worst week of the year. It isn't going to get any easier this week as we have a ton of games with major playoff implications which usually means close games. I need to give a quick plug to my online NFL picks show, The Mole & Meares Show (www.moleandmeares.com), which will be featured on Showtime's Inside the NFL on December 22nd. Our show this week was shot on the set of Inside the NFL and professional edited by NFL Films. I want to thank NFL Films, Jason Weber and Susannah Collins for making all of this possible. Okay, enough self promotion, on to the picks. Here we go...
Record to date (66-60-3)
San Francisco at San Diego (-10) - San Diego Chargers - This game features two teams that are fighting for their respective playoff lives. A loss will virtually eliminate each team from playoff contention. With that said, San Diego is clearly the better team and with this game being at home I like the Chargers to win big so I am okay giving the 10 points.
Cleveland at Cincinnati (-1) - Cincinnati Bengals - One of the few games that features two teams with absolutely nothing to play for but pride. The Bengals have lost 10 games in a row so something has to give and I think this is one of those divisional games they will step it up for and show some pride. I like the Bengals at home and giving a point is fine by me.
Washington at Dallas (-6) - Dallas Cowboys - Another game with absolutely no playoff implications. Dallas has been vastly improved since the firing of Wade Phillips and Washington has been playing brutally bad of late, losing a game last week due to a botched extra point. Witht his game being in Dallas, I like that explosive Cowboys offensive to take care of business so I will give the points and take the Boys at home.
Houston at Tennessee (-1.5) - Houston Texans - The last of the games featuring two teams with no chance of making the playoffs. Houston started the season with so much promise being the Colts at home for the first time. Since then they have really struggled and came up short last week against the Ravens. With that said I think they are a better team than the Titans and will win a road game for the first time in a long time. I will take the little bit of points and put my money on the Texans.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-5) - Jacksonville Jaguars - One of the biggest games of the week. If Jacksonville wins they all but lock up the AFC South and their first division crown in a long time. Peyton Manning is still playing with players from the JV team but never count him out. I think the Colts will pull this one out but it will be too close for me to give 5 points so I will take the points and take the Jaguars.
Kansas City at St. Louis OFF - St. Louis - This game is off the board due to the uncertainty surrounding Matt Cassell's playing status for Sunday. If he plays I think the Chiefs have a chance to win, unfortunately I don't think he is going to be able to suit up so I will take the Rams to win this game and move one step closer to a division crown.
Buffalo at Miami (-5.5) - Miami Dolphins - The Dolphins still have the smallest glimmer of hope of making the playoffs...they would have to win out and hope everyone else loses but stranger things have happened. They are coming off arguably their biggest win of the season against the Jets. The Bills are also coming off a win but I think Miami's rushing attack is going to be too much for them to handle. I will give the points and take the Dolphins at home.
Detroit at Tampa Bay (-6) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Buccaneers are fighting for a playoff spot and still have an outside chance of getting in if they can win out. Detroit is coming off their biggest win of the season when they took out both Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week. I think Tampa Bay is definitely the better team here and is out to prove they deserve to play in January so I will give the 6 points and take the Bucs at home.
Arizona at Carolina (-3) - Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals are still alive, albeit barely, in their division even though they have looked like a high school team at times this season. Carolina is the worst team in the NFC and probably the entire NFL. Even though the Cardinals have been absolutely dreadful on the road this year I think they will want this game more than Carolina so I will take the points and pray the Cardinals find a way to pull this out on the road.
New Orleans at Baltimore (-1) - Baltimore Ravens - Another one of the featured games of the week. New Orleans has quietly returned to their Superbowl champion form over the past few weeks and travels into Baltimore to face the stingy Ravens defense. If this game was played in New Orleans I would take the Saints and put my mortgage payment on it but since it will be in Baltimore, played outside in wintry conditions, I like the Ravens rushing attack and their defense to hinder the pass happy Saints offense. I will give the point and take the Ravens at home to end the Saints run of 6 games in a row.
Philadelphia at NY Giants (-3) - Philadelphia Eagles - Ok, I will admit, I am a little biased in this pick being a diehard Eagles fan, but at the same time I think the Eagles can win this game. The Giants did contain Michael Vick the last time these two teams met and they will probably do the same this time. With that said the Eagles have been running the ball much better in recent weeks and if they stick to the run game I like them to pull this out. I will take the points and take the Eagles, big surprise, I know.
Atlanta at Seattle (+7) - Seattle Seahawks - This is my upset pick of the week. Do I think the Seahawks are going to win out right? Probably not but I like them to keep this close. The Seahawks are fighting for their division title and the Falcons have a huge game against the Saints the following week and have to travel across country to play in a difficult stadium. If there is a week where there is a chance for the Falcons to stumble then it is this week and this game. I will take the 7 points in the only game featuring a home dog and I will take the Seahawks.
NY Jets at Pittsburgh (-6) - NY Jets - This game features two of the premier defenses in the NFL and that is the ONLY reason I will take the Jets. I think the Steelers will win this game but it will come down to a game winning field goal in the final seconds. 6 points is just too much to give in a game that might have a combined 20 points scored. Give me the points and the Jets.
Denver at Oakland (-7) - Oakland Raiders - The Raiders are playing Raider football and they are playing it well. They are pounding the ball down the throats of their opponents and getting to the quarterback on defense. The Broncos season is over and they have nothing to play for but pride. The Raiders on the other hand have a chance to win their division if they get some help down the stretch. I believe the Raiders will run the ball all over the Broncos so I have no problem giving the 7 points and taking the Raiders.
Green Bay at New England OFF - New England Patriots - This game is off the board due to the uncertainty of Aaron Rodgers playing status. If Rodgers doesn't play then Green Bay has absolutely no shot at winning this game. If he does play they have a tiny chance of winning. The one thing that scares me is this is a must win game for the Packers whereas for the Patriots they can basically go on cruise control. With that said, I still like the Patriots at home, their offense is way too good.
Chicago at Minnesota OFF - Chicago Bears - This game is also off the board but for mulitple reasons. We have no idea who will be taking the snaps behind center for Minnesota and it will be played at the University of Minnesota's stadium where it will be really &^%$# cold. Chicago needs to rebound after getting embarrassed by the Patriots last week and there is no better team to take out your anger on then the Minnesota Vikings. I don't care if Brett Farve plays or not, Chicago will win this game.
There are my week 15 picks ATS. Check back next week to see how I did.
Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week. We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 14 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize! Good Luck!