Not a stellar week for me last week as I went 8-8 ATS. More importantly, my online NFL picks show, The Mole & Meares Show, caught the eye of Showtime's Inside the NFL and is going to be featured as a segment next week, December 22nd at 9 pm on Showtime. You can check out our most recent show at www.moleandmeares.com where Susannah from Showtime appears as a guest at around the 5 minute mark. Okay, enough self promotion, lets get on with the picks, here we go...
Record to date (60-50-3)
Indianapolis at Tennessee (+3.5) - Indianapolis Colts - Peyton Manning has thrown 11 interceptions in the last 3 games and 4 for touchdowns in the last 2 games. That is not the Peyton Manning we are used to seeing. This week he has a favorable matchup against the reeling Titans. The Colts should win this game comfortably because of the turmoil going on in Tennessee, remember they were shutout by the Texans who have one of the worst defenses in the league.
Cleveland at Buffalo (pick em) - Cleveland Browns - This game features two teams that I believe will have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs...next year. The Browns are playing better all around football than the Bills and Peyton Hillis will have a huge game this week. I will take the Browns.
New England at Chicago (+3) - New England Patriots - Game of the week. The Bears have a chance to prove that they belong among the elite teams in the NFL, a place the Patriots are already in. Unfortunately for the Bears, I don't think they have much of a chance. I will give the 3 points on the road and take the Patriots and feel very confident.
Tampa Bay at Washington (+2) - Washington Redskins - This line seems awfully small for a Buccaneers team that has shown they can play with anyone in the NFC. With that said, Vegas usually knows what they are talking about and I think the Redskins are poised to win a game now that the cancer of Haynesworth is no longer lingering in the locker room. I will take the points and take the Redskins.
Atlanta at Carolina (+7.5) - Atlanta Falcons - I am hesitant to give up more than a touchdown in this game because I feel like it could be a trap game for the Falcons. The Panthers are running the ball better and the Falcons have had some close games recently that could be taking their tool on their confidence. If they are looking ahead to their match up with the Saints they could end up fighting to the end. With that said I will still give the points and take the Falcons on the road.
Oakland at Jacksonville (-4) - Jacksonville Jaguars - I have yet to buy into either one of these teams but the Jaguars are leading their division and this is a must win road game for the Raiders. Comparing these two teams, they both play the same game, pound the ball down their opponents throats and play stingy defense. I like Garrard over Jason Campbell so I will give the points and take the Jags.
Green Bay at Detroit (+6.5) - Green Bay Packers - Detroit has been playing almost every opponent tough this year and have been covering a lot of spreads. With that said I think the Packers are one of the most dangerous teams left in the NFC and they will take care of business in Detroit. Look for Aaron Rodgers to have a big day against the weak Detroit secondary. I will give the points and take the Packers on the road.
NY Giants at Minnesota (+1) - NY Giants - This should be a very interesting game with the quarterback situation in Minnesota. If Farve starts will he be effective? If Tavaris Jackson starts with the Giants D eat him alive? Either way, the Giants need a victory to keep pace in the NFC east and they will be ready to play. I will give the one point and take the Giants on the road.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-8.5) - Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh won a huge game this past week against the Ravens and now they face the lowly Bengals. The Steelers seem to have played to their competition this year and I am not willing to give up 8 and half points to a team they lost to twice last season. I think the Bengals keep this close and cover the spread.
St. Louis at New Orleans (-9.5) - St. Louis Rams - The Saints are another team that seems to be playing to the level of their competition and the Rams are a much improved team. Sam Bradford seems poised to win the Rookie of the Year award in a runaway and I think he will play well in the dome at New Orleans. I will take the points and take St. Louis.
Seattle at San Francisco (-5.5) - Seattle Seahawks - This line is sort of baffling to me. The 49ers have a huge issue at quarterback and have decided to go back to Alex Smith this week. As bad as the Seahawks have been on the road they need to win this game to keep pace in the NFC west and I think they will win this game outright so I have no problem taking the points.
Miami at NY Jets (-5.5) - NY Jets - The Jets are coming off of an embarrassing loss to the Patriots last week and this team has too much pride to allow themselves to play two bad games in a row. People are questioning how good the Jets really are and I think they will prove this week they are still contenders in the AFC. I will give the points and take the Jets at home.
Denver at Arizona (+5.5) - Denver Broncos - If the trend continues, when a team fires their coach they tend to play with more passion and more enthusiasm (see Cowboys and Vikings). The Cardinals are just not a good team this year and the decision to allow Leinart to leave has seemed to have backfired. I will give the points and take the Broncos on the road.
Kansas City at San Diego (-6.5) - Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have a chance to sweep the season series against the Chargers and at the same time eliminate the Chargers from the division race. The Chargers are really hampered by injuries and Kansas City has a really good rushing attack. I like the Chiefs to win this game outright so I will take the points and take the Chiefs on the road.
Philadelphia at Dallas (+3.5) - Philadelphia Eagles - The last two times this time faced each other, Dallas beat the Eagles and eliminated them from the playoffs. The Cowboys have been playing much better since Garrett took over the head coaching duties. The Eagles will take advantage of their speed against a Dallas defense that hasn't been really good this year and I will give the points and take the Eagles.
Baltimore at Houston (+3) - Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens are coming off a very tough loss against the Steelers. The Texans have had a couple of extra days to rest before this game but I still think Baltimore is going to be too much for the Texans to handle. I will give the points on the road again and take the Ravens.
There are my week 14 picks ATS. Check back next week to see how I did.
Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week. We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 14 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize! Good Luck!