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Posted on: October 11, 2009 6:28 am
 

Week 4 Recap

Looks like the program was 10 and 4 picking winners ... so not too bad, except my dartboard picked 11... was probably just a lucky week for the dartboard.

Most of the week went to programming web scrapers for collecting scores and spreads, and a small sqlite database to pile it all into.  However, none of the new toys are ready ... so lets run the old version and see what we get...

Category: NFL
Tags: Handicapping
 
Posted on: October 2, 2009 8:58 am
 

Week 4 Funny Numbers


Well, I just plugged in the numbers and ran it...  even though there was a small voice in my head saying 'not the third switch'...

At first glance nothing seemed horribly wrong... here are the results:


TEAM     W    L    STRENGTH            NEXT_SCORE
                       
BAL    3    0    101            4
NE    2    1    39            17
                       
BUF    1    2    65            31
MIA    0    3    1            13
                       
CHI    2    1    68            18
DET    1    2    37            19
                       
CIN     2    1    69            29
CLE     0    3    1            10
                       
DAL     2    1    68            -14
DEN    3    0    99            15
                       
GB    2    1    66            23
MIN    3    0    70            22
                       
HOU    1    2    33            22
OAK    1    2    63            13
                       
IND    3    0    68            23
SEA    1    2    33            18
                       
JAC    1    2    64            22
TEN     0    3    31            15
                       
KC    0    3    1            17
NYG    3    0    68            38
                       
NO    3    0    98            29
NYJ    3    0    102            3
                       
PIT    1    2    3            17
SD    2    1    38            35
                       
SF    2    1    96            25
STL     0    3    31            4
                       
TB    0    3    1            16
WAS    1    2    35            19


Aside from the little issue of how a team can only score two safties for a total of 4 points, no major problems...  There is the other little issue of the program predicting that Dallas will score -14 against Denver.... for the sake of Dallas fans everywhere, I sure hope that's a bug.  But then I saw the big problem... the program is predicting that Green Bay will beat Minnesota 23 to 22... Time to go tweak the formula, because that makes no sense at all!!!  GO VIKES!!!!!








Posted on: September 30, 2009 11:47 pm
 

dusting off those old handicapping programs

Hi one and all,

This started out as a programming exercise to see if what I came up with would be any better or worse than what they're coming up with in the ivory towers... turns out that I may have discovered the fountain of youth, El Dorado, and actual edible Gluten-free bread ... that was 2 years ago...

Fast-forward to 09, and it's time to see how wacked out I was two years ago, and if I can make any sense at all of what I wrote... looks like the data page on nfl.com is the same ... wow... let's just run the script and see if it causes a rift in the fabric of space/time... stay tuned but don't loose your job over this...




Category: NFL
Tags: handicapping
 
 
 
 
 
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