Tag:Playoffs
Posted on: December 28, 2010 11:40 am
 

Week 17 NFC Playoff Scenarios (prior to PHI-MIN)

WEEK 17 PLAYOFF PICTURE (prior to PHI-MIN Week 16 game):

 NFC

  CLINCHED:    Atlanta - playoff spot.
               Chicago - NFC North division.
               Philadelphia - NFC East division.
               New Orleans - playoff spot.
  ELIMINATED:  Carolina, Detroit, Washington, Dallas, Minnesota, Arizona,
               San Francisco.

 ATLANTA Falcons
  Atlanta clinches NFC South division:
   1) ATL win or tie
   2) NO loss or tie
  Atlanta clinches a first-round bye:
   1) NO loss or tie + CHI loss or tie
   2) NO loss or tie + one PHI loss or tie
  Atlanta clinches homefield advantage:
   1) ATL win or tie
   2) NO loss or tie + CHI loss or tie + one PHI loss or tie
   3) NO loss or tie + CHI win + two PHI wins + ATL clinches strength of victory
       tiebreaker over PHI (see NOTE below)
[NOTE:  This is a three-way strength of victory (SOV) tiebreaker between Atlanta, Chicago and Philadelphia that Chicago cannot win. Atlanta wins SOV tiebreaker unless NYG, SF, IND, and PIT all win; if all four win, Philadelphia ties Atlanta on SOV and, since Chicago drops out of tiebreaker, scenario reverts to Step 1 of two-way tiebreaker and Philadelphia wins over Atlanta based on head-to-head victory.]

 CHICAGO Bears
  Chicago clinches a first-round bye:
   1) one PHI loss
   2) CHI win
   3) CHI tie + one PHI tie
  Chicago clinches homefield advantage:
   1) CHI win + ATL loss + NO loss or tie + one PHI loss or tie

 PHILADELPHIA Eagles
  Philadelphia clinches a first-round bye:
   1) PHI wins twice + CHI loss or tie
  Philadelphia clinches homefield advantage:
   1) PHI wins twice + CHI loss or tie + ATL loss + NO loss or tie
   2) PHI wins twice + ATL loss + NO loss or tie + PHI clinches at least a tie
       in strength of victory tiebreaker over ATL (see NOTE below)
[NOTE:  This is a three-way strength of victory (SOV) tiebreaker between Atlanta, Chicago and Philadelphia that Chicago cannot win. Atlanta wins SOV tiebreaker unless NYG, SF, IND, and PIT all win; if all four win, Philadelphia ties Atlanta on SOV and, since Chicago drops out of tiebreaker, scenario reverts to Step 1 of two-way tiebreaker and Philadelphia wins over Atlanta based on head-to-head victory.]

 NEW ORLEANS Saints
  New Orleans clinches NFC South and homefield advantage:
   1) NO win + ATL loss

 GREEN BAY Packers
  Green Bay clinches a playoff spot:
   1) GB win
   2) GB tie + NYG loss or tie + TB loss or tie
   3) NYG loss + TB loss

 NEW YORK Giants
  NY Giants clinch a playoff spot:
   1) NYG win + GB loss or tie
   2) NYG tie + GB loss + TB loss or tie

 TAMPA BAY Buccaneers
  Tampa Bay clinches a playoff spot:
   1) TB win + NYG loss or tie + GB loss or tie
   2) TB tie + NYG loss + GB loss

 ST. LOUIS Rams
  St. Louis clinches NFC West division:
   1) STL win or tie

 SEATTLE Seahawks
  Seattle clinches NFC West division:
   1) SEA win

Posted on: December 27, 2010 12:22 pm
 

Early Week 17 NFC Clinching Scenarios

Here's what we are giving to the League at this point.  Too many permutations with NO/PHI/CHI/ATL based on games still left week 16 with some potential SOV messiness...so leaving some of this loose to keep it sensible.

 NFC

  CLINCHED:    Atlanta - playoff spot.
               Chicago - NFC North division.
               Philadelphia - NFC East division.
  ELIMINATED:  Carolina, Detroit, Washington, Dallas, Minnesota, Arizona,
               San Francisco.

 PHILADELPHIA Eagles
  Philadelphia has clinched NFC East division and still has a chance to earn a
 first-round bye and homefield advantage next week as of today.

 CHICAGO Bears
  Chicago has clinched NFC North division and still has a chance to earn a
 first-round bye and homefield advantage next week as of today.

 ATLANTA Falcons
  Atlanta clinches NFC South and homefield advantage with a win or tie against
 New Orleans tonight.  If Atlanta loses tonight, it still has a chance to win
 the NFC South, a first-round bye and homefield advantage next week.

 NEW ORLEANS Saints
  New Orleans clinches a playoff spot with a win or tie against Atlanta tonight
 and still has a chance to win the NFC South, a first-round bye and homefield
 advantage next week.  If New Orleans loses tonight, it can still clinch a
 playoff spot next week with:
  1) NO win or tie
  2) NYG loss or tie + GB loss or tie

 GREEN BAY Packers
  Green Bay clinches a playoff spot:
   1) GB win
   2) GB tie + NYG loss or tie + TB loss or tie
   3) NYG loss + TB loss

 NEW YORK Giants
  NY Giants clinch a playoff spot:
   1) NYG win + GB loss or tie
   2) NYG win + NO loses twice
   3) NYG tie + GB loss + TB loss or tie

 TAMPA BAY Buccaneers
  Tampa Bay clinches a playoff spot:
   1) TB win + NO loss to ATL + NYG loss or tie
   2) TB win + NO loss to ATL + GB loss or tie
   3) TB win + NYG loss or tie + GB loss or tie
   4) TB tie + NYG loss + GB loss 

 ST. LOUIS Rams
  St. Louis clinches NFC West division:
   1) STL win or tie

 SEATTLE Seahawks
  Seattle clinches NFC West division:
   1) SEA win

Posted on: December 26, 2010 9:06 pm
 

Early Week 17 AFC Clinching and Seed Scenarios

  AFC

  CLINCHED:    New England - AFC East division, first round bye and homefield throughout playoffs.
Kansas City - AFC West division.
Pittsburgh - playoff spot.
Baltimore - playoff spot.
New York Jets - playoff spot
  ELIMINATED:  Buffalo, Cincinnati, Denver, Cleveland, Houston, Miami, Oakland, Tennessee, San Diego


 PITTSBURGH Steelers
  Pittsburgh clinches AFC North division and a first-round bye:
   1) PIT win
   2) BAL loss 
   3) PIT tie + BAL tie 

 BALTIMORE Ravens
  Baltimore clinches AFC North division and a first-round bye:
   1) BAL win + PIT loss or tie
   2) BAL tie + PIT loss

 INDIANAPOLIS Colts
  Indianapolis clinches AFC South division:
   1) IND win or tie
   2) JAC loss or tie

 JACKSONVILLE Jaguars
  Jacksonville clinches AFC South division:
   1) JAC win + IND loss


SEEDS
 #1 - NEW ENGLAND
 #2 - PIT (see scenario above)
    - BAL (see scenario above)
 #3 - KC (KC win/tie or IND loss/tie)
    - IND (IND win + KC loss)
 #4 - KC (KC loss + IND win)
    - IND (IND win + KC win/tie OR win/tie OR JAC loss/tie)
    - JAC (JAC win + IND loss)
 #5 - BAL (division scenario above does not occur)
    - PIT (division scenario above does not occur + NYJ loss/tie)
    - NYJ (NYJ win + PIT loss + BAL win/tie)
 #6 - NYJ (NYJ loss/tie OR PIT win/tie OR BAL loss
    - PIT (PIT loss + BAL win/tie + NYJ win)

Posted on: December 21, 2010 2:54 am
 

Week 16 AFC Playoff Scenarios

Week 16 AFC Scenarios

CLINCHED:  New England, Pittsburgh (playoff spots)
ELIMINATED:  Buffalo, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Denver, Houston, Miami

NEW ENGLAND Patriots
   New England clinches AFC East division and homefield advantage:
    1) NE win or tie
    2) NYJ loss or tie

 PITTSBURGH Steelers
  Pittsburgh clinches AFC North division and a first-round bye:
   1) PIT win + BAL loss

 KANSAS CITY Chiefs
  Kansas City clinches AFC West division:
   1) KC win + SD loss or tie
   2) KC tie + SD loss

 BALTIMORE Ravens
  Baltimore clinches a playoff spot:
   1) BAL win or tie
   2) KC loss + JAC loss or tie
   3) KC loss + IND loss or tie
   4) SD loss + JAC loss or tie
   5) SD loss + IND loss or tie

 NEW YORK Jets
  NY Jets clinch a playoff spot:
   1) NYJ win or tie
   2) JAC loss or tie
   3) IND loss or tie
(Note:  In scenarios where a JAC or IND loss or tie occurs, NYJ has clinched strength of victory tiebreaker over SD)

Posted on: December 20, 2010 11:43 pm
 

Week 16 NFC Scenarios

WEEK 16 NFC Playoff Scenarios

NFC

ATLANTA Falcons
  Atlanta clinches NFC South division and homefield advantage:
   1) ATL win or tie

 PHILADELPHIA Eagles
  Philadelphia clinches NFC East division:
   1) PHI win
   2) PHI tie + NYG loss or tie
   3) NYG loss
  Philadelphia clinches a playoff spot:
   1) PHI tie
   2) TB loss or tie

 CHICAGO Bears
  Chicago clinches a first-round bye:
   1) CHI win + PHI loss + NYG loss or tie

 NEW ORLEANS Saints
  New Orleans clinches a playoff spot:
   1) NO win or tie
   2) TB loss or tie
 
 NEW YORK Giants
  NY Giants clinch a playoff spot:
   1) NYG win

Posted on: December 19, 2010 5:14 pm
 

WEEK 15 AFC & NFC UPDATED AFTER 1pm Games

Here is what has happened after early games this Sunday:

- Atlanta clinched playoff spot due to NYG loss (how did the Giants lose that game?)
- Arizona, Houston and Miami are now ELIMINATED from playoff contention
- PIT can no longer clinch division or 1st round bye
- Largely due to IND win over JAC:
    - JAC can no longer clinch division
    - NYJ can no longer clinch playoff spot
    - BAL can no longer clinch playoff spot
- Due to their losses, NYG and N.O. can no longer clinch playoff spots


WEEK 15 PLAYOFF PICTURE (Updated after 1pm ET games):

  AFC

  CLINCHED:    New England - playoff spot.
  ELIMINATED:  Buffalo, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Denver, Houston, Miami

 NEW ENGLAND Patriots
  New England clinches AFC East division and a first-round bye:
   1) NE win + NYJ loss or tie
   2) NE tie + NYJ loss

 PITTSBURGH Steelers
  Pittsburgh clinches a playoff spot:
   1) PIT win or tie
 There are other scenarios in which Pittsburgh may clinch a playoff spot if
 it clinches the strength of victory tiebreaker over certain teams this weekend.

 NFC

  CLINCHED:    Atlanta - playoff spot
  ELIMINATED:  Arizona, Carolina, Detroit, Washington, Dallas, Minnesota.
 
 ATLANTA Falcons
  Atlanta has clinched a playoff spot (due to NYG loss)
 
 CHICAGO Bears
  Chicago clinches NFC North division:
   1) CHI win + GB loss

Posted on: December 15, 2010 10:36 am
 

Week 15 AFC Clinching Scenarios

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF PICTURE:

  AFC

  CLINCHED:    New England - playoff spot.
  ELIMINATED:  Buffalo, Cincinnati, Denver, Cleveland.

 NEW ENGLAND Patriots
  New England clinches AFC East division and a first-round bye:
   1) NE win + NYJ loss or tie
   2) NE tie + NYJ loss

 PITTSBURGH Steelers
  Pittsburgh clinches AFC North division:
   1) PIT win + BAL loss + PIT clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over BAL
  Pittsburgh clinches a first-round bye:
   1) PIT win + BAL loss + PIT clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over
       BAL and JAC
   2) PIT win + BAL loss + JAC loss or tie + PIT clinches strength of victory
        tiebreaker over BAL
  Pittsburgh clinches a playoff spot:
   1) PIT win or tie
   2) IND loss or tie + SD loss or tie
   3) IND loss or tie + KC loss
  There are other scenarios in which Pittsburgh may clinch a playoff spot if
 it clinches the strength of victory tiebreaker over certain teams this weekend.

 JACKSONVILLE Jaguars
  Jacksonville clinches AFC South division:
   1) JAC win

 NEW YORK Jets
  NY Jets clinch a playoff spot:
   1) NYJ win + MIA loss or tie + IND loss or tie + KC loss
   2) NYJ win + MIA loss or tie + IND loss or tie + SD loss or tie
   3) NYJ tie + MIA loss + IND loss or tie + SD loss
  There are other scenarios in which New York may clinch a playoff spot if
 it clinches the strength of victory tiebreaker over certain teams this weekend.

 BALTIMORE Ravens
  Baltimore clinches a playoff spot:
   1) BAL win + IND loss or tie + SD loss or tie
   2) BAL win + IND loss or tie + MIA loss or tie + KC loss
   3) BAL tie + MIA loss or tie + SD loss + IND loss
  There are other scenarios in which Baltimore may clinch a playoff spot if
 it clinches the strength of victory tiebreaker over certain teams this weekend.

-----------------------------------
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NOTE: The WORST CASE SCENARIO for PIT in the strength of victory (SOV) tiebreaker with BAL referenced above is a TIE.  That means, to clinch SOV this week over BAL, PIT only needs ONE of the following to occur:
- CIN win/tie over CLE
- ATL win/tie over SEA
- TEN win/tie over HOU
- OAK win/tie over DEN
- ARI win/tie over CAR

Will post PIT/JAC SOV scenario in comments below.

Posted on: December 15, 2010 10:15 am
 

Week 15 NFC Clinching Scenarios

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF PICTURE:

 NFC

  CLINCHED:    None
  ELIMINATED:  Carolina, Detroit, Washington, Dallas, Minnesota.
 
 ATLANTA Falcons
  Atlanta clinches a playoff spot:
   1) ATL win or tie
   2) NYG loss or tie
   3) CHI loss or tie
   4) GB loss or tie
 
 CHICAGO Bears
  Chicago clinches NFC North division:
   1) CHI win + GB loss

 NEW ORLEANS Saints
  New Orleans clinches a playoff spot:
   1) NO win + TB loss or tie + NYG loss or tie
   2) NO win + TB loss or tie + CHI loss or tie
   3) NO win + TB loss or tie + GB loss or tie
   4) NO tie + TB loss + GB loss
   5) NO tie + TB loss + NYG loss + CHI loss

 NEW YORK Giants
  NY Giants clinch a playoff spot:
   1) NYG win + CHI loss + GB loss + TB loss + NYG clinch strength of victory 
       tiebreaker over Tampa Bay

NOTE: The explanation of the NYG tiebreaker is as follows:
If CHI and GB both lose, then if GB finishes 10-6 they win the North (beat CHI h2h in Wk 17 and would split h2h, finish tied in division and common opponents and would have better conference record because CHI would be losing to MIN this week).  So since CHI could not finish ahead of NYG in tiebreaker with a h2h loss and at best 7-5 conference record, that would mean three teams in South would have to beat out Giants -- and if Giants clinch SOV over TB that would be impossible.

And...the WORST CASE SCENARIO for NYG is a tie in strength of victory (SOV) tiebreaker with TB.  That means, to clinch SOV this week, NYG only needs ONE of the following to occur:
- SD win/tie over SF (Thurs night)
- KC win/tie over STL
- HOU win/tie over TEN
- DAL win/tie over WAS
- JAC win/tie over IND
- BAL win/tie over NO

 
 
 
 
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