Tag:Domonic Brown
Posted on: November 11, 2010 6:23 pm
Edited on: November 15, 2010 11:14 am
 

Hot Stove League profile: Jayson Werth

Hot Stove Over the next three weeks, CBS Sports' MLB Facts and Rumors will be profiling both free agents and trade candidates who will help stoke the fires of the Hot Stove League. Today, free agent Jayson Werth.

Jayson Werth is one of the stranger free agents to come around, considering he just seems to be peaking right now, but is 31. He's been healthy the last two years, but has struggled with injuries in the past (including knee injuries) and didn't become a full-time starter until he was 29. His average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage have all improved each of the last three years, and while his home runs were down in 2010, he hit 46 doubles. Werth is also a good defensive outfielder and can play all three, but is best in right.

Jayson Werth STATS

2010: ..296/.388/.532 with 27 home runs, 85 RBI
career: ..272/.367/.481 with 120 home runs, 406 RBI

LAST CONTRACT

Werth avoided arbitration in 2009, signing a two-year deal worth $10 million, plus a $1 million signing bonus.

WHAT IT WILL TAKE

Werth is represented by Scott Boras, who apparently is looking for "Matt Holliday" money, meaning a seven-year deal worth $120 million. I'm not one to doubt Boras' ability to screw some team into that kind of long-term investment, but I'm just not sure anyone will bite, especially considering Werth will be 32 next May, and then would be 39 at the end of a seven-year contract. A more realistic goal could be Jason Bay's four-year, $66 million contract. In the end, I'd guess he gets something in between, maybe five years and $85 million?

WHERE HE COULD GO

Carl Crawford seems to be a better fit for the Red Sox, but if they can't land him, Werth is a good backup plan. J.D. Drew is a free agent after 2011, one of the two could shift to left

There have been reports that the Yankees don't have much interest in Werth or Crawford, but you can never count the Yankees out of a free-agent chase.

Jayson Werth Werth would be an upgrade for the Giants' offense, and also would help out on defense.

The White Sox and Tigers seem like places he'd fit as well, with both of those teams certainly looking to spend a little dough. He could also be a fit in Anaheim, if the Angels don't land Crawford. But being a Boras client could make him less appealing in Anaheim.

The Padres reportedly had talks with the Phillies about a trade for Werth before the trade deadline, but if the Padres can't afford to keep Adrian Gonzalez around, it seems unlikely they can pay the price that Boras will demand.

One team that doesn't seem to be a fit is the Phillies, who are prepared to move on with Domonic Brown as their right fielder.

PREDICTION

Werth won't sign anywhere quickly. He'll be tied to what happens with Crawford, which will set a ceiling to his contract demands, as well as eliminate the bidding teams by one. If Crawford goes to Anaheim, Werth would be a fit for the Red Sox, signing a five-year deal to go to Boston.

-- C. Trent Rosecrans

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.


Posted on: November 11, 2010 10:19 am
 

Report: 'Zero' chance Werth stays in Philly

Jayson Werth Not all national writers are the same when it comes to certain teams. All national baseball writers have to live somewhere and start somewhere. That's why when it comes to Phillies stuff, if I hear it from ESPN's Jayson Stark, I take it to the bank.

Stark talked to a "Phillies source" on the odds Philadelphia can bring back Jayson Werth. The answer? "No chance. None. Zero."

Stark says it's not the money as much as the years, as the Phillies don't want to be tied down to Werth in his advanced years. Werth will turn 32 next season and will be looking for a long-term contract, five or six years. With Domonic Brown coming, Philadelphia doesn't what to be hamstrung with an aging Werth.

An interesting addition, Stark throws Jeff Francoeur as a name out there as a stop-gap solution for Philly.

-- C. Trent Rosecrans

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Posted on: November 8, 2010 10:16 pm
 

High hopes for Rendon

Anthony Rendon
Rice third baseman Anthony Rendon is on the board as the projected top pick in next June's draft, though that can always change. Jim Callis of Baseball America, who thinks about the draft all year long (he's like the non-ridiculous version of Mel Kiper), had some glowing praise for Rendon in a BA Q&A column Monday.

Asked where Rendon might rank among prospects if he were in pro ball right now, Callis said he'd be in the top 10, on the same level as the Yankees' Jesus Montero (who was nearly traded straight up for Cliff Lee in July), the Phillies' Domonic Brown and the Royals' Mike Moustakas. That's some elite company, but maybe the biggest compliment Callis paid Rendon is this:

"Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper, the No. 1 overall pick in 2010, also is in that group and almost certainly will be in our top 10. And as I've said before, I'd take Rendon over Harper because I think he'll be a better all-around hitter and a more valuable defender, not to mention that his makeup is less worrisome."

Considering Harper is being talked about as a once-in-a-decade hitter, ranking Rendon above him is high praise indeed. And he's not talking current ability -- Harper is an 18-year-old right out of high school, while Rendon is a more seasoned college player -- he's talking about career ceiling.

One question that remains about Rendon is how much teams will be concerned about his troubled right ankle. He broke and dislocated the ankle in July while playing for the U.S. national team, requiring surgery. It was his second severe injury and second operation on the ankle in two years; he tore two ligaments the prior summer, but returned in time for the season. He's expected to be ready in time for next season as well.

If Rendon takes a step back next season, or if his ankle scares teams away, there are other good options in what is considered a very good draft. Pitchers Matt Purke of TCU and Gerrit Cole of UCLA are other possibilities to be picked first.

-- David Andriesen

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Posted on: October 28, 2010 1:40 pm
 

How will Phillies address right-field vacancy?

Brown As the Phillies lick their wounds on failing to win three straight NL pennants, the big question around town is the future of right field.

Could Jayson Werth somehow return? Is Domonic Brown (pictured) ready for prime time? Where the heck is right-handed power going to come from?

"The problem is, length-wise of a contract, and also what direction we want to go in," manager Charlie Manuel said on 610-WIP on Wednesday, via the Philadelphia Daily News . "From my point of view, to me, right now, I look at our core players, I'm a hitting guy, and I think we can develop a hitter before we can get a top notch pitcher or a top bullpen piece."

The Phillies do have top prospect Domonic Brown who could step into Werth's shoes and seems destined to develop into a star. However, that takes an already lefty-heavy Phillies lineup and tips it even more.

The solution may be to find a platoon partner so Philly can focus on adding to the rotation or bullpen, as it seems Manuel wants to do. The club could start Ross Gload or Brown on the strong side of the platoon and import someone to bat against left-handers. If Brown proves he is able to handle lefties with aplomb, the club would also have the ability to switch the platoon over to left field and Raul Ibanez.

One thing Manuel is interested in is changing up the composition of the roster, citing Brown as one person who might be able to do that.

"We need a blend, a balance, a different look. We need to get back to what I call energy," Manuel noted. "We've got established big league players and they are good big league players, outstanding. Some of them are great. And they have their own way of playing. It's not like they don't hustle and things like that, but we could use a little different mixture."

If the solution is to platoon, who could Philadelphia go after?

The first person that springs to mind is Jeff Francouer, who can hit lefties but can't hit righties whatsoever. He also has a cannon for an arm and could impact games on defense. However, Francouer still considers himself a full-time player and there will likely be a misguided front office that allows him to be just that. (Paging Kansas City.)

The Braves have a mess in the outfield, and Matt Diaz could be non-tendered as part of a rehaul. If so, Diaz could be a perfect complement as his numbers against lefties in his career are excellent. The only negative is he is essentially limited to just left field, which wouldn't work in a right-field platoon.

Jose Guillen is an option should the Phillies find themselves desperate. The drawback? His attitude is questionable and his offense and defense are deterioriating with every given day.

How about internally? Ben Francisco has been a Phillie for roughly a year and a half and boasts a career line of .267/.347/.460 against lefties, which is not all that far off from Frenchy's career .299/.343/.481 mark. The Phillies wouldn't have to shoehorn Francouer into a platoon role or pay him to do that when Francisco could be much less of a headache.

Or how about Andruw Jones?

Jones seems to be a part-time player these days and hasn't amassed more than 281 at-bats in three years. As a part-time outfielder and DH for the White Sox, he banged 18 home runs before stumbling in the middle of the season and recovering. His career line against left-handers is .261/.361/.501 -- and that's not tied up in his previous value as a perennial All-Star. Jones hit .256/.373/.501 for the ChiSox against left-handers.

What helps is that Jones could be pressed into starting duty and not completely embarrass himself in right field should Philadelphia ask him to play more. If Jones doesn't care much for the offers on the free-agent market this year, headed to a team where he would be guaranteed to face lefties and see a healthy amount of time as a backup against righties could be enough for him to pull the trigger and perhaps amass more than 281 at-bats.

The Phillies have some work ahead of themselves to address the impending vacancy in right field, and going to a platoon situation might be the best way to handle the situation in 2010. It gives Brown some time to develop, assuming he wins the strong-side platoon job, and also imports someone to protect against Raul Ibanez looking hapless against lefties. That frees up Philly to commit its dollars to pitching and hopefully some relievers who understand the name of the game is to get outs.

  -- Evan Brunell

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Posted on: October 24, 2010 9:44 pm
Edited on: April 18, 2011 11:22 am
 

Moyer pitching in winterball

Jamie Moyer Jamie Moyer, who will turn 48 next month, will pitch for Escigido in the Dominican Winter League, Matt Gelb of the Philadelphia Inquirer tweeted .

Moyer will join Phillies teammate Domonic Brown -- who is half his age -- on the roster.

Last week, Moyer told CSNPhilly.com's Jim Salisbury that he was considering winter ball and felt good about his return from a sprained ulnar collateral ligament and strained flexor tendon in his left (throwing) elbow.

"I've passed all the medical hurdles that have been put in front of me," Moyer told Salisbury. "Talking with [team physician] Mike Cicotti, the next step in getting ready to pitch is facing hitters."

Moyer was not on the team's postseason roster and will be a free agent this season, but has said he wants to play another season. Moyer was 9-9 with a 4.84 ERA for the Phillies in 19 starts. He didn't pitch since leaving after one inning in a loss to the Cardinals on July 20.

-- C. Trent Rosecrans

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.

Posted on: October 22, 2010 2:22 pm
 

Taking a look at 2011 projections

Bill James, the leading sabermetrician of our time, has been hard at work on his 2011 Bill James Handbook , in which he releases projections for players.

As with all projections, James was way off on several players in his 2010 projections, but hit some on the nose and came close to many.

As James writes, it's inevitable that projections miss on some players. After all, who could have expected Jose Bautista to slam 54 home runs?

But for the most part, projections do come close to approximating what a player will do. So let's dive in and check out what Bill James thinks of several players.

Alvarez Pedro Alvarez (photo, right): The Pirates rookie got his major-league career off to a decent start in 2010, finishing at .256/.326/.461 with 16 HR. Meanwhile, Buster Posey makes Pittsburgh look silly for plucking Alvarez and Tampa Bay idiots for taking shortstop Tim Beckham. However, the Bucs may just end up loving Alvarez in 2011. James has him down for 27 home runs and 103 RBI, hitting .277/.352/.501. Sounds pretty good.

Jose Bautista : So, his his power surge for real or is there a reason Bautista never topped 16 home runs in a season before? James thinks it's for real and tabs Bautista for 34 blasts in 2011. Makes sense, as Bautista was hitting somewhat over his head and pitchers will have a better understanding of how to pitch him. He should finish at .251/.355/.509.

Josh Beckett: Boston will have plenty of reasons to be happy with its rotation next year. After Josh Beckett struggled to a 5.78 ERA in 21 starts, James feels Beckett will rebound to post a 3.86 ERA in 26 games. Couple that with John Lackey 's 33 starts of a 3.89 ERA and Daisuke Matsuzaka finding a way to overcome 73 walks for a 3.85 ERA, and you suddenly have a deep rotation that has Jon Lester up top and Clay Buchholz. An ace followed by four No. 2-3 starters? Yes please.

Adrian Beltre : Beltre re-established his value and much more in Boston, where he put Seattle and his failures therein behind him to hit .321/.365/.553. But was that just a contract-year push? Kind of. Beltre won't sniff being an MVP candidate again, as James says, but should still be worth every dollar afer hitting .283/.335/.477 in 2011.

Ryan Braun : When someone hits 33 home runs, scores 108 runs and drives in 114, that's got to be a pretty good MVP candidate. Except that Braun's 2011 projected totals may not be enough to overtake teammate Prince Fielder , who has 41 blasts projected to his name with 100 runs and 114 RBI. He's expected to hit .276/.396/.541 with Braun at .310/.372/.551.

Domonic Brown : One concern the Phillies have is how well Dominic Brown can step into the large shoes that will be vacated by Jayson Werth. Well, no problem: Brown's on pace to hit 26 homers and go .288/.346/.505. Next step for Philadelphia: finding a right-handed bat to break up Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Brown.

Halladay Roy Halladay (photo, right): A perfect game, postseason no-hitter and 2.44 ERA later and Halladay has nothing left to prove in the NL. James does see a step backwards, however, to the horrifying high of a 3.16 ERA. That ERA certainly figures to go under 3.00, but it's impossible to project anyone landing below a 3.00 ERA which is why Halladay lands at 3.16. He has compatriots Cole Hamels with a 3.45 projected ERA and Roy Oswalt at 3.38. Sounds like another NL East Division title is en route to Philly.

Derek Jeter : So, will Jeter rebound from his .270/.340/.370 showing in 2010 and be worth whatever ridiculous deal the Yankees give him in the offseason? Well, James does see a bounceback -- but his days as a legitimate All-Star are done. (Of course, he'll still be elected.) Jetes should end up at .295/.365/.410 as James guesses, not that far off from what Jeter put up in 2008.

Cliff Lee : Lee is going to make a lot of money in 2011. But interested teams may want to take a look at James' projected ERA and back away slightly. At 3.50, he would still be a good pitcher, but not great nor sublime as he has been thus far. He finished 2010 with a 3.18 ERA, 2009 with 3.22 and 2008 with 2.54, so it takes quite a leap to think Lee would go up to 3.50. A projected 49 walks will do that, even though he had an unimaginable 18 in 2010. (43 in 2009.)

Tim Lincecum : The Freak draws the honor of the lowest projected ERA, at an even 3.00 while striking out 233 batters. Lincecum will be looking to take back the Cy Young title from projected winner Roy Halladay, and so far it looks like Bill James is giving him the nod for 2011.

Jesus Montero : Do we have an early candidate for Rookie of the Year? James has Jesus Montero putting up huge numbers as a 21-year-old in the majors, banging 21 home runs and hitting .285/.348/.519. Hard to beat those numbers and power, especially at Montero's age. The only comparable is Michael Stanton.

David Ortiz : Well, even James himself can't know if Ortiz will get a third straight season off to a bad start, but regardless, Big Papi is expected to finish with 33 home runs and 112 RBI. That would be the most home runs hit since 2007 (he finished 2010 with 32). It would also be a high in RBI since 2007, along with batting average. If Ortiz can pull that line off, he'll be in line for a nice payday as a free agent.

Stanton Mike Stanton (photo, right): Stanton has already put baseball on notice as a 20-year-old. So what the heck is he to do in 2011 with a full season of playing time? That's easy -- 38 home runs. The only knock against Stanton will be that his plate discipline isn't advanced enough, leading to a .268/.335/.556 line. If he can eventually learn to take enough pitches and get the batting average over .280, he could be a mega-star.

Brian Wilson : Currently busy trying to propel the Giants to the World Series, Wilson at least can rest easy in the idea that James has him leading all closers in saves next season. He's expected to nail down 48 saves with a 3.04 ERA. The save total is exactly the same as what he ended up with in 2010, but the ERA was lower at 1.81. An xFIP of 2.99, however, backs up the projected 3.04 ERA.

-- Evan Brunell

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed .
Posted on: September 9, 2010 7:59 pm
 

Domonic Brown may play winter ball

Domonic Brown When the Phillies called up right fielder Domonic Brown, they were hoping for a shot in the arm. While Brown hasn't quite lived up to his hype just yet, general manager Ruben Amaro isn't surprised.

"He's not the perfect, finished product yet," Amaro told MLB.com's Todd Zolecki . "He's got things to learn, things to do, things to improve upon."

Brown was tabbed in early August to make his major-league debut thanks to an injury to Shane Victorino. Additional injuries and roster decisions have necessitated Brown remaining in the bigs in a bench capacity, but the 23-year-old has struggled to make an impact.

Through 62 plate appearances, Brown is hitting .214/.242/.375 after a combined Double- and Triple-A line of .327/.391/.589 in 389 at-bats.

For Brown to have a shot at being the starting right fielder in 2011, he's going to need more seasoning, which is why Amaro has spoken to Brown and his agent about playing winter ball to make up for at-bats he's lost due to being on the bench.

-- Evan Brunell

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed .

Category: MLB
Posted on: September 7, 2010 3:09 pm
Edited on: September 7, 2010 11:34 pm
 

Rays pitcher named top minor leaguer

Jeremy Hellickson Rays right-hander Jeremy Hellickson was named Baseball America's Minor League Player of the Year.

Hellickson went 6-1 with a  2.59 ERA in nine Triple-A starts. Nice and all, but actually worse than his four starts in the big leagues, where went 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA.

Hellickson was recalled on Sept. 1 when the rosters expanded and moved into the bullpen. He appeared in Saturday's game against the Orioles and gave up six hits and two runs in 1 2/3 innings.

However, he could find himself in the Rays' rotation soon, as Jeff Niemann had another bad outing on Monday against the Red Sox. He went just 1 2/3 inning, allowing six runs. Since coming back from a shoulder strain, he's gone 0-3 with a 20.03 ERA, giving up just 23 runs in 10 1/3 innings.

Despite the Rays' recent success with their farm system, the two Rays players who have won the award before Hellickson aren't part of the team's revival. One, Rocco Baldelli (2002) is back with the team after being sidelined by injuries through much of his career, but is nothing more than a bench player. The other, Delmon Young (2005) was traded to Minnesota before the Rays' magical 2008 season.

Jason Heyward won the award last season.

Although the article didn't have any other players considered, but others that had to be under consideration were Kansas City third baseman Mike Moustakas (.322/.369/.630 with 36 homers and 124 RBI), Philadelphia outfielder  Domonic Brown (.327/.391/.589 with 20 home runs and 68 RBI), Atlanta first baseman Freddie Freeman (.319/.378/.521 with 18 home runs and 87 RBI) and Seattle right-hander Michael Pineda (11-4, 3.36 ERA).

-- C. Trent Rosecrans

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed .




 
 
 
 
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