Tag:Super Bowl Line
Posted on: February 5, 2012 6:47 pm
Edited on: February 5, 2012 6:55 pm

Safety the first score of Super Bowl XLVI

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By Will Brinson

INDIANAPOLIS -- If you wanted a spicy start to Super Bowl XLVI, you got it, as the Giants drew first blood when a Tom Brady throw from his own end zone drew a flag, a penalty for intentional grounding and a 2-0.

For those of you scoring at home, betting on a safety as the first score in the Super Bowl was a 75:1 bet at Sportsbook.com. In other words, it's not likely to happen, but it did. (And they're saying someone won $15,000 on a $200 bet.) The only time a safety was the first score in an NFL championship, with a safety happening in Super Bowl IX as well.

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The stranger occurrence was the Patriots defense managing to wake up and get pressure on Eli Manning after the Giants quarterback looked poised to carve them up in the early going. Manning went 4/4 for 40 yards on the first drive and pushed the Giants into Pats territory.

Then he held the ball to long and Brandon Deaderick sacked him for negative-two yards. Ahmad Bradshaw was stuffed on second down and Mark Anderson came flying in to sack Eli for negative-six yards on third down.

That play resulted in a Giants punt, but Steve Weatherford stuck the ball tight near the goal line and Brady was forced to throw from his own end zone on the Patriots first play of the game.

It's a weird start to the Super Bowl, but if this is the type of spice the teams are bringing, expect lots of excitement.

Oh, and that's the second 2-0 score in a game this postseason for the Giants. Weird stuff, man.

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Posted on: January 22, 2012 11:50 pm
Edited on: January 23, 2012 11:30 am

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Brady and the Pats are early 3.5-point favorites in Vegas. (Getty Images)
By Will Brinson

The Super Bowl matchup is set -- we've got all the best storylines in Sorting the Sunday Pile -- and the Patriots and Giants will square off in a rematch of the epic 2007 Super Bowl.

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The odds won't be tilted quite as heavily towards the Patriots this time, though, as New England's been installed as "only" a three-point favorite according to Sportsbook.com. R.J. Bell of PreGame.com notes that the Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite.

When the two teams met in 2007, the Patriots closed as 12-point favorites in Vegas, but, of course, ultimately ended up losing straight-up.

Bell notes that the Vegas favorite has won 33 of 45 Super Bowls in NFL history, or 73 percent of the games played.

"Historically, the point-spread is an unmatched predictor of NFL games," Bell notes.

Currently, the over/under for the Super Bowl is a whopping 55.5 points according to Sportsbook, which means Vegas expects to see plenty of scoring from the two teams. That's no surprise given the Eli Manning-Tom Brady matchup and the pair of explosive offenses featured by the two teams.

Speaking of big numbers, Bell projects that over $10 billion -- yes, with a "b" -- will be wagered on this year's Super Bowl.

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Posted on: January 23, 2011 10:13 pm
Edited on: January 23, 2011 11:12 pm

Super Bowl 2011 line: Packers -2.5 over Steelers

Posted by Will Brinson

Super Bowl XLV is a heavyweight monster of matchup -- the NFC champ Packers square off against the Steelers (eight-time AFC champions) -- and the line is a good reflection of just that, with the Packers favored 2.5 points over the Steelers.

It's a bit surprising to see a No. 6 seed as the favorite in the Super Bowl, but recent history of wild cards storming the final game should tell us enough not to overlook the Packers in this contest. Also: they're white-hot, and that's precisely why they ended up as the favorites in this game, despite an uneven showing against the Bears.

Worth noting is that the Hilton and Glantz-Culver opened the line as Packers -2, which means that you're looking at, give or take a half point, a rare case where the Super Bowl line is under a field goal. (Both lines have since moved to Packers -2.5; their over has also jumped quickly, showcasing the public's love with the over.) You're also looking at a case of bettors having a "love affair" with the Packers -- they're the quintessential "peak at the right moment" team that's rolling into the Super Bowl, even if it's against a Steelers team that features a quarterback who just wins Super Bowls.

Interestingly, the over/under for the game is 45.5, which is pretty high for two teams that have pretty strong defenses. That's probably a reflection of two things. One, the Steelers and Packers are pretty heavy on the pass (despite the stereotype that pervades Pittsburgh football), and two, the Aaron Rodgers/Ben Roethlisberger combo just begs for some broken plays on defense that result in long touchdowns.

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