Posted by Chip Patterson
BOISE STATE WILL WIN IF: Feeling pretty comfortable saying there are very few "if's" regarding Boise State's chances at victory on Saturday against UNLV. Coming off a bye week, the Broncos have seen many of the other undefeated teams fall in the last two weeks and know this is an opportunity to seize. I expect Kellen Moore, who needs just one more win to become college football's all-time winningest quarterback, to be as effective as ever carving up the conference's worst passing defense. Moore will spread out UNLV's coverage, and find his receivers in space with pinpoint accuracy, as he has all season.
UNLV WILL WIN IF: One thing Air Force showed in their losing effort to Boise State was a way to limit their effectiveness on offense. By using their ground game to dominate the time of possession, the Moore and the rest of the Boise State offense was given small windows of opportunity to operate. UNLV does not have the effective ground attack of the Falcons, but they can use similar strategies to keep the game from getting out of hand early. Unfortunately in this matchup, "keeping it from getting out of hand" is about all you could ask for as a Runnin' Rebels fan. Keep it close early, and hope for a miracle late.
X-FACTOR: Preparation. As if UNLV didn't have enough to worry about with the high-powered Broncos' offense coming to town, one of the nation's last undefeated teams has had extra time to prepare for the conference matchup. Boise State head coach Chris Petersen is 22-2 when having 10 or more days to prepare between games. The Broncos' preparation has been one of the reasons for their sharp execution in notable season-openers and bowl games, and only serves as another sign the trend should continue on Saturday.
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