Posted by Tom Fornelli
OKLAHOMA WILL WIN IF: Oklahoma is the better team and it's at home, so as long as the Sooners can play solid football and avoid turnovers, they should win this game. Texas Tech's defense has been giving up points in bunches the last two weeks against Texas A&M and Kansas State, so Landry Jones should be able to put up some pretty good numbers on Saturday. The key to this game, though, will be Oklahoma's defense. The Texas Tech offense has been able to put points on the board as well, so getting to Seth Doege and slowing down the Raiders passing game will go a long way toward a victory for Oklahoma.
TEXAS TECH WILL WIN IF: The biggest killer for Texas Tech in its loss against Kansas State was turnovers. Tech turned the ball over four times in a seven-point loss, including turnovers on three straight possessions in the fourth quarter. Those turnovers loomed large in what was only a seven-point loss. So if Seth Doege and the Texas Tech offense can keep possession of the ball, it should keep the Red Raiders in the game. If a Tech defense that's allowing 40 points a game in Big 12 play can find a way to slow down the Sooners offense, then the Raiders can pull off the upset.
X-FACTOR: DeAndre Washington and Aaron Crawford. I have a feeling that in order for Texas Tech to win this game, it will have to do so in a shootout. In order to do that, both Washington and Crawford will have to step up and have a big game on the ground. Oklahoma's secondary and pass rush is just too good to expect Seth Doege to continually drop back and find consistent success, so if the Tech running game can keep the offense more balanced, then Texas Tech's chances only increase.