Posted by Tom Fornelli

OKLAHOMA WILL WIN IF: Oklahoma is the better team and it's at home, so as long as the Sooners can play solid football and avoid turnovers, they should win this game. Texas Tech's defense has been giving up points in bunches the last two weeks against Texas A&M and Kansas State, so Landry Jones should be able to put up some pretty good numbers on Saturday. The key to this game, though, will be Oklahoma's defense. The Texas Tech offense has been able to put points on the board as well, so getting to Seth Doege and slowing down the Raiders passing game will go a long way toward a victory for Oklahoma.

TEXAS TECH WILL WIN IF: The biggest killer for Texas Tech in its loss against Kansas State was turnovers. Tech turned the ball over four times in a seven-point loss, including turnovers on three straight possessions in the fourth quarter. Those turnovers loomed large in what was only a seven-point loss. So if Seth Doege and the Texas Tech offense can keep possession of the ball, it should keep the Red Raiders in the game. If a Tech defense that's allowing 40 points a game in Big 12 play can find a way to slow down the Sooners offense, then the Raiders can pull off the upset.

X-FACTOR: DeAndre Washington and Aaron Crawford. I have a feeling that in order for Texas Tech to win this game, it will have to do so in a shootout. In order to do that, both Washington and Crawford will have to step up and have a big game on the ground. Oklahoma's secondary and pass rush is just too good to expect Seth Doege to continually drop back and find consistent success, so if the Tech running game can keep the offense more balanced, then Texas Tech's chances only increase.

Posted by Tom Fornelli

KANSAS STATE WON. Kansas State used some smoke and mirrors to beat Texas Tech on Saturday night, and by smoke and mirrors I mean special teams and turnovers. Texas Tech actually outgained the Wildcats 569 yards to 341 on the night, including a 388 to 94 advantage at halftime, but it didn't matter. Kansas State won thanks to two blocked field goals, a kick return for a touchdown, and 4 turnovers by Seth Doege. One of which was a pick-six by Nigel Malone only 37 seconds into the game. The result of all this was Kansas State's first win in Lubbock since 2000, and bowl eligibility after only six games.

WHY KANSAS STATE WON. As I said above, it was special teams and turnovers. What really killed Texas Tech on Saturday night, though, was that three of Doege's turnovers came on consecutive possessions in the fourth quarter. All three came in Texas Tech territory, and although Kansas State was only able to get 7 points out of them, it was the points those turnovers kept off the board for Texas Tech that made the difference.

WHEN KANSAS STATE WON. After kicking a field goal with 2:32 left to cut Kansas State's lead to 41-34, Texas Tech recovered an onside kick to keep hope alive. Unfortunately the Red Raiders couldn't go anywhere, and when Doege's pass to Aaron Crawford on 4th and 4 fell incomplete the Wildcats just had to run out the rest of the clock.

WHAT KANSAS STATE WON. On a day when a few surprise unbeatens like Michigan, Illinois and Georgia Tech all suffered their first loss of the season, Kansas State survived a tough road test. With a game against Kansas next weekend, which is a rivalry game that may not be as easy as you'd think, there's a strong chance that Kansas State will be hosting Oklahoma in Manhattan in two weeks with both teams undefeated.

WHAT TEXAS TECH LOST. This could have been a big win for Texas Tech following last week's home loss to Texas A&M, but the Red Raiders just beat themselves in the fourth quarter. Now Tommy Tuberville's team is off to a 1-2 start in the Big 12 with road games against Oklahoma, Texas and Missouri, plus a game against Oklahoma State still left on the schedule. Those two wins that Tech needs to get to a bowl game aren't going to come easy.

THAT WAS CRAZY. As great as Kansas State's special teams units were in this game, with the two blocked field goals and the kick return, they also made some dumb mistakes. A missed extra point and failure to recover an onside kick could have cost Kansas State the game.