Tag:BCS Bowl Projections
Posted on: December 2, 2011 12:06 am
 

QUICK HITS: West Virginia 30, South Florida 27

Posted by Chip Patterson

WEST VIRGINIA WON. It was a sloppy game with five combined turnovers and 17 combined penalties, but the Mountaineers emerged victorious and earned a share of the Big East title with a 30-27 win over South Florida on Thursday night in Tampa. The Bulls out gained the Mountaineers, who struggled to get anything going offensively until the fourth quarter. West Virginia now needs Cincinnati to beat Connecticut on Saturday to likely win the three-team tiebreaker and earn a bid to a BCS bowl. If Connecticut beats Cincinnati, Louisville will win the two-team tiebreaker and take the BCS bid.

HOW WEST VIRGINIA WON: Capitalizing on South Florida's mistakes. The Bulls shot themselves in the foot over and over down the stretch after dominating for most of the second half. The penalties, missed tackles, and especially BJ Daniels' fumble late in the fourth quarter allowed West Virginia to bounce back after the Bulls rolled off 17 straight points to take a 27-20 lead. While the ground game has sputtered for long stretches this season, West Virginia got the right performance at the right time from Dustin Garrison. The freshman running back picked up 54 of his 88 yards and the only offensive touchdown on the final two Mountaineer drives. South Florida was committing their defense to pass protection, and Garrison found enough room to make moves and keep getting first downs.

WHEN WEST VIRGINIA WON: On 4th and 10 with 13 seconds remaining, Geno Smith found Stedman Bailey for an impressive diving catch in the middle of the field. The Mountaineers were able to spike the ball and set up Tyler Bitancurt for the game-winning field goal as time expired. All of it was set up by BJ Daniels' fumble with more than three minutes remaining at the West Virginia 30 yard line.

WHAT WEST VIRGINIA WON: The best shot they have to keep their BCS hopes alive. Last season the Mountaineers lost the three-team tiebreaker to Connecticut and missed out on a chance to return to a BCS bowl game for the first time since the Rich Rodriguez era. They would not have even had that opportunity this year with a loss on Thursday.

WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA LOST: South Florida missed out on the postseason for the first time since 2004. The close loss was representative of the Bulls' season, which started with so much hope after the first four wins. South Florida has never finished the season with just one conference win, dating all the way back to their Conference USA seasons in 2003-2004.

THAT WAS CRAZY. The Mountaineers average over 35 points per game on the season, but have been slow to get started in their last three contests. West Virginia's first offensive touchdown did not come until there was 5:09 remaining in the game. The last three games have all been slow-starting for the Mountaineers offense, but they have been the three crucial wins needed to keep the BCS hopes alive.

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Posted on: December 1, 2011 9:58 am
Edited on: December 1, 2011 5:39 pm
 

BJ Daniels (shoulder) expected to play in finale

Posted by Chip Patterson

UPDATE: CBSSports.com's Brett McMurphy reports that BJ Daniels (shoulder) has been cleared to play, and is expected to start tonight against West Virginia



With a postseason still left to play for, South Florida starting quarterback BJ Daniels (shoulder) remains questionable for Thursday night's season finale against West Virginia.

The junior told the St. Petersburg Times earlier this week that his status for Thursday was "in God's hands right now." A few local reports out of Tampa are suggesting Daniels has been ruled out for the showdown with the Mountaineers, but my guess is it will be another game-time decision for head coach Skip Holtz.

Daniels injured his shoulder in the Bulls' 6-3 loss to Miami on Nov. 19, bruising the AC joint in his throwing shoulder after getting hit on a quarterback scramble in the third quarter. He was on the field warming up before South Florida's 34-24 loss to Louisville on Friday, though never saw any time on the field.

For the second season in a row, sophomore Bobby Eveld has been called on to fill in for an injured Daniels. Eveld completed 20 of 35 passes for 210 yards with a touchdown and interception in the loss to the Cardinals, but got no help from the Bulls' defense that gave up 24 second half points on the way to the loss.

Despite losing six of their last seven games, the Bulls are still one win away from being bowl eligible. Hopes were high in Tampa after the hot 4-0 start that included a 23-20 upset of Notre Dame and high-scoring performances against Florida A&M and UTEP. But unfortunately for South Florida fans, the untimely slide has left them out of another wide-open conference title race that could result in sending 7-5 Louisville to the Orange Bowl.

While South Florida is out of the race, Thursday night's game is one of two pivotal conference games remaining that will dictate the tie-breaker scenario for the Big East's BCS bowl bid. Louisville has clinched at least a share of the Big East title, and both West Virginia and Cincinnati will have a chance to do the same this weekend. Here is a reminder of the four scenarios for the BCS bid.

SCENARIO I
Cincinnati defeats Connecticut, South Florida defeats West Virginia. RESULT: Cincinnati earns BCS bid
SCENARIO II
Connecticut defeats Cincinnati, West Virginia defeats South Florida. RESULT: Louisville earns BCS bid
SCENARIO III
Connecticut defeats Cincinnati, South Florida defeats West Virginia. RESULT: Louisville earns BCS bid
SCENARIO IV
Cincinnati defeats Connecticut, West Virginia defeats South Florida. RESULT: Three-way tie for Big East title. BCS bid determined by highest ranking in BCS standings. Currently, West Virginia holds this advantage with a No. 23 ranking in the most recent BCS standings.

While many around South Florida expect Daniels to be out, I imagine he will remain "Questionable" and in uniform on the sideline if needed. While Eveld has found some success under center for the Bulls, Daniels' ability to scramble and create the big play himself adds another dimension to the South Florida offense. West Virginia's pass rush helped seal the come-from-behind 21-20 victory against Pittsburgh in the Backyard Brawl, and whoever is under center can expect to see more of the same on Friday night.

BJ Daniels may be questionable to play, but you have been medically cleared to "Like"us at our new Eye On College Football Facebook page.

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Posted on: October 25, 2011 6:25 pm
Edited on: October 28, 2011 11:19 am
 

PODCAST: West Virginia, Big 12, Heisman and more

Posted by Chip Patterson

Realignment moves at a rapid pace, and just when everything calms is usually when there is about be another new development. In this edition of the CBSSports.com College Football Podcast, I join Adam Aizer and J. Darin Darst to discuss West Virginia's reported move to the Big 12, the narrowing Heisman race, and we engage in a heated debate over paying players in the midst of Mark Emmert's recent grant-in-aid proposal..

We also analyze several possible national championship scenarios, including what it would take for Boise State to finish No. 2 in the BCS standings and if a LSU-Alabama rematch is possible. Finally some reader questions get some answered, including apologies from Darst for calling Penn State an "average" team.

Your emails could be read on the next edition of the CBSSports.com College Football Podcast, so send them in to podcast[at]cbsinteractive [dot] com.

Remember, all of the CBSSports.com College Football Podcasts can be downloaded for FREE from the iTunes Store.

You can listen to the podcast in the player below, pop out a player to keep browsing, or download the MP3 right to your computer.



Keep up with the latest college football news from around the country. From the regular season all the way through the bowl games, CBSSports.com has you covered with this daily newsletter. | Preview
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com