Tag:Duquesne
Posted on: February 11, 2011 3:17 pm
Edited on: February 11, 2011 3:29 pm
 

On the Bubble

by Jerry Palm

I hate the term, but The Bubble has become accepted vernacular when it comes to bracket projections.  Those are the teams that can still go either way in or out of the tournament field.  Today, we debut a new page called "Bubble Watch," where I spotlight certain teams on either side of the fence and some others of interest.  It will be updated at least every Friday.  This week, 11 teams are featured.  It does not include every single team on the bubble.  Every team from an 8-seed on down is on the bubble as far as I'm concerned, and of course, there are those not in the bracket for now.

Here are some key games to watch this weekend for our bubbly friends.

The ACC: The league has no fewer than six fencesitters -- Boston College, Clemson, Florida State, Maryland, Miami and Virginia Tech.   Every time they take the floor against each other, or against either Duke or North Carolina, that's a key game.

Saturday, Maryland is at BC and UNC goes to Clemson, where the Tigers do occassionaly come up with a win against the Heels.  On Sunday, Duke is in Miami to face the Canes.

In the A-10 on Sunday, Xavier is at Duquesne with first place in the league on the line.  Xavier is looking pretty good for the tournament, but the Dukes might need the conference regular season title to remain an at-large possibility.

Baylor is still trying to recover from a rough start to its season, but a win at Texas on Saturday would heal a lot of those pains.

Two bubblers face off when Old Dominion visits VCU on Saturday hoping to stay in the Colonial race.

Two more go at it in the Big East on Sunday when St. John's goes to Cincinnati.   The Bearcats won the first meeting in NYC.

New Mexico
and Marquette get chances this weekend to prove they are not just home court heroes.  The Lobos are at Colorado State on Saturday, while the Golden Eagles face Georgetown on Sunday.


See complete Bracketology coverage here.

Posted on: February 1, 2011 5:40 pm
Edited on: February 6, 2011 3:33 pm
 

The Value of Conference Standings

by Jerry Palm

I've been hearing from Duquesne fans especially, and some from Wichita State too, wondering why their teams don't get more respect in the bracket.  After all, they are co-leaders of their leagues, and in the Dukes' case, undefeated.

Conference standings used to be a mostly-reliable gauge of where teams stood amongst each other.  It used to be rare for one team in a conference to get an at-large bid over another team that finished ahead of it in its league.  Now, with bigger conferences and more unbalanced schedules, conference standings aren't as reliable as they used to be.  In fact, there may be nothing less meaningful than the Big East conference standings.  And I'm talking about at the end of the season.  Conference standings are even less useful now.

I use them to determine the conference "automatic qualifier" for my bracket projections.  After that, I hardly ever look at them.

The committee pays no attention to where a team finishes in the conference race either.  They will look at conference records and which teams they played to get to that record, just as they do with non-conference records and schedules.  In fact, non-conference schedules are more important because sometimes, teams get left out primarily for playing a weak one.

For the committee though, it's all about who you played, where you played them, and whether you won, but not so much where you finished in your conference.

So, as for Wichita State, they don't have a single win of any significant quality.  The Shockers are 0-4 vs the RPI top 100.  Until that gets a lot better, they aren't even on my board.

Duquesne is undefeated in the A-10, another league that is too big to have any reasonable balance to its conference schedule.  They have home wins over Temple and Dayton , but didn't do anything good outside the league.  They are on my board, but I think we're a couple weeks away from really finding out about the Dukes.  They play at home vs Xavier , at UMass and at Dayton in a six day stretch.  After that, ask me again about them.

See complete Bracketology coverage here .


 
 
 
 
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