UPDATE: The coaches poll point totals at the top have been revealed. Oklahoma State pulled to within 32 points of Alabama. As you can probably deduce if you read the bit below, that's not good news for the Cowboys.
OSU will now need to pass Alabama in the Harris poll and lead by at least five points to finish No. 2 overall in the BCS. That seems unlikley, with the way poll voters tend to group-think, but you never know with those wacky Harris folks.
Also, even though it doesn't count, the AP poll has Alabama No. 2 as well, although by a closer margin than the coaches have.
TCU did get a little help in that the Frogs are ahead of Houston, Georgia and Oklahoma, but Clemson jumped them, so that hurts. We haven't seen those point totals yet. I will update the BCS ratings projections chart when we see the full poll.
The media (in general, not everyone) seems to be throwing its weight behind the notion of moving Oklahoma State up to No. 2 and giving the Cowboys a shot at LSU instead of having a rematch Alabama. This comes after they have spent the last two weeks making it very clear that the only worthy opponent for LSU was, in fact, the Tide.
I don't have a vote, but I can tell you what the people who do will have to do to make that happen.
Oklahoma State trailed Alabama by 342 points in the Harris poll and 166 in the coaches' poll. With the current computer projections, the Cowboys would have to be the mathematical equivalent of 28 points behind in Harris and 15 back in the coaches' poll. A little of that ground gets made up with the natural fall of Virginia Tech in the polls, but that's still an enormous gap to make up. Voters would simply have to decide they don't want a rematch and move OSU up, not only past Alabama on some ballots, but Stanford also, which started the week ahead of the Cowboys in both polls. We'll have a much better idea when the coaches' poll is released in a few hours.
For some perspective, the only other time something like this happened was in 2006, when the voters moved up Florida past Michigan to avoid a rematch after the Gators won the SEC title on the final day of the season. That year, Florida entered that last week trailing the Wolverines by only 86 points in the Harris poll and just 40 in the coaches' poll.
TCU has to get to 16 to earn an automatic spot in the BCS. Again, I don't like the way the numbers are shaking out for TCU. It doesn't look like the Frogs will make up much ground at all in the computers. Going into this week, TCU was No. 17 in each poll, right behind Michigan, but the gap in the point totals was huge -- more than double the number of voters in each poll. That's like being two spots in the rankings behind instead of one. It also means that the teams that lost ahead of them in the polls -- Georgia, Michigan State, Oklahoma and Houston -- may slot into that gap between them and the Wolverines.
TCU will probably need at least three of those teams to fall behind them in both polls to have a decent chance to get to 16th overall. The Frogs also have to watch their backs and hope Baylor and Clemson don't leap(horned)frog them. Michigan State (close loss) and Houston (high ranking to begin with and better record) have the best chance of staying ahead of TCU.