Posted on: May 13, 2012 11:05 am
 

Fantasy Drafter's Beware!!

Drafter's Beware!!

 

    Inside the Drafter's Beware segment well cover players coming back from Season ending injuries that are now "injury prone" tagged, players that have lost offensive weapons/threats or coaches and new additions to the team that threaten players weekly productivity. Im NOT stating these players are expected to BUST, Im just saying Beware.

 

Quarterbacks :

 

1. J.Flacco (Bal) :  Flacco has been on a "pitch count" since coming into the league,  Flacco has thrown 35+ pass attempts in only 18 games in his last 3 seasons which has lead to only  18 Multiple TD games in his last 3 seasons. With Rice getting the  ball more and more and the Ravens Defense being able to shut teams down weekly it allows the Ravens to ground and pound and reduce turnovers through the air. Flacco only threw 13 Ints last season but he still has a problem holding onto the ball to long in the pocket which lead to 6 LOST fumbles last year, tied for 4th among QBs. Last season was the 1st year Flacco broke over 4,000 yards passing in his career and he should continue to be looked at as a No. 2 QB with 3,800yard and 22-25 TD potential.

 

2. M.Sanchez (NYJ) : Sanchez is expected to remain the Jets starter after the signing of T.Tebow but there's now someone ready to replace him in the event he struggles, something the Jets didn't really have last season. Sanchez's numbers -- 3,474 yards  on a career-best 56.7 pct. passing with 26 TDs and 18 Ints and 8 fumbles lost with 6 rushing TDs-- were the best he's ever had. But if Tebow gets involved in the offense, and why wouldn't he after the Jets dealt for him, then Sanchez will be hard-pressed to duplicate those numbers so he'll remain a No. 2 option worth a late pick in drafts.

 

3. S.Bradford (STL) : I have high expectations for Bradford heading into 2012, with new Rams coach Jeff Fisher and Offensive Coordinator Brian Schottenheimer. He still remains just a No. 2 Fantasy QB in allleagues. The Rams need to give Bradford  some weapons, but he is someone to draft with a late-round pick with the hope he can develop into a Weekly Fantasy producer.

 

Running Backs :

 

1. D.McFadden (Oak) : Raiders head coach Dennis Allen said he expects running back Darren McFadden to not only be ready for the start of the season, but to participate in the team's upcoming offseason program which is great for McFadden. Wish M.Bush signing with the Bears it opens up McFadden to alot of work as the Raiders are thin at RB. Then why have him as a "Beware" you ask? McFadden missed 7 games last year due to a Lisfranc sprain and even though he is expected to be back, he is a high risk for this happening again. He could re-aggrivate the problem without even putting pressure on the foot and  the Raiders have been aware of that and have taken extra care with McFadden.  McFadden could very well see 20+ carries ah week  but he's also been very injury prone over his career never playing more than 13 games in a season. It's OK to draft McFadden  with  a Top 30-35 pick, but in doing so you must also commit to drafting his backup as a handcuff for when (not if) McFadden gets hurt.

 

2. B.Wells (Ari) : Despite the knee problem, Wells played well in 2011. He ran for 1,047 yards and 10 touchdowns through 14 games. Beanie underwent surgery which was expected to be on his troublesome knee but Wells did not specify the  nature of his operation. Coach Ken Whisenhunt said that Wells played most of the year on "one leg." He should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy RB heading into the season, and hopefully he can hold off RB Ryan Williams for the starting job all year. Williams (knee) missed his rookie campaign, but he will likely compete with Wells for carries next season.

 

3. A.Peterson (Min) : Vikings Coach Leslie Frazier said the team will invest in another running back before the season starts. Peterson tore his left ACL and MCL last Christmas Eve and underwent (ACL,MCL,meniscus surgery) so being ready for the start of the season is a very lofty goal for Frazier. That might mean he would go without training camp and preseason work.  For  now Fantasy owners should expect Peterson to be a question mark for the start of the season and Fraizer has said that Peterson  will be on a light carry count once he starts playing but a potential No. 1 Fantasy rusher once he shows he's 100% healthy. I see  him being taken in the middle of Round 2 in most drafts, though whoever takes him must also pick his current handcuff, Toby Gerhart, with a pick as soon as Round 9. Peterson has the chance to end up on the PUP list and would be forced to miss the 1st-6 weeks of regular season making Gerhart a potential steal for the 1st-half of the season.

 

4. M.Forte (Chi) : He has totaled at least 1,400 yards every season, something he'll have some trouble doing with Bush sharing the workload. And we've seen Forte get at least 9 total TDs in 2 of his 4 seasons; that's probably out the window with Bush in Chicago now. The potential for his touches to drop a little along with him potentially holding out of training camp casts a dark shadow on his Fantasy production for 2012. For now drop him to a borderline No. 1/No. 2 Fantasy running back worth a pick in Round 2 in standard formats and late Round 1 in PPR formats.  

 

5. D. Williams (Car) : Williams might be good for about 12 touches per week, but with Stewart AND Tolbert AND  Newton in Carolina he might become a non-factor near the goal line.  Williams came on at the end of last season (6TDs and 312yards) just in time for the playoffs but still being apart of the Panthers 3-headed running attack he was still worrisome to start. Williams had atleast 60yards in 5 of his last 6 games of the Fantasy season (Weeks 11-16) and showed he could still break off long  runs  if giving the ability. He's no better than a No. 3 Fantasy rusher worth a mid-round pick at best UNLESS the Panthers can move J.Stewart then Williams work load would increase.

 

Wide Receivers :

 

1. A.Boldin (Balt) : Boldin only had 4TDs last season which was due to Flacco only throwing 24TDs and the emergence of WR Torrey Smith and TE's E.Dickson and D.Pitta. I expect Smith to take over the No. 1 Receiver spot for the Ravens, Smith ended with 54receptions for 932yards and 8TDs on 104 targets from Flacco. Boldin has put up atleast 1,000 yards or 7TDs in every year since 2005 as he continues to be a big-play receiver. Boldin is worth drafting as a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR heading into 2012.

 

2. N.Burleson (Det) : Burleson got a lot of looks during the regular season, but Titus Young came on late in the year for Detroit. He did catch a career-high 77receptions for 807yards but only 3TDs on 115targets with Stafford throwing 41 during the regular season. Young ended with 52receptions, 640yards with 6TDs on 94targets and I totally expect T.Young to take the No.2 WR job away from Burleson this year. Young will most likely still line up in the slot but will see alot more work from Stafford  then he did last year. In 8 games after the Lions Bye-Week T.Young brought in 5 of his 6 TDs as Stafford starting finding him much more often. Pettigrew as well took alot of looks away from Burleson especially in the redzone. If he serves a role similar  to this season he'd be worth using as a low-end No.4 WR option and T.Young I would draft higher as a No.3 receiver.

 

3. N.Washington (Ten) : Washington finished the season strong, scoring 5TDs over the last 7 games, and he also exceeded 90yards 3-times over that span. Washington HAD to step up for the Titans when K.Britt tore his ACL in Week 3 and did just that. IF Washington could continue to produce at the level he did this year as the Titans No. 2 WR Washington could be a late round steal. Also have to continue to monitor Britts health which could play a big part of Washingtons draft position. With the Titans making improvements to their Offensive line it should give more time for Hasselbeck/Locker to view the field finding open receivers. Washington is worth taking in the later rounds as he could see a main role IF Britt cant get 100%.

 

4. S.Holmes (NYJ) : Holmes caught just 51receptions for 654 yards (a career-worst 12.8 avg.) and 8TDs last year, posting 10 or more Fantasy points (standard scoring) in just 5 games. Holmes hasn't been a stud since arriving in New York and with more guaranteed coin in his piggy bank, he might not ever reach the numbers he had in Pittsburgh in 2009 (1,248 yards). I see  Holmes as no better than a No. 3 Fantasy WR, he's only had 1-1,000 yard season in his last 5 years and has continued to speak out by saying he wants to be the "go-to guy". Back with the Steelers Big Ben would reach back and sling it Holmes way early and  often but Sanchez is hesitant and needs to get over that because Holmes can be a extremely useful weapon.

 

5. L.Robinson (Jac) : Robinson reverts back to almost no Fantasy value joining the Jags in this offseason for 5 years with B.Gabbert throwing him the football. After surpassing his 5 year career stats in 10 games with the Cowboys last year where Robinson ended with 54receptions on 84 targets for 858yards with 11TDs over those 10 games. Robinson was taking advantage  of man/man coverage but  now being the Jags No.1 WR he will see defenses best CBs and all the double coverage  being the only real weapon downfield for the Jags. He is worth a late round pick and could be viewed in my opinion as a boarderline No.3/No.4 WR being the Jags No.1 he could still be in line for 130-140 targets.

 

Tight Ends :

 

1. J.Ballard (NYG) : Ballard was having a nice emerging season for the Giants until his torn ACL in Superbowl XLVI. Now the Giants expect Ballard to start off the regular season on the PUP (Physically Unable to Perform) list and the  Giants  have   brought in TE M.Bennett. Ballard ended the season with 43receptions for 647yards with 4TDs on 75targets. With E.Manning stepping  up last year throwing 6,152yards and 38TDs last year makes the Giants receiving core that much more appealing, I would avoid Ballard in all Drafts but Bennett could serve as a viable No.2 thats worth a mid-late round pick.

 

2. J.Dreessen (Den) : Dreessen was a nice signing for the Broncos once they acquired P.Manning but youngTE J.Tamme was signed shortly after and I would think with past rapport with Manning will be the TE that gets more involved in the passing game. Dreessen is a BIG redzone target standing 6'4" with good hands and good blocking ability but Tamme is the faster  better receiving TE. Tamme has alot of sleeper appeal to me this year and could serve very well as a No.1 TE weekly as a late round steal and Dreessen would be a No.2 that is a even later round grab. Id start to target Tamme around Rounds 7 or 8 and Dreessen in 11 or 12.


Posted on: May 7, 2012 4:15 pm
 

Bounce Back Busts for 2012

Bounce Back Busts from 2011

 

    Every year we have them and they can completely sink your team. Early round picks that end up $#!+ing the bed! We'll be covering 2011 BUSTS that have the ability to Bounce Back in 2012 and be Weekly Fantasy producers. These players have either had new additions added to their team, lost players to FA opening up a more predominant role or just plain out sucked last year.

 

Quarterbacks :

 

1. P.Rivers (SD) : Even though Rivers lost V.Jackson to the Bucs the Chargers have had a young WR step up to fill in. Rivers will be throwing to M.Floyd, 2nd-year V.Brown(Sleeper) and newly signed R.Meachem. Yes, Meachem and Brown are shorter then VJax but Gates looked to finally get over his Planter Fascia will get a very high percentage of redzone targets. In 5-seasons with Turner, Rivers has averaged 4,150 yards, 28 touchdowns and 13 interceptions per year and the Chargers announced that Turner would remain the Chargers HC in 2012. His 20 Int's last season was a Career "worst" and I expect him to those down to 11-14 this year.

 

2. M.Vick (Phi) : Vick did NOT produce like anyone had hoped for last year. Mostly offensive line problems in the begining of the year being knocked down (99) times over the first 6 weeks which led to his "I'm not complaining, I'm just saying" rant.  However, he's still a high-risk, high-reward type even though he only had 1 game last year with more then 2 TDs (Week 17). He showed he has the potential to be a 270+ yard passing QB throwing 6 of  his 13 games if giving time in the pocket. The emergence of L.McCoy will also have defenses stacking the line allowing his speedy receivers J.Maclin, D.Jackson and B.Celek get open down field.

 

3. M.Schaub (Hou) : Schaub had to over-come alot of obsticals early and often, losing A.Foster  for 2 and a half weeks to start the season as well as A.Johnson for 9 weeks to both hamstring injuries. Schaub himself has been healing from a Lisfranc sprain and the Texans believe he will be ready to go by training camp. Because there are so many other QB's now on peoples radars Schaub could be a tremendous bargain come Fantasy drafts this summer. Schaub will fall in drafts, potentially as far as Rounds 6 or 7 but still has 5,000-yard and 35-TD potential, especially if the Texans improve their receiving corps this offseason with a couple FA signings or Draft picks.

 

4. R.Fitzpatrick (Buf) : Fitz was leader among ALL QB's in 2011 with 23 Ints and was tied  with Rivers for 1st with 8-games with 2+ Ints. Fitz has 4,000-yard, 25-TD potential which are great for your BACKUP numbers, he has had to work on a personal problem (Accuracy) and has said to be improving on that. The addition of skilled receivers would help Fitz as well with defenses blanketing S.Johnson, Fitz need ah additional outlet other then F.Jackson. Figure that he's worth a late-round pick as a good No. 2 Fantasy QB with potential.

 

5. J.Freeman (TB) : With the Bucs adding V.Jackson and planning on drafting T.Richardson does increase Freeman's appeal. Freeman tossed 22 Ints last year which was 2nd among all QBs. The upside was that he was able to rush in 4TDs as to almost even out his 22Ints with 20Total TDs (16 passing, 4rushing). Blount has had problems for the Bucs with fumbles (3 lost) but had (7) drops all season, this cant happen if the Bucs want to have consistent drives down the field and coach Greg Schiano spoke glowingly about T.Richardson.  He loves being able to "feed the ball" to a reliable player, and he said he thinks Richardson could be that player. A solid running game would take alot of pressure of Freeman allowing him to hit VJax, Williams and Winslow more consistently. Freeman is a  late-round pick worth serving as a bye-week replacement that has potential.

 

 

Running Backs :

 

1. C.Johnson (Ten) : The Titans are making moves to improve their offensive line, beginning with the signing of guard Steve Hutchinson. Head coach Mike Munchak also said earlier this offseason that the Titans are planning to "make a drastic improvement" in their run game. Johnson racked up 1,047 rushing yards, 418 receiving yards and 4 rushing TDs last year behind an offensive line that did a pretty good job in pass protection but did struggle to open up running lanes. He'll be a risk no matter what he says or does this offseason because of last year's weak production, but the upside still makes him alluring, as is the opportunity to take him later than you might have in the last two years.

 

2. S.Jackson (STL) : Jackson had a solid season last year with 260 carries for 1,145 yards but only 5TDs, 42 catches for 333 yards and 1TD on 58 targets. He will have a great schedule in 2012 against weaker run defenses in Green Bay, Washington, New England, the Jets, Tampa Bay and Buffalo, along with his division opponents. New HC Jeff Fisher will emphasize the run, and the Rams should look to improve their offensive line to also help protect Sam Bradford. Jackson closed the season on a high note with double digits in Fantasy points in three of his final four games, and you should expect 300-plus touches and quality production.

 

3. J.Charles (KC) : Chiefs head coach Romeo Crennel called new Chiefs running back Peyton Hillis a "complement" to Charles, which makes it sound like Charles will be counted on to shoulder a lot of carries if he comes back healthy and productive. Assuming there are no setbacks, Charles will be worth taking in the early rounds on Draft Day, but more as a high-end No. 2 Fantasy RB.

 

4. S.Greene (NYJ) : Greene was banged up by a lingering rib injury during the last month of the season and surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark just twice on the year. Still, he was able to surpass 1,000 rushing yards for the first time in his career with 6TDs on 283 total touches while taking over as New York's leading ball-carrier. He will enter the 2012 season again as the Jets' primary option in the backfield and should be viewed as a solid No. 2 Fantasy RB.

 

5. D.Murray (Dal) : Murray wasnt a BUST per say, though he did dwindle off a bit after Week 10. Murray did 799 yards worth of damage over 7 healthy weeks with 2TDs. Murray did very well in games with Fiammetta last season and could do more of the same with an experienced lead blocker like Vickers in front of him. Vickers helped pave the way last year for A.Foster and for P.Hillis's breakout season in 2010.  The Cowboys remain a pass-happy offense but Murray, so long as he stays healthy, should be quite productive. Murray has the chance to be a solid No. 2 Fantasy RB heading into 2012.

 

 

Wide Receivers :

 

1. A.Johnson (Hou) : Johnson's 2011 season will be remembered for the nine games he missed because of hamstring problems. But he totaled 13 catches for 201 yards and one touchdown in two playoff games with QB T.Yates. Schaub will be fully healed and the Texans should beef up their receiving corps taking some pressure off Johnson. Though Johnson has never had more then 9TDs in a year he is more then capable of 100+ receptions and 1,500+ yards. He averaged just over 8 TDs per season from 2007-2010 which should give Fantasy owners plenty of confidence drafting him as a No. 1 Fantasy WR in 2012.

 

2. D.Bowe (KC) : He was the Chiefs’ leading pass receiver the past three seasons and made the Pro Bowl in 2010 after his 72-catch, 15-touchdown season. Despite quarterback issues last year, Bowe still turned in his 2nd consecutive 1,100-yard season with an 81-catch campaign but only recored 1/3 of the TDs ending the year with just 5. The return of J.Charles as well should take some of the extra heat of Bowe. Fantasy owners should consider him a No. 2 Fantasy WR option in 2012 and could start getting looks in Round 6 though he carries some TD risk due to QB production drafting him any higher would be risky.

 

3. S.Rice (Sea) : With a new QB situation and Lynch getting back to "Beast-mode", Rice has the upside and potential as a mid-late draft pick/ No. 3 Fantasy WR option. Between hip, shoulder and 2 concussions, it's becoming pretty clear that Rice is a major injury risk. Of course his potential is great because he's big, fast and can win the jump-ball battle. Rice has missed 17 games in his last 2 seasons but after having surgery on both shoulders in the offseason he is expected to be ready to go for training camp. Doug Baldwin and Golden Tate are viable sleeper options as well with M.Flynn.

 

4. D.Jackson (Phi) : Jackson finished with 58 receptions out of 104 targets for 961 yards with just 4TDs last season. Between injuries and some behavior issues cost him some playing time last season. Jackson wasn't too consistent last year either, which could make some Fantasy owners pass him over on Draft Day. Maclin has taking the reins as the No. 1 WR for the Eagles and Fantasy owners should view Jackson as more of a No. 2 wide receiver that can be targeted in the mid-late rounds.

 

5. R.Wayne (Ind) : Wayne will have a lot of new facets to learn in Indy this summer. A new quarterback (presumably rookie Andrew Luck), a new playbook and almost a brand new receiving corp (except A.Collie). Luck isn't Peyton Manning, but he is more polished than the passers Wayne worked with last year. And with Wayne staying in Indy and (Pierre Garcon a Redskin), he'll remain their No. 1 receiver and a candidate for upwards of 140 targets on the year. Wayne could end up being a delightful steal in Fantasy drafts. I'd grab him as a borderline No. 2/No. 3 Fantasy WR with a pick starting in Round 8 -- he might very well outperform everyones expectations.

 

Tight Ends :

 

1. J.Witten (Dal) : Witten had a down campaign in 2011 as he failed to reach 80 receptions for the first time since 2006 and also posted his fewest receiving yards since 2006. Only being able to reel in 5 TDs Witten was overshadowed by the Cowboys stacked receiving corp. Laurent Robinson really stole the show from Witten around the redzone as teams would double cover Bryant and Witten allowing Robinson man/man coverage. I expect teams to go back to doubling the corners Bryant,Austin and Witten to step back up over last years numbers.

 

2. O.Daniels (Hou) : As of now you can see I expect the Texans receiving corp to get back on track. With J.Dreessen signing with the Broncos that opens Daniels back up to a predominant role. Daniels' numbers really suffered in the second half of the season for two reasons. First, the Texans became a run-heavy team as the team dealt with Andre Johnson's hamstring injury. Also, the loss of QB Matt Schaub meant Daniels worked with rookie QB T.J. Yates down the stretch. Schaub is expected to be back by the start of preseason, consider him a viable No. 1 Fantasy TE on Draft Day that could be a nice steal in mid-late rounds with as many TE's emerging.

 

3. K.Winslow (TB) : Winslow quietly surpassed his reception total from last year (66) as his scoring production took a hit because of the sporadic play of Freeman. Winslow ended last year with 75 receptions on 121 targets for 763yards but only 2TDs. He finished with at least 70 receptions in a season for the 4th-time in his career. He is normally a better scoring option as he represents a massive target near the end zone. With the signing of V.Jackson this not only gives Freeman another target around the redzone but also gives defenses another BIG target to have to cover freeing up Winslow more. Winslow is a viable No. 2 TE that can be taking in the later rounds but still has upside and potential as long as Freeman comes around.

 

4. F.Davis (Was) : After being franchise tagged Davis returns after a career season in which he established single-season highs in receptions (59) and receiving yards (796) with 3TDs. The 796 yards were the 4th-most in a season by a tight end in Redskins history. With the expected addition of rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III, Davis will see a upgrade at QB and should see a increase in targets. Expect Davis to be drafted with a mid-round pick, and he should be considered a boarderline No. 1/No. 2 tight end on Draft Day.

 

5. E.Dickson (Bal) : Dickson finished the season with 54 receptions for 528 yards and 5TDs on 97 targets. Dickson and Pitta combined to catch 94 passes for 933 yards and 8TDs and Offensive Coordinator Cam Cameron only sees more production ahead out of his two young tight ends. He projects as a No. 2 Fantasy TE in 2012, and he is only worth drafting with a late-round pick to serve as a backup/bye week replacement until proven he can produce weekly/consistently. 


Posted on: May 7, 2012 4:13 pm
 

Under the radar flyers! Top 10 No.2 Wide Receiver

Under the radar flyers! Top 10 No.2 Wide Receivers.

 

Wide Receivers are becoming more and more dangerous over the past few years, in this column I'll focus on Teams Top 10 No.2 WRs. Some No.2's WRs hold greater value if you can snag them deeper in the draft allowing you to build your Fantasy team and draft plan around them.

 

1. J.Nelson - GB : A.Rodgers held one of the best Pass attempts/TD ratios in the league only throwing (548 attempts ending with 47TDs/7Ints) Nelson will be one of the "lesser" targeted receivers on the list just because of the receiving corp in GB but he has the potential of being a double digit TD producer again this year. Nelson is a boarder-line No.1/No.2 receiver worth a pick in the Late 3rd, early 4th Round.

 

2. V.Cruz - NYG : Eli spoke out early before last season saying "I'm one of the best Quarterbacks in the league" and he 100% backed up that statement posting 6,152yards 38TDs with 17Ints on the 2nd-most pass attempts in the league with (752) only behind Brees (763). As well as winning Super Bowl XLVl. With Manningham shipping out to SF Cruz and Nicks both should see increase in targets. Cruz will be targeted in your Drafts Top 10 WR's to go and will be targeted as early as the 3rd-Round. 

 

3. J.Jones - Atl : M.Ryan has been putting on weight and working out with strength trainers trying to bulk up for his deep passes. Ryan clearly wants to air the ball out and Jones will be the target he goes to. Jones ended his rookie season with 61receptions 1,023yards 8TDs on 104 targets while still missing 3 games due to hamstring injury. Jones staying healthy he can easily see 120+ targets which could turn out to high 1,100+yards with the potential of 10TDs. Jones will be a popular pick as a No. 2 Fantasy WR on Draft Day, with the upside to be much more.

 

4. B.Lloyd - NE : With Brady throwing to him NOT Orton he should easily post 1,100 yards with 60-70receptions and I see 7-9 TDS. Lloyd's draft value jumped ofcourse with him signing with the Pats and will start getting looks as early as Round 5 but would be a great steal in Rounds 6 or 7.

 

5. T.Smith - Bal : Smith ended with 54receptions 932yards and 8TDs on 104 targets in his Rookie campaign. Boldin continues to see the majority of double coverage and Smith streaks downfield allowing Flacco to unleash the cannon. Smith had a exciting and impressive Rookie season as he produced with 1 of the least Fantasy productive QBs and playing hurt, imagine what he can do with some experience and healthy legs! He is currently a boarder-line No.2/No.3 receiver that is worth a 7th-Round pick that has more upside and potential then Boldin. Make sure he is healthy going in training camp and preseason.

 

6. J.Maclin- Phi : Maclin was the Eagles top receiver this season as he overtook DeSean Jackson for that honor. The receiver was fantastic all season and only had three games all year with fewer than 5-Fantasy points (PPR scoring) He ended with 63receptions 859yards and 5TDs on 97 targets with missing 3 games due to hamstring injury. If Maclin can stay healthy he can easily see 120+ targets as teams double/triple D.Jax. Maclin will be targeted in the Mid-rounds (6-8) but very much has the potential of being a breakout stud this year.

 

7. A.Brown - Pit : Brown ended 12th in yards last year among WR's with 1,178yards but only 2TDs. Brown led the Steelers in targets last year(130) Wallace (123). With Defenses focusing on Wallace game after game, Big Ben will continue to find maturing Brown. In the Steelers last 10 games Brown posted atleast 80yards in 6 of those 10 games with both TDs coming late in the season as well. Fantasy owners should target him in your Draft as a high-end No. 3 with much more upside and potential in the Mid Rounds (6-8)

 

8. T.Young -Det : I totally expect Young to take over the No.2 spot from Burleson this year. Young ended with 52receptions 640yards and 6TDs on 94 targets in his rookie season. With a pass-1st mentality the Lions are expected to continue to produce points on the field and in the Fantasy world. Young is totally worth a late Round draft pick as his potential and upside out weight his draft value. 

 

9. M.Williams- TB : The signing of V.Jackson could be the best thing to happen to Williams. Now he doesnt have to beat Top CBs/S and will likely WONT be double covered. Williams this year has the potential of posting his rookie year stats as he is coming out of his sophomore slump. Williams ended last year disappointing alot of Fantasy owners with only 65receptions 771yards 3TDs on 124targets. Owners held onto him hoping he would break out of his slump as some time but this year Williams could return to Top 15 receivers if Freeman can bounce back as well. For now consider Williams a mid-round pick (Rounds 7-9) as a borderline No. 3 receiver that has potential to breakout against man/man coverage.

 

10. L.Moore - NO : R.Meachem being shipped off to SD allows "slot" receiver L.Moore the ability for more targets. With the Saints Defense un-sure of what will become of their discipline the Saints offense should flourish again this year. Moore finished last year with 52receptions 627yards with 8TDs on 73targets while missing Kickoff week and Week 17. With the emergence of J.Graham teams will shift to double team Graham now which will open up underneath areas for Moore on crossing routes. Moore has the potential of double digit TDs because of Brees being a Top 3 Fantasy producer but with the weapons the Saints have Moore can be viewed as ah Mid-low end No.3 receiver that can be targeted in later Rounds (9-10).

 

11. D.Moore -Oak : Moore showed some big-play ability during his rookie campaign and finished the year with six total touchdowns. He averaged 18.7 yards per reception and appeared to develop a nice rapport with QB Carson Palmer. Moore finished with 33receptions 618yards and 3TDs on 76 targets while missing 3 games due to hamstring injury. Moore is worth a late-round flyer pick as his potential and upside outweighs his draft value, Moore can be snagged in Rounds 10+.


Posted on: May 7, 2012 4:11 pm
 

Running up on 30!! 2012 Top 10 Running Backs 30ye

Running up on 30!! 2012 Top 10 Running Backs 30years of age or close to.

Well for Fantasy production there is only 5 RBs 30+years of age with 4 of them looking at 31 either by the start of the regular season or mid way through. The 3 biggest problems Running Backs face is  Heavy work-load, Lower body injuries and Age.  Anyone 30+ years old will tell you that "the body SLOWS the healing process"

 

Oldest group :

1. F.Jackson - Buf (31) : Broken right ankle- Fractured Fibula/ Missed 6 games in 2011

2. W.McGahee - Den (30 soon 31) : Hamstring/Knee problems/ Missed- Limited 3 games in 2011

3. C.Benson - Cin (30 soon 31) : Foot problems in 2011/ Missed 1 game in 2011

4. R.Grant - GB (30 soon 31) Bruised Kidney/Missed 1 game in 2011

5. M.Turner - Atl (30) Groin problems/ Limited 3 games in 2011

6. B.Jacobs - SF (29 soon 30) Hamstring/Knee problems in 2011/ Missed 2 games in 2011

 

Next Generation :

7. F.Gore - SF (28 soon 29) : Right leg injury/Ankle problems in 2011

8. D.Sproles - NO (28 soon 29) No injury issues

9. S.Jackson - STL (28 soon 29) Quad and Foot problems in 2011/ Missed and limited 2 games

10. D.Williams - Car (28 soon 29) No injury issues

 

Third Generation :

M.Bush -Chi (27 soon 28) : No injury issues

I.Redman - Pits (27 soon 28) : No Injury issues

P.Thomas - NO (27 soon 28) : No injury issues

M.Jones-Drew - Jax (27) : No injury issues

A.Peterson - Min (27) : Torn ACL/MCL,  ACL/MCL/Meniscus surgery

R.Bush - Mia (27) : Knee (Non-serious)

M.Forte- Chi (26 soon 27) : MCL Sprain/Knee Missed 4 games in 2011

BJGE -  Cin (26 soon 27) : Toe problems/ Limited in 5 games in 2011

C.Johnson- Ten (26 soon 27) : Endurance, Lockout problems

S.Greene- NYJ (26 soon 27) : Rib/Abdomen problems/ Limited 5 games in 2011

 

Every other RB of Fantasy production is younger, ranging from 23-26 years of age. Oldest to youngest.

 

D.Brown - Ind (26) : No injury issues.

A.Bradshaw - NYG (26) : Foot problems/ Limited in 2 games and Missed 4 games in 2011

A.Foster - Hou (25 soon 26) : Hamstring problems/ Limited in 3 games and Missed 2 games in 2011

M.Lynch - Sea (25 soon 26) : No injury issues

J.Charles - KC (25 soon 26) : Torn ACL Knee problems/ Missed 15 games in 2011

L.Blount - TB (25 soon 26) : Knee problems/ Limited in 4 games and Missed 2 games in 2011

R.Rice - Balt (25) : No injury issues

J.Stewart - Car (25) : No injury issues

R.Mathews - SD (24 soon 25) : Calf problems/ Limited 4 games and Missed 2 games in 2011

D.McFadden - Oak (24 soon 25) : Lisfranc Sprain/ Missed 9 games in 2011

D.Murray - Dal (24) : Broken Ankle/ Missed 3 games in 2011

L.McCoy - Phi (23 soon 24) : No injury issues

B.Wells - Ari (23 soon 24) : Knee problems/ Missed 2games, Limited 6 games in 2011

J.Best - Det (23 soon 24) : Concussion problems/ Missed 10 games in 2011

B.Tate - Hou (23 soon 24) : Groin and Achilles problems/ Missed 1 game in 2011

M.Ingram - NO (22 soon 23) : Heel and Toe problems/ Missed 6 games in 2011


Posted on: May 7, 2012 3:47 pm
 

FantasyFootball101

ITS ABOUT TO GO DOWN!! If you are the seasoned veteran Fantasy Footballer, then you already know the basics to success! This article will give you tips,hits and a refresher in just what you need to dominate your 2012 Fantasy Draft and Leagues! If this is your 1st- Fantasy Football experience, here are the basics to get you going. Fantasy football is basically this: you join a league with other owners, draft a group of NFL players to fulfill certain position requirements, and then each week during the NFL regular season you face off against another person in a head-to-head matchup. Your team earns points based on your players' performance in the real NFL games. If you outscore your opponent, you win; it is that simple. Fantasy Football is extremely addicting, you've been warned rookie!

 

 

Pre Draft: Strategy and rankings

 

Make sure you do your homework! If you don't print out rankings or read up on players, I guarantee you will not have a competitive Fantasy team. There are no bad Fantasy owners except the ones who don't take the time to try. Take time to evaluate players and select your targets before your league's draft. Come up with your own rankings and strategy ahead of time so your not rushing around last second. Dont worry about straying off your strategy from time to time, but try to stick with your original plan. No matter how many "expert" opinions you may hear or read, the bottom line is that it is your team, I can't make the picks for you. Its all up to you, so my suggestion is to value the players as you see fit in your rankings. Those "experts" aren't always right, believe me.

 

 

Draft: Strategy

 

We talked about having a strategy earlier, here is what I mean. Depending on where you are picking in the first round, who will you target? An elite RB, a WR or a QB? With the 7-elite Quarterbacks (Brady,Rodgers,Brees,Stafford,E.Manning,Romo,Newton) then a considerable drop off, do you want to target one of them in the early rounds? With a select class of elite fantasy Wide Receivers, how many do you want to make sure you draft? With so much depth at the Tight End position, do you want to draft an elite one, or wait till the later rounds? All of these are important questions that you must take into account when drafting.

 

 

Draft: Take chances in the late rounds

 

Taking chances and risks in the early rounds is a recipe for disaster, taking them in the late rounds is a recipe for success. If you draft veterans in the late rounds, you aren't doing yourself any favors, because they have virtually no upside. Taking chances on rookies and young players with upside in the late rounds is the way to go. There are no bad upside picks in the late rounds because if they don't pan out, its to the Waiver Wire you go! Don't be afraid to take chances late in your draft, Rookies make great gambles but some tend to reach to high. (Richardson for instance has to play Ravens,Steelers and Bengals defenses x2 could spell for disaster if taken to early).

 

 

Preseason: What to watch and what not to

 

The key things to watch for in training camp and the preseason are injuries, holdouts and who is stepping into a larger role in their team's offense. Teams are very often vague about players' injuries in the preseason, so monitor a player's progress when recovering from an early injury and players coming into training camp recovering from last years problems. Fantasy owners should not read too much into preseason stats. Often times, the huge performances we see in the preseason are coming against second string defenses and players who will not make their team's rosters. The guys to watch are players like Chargers RB Ryan Mathews and WR Pierre Garcon - examples of players who are stepping into larger roles in their teams offenses.

 

 

In season management: Wavier Wire HOT Picks

 

Draft went great, now its time get to work checking that waiver wire! The wavier wire is a treasure chest loaded with hidden gems if you know where to look. Injuries and depth chart adjustments can turn a player with no value but a ton of upside into serious fantasy assets quickly. Keep tabs on the top performers from the previous week; if they are worth a pickup, do not be afraid to get them.

  

 

In season management: Bye weeks and injuries

 

The number one rule in Fantasy Football is that you never start a player on a bye week. Fantasy owners need to be aware of when they are, and have a replacement ready to fill in. Same thing with injuries; if a player is unlikely to play he will be listed as (Questionable or Doubtful) and is better off on your bench unless your 100% sure he will play. One tricky aspect of fantasy football is when it comes to injuries and the late west coast games. If a player is an injury question mark and is playing in one of the later games of the day, you are better off sitting him in favor of a healthy player than finding out five minutes before the late game that your injured player is out, leaving you with no backup to play.

 

 

In season management: Trading: Buy Low, Sell High

 

If you know anything about the stock market, you are aware of the basic philosophy: Buy low, sell high. When is the right time to buy when you are talking about fantasy players? The right time is when you see a player is being undervalued. If the player is truly better than his current value, his "stock" will eventually rise and reflect his true value. When looking to trade, identify players who are undervalued, and that you believe can turn it around to help your fantasy squad. When is the right time to sell? The right time to sell is when a player's value is at its peak (especially if they are overachieving).

 

 

In season management: Trading: Trade from a strength

 

A big problem (especially for new fantasy owners) is knowing where to start when making a trade offer. The answer is that you always want to deal from a position of strength. You want to make a deal that will strengthen your weaknesses by trading away some of your strengths. For example if you are in need of a wide receiver, trading your backup quarterback to a team in need of a starter for one of his wide receivers makes sense.

 

Hopefully some of these tips help and remember that Fantasy Football is ALOT of luck, but putting yourself in the best possible position to succeed is all you can really do. Wishing everybody the best of luck this year and remember TO ALWAYS YELL LOUDER THEN THE OTHER GUY or GIRL!!



Category: Fantasy Football
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com