Tag:Dave Richard
Posted on: May 12, 2009 3:39 pm
 

First expert draft results


Last week, I wrapped up my first Fantasy Football expert draft of the season, and I am a happy man. Based on the rankings and projections I did, I built a mammoth squad.

So either I nailed it and had a killer draft, or I completely stunk up the joint and will go 3-9.

Here's the rundown – I picked 10th overall.

Round 1: Steve Slaton, RB, Houston
Nothing but running backs over the first eight picks before Larry Fitzgerald went ninth overall. Slaton falling to 10th was a joy for me, and taking a stud rusher with goal-line and receiving duties this late was a no-brainer. I doubt we'll see him last this long in other drafts going forward.
Passed up: Frank Gore, Marion Barber, Drew Brees

Round 2: Andre Johnson, WR, Houston
Fine, I took back-to-back Texans. It doesn't bother me – both are solid and put up a lot of points in a potent offense. Johnson is one of three Fantasy receivers well worth a Top-15 pick, and if you miss on one of them your receiving corps is already behind the proverbial eight-ball. I did pass up DeAngelo Williams for Johnson here, but I wouldn't have done it if I hadn't already taken Slaton.
Passed up: DeAngelo Williams, Calvin Johnson, Randy Moss

Round 3: Pierre Thomas, RB, New Orleans
Not a well-known name … if you didn't make the Fantasy playoffs last year. Thomas should easily top 1,000 total yards and be a candidate for 10-plus touchdowns. I'll gladly take the rusher in the middle of the Saints offense … especially in Round 3. It was tough to pass on Peyton Manning, but he was left as well as Tom Brady, and with one team picking behind me already having drafted a QB, I can wait until my next pick. IT PAYS TO KEEP TRACK OF WHAT THE PEOPLE NEAR YOU IN THE DRAFT DO WITH THEIR PICKS!
Passed up: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady

Round 4: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis
First-round talent in Round 4. I loved this. I should also mention that I took Manning over Brady because I know Manning's knees are fine. Brady's? Who can say with 100 percent certainty. I like Brady this year, sure, but Manning is safer.
Passed up: Tom Brady

Round 5: Vincent Jackson, WR, San Diego
A lot of owners picked wide receivers in Rounds 4-5, so I was left with Jackson here. Also taken in front of me: Knowshon Moreno and Chris Wells (too early for my tastes, for now) along with Jason Witten. I needed a receiver before they dried up.
Passed up: Anthony Gonzalez, Santonio Holmes, Santana Moss, DeSean Jackson, Darren McFadden

Round 6: Dallas Clark, TE, Indianapolis
Jason Witten had gone before my Round 5 pick and Tony Gonzalez after. If I was going to get excellent production out of my tight end, I needed to take one now. Took Clark over Antonio Gates because he could effectively be the Colts' No. 2 receiver this season.
Passed up: Antonio Gates, DeSean Jackson, Donald Brown, Darren McFadden

Round 7: Devin Hester, WR, Chicago
Hester should be an excellent No. 3 Fantasy receiver this year with Jay Cutler in under center for the Bears. And really, the receiving pool was getting awfully shallow by this point. Taken in front of me: Kevin Walter and Laveranues Coles. I had to grab a wideout.
Passed up: Donald Driver, Le'Ron McClain, Derrick Mason

Round 8: Le'Ron McClain, RB, Baltimore
Couldn't pass up 10-touchdown potential in Round 8. I highly doubt the Ravens will make McClain's 2008 season a one-year wonder.
Passed up: Darren Sproles, Derrick Mason, Earnest Graham

Round 9: Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota

I normally don't draft rookie wide receivers, but I think Harvin could be an effective stat machine with the Vikings provided that he learns the offense right away. The Vikings invested a lot in him, including trips to Florida to make sure he was a good kid. I think they had designs on how to use him before they drafted him. I want a cut of that action.
Passed up: Ted Ginn, Jr., Ahmad Bradshaw, Sammy Morris

Round 10: LeSean McCoy, RB, Philadelphia
Because there's no way Brian Westbrook at age 30 will play 16 games this year after failing to do so in every previous year in his career.
Passed up: Ricky Williams, Dustin Keller, Fred Jackson, Fred Taylor

Round 11: Jerious Norwood, RB, Atlanta
Value pick. Banking on improved stats since he's in a contract year. No way Michael Turner runs 350+ times in 2009 after doing it in 2008.
Passed up: Chester Taylor, Jeremy Maclin, Kyle Orton

Round 12: Kyle Orton, QB, Denver
I normally don't draft a backup QB if I get an elite passer, but Orton has a shot to be a huge stats machine in Denver with Josh McDaniels running the show. Hopefully it happens and I can deal Orton for some help at the midseason.
Passed up: Deion Branch, Hakeem Nicks

Round 13: Nate Washington, WR, Tennessee
Another value pick. Has a shot to post good numbers in favorable matchups. The Titans didn't sign him for nothing, did they?
Passed up: Isaac Bruce, Brian Robiskie, T.J. Duckett

Round 14: Giants DST
The unit is much improved after a busy offseason and should be very effective. Plus, I'm not sold on Dallas and Washington's offenses being threats to them. I think the NFC East has taken a step back … at least outside of N.Y. and Philly.

Round 15: Tashard Choice, RB, Dallas
Talent. Depth. Late-round flier. End of story.

Round 16: Mason Crosby, PK, Green Bay
Kicker. End of story.

As always, your feedback is appreciated. Let's talk about who I should have picked and who I nailed. Please either post below or hit me up on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/daverichard
Posted on: April 14, 2009 9:00 pm
 

Early thoughts on 2009 NFL schedule

Like you, I'm pumped about football. Even when the NFL offers non-events like the release of the schedule, I'm all geeked up. Pretty soon they'll start broadcasting offseason weight room workouts and have Q&As with the chefs at the training facilities. Ooh! The Jets are adding more protein to their Thursday meals! Start all Jets!!

The NFL schedule is an important piece to the Fantasy puzzle. It dictates the matchups that dictate Fantasy use. Only problem is that any matchup we look at now as a "cake walk" or "an impossible game" might not be the case come Week 5. Last year, I had the Falcons and Dolphins pegged as clubs that would get run over for much of the season. Goes to show you that nothing is permanent and anything can happen. 

Then again, I was pretty confident that the Raiders, Lions, Rams and Bengals would stink, and they did. Just don't bring up the Browns ... eesh ... I get icy chills just thinking about THAT pick from last year ... again, I swear I'm not from Cleveland.

Here are the first things that popped out at me from the 2009 NFL schedule:

ARIZONA: Two east-coast trips, including a 1 p.m. start at Jacksonville. That helps.

ATLANTA: The Falcons get the royal treatmentr with three straight home games Weeks 12-14 (Bucs, Eagles, Saints). THey also will have one outdoor game in poor conditions in December/January (at the Jets Week 15).

BALTIMORE: Look for a fast start from LeRon McClain and Willis McGahee as the Ravens host the Chiefs, play at the Chargers and host the Browns right off the bat, then host the Bengals in Week 5 after dealing with the Patriots on the road in Week 4.

CAROLINA: Rough start for the Panthers, who have Philly at home and then road games at the Falcons and Cowboys before an early bye. I don't like this defense much, and that goes triple if they pawn off Julius Peppers before the start of the season. Weeks 13-16: vs. the Bucs, at the Pats, vs. the Vikings, at the Giants. Rough stretch for DeAngelo Williams. Rough season for Williams -- he might face only four softish run defenses all year!

CINCINNATI: The Bengals land three straight home games with a bye in-between starting in Week 6 and ending after Week 9. They'll host the Texans, Bears and Ravens, not easy. They also have a nice three-game spell where they play at Oakland in Week 11, vs. Cleveland in 12 and vs. Detroit in 13. That could be nice for Cedric Benson and Carson Palmer.

DENVER: The Broncos catch a break with easily the best opening schedule in the league: At Cincy, vs. Cleveland and at Oakland. They'll pay for it with games vs. Dallas, vs. New England, at San Diego, a bye, at Baltimore and vs. Pittsburgh in Weeks 4-9, though. I'd draft cheap Broncos late and then try to trade them after Week 3. Remember this when Correll Buckhalter and/or Kyle Orton are staring you in the face between Rounds 7 and 9 this summer!

DETROIT: First three overall, four of their first five and eight of their first 11 games are in domes. Holy Calvin Johnson! I also see a lot of high-scoring games for them as they only face three clubs with suspect offenses this season. That means their defense will be tired a lot. It's going to mean a lot of points for the Lions, especially with Scott Linehan as their offensive coordinator.

GREEN BAY: Early season schedule is GREAT for Aaron Rodgers and Ryan Grant. First seven games of the season: vs. Chicago, vs. Cincinnati, at St. Louis, at Minnesota, vs. Detroit, at Cleveland and vs. Minnesota. Remember, Grant has a knack for chewing up the Vikings. Should be a quality start for them, though they are saddled with a Week 5 bye. The Packers do have it rough late with the Ravens in Week 13, the Bears in Chicago in Week 14 and the Steelers in Pittsburgh in Week 15. Not good for the Fantasy postseason run.

HOUSTON: Very nice early-season schedule: vs. the Jets, at the Titans, vs. the Jaguars, vs. the Raiders, at the Cardinals, at the Bengals, vs. the 49ers, at the Bills. The first two games will be tough on the offense, but nothing they can't overcome. Slaton & Co. should have a fast start.

INDIANAPOLIS: Eleven dome games! Peyton Manning gets some serious love!! And, they land a three-game home-stand vs. the 49ers, Texans and Patriots Weeks 8-10. The rich get richer.

JACKSONVILLE: Three-straight home games vs. Houston, Miami, and Indy on a short week. They need all the help they can get. And how's this for tough: Their first three games are at the Colts, vs. the Cardinals and at the Texans. Three awesome passing offenses. Hope Rashean Mathis is healthy!

KANSAS CITY: Three straight homers in Weeks 13-15: vs. Denver, vs. Buffalo and vs. Cleveland. Should be good for them. In fact, they finish up nice with that trio of games and road contests at Cincinnati and at Denver. Awful Week 1 matchup at Baltimore, though. That'll hurt Cassel's early stats.

MINNESOTA: Not only do they not play a Thursday game all year, and not only do they have a Week 9 bye, but the Vikings landed a three-game home stand against the Lions, Seahawks and Bears Weeks 10-12! And that precedes a road game at Arizona and a homer against Cincy. And they play 11 dome games this season!! Someone in the NFL office wants Adrian Peterson to be the league MVP ...oh, and they open at Cleveland, at Detroit, vs. San Francisco, vs. Green Bay and at St. Louis. Peterson should be an absolute MONSTER.

NEW YORK GIANTS: The G-Men got saddled with three straight roadies in Weeks 2-4: at Dallas, at Tampa Bay and at Kansas City. Gonna be a challenge. I do like the Week 10 bye for them, though.

SAN DIEGO: Just two east-coast trips this year, and both games start at 4 p.m. Nice break for the Bolts, who start very tough after Week 1 at Oakland: vs. Baltimore, vs. Miami and at Pittsburgh, then a bye. We might not see L.T. perk up until Week 6 (vs. Denver) and beyond.

SAN FRANCISCO: ONE east-coast trip -- Week 15 at Philly (1 p.m.). NICE BREAK for the Niners, who otherwise have a tough run.

ST. LOUIS: Rams catch a break with three straight home games in Weeks 10-12, but it's all against good passing offenses (vs. Saints, vs. Cardinals, vs. Seahawks). Might negate the advantage, other than the whole not-getting-on-airplanes thing. Get this -- they won't have to get on a plane from Nov. 2 through the end of the month. That's a nice home stand for the Rams (Week 9 bye).

SEATTLE: Smacked with a three-game road trip in Weeks 10-12, all indoors: at Arizona, at Minnesota, at St. Louis. In fact, they have six dome games in 2009 if you include Dallas in Week 8. Almost as many as a dome team that has all outdoor road games. That will help them with their pass attack, as will ZERO east-coast games (six 1 p.m. starts, all in central time zone).

TAMPA BAY: All their games are at 1 p.m. or 4 p.m. ET. They're gonna be a tough team to figure out, especially with their trip to London in Week 7 vs. the Patriots.

TENNESSEE: Three straight home games late in the year vs. St. Louis, Miami and San Diego on Christmas Day (a Friday, so a short week). Should help them get a playoff push. They also play three tough 3-4 defenses in the first six weeks, all on the road (at Pittsburgh in the league opener, at the Jets in Week 3, at the Patriots in Week 6). Very tough start for Chris Johnson.

WASHINGTON: The Redskins' last two road games are Week 14 at Oakland and Week 17 at San Diego, with divisional home games against the Giants and Cowboys sandwiched in-between. That might hurt them but it gives the Redskins' Fantasy players an edge during the meat of the season. We'll see inflated stats from Clinton Portis in the early going with a Week 1 premiere at the Giants, Week 2 vs. the Rams and Week 3 at the Lions.

Posted on: April 6, 2009 10:43 am
 

The business end of the Cutler trade

 While the entire city of Chicago rejoiced in the beloved Bears trading for Jay Cutler, there were several underlying factors that also played into the trade. Factors that don't necessarily apply to Fantasy Football, but to the NFL in general. I think it would be interesting to explore these factors.

Let's begin with the notion that Cutler is a crybaby. It's a complete myth. He's been painted with the crybaby brush since he asked for a trade out of town, but mitigating factors forced that issue.

Let's say you worked in a great job with people you trusted. Your primary boss loved you, and you and your immediate manager got along well. Even the owner of your imaginary dream job company thought the world of you.

Now let's say your wonderful company tanked in this economic environment after what appeared to be a promising year. The owner promises change, but promises YOU that your primary boss and immediate manager won't be affected. This puts you at ease as your world will remain the same, happy place.

But the owner fires your boss. It takes you by surprise. Days later, your immediate manager leaves the company.

How do you feel now?

Wait, I'm not done. The owner then hires your boss's replacement -- a disciple of a competing company, and he initiates a workplace that changes most everything you know about your job. New terminology, new rules, new enforcement. And, the new boss really doesn't care whether or not you like it. He won't massage your ego at all or make life easy for you.You've got to accept it or hit the road.

Then, after all of this, THE NEW BOSS TRIES TO REPLACE YOU ABOUT A MONTH AFTER HE'S HIRED.

How do you feel NOW?

Anyone in this situation would look for a new job, and that's exactly what Cutler did. The Broncos fired Mike Shanahan, a move they had to make after their late-season collapse, then QB coach Jeremy Bates took a job at Southern Cal, then Josh McDaniels took over as the head coach and really got things in a bind when he tried to trade for Matt Cassel. Yes, Cutler is paid millions to be an NFL quarterback, but being lied to and then almost being traded away leaves some scars and definitely makes a good situation turn sour. How could he trust anyone in the organization again? Cutler might have forced the Broncos' hand, but it was justifiable.

So that set up the trade. Now let's consider why Chicago pulled the trigger.

The Bears organization is notoriously thrifty. If Jerry Jones and Daniel Snyder are the guys chucking millions of dollars at NFL players, the Bears are picking up the loose change and begrudgingly handing it over. It's a family business for the McCaskey family as the principal owner, Virginia McCaskey, is the daughter of the late George Halas, who was outrageously cheap. If you need any further proof of the Bears' frugality, note that their "new" stadium was built IN THE BOWL of their old stadium. I know there are additional details as to why the Bears built their place on the grounds of the old Soldier Field, but it's not like they found new land in Chicago and put up a mega-million dollar stadium.

And part of the reason why the Bears haven't invested in a strong-armed quarterback before? Moolah. I can't say this with certainty, but I would guess that Bears ownership is happy with ANY product they put out on the field because the fan base in Chicago will come to games regardless of how the team plays. It's not like Jacksonville, Detroit or Oakland where the fans won't show up unless the team is playing strong football. The Bears could stink and Soldier Field will still be sold out. So as long as they have a few talented football players on the roster, players whose jerseys they can sell at $80 a pop, the ownership is happy. TV revenue and additional profit from ticketing, sponsorships, etc. is enough for them with very minimal risk.

The Bears were staring down the barrel of paying Kyle Orton a rather large sum following this season, especially if he played well again in 2009. Additionally, the Bears would be on the hook for a large signing bonus for the 18th overall pick in the 2009 NFL Draft. Last year they spent a ton on first-round pick Chris Williams and the guy barely played!

Cutler, on the other hand, has three years left on his rookie deal at no more than $1.82 million per year. The Bears don't have to sign him to a new contract until after the 2011 season, and that's assuming they don't franchise him first. Surely, Cutler's contract lasting three years worth about $5 million is cheaper than the signing bonus they'd have to pay Orton next offseason, and certainly way, way cheaper than the signing bonuses they'd have to pay first-round picks in 2009 and 2010.

Financially, the deal made sense for the Bears, even if they gave up two first-round picks and Orton.

There's also the matter of GM Jerry Angelo and head coach Lovie Smith being on the hot seat. Yeah, the Bears were in the Super Bowl three years ago, but haven't made the playoffs since. Rumblings emerged this offseason after Smith took over the defensive playcalling that if the Bears tanked again in 2009, the organization would clean house. Angelo and Smith were/are looking at a make-or-break season.

So now we focus on Angelo's job. He knew he had to do SOMETHING to help the Bears win in 2009, and finagling Cutler from Denver was it. As for giving up the draft picks ... well, Angelo won't be with the Bears to make their picks in 2010 if they go 6-10 in 2009, so what does he care if their first-round pick belongs to Denver? For him, it's a win-win situation because if Cutler leads the Bears to the playoffs, the pick will be a late one in Round 1, and he'll have saved his and Smith's jobs. Plus, when looking back at Angelo's eight previous years of first-round picks, the only one that really was solid was DT Tommie Harris. Most of Angelo's gems came in Rounds 2-5 (Orton being one of them). So the first-round picks had even less value to Angelo and the Bears!

Not only was the money right, but the compensation was too. And if it saves Angelo and Smith's rears and turns the Bears' fortunes around, then they're geniuses. If not, Angelo and Smith are looking for a new job and we'll probably see Mike Shanahan coach the Bears in 2010. Wink

Finally, the Bears probably knew that the Lions and Vikings were interested in Cutler. The thought of playing against Cutler INDOORS once a year and ultimately twice a year, with Bernard Berrian or Calvin Johnson catching his passes, would DEFINITELY seal the Bears' fate as the doormat of the NFC North. The Bears not only win by getting Cutler for 16 games, but they also kept him from going to one of two division rivals. Nothing like addition by subtraction ... or division, in this case.

Speaking from a purely professional viewpoint, I like the move for the Bears as it will force opposing defenses to respect their passing game, something that didn't happen late last season when Matt Forte saw a lot of eight-in-the-box looks. The offense won't be a dynamic passing juggernaut like Cutler was in last season, but it should still be effective. I'd be stunned if Cutler topped the Bears-best 3,838 passing yards in a season, though.

Posted on: March 12, 2009 1:10 pm
 

L.T. speaks, we listen

Recently, the Chargers and running back LaDainian Tomlinson agreed to terms on a restructured three-year deal that will keep the Fantasy star in San Diego this season. And while it sure appears that Tomlinson will lose some carries to teammate Darren Sproles this year, Tomlinson said some interesting things to the media when he met with them on March 11 to discuss the new contract and his future with the club.

We should also mention here that Tomlinson will be 30 when the 2009 season kicks off. We've done research on running backs that state that a running back typically begins to decline not when they hit 30, but when they hit several "red flags:" Eight full seasons of football and around 2,500 carries. Minor injuries also are a sign that a player is beginning to struggle. Tomlinson meets all of these red flags, and considering his three injuries over the last year or so (sprained MCL, sore toe, torn groin), it's not a lock that Tomlinson will be back to his usual 1,700-total-yard, 10-plus touchdown self.

But he'll tell you otherwise. Here are some highlights from his press conference:

How tough has this whole process been?

Tomlinson:
"It was kind of tough, I think more so for my family because I had to answer their questions a lot of the time.  Any time something went across the screen I had to answer their questions, but I still maintained the belief that I would remain a Charger.  They drafted me here.  I've been here for eight years and loved every minute of it.  I just couldn't see myself putting on another uniform.  That Charger uniform, that 21 with the bolt on the side of my helmet, that's pretty special.  You really can't replace that.  I'm just happy to be putting that helmet on again."

Do you feel appreciated by the Chargers after this process?

Tomlinson:
"Absolutely.  It's a two-way street.  We've always said that this is the part you don't like, the business part of it.  Obviously A.J. (Smith) has been criticized as well as myself about some of the things that we both have gone through, but that's a part of the business.  I hold no hard feelings to anyone.  I respect A.J. for the job he has done, the job he's continuing to do for this team and I'm going to try to do the best job I can for this team on the field.  That's the way we're going to handle it.  When we win a championship, everybody is going to be happy."

Is there anything in this deal that assures us we won't be going through a similar scenario a year from now?

Tomlinson:
"Let's just worry about this year.  This is something that obviously you deal with sometimes, but I don't think it will be.  That's not something that I'm worried about.  I don't believe this is something we'll be going through next year."

If you're healthy, how close can you be to the LT we've seen the last eight years?

Tomlinson:
"I think I will continue to be a very explosive player.  You guys saw me last year where I was banged up all year, played with a hurt toe and obviously with the groin injury.  I'll be back to full strength and to being the LT that you guys are used to seeing."

Can you remain as explosive as you were in 2006?

Tomlinson:
"Absolutely, with the opportunities.  That was a special year, no doubt.  Will I rush for 1,800 yards again?  Who knows.  I think it's possible, definitely.  That's yet to be seen.  I think with the same opportunities, it can happen."

Do you think you have to prove you can stay healthy through a full season and postseason?

Tomlinson:
"Absolutely.  I feel like I do have to prove I can stay healthy. I've always felt like I needed to prove something.  When I first came into the league, I wanted to prove that I could play in this league and that I could be dominant.  I know I can do that.  Going on 30 (years old), I want to prove that I can stay healthy a full season and still be that dominant player.  Honestly, I haven't had any serious injuries with surgeries.  I don't see why I can't continue to be a dominant player."

Did you feel like you were shortchanged last year when people wrote things about your decline when you were actually battling injuries?

Tomlinson:
"No, you play the hand you're dealt.  For me, it's good because I get to prove what I'm worth again.  I get to prove to people, and that's the way it's always been for me.  I've always enjoyed doing that.  I get to do it once again."

How do you feel physically right now?

Tomlinson:
"I feel great physically.  I've started back working out.  This week was the first week where I've actually starting cutting and all kinds of things.  It feels really good.  It's really good to be feeling strong again."

Is there something you can do during the offseason to help prevent injuries?

Tomlinson:
"I think you become smarter.  You learn how to work in a different way.  You still maintain working hard, but you do it in a different way.  Not as much pounding in the offseason, kind of save myself a little more for the season and gearing up for training camp and going through the season.  Before, I used to start off just going 100 miles per hour, and sometimes it wore me down.  I was in such good shape when I got to training camp that I really had nothing to work for.  Obviously I think some of that will change, but most of it is going to stay the same."

Can you talk about your recent comments about Emmitt Smith's career rushing record and why for the first time you discussed making a run at him?

Tomlinson:
"I think that's something that I've just kind of got a new fire of saying, ‘Why not?'  If we're winning and winning championships, I do want to play as long as I can and walk away with all the records.  That would be a heck of a challenge and I'm up for challenges.  I'm certainly going to try to do it."

Now that the contract negotiations are done, when do you start negotiations with Norv Turner about returning the halfback option?

Tomlinson:
"We just got through talking about that to be honest with you.  Norv has told me that, I don't want to give it away to all the teams out there, but you'd better watch out.  It's going to be in."


Pretty significant stuff in there. Let's discuss below ...

 

Posted on: March 2, 2009 11:11 am
 

Fantasy Huddle: Maurice Jones-Drew

If you liked the story done on Maurice Jones-Drew, and you want to learn more about him, check out these pieces of our conversation. Some of this did make the final story, but I wanted to share this with you.

What's been the secret to being so consistent over the last three seasons?

"I really can't tell. I've been playing with the guys in front of me for three years, and that's helped. They know how I run and I know how they block, so our chemistry with that was great, though this past year was pretty tough. We were able to get some things going toward the end, which was cool. Even with a beat-up line, we were able to run the ball toward the end of the season. We started to figure some things out toward the end."

The last three games of the '08 season, you were virtually alone at RB. Other RBs had five other carries combined. How did you treat those last three games?

"It was like an audition to be the starter. They told me this was my chance and that I was the starter now, and I saw it as a great opportunity. Everything that I could do, I did. I think I played 65-to-70 snaps every game so I showed that I had the endurance and that I could go. I felt great and I tried to make the best out of it."

So with Taylor gone, what happens now?

"I'm about to be what I was in high school and college. Things don't change.

"It's funny, everybody thinks that the NFL is the highest level of football, which it is, but as a player, you grow with each level you get into. So when I was in Pop Warner, I wasn't the starter at first because I was just out there running around, bumping into people. And when I was leaving Pop Warner I'd hear, 'He's too small to play high school,' but at the same time I was faster than everybody and the team I was on was winning, we were scoring, I played defense and made All-Pop Warner League, but I still heard those whispers. 'He's too small, it's going to be too fast, there's no weight limit.' So then I go to high school and go on a team that never lost. We went 48-0 in high school, I was all-league, I played every year and it didn't change. But I heard it all again. 'Some guys are good in high school, most guys are bad. So when you go to college, everybody's going to be good. He can't be an every-down back in college because he's going to take too many hits.' So, I get there my rookie year and there are nine running backs, and somehow they either transfer or get injured and I end up starting the last six games and lead the team in rushing. I do that for three years running, but I still hear whispers. 'He's too small. Can he take the pounding all the time? Can he pass block? These guys he'll be going up against are great.' And it's crazy, but -- knock on wood -- if you look at the stats of any running back in the league, they miss games off of injuries because it's a physical position, but I haven't missed one yet. All these analysts, they think they know what's going on, but 99 percent of them haven't played football.

"The game has changed. You have different types of players now," he said. "It's not always these big running backs that are 6-foot-2 and 230 pounds. I mean, the receivers aren't even 6-foot-2 any more. Steve Smith is 5-foot-9. Cornerbacks are smaller, too. It's not about how big you are, it's about who can make plays, period. You could be two feet tall, but if they can't tackle you, give 'em the ball and let 'em run.
 
"That's what it ends up coming down to. Instead of everybody worrying about this typical size and this player has to be this and if he's not this then he can't take a beating. Actually, I think being smaller is better than being bigger because you're a smaller target. And football is a game of leverage -- the only guy in football who has leverage on me is Darren Sproles. Everybody tries to make excuses because they don't want to eat their own words, but that's what ends up happening when you go out and make statements.

"When they talk about Darren Sproles, it upsets me. This guy has played great. He comes in and wins games, period. He almost single-handedly won the Chargers' game against the Colts! LaDainian Tomlinson is a great running back but you can't deny Sproles for what he did. You can't deny a lot of people for what they do, and that's how it is. You can be Brandon Jacobs, who is 6-foot-4 and 250 pounds, and make plays. That's what the league is starting to understand. When I first got here, you had to be 5-foot-10, 215-220 pounds to run the ball and anything smaller than that wasn't going to work."

Do you use this talk about your size as motivation?

"A little bit. That's been one thing, but getting drafted where I got drafted just because of my size, not because of my production, is very upsetting. I use it against every team we play. This next season I'll play the last of the 31 teams that passed on me. That might be the end of that motivation and I'll move on to something else."

Might you feel vindicated when you get paid like Sproles?

"No. It'll never change. My feeling is that your first impression will last a lifetime, and that goes for everybody who thought I couldn't play in the NFL. There's a reason why I went 60th overall, and that includes Jacksonville because they didn't figure I was good enough to go in the first round. That's how I feel. I don't think it'll ever go away. Maybe if I make the Hall of Fame, if I'm ever that lucky, it might. You just always have to have something to drive you.

"I know Sproles is upset because he's such a great running back. It's too bad people think that because his size, he can't be an every-down back. My thing with durability, I don't like that word. There's really been no one in this league who's been durable. If you think about it, every starter has missed games. Quarterbacks, too. It's hard, especially now with the nature of the game -- athletes are more physical. I guess it's the owner's way of not to pay you as much, try and find things to knock you down. They build you up in the draft and tell everybody why they drafted you, and then when it's time to go to contract, they tell everybody why you're not worth that money."

They can't tell you that if you negotiate now though

"Yeah, I guess so."

Do you want something done before the start of the season?

"I definitely would like something done before the start of the season, but it's not up to me. My agent is doing a great job of talking to them and it's up to them. That's what a lot of players have to understand -- all you can do is play and hopefully you stick with the team you started with, otherwise you just play for another team. It's part of the business. You can't take it personal, you just kind of have to go with the flow. That's why the NFL is nicknamed 'Not For Long.'"

How vital is it to the Jags offense that you’re utilized as a receiver out of the backfield often? Do you like that role?

"It's just another way for a defense to spend its time to try and cover me. My running back coach has done a great job with me. It's funny, my running back coach (Kennedy Pola) on the Jaguars recruited me out of high school to go to USC, and he's best friends with the RB coach I had at UCLA (Eric Bienemy). So when I got here, they talked about that all the time.

"Coach Bienemy wanted me to run the ball and routes were secondary and used to help receivers get open downfield. But coach Pola says 'Get open so we can get you the ball!' Doing some stuff with him, working on my routes and getting things right, he taught me how to run receiving routes, it helps a bunch because now if defenses load up eight or nine in the box, they can put me out at wideout. It's been fun, I think it's great.

"I don't think it will go away. I just hope it grows and they become more comfortable with me being out there at wideout and do whatever I can do to help this team win. I'm open for anything right now."

Jacksonville’s picking 8th, and some people out there think you guys need a QB, which is laughable. What do you see as the club’s biggest need with the pick?

"I don't know if we have any left tackles on our roster right now. Barnes is a free agent and our other tackle is the one who got shot. You never know. It depends on how they feel. I know this -- they want to pick the best character and talent guy at that pick."

You follow UCLA football? What can you tell me about Kahlil Bell?

"Kahlil played with me. I think he's a hard runner, he can catch, and from what I remember, he's a guy who wants to go out there and play. He loves the game. So hopefully he gets to a team where they're going to give him an opportunity because he'll make the best of it. He had some tough years -- he got cut from UCLA for a minute and has gotten hurt. He'll have to learn to play through the injuries, that's one thing you have to do in the NFL. A lot of guys don't do it, but you can't be like everybody else."

Didn't you have a sprained knee in that last game of the year against the Ravens?

"Sure did. I tell you, you gotta play the game. It's just like any job -- if you get sick of the job, you're still going to go to work unless you're real, real sick. So with footbal, you're going to play unless you're real, real hurt. That's how I see it. Your body will heal and you'll be all right if you do the right things, and if you don't, you won't."

How would you feel if the Jaguars brought in another running back to split time with you in 2009?

"It would tell me that they don't believe (in me), but there's nothing I can do about it. All I can do is go out there and play as hard as I can and show them that I work hard and I'm willing to do it. If you feel I'm not ready, that's your opinion and I'll just do what you ask. I really don't try to cause any commotion about those things."

Anything else you want people out there to know about you or your game?

"I'm a man at ease off the field. On the field, I kind of play like a man with his hair on fire. Two different personalities, I guess. I don't know how it happened, I guess something clicks right before a game and I just turn into somebody totally different, and then when a game is over, I kind of come back to peace."

 

Category: NFL
Posted on: February 23, 2009 2:51 pm
 

Combine notes: 2/23

I watched the defensive linemen and linebackers work out at the combine (via NFL Network). Here are my notes:

- The two studs of this day were Aaron Curry (LB, Wake Forest) and Brian Orakpo (DE, Texas). Orakpo came up with a hamstring tweak late in his workout and couldn't finish, but he looked great in the drills and of course he looked great in school. Same for Curry. Both should be Top 10 picks.Orakpo's upper body is awesome and he's got great speed to go with it. The comparisons to DeMarcus Ware are already rolling in. I'm wondering how small his feet are, though ...

- I liked what I saw from Kyle Moore (DL, USC) and will investigate him further. Smooth 40 run, which is a blend of explosiveness and burst to go with speed.

- Michael Johnson (DL, Georgia Tech) also looked fluid and solid, but it was expected that he would have a monster combine (4.66 in the 40). Many folks are questioning his heart. I could see this guy landing in New England and becoming an animal. He's really gifted physically, but that's just part of the puzzle.

- Aaron Maybin (PSU) has had a good combine too, but seems like a tweener ... he's trying to put on weight (15 pounds in 3 months or so). He might just wind up being a pass-rush specialist and third-down player.

- B.J. Raji (Boston College) is a big piece of meat. Didn't run the 40 well but did display good burst off the snap and quickness and quick, quick feet, which is more important for a big man.

- The other big man I really liked was Terrelle Taylor (Michigan). He's big and very strong. Perfect space eater, maybe a nose tackle. Not sure on that. 

- All of the USC players did well ... which makes me wonder if they were well-prepped for this event. I mentioned Kyle Moore ... Brian Cushing, Clay Matthews and the other linebacker, Kaluka Maiava, did fine. Rey Maualuga hurt his right leg on his first 40-yard dash and couldn't finish his workout, but he should still be a first-round pick.

Meanwhile, I'm trying to figure out when Aaron Curry would go off the draft board. The Chiefs would be nuts to pass on him at No. 3 as he could be a sack machine and a run stuffer for them, lining up all over the field. Scott Pioli won't pass on his versatile talents ... but I think the Rams might also take a long look at him as their defense has struggled and Steve Spagnuolo could really pull off some crazy schemes with Curry and DE Chris Long in his arsenal.

Bottom line: Curry will be playing ball in Missouri in 2009.

Posted on: February 5, 2009 10:27 am
 

Franchise, transition tags are here

The NFL's two-week window for clubs to place either the franchise or the transition tag on a free agent has begun, and it ends in two weeks, just about when the NFL Combine gets into full swing.

That said, expect minimal tag action until right before the Combine.

For those of you who aren't aware, these tags allow clubs to have a chance at keeping their best free agents. Only one player can receive one tag each offseason.

The transition tag gives the club a right-of-refusal on a free agent if he signs a contract elsewhere. However, the club guarantees him the salary of the Top 10 players at his position for one season of work in exchange for that right. If the player signs elsewhere, the club can either match the contract he received or let him go. If that happens, the club gets NOTHING as far as compensation. This tag is rarely seen each offseason.

Here's what a player would be guaranteed for 2009 if hit with the transition tag:

CB $8,374,000
DE $7,777,000
DT $5,450,000
LB $7,480,000
OL $7,744,000
P/K $2,264,000
QB $12,440,000
RB $5,925,000
S $5,130,000
TE $4,065,000
WR $8,393,000

The franchise tag is far more common. It also gives the club a right-of-refusal on a free agent if he signs a contract elsewhere. However, the club guarantees him the Top 5 players at his position for one season of work in exchange for that right. If the player signs elsewhere, the club can either match the contract he received of let him go. But if they let him go, they receive TWO FIRST-ROUND PICKS from the club that signs him!

And since you see that the salaries are nominally higher for the franchise tags than the transition tags, it only makes sense that the clubs use the franchise tags so they can receive some compensation.

CB $9,957,000
DE
$ 8,991,000
DT
$ 6,058,000
LB
$ 8,304,000
OL
$ 8,451,000
P/K
$ 2,483,000
QB
$ 14,651,000
RB
$ 6,621,000
S
$ 6,342,000
TE
$ 4,462,000
WR
$ 9,884,000

So who might be franchised this offseason? Here are some hunches:

Raiders: Nnamdi Asomugha

Buccaneers: Antonio Bryant

Patriots: Matt Cassel

Bengals: T.J. Houshmandzadeh

Ravens: Ray Lewis

Giants: Brandon Jacobs

Panthers: Julius Peppers

Chargers: Darren Sproles

Cardinals: Kurt Warner

One player who won't be tagged: Titans DT Albert Haynesworth, who was franchised last year and hit a performance bonus that keeps him from being tagged this year.

We'll continue to keep you posted on those who receive the tags in the next two weeks.

 


Posted on: January 30, 2009 12:41 pm
 

Goodell presser

Here's the run down of NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell's press conference ...

- He began by calling the NFL an "unpredictable" league, saying that as a good thing. Of course, no one knows that better than the Fantasy Football playing public. It's part of the reason why we play and why we watch football.

- He expects 75 percent of the NFL's franchises to not raise ticket prices in 2009, citing the economy.

- On the topic of a shared stadium between the 49ers and Raiders in the Bay Area, Goodell believes that the idea is worth exploring.

- On the topic of the relationship between the NFL and the Canadian Football League (CFL), Goodell pointed out that the CFL told the NFL they didn't want to have a strengthed relationship, but the NFL is always willing to talk with the CFL about any kind of agreement. Goodell considered the Toronto games a great success.

- Goodell made some news by announcing that the league is looking into having Super Bowl L, the 50th anniversary of the Super Bowl, in Los Angeles, where it all began at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. And that's whether or not the NFL has a franchise in Los Angeles. I think that's pretty cool.

- The Lions will have a Thanksgiving Game in 2009, but Goodell didn't rule out taking the Thanksgiving Game away from them (or the Cowboys).

- The NFL will keep its blackout policy in spite of the tough economic times. I predict a record number of blackouts this year, especially in Detroit and Oakland, and possibly St. Louis and Buffalo.

- Goodell all but dismissed the idea of two NFL teams in Chicago (which is smart since NO ONE in Chicago would betray the Bears for some expansion club).

- A London reporter cited a league source that the NFL could have a franchise in London in 10 years. Goodell didn't seem to like that, asking twice for the source's name (albeit in a joking manner).

- The NFL wants the Vikings to remain in Minnesota, but "they need a new stadium" to do so. Their lease at the Metrodome is expiring soon.

- The NFL also wants the Saints to remain in New Orleans, but their deal with the state of Louisiana is expiring. Goodell thinks that if the Superdome can show it is a first-class stadium, they can get a Super Bowl in the early 2010s.

- Goodell doesn't anticipate a change to the OT rule, noting that the percentage of teams winning on the first possession of OT winning 47 percent of the time, up from 30 percent back in the day.

- Goodell confirmed a $123 million salary cap in 2009.

- No one asked Goodell about the potential changes to the NFL schedule, preseason or regular season.


After the press conference, Goodell said more on NFL Network:

- Goodell is confident that there will be no work stoppage in 2011, essentially saying that the league and its players have a good thing going and that everyone recognizes that.

- On the topic of Michael Vick, Goodell said he won't consider any action on Vick until all of his legal woes are behind him. From there, he wants Vick to show remorse for his actions -- not just to him and the NFL, but to the world. Vick has to figure out a way to turn this huge negative into a positive. If that happens, Goodell will begin reconsidering him.

 

 

 

 

Category: NFL
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com