Tag:Mavericks
Posted on: November 10, 2008 2:34 pm
Edited on: March 21, 2009 1:23 am
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NBA Power Rankings Through November 9, 2008

1) Los Angeles Lakers - The preseason favorites to win the championship look unstoppable through their first five games.  That bench is about as deep as I've ever seen and Jordan Farmar has been hugh off of the bench for them.  The only thing that could possibly stop this team is injury because as of right now they look great.

2) Boston Celtics - The only slip up of the season was a tough game at Indiana.  The Celtics look to be rolling similar to how they were last season, though they're doing it without much fanfare so far in the young season.  They seem to be more under the radar than last year and I think that's fine with them.  Tony Allen's play has been very encouraging off of the bench.

3) Atlanta Hawks - By virtue of being undefeated and having impressive victories over Orlando, Philadelphia and New Orleans, the Hawks find themselves in the top 3.  They probably won't hold up at this level for the rest of the season, but Joe Johnson has looked amazing and their team defense is great.

 

 

4) New Orleans Hornets - The Hornets have had a good start to their season with impressive victories over Phoenix and Cleveland but need to get up for games against the likes of Atlanta and Charlotte.  Bringing it every night is a priority for this team since they have the bullseye on their backs this season.

5) Utah Jazz - A 5-1 start to any season is good, but the fact that they're doing it without Deron Williams and Matt Harpring is very impressive.  Andrei Kirilenko has fit in nicely in his role off of the bench and Carlos Boozer has carried this team through their first six games.  A dissapointing loss at New York isn't enough to drop them out of the top five.

6) Phoenix Suns - The Suns were an enigma of sorts coming into this season as you really couldn't predict what was going to happen with them.  But they have responded well to Terry Porter so far this season and even though Steve Nash's production has dipped slightly, they're getting encouraging play out of Shaquille O'Neal and Amare Stoudemire has played out of this world.  I think it's important to keep an eye on them throughout the season to see whether this team is for real or if they're playing off the emotion of a new coach right now.

7) Cleveland Cavaliers - LeBron James is playing amazing basketball right now and Anderson Varejao has been the anchor of that bench so far into the young season.  Zydrunas Ilgauskas is the key to whether this team will be in the finals or not, but so far they have a good team set in place and will play solid ball in the playoffs.  As long as LeBron's on the team they're a contender.

8) Orlando Magic - Dwight Howard has put up good number this season but his free throw  shooting needs to improve.  Something about this season seems different from last year's Magic squad, but we'll see in the next few weeks whether this team has gotten off to a slow start shooting or if they're for real. 

9) Detroit Pistons - The much hyped Allen Iverson trade has yet to bring results and it probably won't bring results until the offseason.  At least the trade shook up the team and fan base and put a little bit of excitement back into Detroit basketball.

10) Houston Rockets - They looked great in their victory at Dallas, but aside from that the Rockets haven't played solid ball this season.  They're getting by on talent and I think the team misses Shane Battier more than they let on.  Tracy McGrady has played good ball this year, but Ron Artest and Yao Ming have yet to get going consistently.  Of course, McGrady's health issues are going to be a problem throughout the season but they have to be happy with the play of Aaron Brooks so far this year.

11) Toronto Raptors - Chris Bosh and Jose Calderon alone have put this team as high up as they are.  Jermaine O'Neal had a solid first game but has yet to really put a stamp on his new team.  Chris Bosh is playing the best ball probably in the entire league (and I mean that) and Calderon has answered the challenge after being given the starting PG reigns.  Depth at the guard spots will probably keep this team from contending but they play together and as long as Chris Bosh is playing at this level, they should new the 45-50 win mark.

12) New York Knicks - Yes the Knicks start the season in the top 12.  I'm eating serious crow on my criticism of Mike D'Antoni as he's gotten this team (and especially Zach Randolph) to play some serious, inspired ball six games into the season.  They probably still won't make the playoffs, but it's given that city hope and Knicks fans have to love what they've seen so far.

13) Miami Heat - Shawn Marion has been a dissapointment so far into the season but Dwyane Wade is playing the best ball since the 2006 finals right now.  It'll be interesting to see if he holds up, but I think this team is better suited with Marion as the number two scorer instead of an unproven Michael Beasley.  Spoelstra has gotten the team to play solid defense as well so far this season.

14) Portland Trail Blazers - The loss of Greg Oden early in the season put a negative energy on what was supposed to be a promising start to the season, but the Blazers have responded to their tough schedule with an impressive 3-3 record.  LaMarcus Aldridge continues to blow me away and Brandon Roy is Brandon Roy.  So far Rudy Fernandez has been a great find as well.

15) Denver Nuggets - They've kind of coasted but I look for their play to improve once they get true point guard Chauncey Billups acclimated into the system.  Linas Kleiza, J.R. Smith and (surprisingly) Chris Andersen has solidified a solid bench and the Nuggets again look like they'll be heading to the playoffs.  A first round exit still seems likely, though.

16) Chicago Bulls - It's been a season of ups and downs so far for the Baby Bulls, and Kirk Hinrich's injury doesn't help matters but Derrick Rose has been playing some really good basketball so far this season.  They still lack good front court and I think that's going to hurt them in the future but so far they've been responding well to Vinny Del Negro and I think once Larry Hughes and Hinrich return they're going to make a serious push for the postseason.

17) Sacramento Kings - The Kings are 0-4 away from Arco and 3-0 at home in Sacramento.  That looks, roughly, like how the team will play all year.  They looked awful four games into the season but have calmed since returning home.  The return of Brad Miller allows them to play Spencer Hawes off of the bench and gives them incredible front court depth.  They're not great in any one category but they're solid in a bunch of them.  The playoffs don't seem likely but so far Reggie Theus has continued to get the most out of this squad.

18) Memphis Grizzlies - I'm surprised they've gone 3-4 so far this season but they've played good basketball together.  Rudy Gay has been playing great and O.J. Mayo will put up good numbers since he's going to get the minutes to give him those opportunities.  They may not have much of a front court but they still should frustrate teams all season long.

19) Milwaukee Bucks - Richard Jefferson has played solid to start the season.  They've responded well to Scott Skiles' style and now that Ramon Sessions is getting regular minutes I wouldn't be surprised to see him wind up as a candidate for Most Improved Player of the year.  They need to get more out of Andrew Bogut, though.  Especially after giving him that contract.

20) Indiana Pacers - A win at home against Boston puts them in the top 20 but they need to get Mike Dunleavy back healthy to be seen at full strength.  Marquis Daniels has played really well this year and T.J. Ford has responded to coach Jim O'Brien's system.  They'll be in the playoff hunt all year long.

21) Dallas Mavericks - It looks like firing Avery Johnson wasn't the right move.  There's not a more bland team in the league than the Mavericks.  The brightest spot so far has been the surprising play of Gerald Green, but they can't get a lineup set, Jason Kidd looks 50 out there and Dirk Nowitzki is all by himself out on the court.  That doesn't bode well for Dallas.

22) Philadelphia 76ers - So far the acquisition of Elton Brand has done nothing for this team.  Thaddeus Young has kept them respectable while Andre Iguodala has been atrocious and Andre Miller has yet to find a groove so far into the season.  Maurice Cheeks has to be feeling the pressure and I don't want to see him lose his job as he's one of the best guys in the league.

23) New Jersey Nets - For the lack of top tier talent on this team they sure have played solid basketball.  Devin Harris looks like a stud in New Jersey while Vince Carter has to love being the only go to option on a team again (like he was back in Toronto).  They won't last but it's nice to see them trying hard early in the season.

24) Charlotte Bobcats - A win against the Hornets last Friday has hid what's been a dissapointing start to the season for Larry Brown and company.  Sean May is healthy but overweight, Gerald Wallace and Jason Richardson still look awkward playing together and rookie D.J. Augustin has been the most consistent player on the team.  It looks like another year of being on the outside looking in for Charlotte.

25) Golden State Warriors - This team is in total dissaray.  You have star players leaving, budding stars wrecking their mopeds, players asking for trades and players being hurt.  Don Nelson has to shake his head at this train wreck of an organization and the window has officially shut on the promise that was two seasons ago.  Andris Biedrins has looked like an all star so far this season.

26) San Antonio Spurs - No bones about it, they look awful.  A super hero-like performance from Tony Parker got the Spurs their only championship against lowly Minnesota and now that he's out, Tim Duncan is left on an island all alone.  Roger Mason's been a nice acquistion but you have to wonder if San Antonio will be too far out when Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker return.

27) Los Angeles Clippers - They've looked awful so far this year and have no gelled as a squad but they still may take 30-35 wins this year.  They need to get some continuity amongst the squad and they need to stay healthy.  But those are two tall tasks in Clipper nation and all the preseason hope has already evaporated for this squad.

28) Washington Wizards - Caron Butler has tried to do it all by himself by simply can't.  They have no point guard, no center, no flare, no Gilbert Arenas.  It's time for Eddie Jordan to leave and it's time for this team to do something.  Problem is that they can't since they invested so much into Gilbert Arenas and Antawn Jamison.  You're looking at this type of play from this team for years to come.

29) Minnesota Timberwolves - Same old Timberwolves.  Al Jefferson's been solid but that's about it.  The Kevin Love addition, though he has played good ball, still makes you scratch your head as he looks out of place playing alongside Jefferson.  This team is just a transaction nightmare and Kevin McHale has to go.

30) Oklahoma City Thunder - I didn't expect them to be worth a darn this year but I still expected better play than this.  Everyone minus Kevin Durant and (surprisingly) Joe Smith didn't get the memo that the season started already.  I thought they'd play better in front of the Oklahoma City crowd but I suppose if you don't have it, you just don't have it.  They played tough against Atlanta last night, though.

Posted on: October 20, 2008 3:50 pm
Edited on: October 25, 2008 1:27 pm
 

Outlook for the 2008-2009 New Orleans Hornets

 

After another dominating performance in the ever so pointless preseason I find myself eagerly anticipating the regular season for the New Orleans Hornets.  It's been a tumultuous time cheering for this team and for the first time since the Alonzo Mourning years the Hornets enter a season with serious championship aspirations.  Granted, they won't sneak up on anybody this season, but this team looks talented enough to make a serious run at a championship.  The Hornets game 7 fall to the San Antonio Spurs in last year's western confrence semifinals left a bad taste in many people's mouths, but hopefully the taste of defeat will only make this team hungrier for success.  The addition of James Posey brings the championship experience that the team did not previously have and also gives the Hornets a clutch three point option whenever Peja Stojakovic may falter in the postseason.  There's not much left to be said about Chris Paul and David West as they are already all stars, and this is as prime a year as any for Tyson Chandler to achieve that same accolade.  But here is the outlook and current roster for the New Orleans Hornets.

PG: #3 Chris Paul  (2007/2008 Stats in 80 games:  21.1 PPG, 11.6 APG, 4.0 RPG, 2.7 SPG while shooting 85.1 FT Pctg., 36.9 3PT FG Pctg., 48.8 FG Pctg.)
Last year's runner up for the MVP award comes into this season as an early favorite to win that same award.  Last year was a surprise for some but it wasn't necessarily a coming out party for Chris Paul.  He has now put out three years of consistent, spectacular point guard play and last year developed a three point shot to compliment his speed and driving abilities.  He continued the same play in the postseason by winning battles with future hall of famer Jason Kidd and former Finals MVP Tony Parker.  He enters this season as a star and with the eyes of the NBA watching him.

#5 Mike James: (2007/2008 Stats in 21 games with the Hornets: 2.7 PPG shooting 100 FT Pctg., 30.4 3PT FG Pctg., 34.4 FG Pctg.)
It seems eons ago that Mike James averaged 20 points a game with the Toronto Raptors and received a contract for that season from the Minnesota Timberwolves.  After being shipped from Minnesota to Houston, Mike James found a place he hadn't yet suited up for and was traded (along with G/F Bonzi Wells) to New Orleans at the trade deadline in a deal involving guard Bobby Jackson.  Mike James did very little after arriving to New Orleans after sitting behind both Chris Paul and Jannero Pargo on the depth chart.  After Pargo's departure for the money in Russia, Mike James will be thrust into the backup point guard position and will be counted on to provide good shooting, championship experience, and steady play when Chris Paul needs a breather.  If possible, it'd be great if he could find his jump shot and even though he likely will put up similar numbers to that of Jannero Pargo's, it's doubtful he will play the same role that Pargo played and he will not be able to fill Jannero Pargo's shoes.  Thankfully, the Hornets don't need him to.

SG: #9 Morris Peterson (2007/2008 stats in 76 games: 8.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG while shooting 76.5 FT Pctg., 39.4 3PT FG Pctg., 41.7 FG Pctg.)
After being a highly regarded pick up last offseason for the Hornets, Morris Peterson inexplicably turned in the worst season of his professional career.  In the 2004 offseason, the Hornets signed Peterson to an offer sheet that was matched by the Toronto Raptors but three years later the Hornets finally acquired Morris Peterson via free agency but the output didn't match the desire that was shown to acquire him.  Peterson was extremely solid from the three point line and he was still asked to guard the opposing team's best wing player, but Peterson rarely finished games (with Jannero Pargo finishing games at shooting guard) and would go periods of play where you would barely notice he was still on the team.  He should retain the starting shooting guard position but will most likely continue to finish games on the bench, as it's likely that Peja will finish games at the 2 spot with James Posey coming into the closer role.

#23 Devin Brown (2007/2008 stats in 78 games with the Cavaliers: 7.5 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 2.2 APG while shooting 75.4 FT Pctg., 30.8 3PT FG Pctg., 40.9 FG Pctg.)
Devin Brown returns to the Hornets organization after spending a majority of the 2006/2007 season with the (then) New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets.  After being brough in following a Chris Paul injury, Devin Brown played a majority of starts at the point guard position and may be asked to do some of the same this season if Mike James fatlers.  He brings more championship experience from the 2005 season with the San Antonio Spurs and will be a valuable player off of the bench.

#45 Rasual Butler (2007/2008 stats in 51 games: 4.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG while shooting 83.9 FT Pctg., 33.1 3PT FG Pctg., 35.0 FG Pctg.)
After receiving a contract extension in the 2007 offseason, Rasual Butler delivered a horrible season, falling completely out of the rotation and not playing a game with the Hornets after March.  The three point shooting specialist has fallen into Byron Scott's doghouse and if not for his contract probably would not make the final roster.  He's deadly when on, though, and if he plays his way out of the doghouse could be good as an occasinal breather for either Peterson or Brown.  Butler could also play some small forward but the team is solid there.

SF: #16 Peja Stojakovic (2007/2008 stats in 77 games: 16.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 1.2 APG while shooting 92.9 FT Pctg., 44.1 3PT FG Pctg., 44.0 FG Pctg.)
Peja Stojakovic was a hearalded free agent pickup back in the 2006 offseason, hoping to give the Hornets a spectacular three point shooter who could close games in clutch situations and bring experience to one of the youngest teams in the NBA.  He gave them 13 games.  After recovering from those back pains Stojakovic turned in an extremely solid season last year, even still if not living up to the contract he was given.  He posted career highs in three point shooting accuracy and played in 77 games last season.  He dissapeared, badly, in the final five games of the semifinals series with the San Antonio Spurs but the Hornets biggest free agent acquisition since Stojakovic was brought in to help with that.

#41 James Posey (2007/2008 stats in 74 games with the Celtics: 7.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.5 APG, 1.0 SPG while shooting 80.9 FT Pctg., 38.0 3PT FG Pctg., 41.8 FG Pctg.)
James Posey has won two NBA championships as a member of both the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics and played an intregal role in both championships.  He is known as a defensive stopper with an uncanny ability to hit big shots and his leadership and skillset is invaluable to a team looking to bring on board anything that he can offer to them.  Posey's addition will steal minutes from the promising Julian Wright, but it was a move that was made to put the Hornets in position to win this season.  Time will tell if he will be able to live up to the four years, 24 million dollar deal that the Hornets gave him, but it looks like a brilliant move thus far.

#32 Julian Wright (2007/2008 Stats in 57 games: 3.9 PPG, 2.1 RPG while shooting 63.5 FT Pctg., 41.7 3PT FG Pctg., 53.3 FG Pctg.)
After being a surprise addition in the draft last season, Julian Wright delivered an extremely strong second half of the season and played admirably in the playoffs, developing a three point shot that many critics said would keep him from becoming a good NBA player.  His athleticism, speed, and leaping ability make him a perfect fit for the Hornets up tempo style, but Wright will see his development halted by the addition of James Posey, unless his shot has improved enough for him to receive time at the shooting guard position.

PF: #30 David West (2007/2008 stats in 76 games: 20.6 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 2.3 APG, 1.3 BPG while shooting 85.0 FT Pctg., 48.2 FG Pctg.)
David West continued his amazing improvement by turning in an all star season last year highlighted by a brilliant game five performance in the semifinals against the Spurs which West turned out an amazing statline of 38 points, 14 rebounds, 5 assists and 5 blocks in a crucial game.  West slipped down to the Hornets in the stocked 2003 draft thanks to questions about which position he would be able to adjust tot.  What people overlooked is the man's ability to just play the game.  He has the potential to become the Hornets first 20/10 player since Alonzo Mourning (as far as points and rebounds are concerned) and looks to be a staple at the PF position for years to come.

#33 Melvin Ely (2007/2008 stats in 52 games: 3.9 PPG, 2.8 RPG while shooting 55.2 FT Pctg., 47.2 FG Pctg.)
Melvin Ely was brought in to give the Hornets a low post offensive option and a championship ring that he won with the 2007 San Antonio Spurs.  He delivered what was expected and not much more.  Melvin Ely mainly coasted last season before seeing important minutes against the Spurs in the confrence semifinals.  He picked up his player option to stay this season with the Hornets, and he will be insurance in case Hilton Armstrong doesn't progress the way the Hornets believe that he will. 

#40 Ryan Bowen (2007/2008 stats in 53 games: 2.2 PPG, 1.9 RPG while shooting 55.2 FT Pctg., 49.0 FG Pctg.)
Ryan Bowen's role is something that's overlooked on many teams, but which championship squad doesn't boast that "dirty work/do it all" hustle player off of the bench?  Ryan Bowen probably doesn't have a talented bone in his body, but he's still been able to maintain a lengthy, solid career.  This is due, entirely, to his work ethic, dedication and willingness to do whatever's necessary to benefit whichever team he's on.  The Hornets resigned him instead of Chris Andersen for frontcourt depth mainly because of his locker room presence and his commitment to hustling.  Every team needs this kind of positive influence in the locker room.

#4 Sean Marks (2007/2008 stats in 19 games with the Suns: 3.1 PPG, 1.9 RPG while shooting 63.2 FT Pctg., 53.5 FG Pctg.)
Sean Marks joins Devin Brown and Melvin Ely as Hornets who have won championship rings with the Spurs.  He probably will not see much playing time but is a big man who can knock down a jump shot and provide minutes in garbage time.  He's nothing more than a clubhouse guy and you can't expect more than 20 games from him.  You'll see a lot of DNP-CD next to his name this season.

C: #6 Tyson Chandler (2007/2008 stats in 79 games: 11.8 PPG, 11.7 RPG, 1.1 BPG, 1.0 APG while shooting 59.3 FT Pctg., 62.3 FG Pctg.)
The Chicago Bulls looked like idiots trading Elton Brand for the draft right to an 18 year old Tyson Chandler back in 2001.  Aside from a solid 2004/2005 season Tyson Chandler's career and role never materalized in Chicago, and after five seasons the promising center was shipped to the Hornets for the troubled J.R. Smith and aging P.J. Brown.  The deal could not have worked out better for the Hornets.  Tyson Chandler has lived up to that high draft pick in his two seasons with the Hornets, progressing to the point where he is now one of the best centers in the league.  He runs the floor extremely well for a 7 footer and as a result is the finishing option on the best alley oop tandem in the league along with Chris Paul.  As a result of that alley oop, Chandler shot 62.3 percent from the field and averaged double figure points for the first time in his career.  His blocks dipped a little bit, but he's still a rebounding machine and if he consistently stays out of foul trouble he'll be in prime position to make the 2009 NBA All Star game.

#12 Hilton Armstrong (2007/2008 stats in 65 games: 2.7 PPG, 2.5 RPG while shooting 62.9 FT Pctg., 45.3 FG Pctg.)
Hilton Armstrong hasn't yet become the player that the Hornets envisioned he would when they selected him 12th overall back in the 2006 NBA draft.  His wingspan and amazing athletic abililty for someone of his size made him a coveted pick, and he and 15th overall selection Cedric Simmons were supposed to be fontcourt staples for the Hornets for years to come.  The Hornets were so sold on Armstrong's game that they let a then overweight and underacheiving Brandon Bass leave for Dallas in free agency.  But Cedric Simmons never worked out, now struggling to find playing time with Chicago, and Armstrong is facing the defining year of his career.  The Hornets have high hopes for Armstrong and he is a favorite of the organization, this is proven by the fact that they brought in no front court help in case he doesn't pan out.  They believe this is the year he will leave up to the potential he has shown and that he posseses.  If he ever becomes confident or graceful out on the court, he could be the mini Tyson Chandler the team needs off the bench.  If not, it could severely hurt the Hornets championship hopes and he most likely will not be employed by the team next season.  This is it for Armstrong and I hope he pulls through.

Coach: Byron Scott (career record with the Hornets: 151-177 with 7-5 playoff record)
Byron Scott finally won a much deserved coach of the year award.  He was probably slighted out of the award in the 2001/2002 season because he coached a team that had Jason Kidd on it.  Last year, he was criticized for coaching a team with Chris Paul on it.  But let's face facts: Jason Kidd has never made it past the confrence semifinals without Byron Scott.  Byron Scott took perennial loser New Jersey and brought the Nets to two NBA Finals.  He walked into an awful situation in the rebuilding 2004/2005 season with the Hornets (a season that saw Lee Nailon and Dan Dickau as leading scorers) before grabbing control of the team in 2005 and then leading them.  He's always got this team to play hard, to play tough defense and to play an amazing organized style of basketball play.  Chris Paul's success should be largely attributed to Byron Scott's coaching, as probably nobody is as adept at coaching a point guard than Byron Scott is.  Just look at what he got out of Dan Dickau.  He's one of the top five coaches in the league, and honestly in my unbiased opinion, I would only put Greg Popovich and Phil Jackson ahead of him.

Final Analysis: The Hornets enter this season on a high note and with high expectations.  They are an extremely talented assortment of athleticism, three point shooting, team work, chemistry and hard nosed coaching.  Byron Scott will have his best shot at returning to the finals and winning his first championship this season but it's not as clear cut as some would think.  If you look at the statistics I posted, I think the one that stands out the most is the fact that all five of the Hornets started played at least 76 games.  Last year the Hornets had everything clicking: momentum, health, play.  They drove past the Mavericks and gave the Spurs more of a fight than they probably should have before falling at home in that tough game 7 loss.  The addition of James Posey brings talent to a seemingly talent deprived bench, but the loss of Jannero Pargo nearly offsets all of that.  Jannero Pargo is not going to win MVP awards or scoring titles but he was essential and vital to last year's team.  You may be able to replace production in this league, but you can't replace presence.  The thin front court also leaves no room for error for David West or Tyson Chandler.  The Hornets are still waiting on Hilton Armstrong while, even though Melvin Ely, Ryan Bowen and Sean Marks try, they just don't have game changing backups in the front court position.  They have bodies though and after last season this team now has experience.  All that's left is replicating last year's play while dealing with the new expectations of a contending team.  The Hornets should be in the thick of things near the end of the season and will finish between the 50-56 win mark for this season.  A second division championship in franchise history is more than a possibility (even with the Rockets and Spurs looming) and an NBA Championship is more than a possibility.  But things need to fall in place this season.  After all, luck plays a huge role in winning championships.

Posted on: October 10, 2008 7:05 pm
Edited on: October 25, 2008 1:33 pm
 

2008 - 2009 NBA Atlantic Division Preview

"Man I'm so hyped right now! Anything's possible!" Amidst the crying, yelling, and screaming that followed, we were able to distinguish Kevin Garnett above it all. Paul Pierce and Ray Allen were not as overly jubulant and we may have been able to make out what they were saying, but let's not fool ourselves: after years of those three superstars wasting away in mediocrity they were able to come together and give one of the greatest single season performances in NBA history. The Boston Celtics were an extremely proud franchise but had not been able to recover from the retiring of Larry Bird. Many experiments followed. The Paul Pierce and Antoine Walker tandem created the most excitment, but who expected Kenny Anderson and Tony Delk to lead this team to the promised land? Soon Walker left and the Celtics relied on Ryan Gomes and Sebastian Telfair (amongst a strange assortment of other players) to be missing pieces alongside Paul Pierce. Needless to say, the losses piled and the Celtics continued to look at mediocrity as a haven for the current state of their franchise. But then the Celtics found a rebuilding Supersonics team and it all changed. What followed was something right out of a fantasy league. Nobody could have imagined a team pitting Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, and Ray Allen on the same NBA squad and hardly anyone could have imagined the three being able to mesh so seamlessly and also be able to generate the most out of a questionable supporting cast. But the "Boston Three Party" quickly came together and created a euphoria in Boston that was unimaginable just one year prior.

It's amazing what a couple of deals can do to the face of a franchise: and all of the teams in the Atlantic division can attest to it. They all seemed to mirror the Celtics vision of changing your franchise's outlook and direction with a couple of transactions and an influx of new players. For better or for worse: the Atlantic division teams are all brand new: except for the Celtics. Nobody can blame the Celtics for staying put, especially since the assortment of players performed so well last season and with Kevin Garnett still serving as the anchor for this squad we have no reason to believe that motivation and hunger should be an issue. But all of the other teams made moves, maybe in a panic, to grab that trophy that's currently in the Celtics possession. From the 76ers acquisition of Elton Brand, to the Raptors rolling the dice on Jermaine O'Neal, followed by the "Firesale For LeBron" sweepstakes in New Jersey and the arrival of a new regime in New York.

Yes, change is abundant in the Atlantic but as the old saying goes, "the more things change the more they stay the same." Plenty of big name players and contracts have been added to the other four competitors, but none of the aforementioned squads will be able to test the Celtics on their quest for back to back championships. All of the other teams will prove to be more competition to the Celtics than they were last year, but at the end of the day the team with the experience, talent, coaching and love for defensive play will stand tall above the rest of the teams in the division. Here's the outlook on the Atlantic division.

1) Boston Celtics - After last offseason's wheeling and dealing, the Celtics won a championship and had the luxury of keeping the team intact for this season. Hunger will be the only obstacle facing this team in its quest to capture a second championship trophy. Kevin Garnett is still the MVP of this team and will handle the onseason leadership role while Paul Pierce continues to show that his spot on the Finals MVP trophy is completely deserved. Ray Allen's production will continue to decrease as he settles into the role of a spectacular spot up shooter (but not much else). Rajon Rondo is already the best defensive point guard in the league and the sky is still the limit for this young guard as he figures to be penciled in as a top ten point guard for the next few years. Kendrick Perkins isn't much more than a big body and bruiser but he isn't needed for much more than his presence. Obviously the departure of James Posey hurts this team (and definitely cripples the bench) and will lessen the Celtics chances at a repeat. His production just simply cannot be replaced by Tony Allen, Eddie House, or Darius Miles. Doc Rivers emerged as someone who looks like he can coach after his taking Phil Jackson to school in the NBA finals. Time will tell if this team is as motivated as it was last season. All signs point to yes.

2) Philadelphia 76ers - Trying to capture the Magic that the Celtics obtained last season, the Sixers set out to pick up an inside presence that would allow Reggie Evans to slide back into a better suited bench role. Elton Brand is just what the doctor ordered; or at least it looks like it on paper. Elton Brand is one of five current players to have career averages of 20 points and 10 rebounds a game. He's had a stellar career but has lacked success regardless of his location. Of course, playing with the Bulls post-Jordan and then suiting up for the Clippers for seven years doesn't give you many opportunities to be successful but now is his best opportunity to show that he's not just a player who puts up good numbers on bad teams. If he can't get it done this season, he's nothing more than Shareef Abdur-Rahim. Andre Iguodala had a solid season last year in response to the critics who bashed Iggy for turning down the contract extension he was offered the previous summer. Iguodala still got his big contract but his performance against the Pistons last postseason is enough to make people second guess his ability to lead and deliver in clutch, crucial situations. As far as point guards go in this league, there aren't many as effecient and effective as Andre Miller is. He never misses games, plays good defense and owns one of the best lob passes in the league. Samuel Dalembert continues to improve at the center position and players like Louis Williams, Thaddeus Young and Willie Green help form the identity of what looks like a promising team. As has been pointed out, their lack of three point shooting could hurt them when the playoffs come around but it won't prevent them from reaching the postseason.

3) Toronto Raptors - Last year was a setback in many ways for the Toronto Raptors players, franchise and fans. The arrival of Bryan Colangelo seemed like a match made in heaven and the 2006-2007 Raptors brought Chris Bosh to the spotlight, got Sam Mitchell a coach of the year award and gave big expectations to Andrea Bargnani entering his second year in the league. Sam Mitchell proceeded to mishandle (badly) the point guard situation with T.J. Ford and Jose Calderon. An injury to Chris Bosh midseason derailed the Raptors and they never recovered. And Andrea Bargnani? When he wasn't pulling down 3 rebounds a game he was shooting near 30 percent from the three point line. Because of his horrible sophomore slump last season, the Raptors looked for an inside presence that could put this team into contention for an Eastern Confrence crown. As far as big names are concerned, acquiring Jermaine O'Neal is a big deal (even if it would have looked much better a few years ago). The team had to part ways with T.J. Ford and Rasho Nesterovic but with Jose Calderon poised and ready to step into the starting point guard role and with Jermaine O'Neal replacing Rasho Nesterovic, this team should be better than what they were last season. Still, let's not fool ourselves. This is a team that was outsted from the playoffs in five games. Unless Jermaine O'Neal turns the clock back three years they will suffer, roughly, the same fate this season. O'Neal never lived up to that humongous contract that the Pacers gave him and it's hard to imagine that playing out of position alongside a player who is a better version of what O'Neal used to be is going to revive O'Neal's game and career. Jason Kapono is deadly from three point range but aside from that, the Raptors don't posses that type of wing player who's capable of taking over a game with his playmaking abilities. Anthony Parker is equally effecient from behind the arc but isn't as lethal a shooter or as much of a threat as Kapono is. Their lack of a true center and their lack of effective, effecient wing players will prevent the Raptors from making a huge splash in the postseason.

4) New Jersey Nets - If you entered last year expecting the Nets to make one last run at an Eastern Confrence crown with Jason Kidd, Richard Jefferson and Vince Carter then don't feel foolish. It seemed like a match made in heaven - Jason Kidd running the court with outstanding leapers Jefferson and Carter by his side. For whatever reason, that "big three" was never able to get past the semifinals and after watching last season's mediocre season unfold, the Nets went into firesale mode. But don't confuse this as rebuilding. This team has nothing to build around; except for the prospect of landing LeBron James in 2010. Gone are Kidd and Jefferson, in come the promising Yi Jianlian and the ever talented but annoyingly inconsistent Devin Harris to help reshape this Nets team. Jianlian faltered greatly down the stretch last year as he did not handle the 82 game season very well. It's hard to imagine playing for China in the Beijing Olympics helped matters but we'll see what steps he took to improve this season. Devin Harris has been on the cusp the past few years, people eager to see him take over and lead a team. He's yet to do so but posted solid numbers after leaving the Mavericks for Jersey last February. Vince Carter is there in contract and in scoring but not much else. He just seems to glide nowadays and is a shadow of the player that he was back in Toronto. Add that to the frontcourt by committee and it's hard to imagine this team being anything more than competitive this season. But look for them to make some progress this season, especially if Carter is traded by midseason.

5) New York Knicks - Oh, the New York Knicks. What's left to be said of this team that hasn't already been said? After five plus years of torture inflicted onto the fickle New York fanbase courtesy of Isiah Thomas, in comes Donnie Walsh and Mike D'Antoni to save the day. Players love playing for D'Antoni's free spirit and light it up type of offense. Add that to the attractive market that is New York and the Knicks could be perceived as a team ready to turn the corner. Unfortunately, Isiah Thomas left this team stuck in the mud. With atrocious contracts being given to Eddy Curry, Jared Jeffries and Jerome James coupled with taking on ridiculous contracts of Stephon Marbury, Zach Randolph, Quentin Richardson, and Malik Rose, this team is in financial hell and God himself couldn't save them for this season or next. D'Antoni has his work cut out for him asking Curry and Randolph to leave the buffet table to run the floor and fit into his offense. If it looked awkward trying to incorporate Shaq into the Suns offense last season, one can imagine the fun of watching Eddy Curry and Zach Randolph running up and down the court and hustling. Good luck with that. Stephon Marbury seems like he would be a good fit for this offense, but didn't he look like a good fit alongside Kevin Garnett in Minnesota? Didn't he look like a good fit as the cornerstone in New Jersey? Didn't he look like a player who could bring the Suns what Jason Kidd couldn't? Looks can be deceiving. Stephon Marbury has underachieved on every team he's played for and aggrevated plenty of teammates and personnel over that period. The Knicks have players that fit the system in Richardson, Jamal Crawford, Nate Robinson and David Lee but the reigns of the D'Antoni offense will no longer be handled by Steve Nash, but instead should be headed by Chris Duhon. The only big time free agent acquisition for the Knicks is a low key guy who would be a solid backup on a really good team but hardly is a man to run a complex offense of overpaid crybabies nor is he a candidate to lead them anywhere. His "party boy" tendencies also could be further exposed with the New York media paying close attention to him. Look for New York fans to be extremely patient this year and with this roster as currently constructed, they'll need all that patience and then some.

Posted on: October 2, 2008 11:50 am
Edited on: March 21, 2009 1:22 am
 

My 2008-2009 NBA Preseason Predictions

 Well with the season nearing and with all of the players basically signed up to play for the upcoming 2008-2009 NBA season, I'm going to throw my predictions out there (even if it is too early).  Their playoff seeding will be by the team name.

 

 

 

Eastern Confrence

 

 

Atlantic Division
1. Boston Celtics (1) - The defending NBA champions throw out, roughly, the same roster and the biggest question is how hungry the big three will be after winning their championship.  That may be a problem down the road but Kevin Garnett and company will not have hunger issues this season.

2. Philadelphia 76ers (3) - Obviously the addition of Elton Brand was huge for this team but it will be interesting to see how he meshes with this up tempo type team.  Andre Miller is getting up there in age and Andre Iguodala had an awful postseason so there's room for skepticism but for some reason everything just looks as if it will mesh.  Maurice Cheeks will have pressure to get out of the first round and if he can't deliver then he may be gone by next season.

3. Toronto Raptors (6) - Picking up Jermaine O'Neal gave them virtually a Chris Bosh carbon copy as both have similar games.  Still the addition of another big man will always help and if O'Neal can be healthy and man down the center position (two tall tasks), if Chris Bosh plays like he did in the olympics, and if Jose Calderon plays like he did last season then this team could surprise.  Too many if's for me, though.

4. New Jersey Nets - Even though this team was virtually in firesale mode this offseason I really liked the moves that they made.  They picked up Yi Jianlian and I think he's going to be a great player in the league.  Devin Harris is coming into his own as a point guard and the additions of role players like Bobby Simmons, Jarvis Hayes, and Eduardo Najera will keep this team playing hard.  Is it just me or does anyone else see Vince Carter having a great season this year?

5. New York Knicks - Mike D'Antoni's gimmick offense worked when it had talent on his team.  People forget how "great" his offense was when Leandro Barbosa was running the point the year before Steve Nash arrived.  I don't know how he's going to involve Zach Randolph, Eddy Curry and company but if the offensive genius can do it then he'll have to do it with Chris Duhon at point guard.  Good luck with that. 

Central Division:
1. Detroit Pistons (4) - The talks of the Pistons demise have been dramtically overexaggerated.  I, too, thought that Chauncey Billups and Rasheed Wallace needed to go but that Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince should be retained.  Turns out all of them are there.  This doesn't mean that the team is going to lose in the first round.  This team is every bit as talented as any of the teams that have gone to the last six eastern confrence finals.  The problem is, it's as talented as all of the teams that have collapsed in those same confrence finals the last three seasons.

2. Cleveland Cavaliers (5) - The addition of Mo Williams was drastically overrated as his style doesn't look like it will match up with LeBron James.  Maybe they know something I don't, though.  It looks like a shoot first point guard who didn't really run an offense (Delonte West and Daniel Gibson) were already on the roster so it looks like he was brought in for his gaudy stats.  Unless LeBron James truly can do it all and play center then this team will have no inside presence.  Zydrunas Ilgauskas tries but he's too old to be a dominat presence.  Ben Wallace and Anderson Varejao don't deserve mention.

3. Indiana Pacers (8) - For the first time in a couple years I see the Pacers coming into the season with a direction.  It may not be talented enough to make a huge splash but the playoffs are every bit a possibility.  Mike Dunleavy finally came into his own last year and now the key is doing it on a good team.  Danny Granger is as talented as they come and the additions of T.J. Ford and Rasho Nesterovic will help make this team better than it was last year when it fielded Jamaal Tinsley and Jeff Foster in those spots.  Foster is better off the bench and the Pacers could be in position to make a legitimate run at the postseason.

4. Milwaukee Bucks - Scott Skiles was a huge addition for this team.  He'll be able to get the pass-first point guards like Ramon Sessions and Luke Rindour get the ball into Andrew Bogut and Richard JeffersonMichael Redd is still a one trick pony and any team with him as your best player is not going to go anywhere deep in the postseason so the key is to get Bogut going this season.  Now's as good a year as any.

5. Chicago Bulls - Last year I had them in the confrence finals, this year they still haven't proven to me they've overcome last year's turmoil.  I said it would be interesting to see how everyone responded to almost being traded for Kobe Bryant and sure enough they collapsed.  Was last year just that or is that mental weakness and turmoil still in the clubhouse.  Vinny Del Negro as your head coach is a head scratcher and who knows where this team is headed this season.  I don't think it's the postseason.  Joakim Noah should have an awesome season, though.

Southeast Division:
1. Orlando Magic (2) - Dwight Howard is right behind LeBron James and Kobe Bryant as far as best players in the league go.  Rashard Lewis is going to put up similar numbers as he did last year (Though you'd like to see more rebounds) and the key is getting Hedo Turkoglu to repeat his performance from last season.  Seeing that this is a contract year I think it's a big possibility.  I wish Jameer Nelson would play all season like he did in last year's postseason and this team would be much better.  They still lack that legitimate power forward and shooting guard but overall this team will be carried wherever Howard takes them.

2. Washington Wizards (7) - Losing Gilbert Arenas and replacing him with Juan Dixon isn't a blueprint for success and neither is dedicating all your money to two players on a team who haven't gotten your team out of the first round the past few seasons.  This is a team destined for mediocrity and even though I love the games of all three members of the big three, they just don't spell championship success for a team.  Caron Butler is great and I think with Arenas missing most of the season he can lead this team to the postseason.

3. Miami Heat - Dwyane Wade has made me a believer.  After watching him in the olympics I can't wait to see him do it for a whole season.  Problem is it's not likely he'll do it for more than 65 games.  This year, though, they have Shawn Marion and Michael Beasley to pull some weight but the lack of a point guard or center could definitely kill this team.  Spoelstra is a great selection as coach, though.

4. Charlotte Bobcats - Larry Brown was a fine addition to this club and they finally have a legitimate head coach.  They just don't have legitimate players on the club.  Jason Richardson and Gerald Wallace don't mesh well together and Emeka Okafor would be better serves as a power forward on a contender.  He's a fine player who was wrongfully given great player expectations.  The selection of D.J. Augustin over Brook Lopez makes me scratch my head but it goes to show how much they don't think of Raymond FeltonAdam Morrison and Sean May's production expectations are anyone's guess.

5. Atlanta Hawks - My how they've fallen.  Say what you want to about Knight but when he was fired I mentioned how bad of a move it was.  Next thing you know this team lets Josh Childress leave, horribly mishandles the Josh Smith contract situation and are going to throw out a frontcourt of Marvin Williams, Josh Smith, and Al Horford.  An aging Mike Bibby and floundering Joe Johnson won't save this team from taking a humongous step back from last season's promising playoff appearance.

Western Confrence

Southwest Division:
1. New Orleans Hornets (2) - This team looks poised to take a step forward from their breakthrough performance last season.  Inside presences like Tyson Chandler, fantastic scorers like David West and Peja Stojakovic, championship experience and toughness/defense in James Posey, athleticism and dedication from Julian Wright and Hilton Armstrong in addition to the best point guard in the league in Chris Paul leaves this team with no glaring weakness.  The only problem for them will be how they handle expecting to win.

2. Houston Rockets (3) - The addition of Ron Artest is big and I really do look for Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming to have huge seasons.  This team will mesh together very well and the flexibility off the bench with players like Shane Battier, Chuck Hayes, and Carl Landry (whose offer sheet I expect them to match) give this team a lot of depth and talent.  But I still can't see a team with Raefer Alston at point guard winning a championship.

3. San Antonio Spurs (5) - The models for consistency are getting up there in age and with Manu Ginobili's health being in question coming into the season you have to wonder what, exactly, this team is going to do this upcoming season.  Tim Duncan may have a couple more seasons like last year stored up but it's not guaranteed.  You know what you're going to get out of Tony Parker but the rest of the team is open to interpretation.  Roger Mason's a nice pickup, though, and this team is still a legitimate title contender with Tim Duncan on the roster.

4. Dallas Mavericks (7) - I stated last year that no team with Dirk Nowitzki as its best player would win a championship.  The Mavericks tried to adress this by giving up Devin Harris for Jason Kidd and again (as properly predicted) it blew up in their face.  Josh Howard has become a public relations nightmare and you have to wonder if this team as presently constructed can ever recover from that series with the Warriors two seasons ago.

5. Memphis Grizzlies - O.J. Mayo, Mike Conley Jr. and Rudy Gay are going to make this team exciting and if Marc Gasol lives up to expectations and Hakim Warrick plays as he did at the end of last season this team has the makeup and talent to be every bit as pesky and annoying as last year's Sacramento Kings team was.  Their lack of a bench will keep us from taking them serious (unless you want to mention Antoine Walker and Darko Milicic, then again why would you?) but this is a team with a very good direction who could be good again in a couple years.

Northwest Division:
1. Utah Jazz (4) *by virtue of winning division - No offense to the rest of the teams in the northwest division but this is the weakest division in the West by far and aside from the southeast may be the weakest in the league.  The Jazz are extremely talented and still lack enough inside power and a legitimate swing man to be taken serious as championship contenders but Deron Williams is the most underrated player in the league and this team will again win this division and be on its way to the postseason.

2. Portland Trail Blazers - Getting Greg Oden back is huge and Bradon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge are already legitimate.  This team, though, still seems to be lacking somethign to take that last step.  They're going to push for a postseason spot but last year this team thrived on everyone writing them off.  They can't get caught up in the hype surrounding them or else they'll fail to live up to those expectations. 

3. Denver Nuggets - Having a frontcourt of Nene, Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen isn't the sturdiest nor most dependable assembly of big guys in NBA history and that alone is the reason why the Nuggets will miss the playoffs for the first time in five years.  Allen Iverson was denied a contract extension and will probably finish the year on someon else's team.  J.R. Smith is a good player but you have to scratch your head at the contract he was given.  Who knows how focused Carmelo Anthony is and if his head will ever match his skill out on the court. 

4. Oklahoma City Thunder - Kevin Durant is the real deal.  Everyone who said he had a bland year last season didn't really watch him play.  He and Jeff Green are good cornerstones for this team and players like Desmond Mason, Joe Smith, and Nick Collison will make this team more competitive than last season's Supersonics.  I'm surprised Carlesimo was retained but you can't blame him for last season's debacle of a team.  Sam Presti has this team in the right direction and in a few years they're going to be great.  Kudos to those great fans as well.

5. Minnesota Timberwolves - New logo, new power forward, same Kevin McHale, same Timberwolves.  Trading O.J. Mayo for Kevin Love is confusing regardless of the influx of guards on the Timberwolves roster.  Mike Miller is a fine player and Al Jefferson is the real deal, but why Randy Wittman is a head coach in this league I'll never know.  It's tough for me to see this team being anything better than what was on the court last season.

Pacific Division:
1. Los Angeles Lakers (1) - There's no doubt as to who is going to win this division.  The Lakers are the most talented team in the league and getting Andrew Bynum back is more of a boost to this team than Greg Oden is to Portland.  Bynum should move in and it will be awkward at first before this team catches its groove around December/January.  Bynum's injury status is something to keep an eye on as he hasn't yet played a full season.  Kobe Bryant is the best player in the league and this is the Lakers' best shot at bringing home a championship.

2. Los Angeles Clippers (6) - Yes I put them above Phoenix.  Even though chemistry may be a problem they put a talented team together and it's a team full of players who look like they will fit together.  Chris Kaman and Marcus Camby are going to be deadly inside presences (if Kaman is focused for 82 games) and Baron Davis and Eric Gordon should light it up on the offensive end.  They're not going to win championships but this team is very talented and if Mike Dunleavy can't get them to be legitimate this season then he's just not the coach we thought he was.

3. Phoenix Suns (8) - Signs of Steve Nash's decline are in place and even though Terry Porter is going to be good for this team you have to wonder if it's too late for the Suns to contend for their title.  Shaquille O'Neal is light years past his prime but is still a legitimate center and a fantastic role player at this stage in his career: when he's motivated.  That's the problem.  Amare Stoudemire is a top ten player in this league and if he ever learns how to pass or play defense then he's going to be something special for years to come.  But he's developed a fantastic mid range game to offset what he's lost with those knee surgeries.  Problem is, though, this team is not built around Stoudemire.  In due time, though.

4. Golden State Warriors - The Warriors, last year, were the toast of the town.  Losing Baron Davis and trying to replace his scoring with Corey Maggette will show up in the box score but not in the leadership or win-loss column.  After being burned by Elton Brand and Baron Davis and also losing Monta Ellis for the beginning of the regular season Warriors fans have to be wondering what's going to become of that promise that was there at the end of the 2006 season.  Brandon Wright and Anthony Randolph are very good players to grow with but Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington are just like Corey Maggette and nobody knows who's going to run this team.

5. Sacramento Kings - After last season's surprising season this team will not sneak up on anybody this year.  Kevin Martin looks like this generation's Reggie Miller; in other words he can score and try on defense but not much else.  That's not a knock on him as I think he's better in that role than Michael Redd is and he's somebody good to build around.  I just don't know if they'll win a championship with him as the guy on the team.  Giving Beno Udrih that long term contract is quite the gamble but if he plays like he did last season it will pay off.  If not he's going to just be on the roster for three years until they release him.  This team is still talented and I still love Reggie Theus but the perception is they're not a playoff team, yet.  And I agree.

 

Postseason Predictions

Eastern Confrence First Round

1.
Boston Celtics vs. 8. Indiana Pacers - The Pacers surprise run to the postseason may end quickly or the Celtics could start off slowly as they did last postseason.  Either way, Kevin Garnett dominates and the Celtics advance.

2. Orlando Magic vs. 7. Washington Wizards - The Wizards string of seasons backing into the playoffs and losing in the first round will be continued this season as Dwight Howard destroys Brendan Haywood and the Magic advance.

3. Philadelphia 76ers vs. 6. Toronto Raptors - The matchup of Chris Bosh vs. Elton Brand will be hyped uncontrollably and this series should be a lot of fun.  Unfortunately, though, the addition of Jermaine O'Neal gives no new result for the Raptors as they bow out in the first round again.

4. Detroit Pistons vs. 5. Cleveland Cavaliers - Rasheed Wallace and company help the Pistons overcome LeBron James despite a valiant effort from the Cavaliers.  Will be the best matchup of the first round.

Eastern Confrence Semifinals
1. Boston Celtics vs. 4. Detroit Pistons - Last year's big matchup will now be held in the semifinals instead of the confrence finals.  The Pistons, though, will suffer the same fate as the Celtics make relatively quick work of the Pistons in five or six games.

2. Orlando Magic vs. 3. Philadelphia 76ers - This will be a great matchup of last year's two surprising teams.  Stan Van Gundy will try to bombard the Sixers with three pointers while the Sixers will struggle to make some.  Elton Brand and company will give a valiant effort but the Sixers will lose in the semifinals.

Eastern Confrence Finals
1. Boston Celtics vs. 2. Orlando Magic - Dwight Howard will show up in the main stage but the Magic's continued improvement will again halt.  Jameer Nelson and Hedo Turkoglu will dissapear in the key stretches and Paul Pierce will carry the Celtics back to the finals.  They lose in the first round in 2007, the 2nd round in 2008, and now the confrence finals in 2009.

Western Confrence First Round
1. Los Angeles Lakers vs. 8. Phoenix Suns - This ridicuously hyped matchup will bring ratings but not much competition.  Andrew Bynum vs. Shaquille O'Neal will be the high profile matchup and Amare Stoudemire will own Pau Gasol but Kobe Bryant will shine again and Lamar Odom will own Grant Hill on both ends of the court.  Lakers advance.

2. New Orleans Hornets vs. 7. Dallas Mavericks - A rematch of last year's first round matchup proves the same result.  Brandon Bass and Dirk Nowitzki will go nuts but Chris Paul will run circles around Jason Kidd and Peja Stojakovic and James Posey will shoot the Hornets past the Mavericks in six games.

3. Houston Rockets vs. 6. Los Angeles Clippers - This will, again, be a very interesting matchup.  The Clippers will steal a game in Houston and everyone will panic and remind themselves Tracy McGrady has never gotten past the first round.  But then when the series shifts to Los Angeles McGrady will take over and Rafer Alston will knock down big shots to help the Rockets win this series in six games.

4. Utah Jazz vs. 5. San Antonio Spurs - A fantastic matchup in the first round will take place but this series will only be for the old school fans.  A lot of tough, inside, rough and tough, physical games will take place but that benefits the Spurs.  Tim Duncan and Carlos Boozer will be a good matchup as will Tony Parker's speed vs. Deron William's strength but Manu Ginobili will out shoot Kyle Korver to help the Spurs advance.

Western Confrence Semifinals
1.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. 5. San Antonio Spurs - The Spurs will come into this series destined to avenge last year's embarassment in the Western Confrence Finals.  The result will be the same, though, as Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom, again, prove to be the difference in this series and allow the Lakers to edge the Spurs in six games.

2. New Orleans Hornets vs. 3. Houston Rockets - This will (until the Western Confrence Finals) be the best matchup of the playoffs as the Rockets size and strength will matchup against the Hornets finesse style of play.  Yao Ming will dominate as the Hornets leave Tyson Chandler one on one against the 7'6" superstar.  Peja Stojakovic will be smothered by Ron Artest and Luis Scola will do his best to stay in front of David West.  The Hornets will panic but James Posey and Julian Wright will slow down Tracy McGrady and eventually Chris Paul and David West will run the pick and roll to perfection to advance in seven games.

Western Confrence F inals
1. Los Angeles Lakers vs.2. New Orleans Hornets - The matchup of what would have been the more entertaining Western Confrence Finals last year will take place this season as these two talented teams will fight to see who advances to face the Celtics in the NBA finals.  Kobe Bryant and company will split with the Hornets in Los Angeles before taking game 3.  But the Hornets will come together in game 4 and gell just in time to take the series in seven games due to Peja Stojakovic's surprising play in a series that actually matters.

NBA FINALS
Boston Celtics (home court) vs. New Orleans Hornets - The hungry Hornets will come into town to matchup with the defending champions and the prospects of having James Posey try to take the championship away from the team that he left in the offseason will make for fun storylines.  Chris Paul will be slowed down by Rajon Rondo but David West will step up big time and prove to be a key factor in his matchup with Kevin Garnett.  Tyson Chandler will slow down Garnett on the offensive side of the court and although Paul Pierce will light up the Hornets, Peja Stojakovic will out shoot Ray Allen in the matchup of players who do virtually nothing other than rebound.  The Hornets will win exactly one game in Boston but that will be enough to take the series in six games and allow (homer pick) for your 2009 NBA Champions, for the first time in franchise history, to be the New Orleans Hornets.

Category: NBA
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Posted on: April 22, 2008 12:24 pm
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Posted on: February 16, 2008 12:53 pm
Edited on: November 2, 2008 9:33 pm
 

Looking Back At GoHornets' Preseason Predictions

I figured the all star break is the best time to reflect at all preseason comments and predictions .. so why not take this time to boast .. brag .. make fun of myself and shake my head at all that I said before the opening tip off of the 2007-2008 season.

We will start with the Western Confrence. 

1) San Antonio Spurs - this was real close between them and Phoenix but I do believe that staying pat was the right thing for them to do.  Their age, though, may come into question when the playoffs start.

I still agree with that and feel that keeping the team as was was the smartest thing to do.  Only time will tell if they'll win but because of the Lakers and Suns trade my predictions were thrown out of whack.  I, though, do like the Spurs over both of them at this current time.  But as you'll soon see .. my predictions don't stand for much.

2) Phoenix Suns - As much as I've criticized them for their lack of defense there isn't a team that plays with more heart than this one.  A very good team full of good character players.  I'm not going out on a limb .. but I am saying they're my pick for champs this year.

I hate that I picked them to win it all.  It goes against my "Defense wins championships" motto .. but I figured they'd come in with a huge chip on their shoulder after last season.  Maybe the Shawn Marion trade demands hurt the team more than I thought it would .. but they look a lot more fresher with him out of there.  I don't think they'll win the title now but I have them as probably the 3rd best team in the west.

3) Houston Rockets - Yes I do have them ahead of Dallas.  I absolutely loved the moves that they made in the offseason and if Tracy McGrady's brittle back can hold up and if Yao can stay on the court (huge if's) they could be a sleeper to really make some strides this year.  But because of the injury history .. I'm taking a chance by placing them this high.

Ugh.  I hate Houston and always criticize their moves but I bought into the hype.  All offseason I said Van Gundy was so much better than Adelman and that firing him was a mistake .. but then they made the transactions they did and I bought the hype.  I back off of those current statements though they'll still make the playoffs.  I still don't think they'll make it out the 1st round though.

4) Utah Jazz - I do believe that Deron Williams is a player with a huge upside and I could go on for days about how much I love Carlos Boozer and his style of play.  I'm not a big fan of Mehmet Okur though .. and even though I am a huge fan of Andrei Kirilenko .. I'm wondering how he'll really adjust this season .. not only because of last year's dissapointment but also because of the offseason issues.

I pretty much agree with all of that

5) Dallas Mavericks - I know I'm giving them a huge drop off .. but I see it in order.  I'm really confused with this team because they have the most talent but I don't think they play with enough heart.  Not that they don't play hard every night .. but when things get rough .. fingers start getting pointed .. excuses start being made and unfortunately that's not the way to handle situations.  It's cost them the last two years and I don't see why things would change.

I agree with all of that as well.

6) Denver Nuggets - I like A.I. and 'Melo together .. but there's still not much about this team that scares me.  A.I. reverted back to his old ways in the playoffs .. and just because he notches assists doesn't mean he seamlessly gets his teammates involved.  Carmello is a nice talent but I think he's better as a second option type.

I still pretty much agree with this .. though I hope they're the team that doesn't make the playoffs.

7) New Orleans Hornets - I know this may be viewed as a homer pick but I don't believe that it is.  They have a ton of talent and the addition of Morris Peterson is huge for the team as he's someone that not only plays tough defense but also stretches the opposing defense with his shooting and tough nosed play.  The team usually gets hit with injuries every year .. but if they can somehow avoid it this year then a trip to the playoffs is in order, I believe.

I caught a lot of flack for putting the Hornets in the playoffs .. but everything I felt was justified.  They're playing good now and should finish a bit ahead of this 7th seed .. but barring some huge collapse .. they should still be in.

8) Golden State Warriors - I don't believe that they're a fluke .. but they are what they are.  They're not better than last year because they gave away Jason RichardsonBaron Davis is great .. but he's also been one with huge injury problems.  The team plays hard .. their fans are great .. but they didn't get any better than last season so I see them right where they were.

I still think they'll finish in the lower seedings in the West so I like this pick.  Only problem is I called Jason Richardson their best player.

9) Los Angeles Lakers - Regardless if Kobe gets traded or not .. I don't see them making it.  This is just not a good team .. there's no type of frontcourt .. and though I love Derek Fisher I don't see how he makes them that much better.  I expect a drop off from a team that's, believe it or not, overachieved the last couple years.  Lamar Odom has put up good numbers but sometimes you forget he's even out there.

I deserve a lot of flack for this one.  I said they had no front court (Andrew Bynum), I said they wouldn't make the playoffs (and then called them a championship contender in this blog), and I called them a bunch of overachievers.  Whoops.

10) Portland Trailblazers - A team well on the right track to something special.  The injury to Oden really hurts the team .. and though they have promise they're still a year or maybe even two away in my estimation.  I love Nate McMillan as a coach though.

I think that turned out pretty fair.

11) Memphis Grizzlies - They did the right move in kind of reshaping the team .. but they just seem so bland to me.  I don't have any reason to get excited about facing them (with the exception of Pau Gasol) and I don't really know which direction this team is heading in.  They'll be better than last year .. but after last year's abysmal season .. that's not saying much.

I agree with that.  Though I should have placed them lower.

12) Los Angeles Clippers - The loss of Elton Brand kills them .. and after last year's sky high expectations .. they're reverting back to the same ol' Clippers.  They've turned into a dissapointment again .. and this is another team where I'm just not sure in which direction they're going.

I agree with that still.

13) Seattle SuperSonics - A very talented team.  At the same time .. a very young team.  I think they will be good in due time but not as quickly as Portland will be.  Durant's exciting .. as is Jeff Green but I'm interested to see how Carleisimo handles the team because he's had a history of not handling young players well.  And that's all this team is.

I like that prediction as well.

14) Sacramento Kings - Mike Bibby has fallen off of the face of this Earth.  He must have held on for dear life and brought Brad Miller down with him.  This team is looking like another stale 33 win season .. or even worse .. and it won't be because of Theus.  I like him as a coach but this is not a good situation.  I look for at least Bibby to be traded by mid season .. if not Artest and/or Brad Miller as well.

Well I was calling for total rebuilding for them but they've turned out a solid team this year.  Though .. I don't see them as a championship contender the way they are .. and even if they stay pat .. they may make the playoffs next year but they won't make any noise.  They still have to make some moves to get back to the Kings of old.

15) Minnesota Timberwolves - At least they're not stuck in the "stale/bland" situation that I've labeled the Lakers, Grizzlies, and Kings with.  There's no hiding that they're rebuilding .. but as a result this year will be VERY tough.  As will next year, more than likely, .. and I don't like Randy Wittman as a coach.  They may be on the right path .. but they're right at the starting line.  It may be rough for them this year.

I still agree with that.  And then I made my playoff predictions.

Playoff Predictions:
Spurs over Warriors
Suns over Hornets
Rockets over Nuggets
Mavericks over Jazz

Spurs over Jazz
Suns over Rockets

Suns over Spurs

I have backtracked my statement of Suns beating the Spurs in a seven game series .. and though the Rockets could probably beat the Nuggets in a seven game series .. they're not gonna play them in the 1st round so .. still on the outside looking in as far as the semifinals is concerned.

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Oh but if you thought that was bad .. wait until you get a load of my Eastern confrence picks.

I will warn you to take my predictions with caution .. because my predictions for the 04-05 Pacers, 05-06 Pacers, and 06-07 Nets have not gone as planned.  So this year's prediction (the Wizards) must immediately put a hit out on me .. or hope that they can break the mold.

1) Cleveland Cavaliers - In a wide oppen Eastern Confrence .. I'm going to go with the only team that can have eleven average players and one fantastic one .. and still manage to win.  This is the East's version of the L.A. Lakers .. what helps them out is .. they play in the East.  I'm a big critic of LeBron's and thinks he gets a little too much attention (as far as the media is concerned) .. but that's my only gripe and his play is undeniable.  I think he's eclipsed Kobe Bryant as far as single best player in the NBA. It's fair to say they won't get the number one seed but they'll still be a really good team in the East.  I was a little premature in calling LeBron better than Kobe, though.

2) Boston Celtics - I do believe that they will be a good regular season team.  Danny Ainge got people to care for this team again and for that deserves a pat on the back.  Other than that, though .. I don't see them winning the title or even making it to the finals .. because none of the "big three" know how to win.  They're all career losers (for a lack of a better word) and where's the help going to come from?

I still kind of agree with that though I was kind of harsh calling them all losers.  I don't think they'll win the championship (I don't know why it's just a gut feeling I've always had .. but I had that same feeling about the 05-06 Heat) .. so who knows what's going to happen.

3) Chicago Bulls - A team that is right on the brink but doesn't have a big man that can score.  They have so many pieces in place .. but for some reason I just don't see hwo they can win a championship.  It's hard to explain .. I just don't see the "it" in them.  I believe Ben Wallace is past his prime .. and who knows how the team is going to react to everyone being on the trading block this offseason.

I was half right and half wrong on this.  Right when I said I didn't know how the team was going to react to everyone being on the trading block .. wrong when I said they would be a top tier team in the East.

4) Washington Wizards - My pick for the East is this team right here.  I don't know why .. since they can't play defense to save their lives .. but I love Gilbert Arenas and have a man crush on Caron Butler.  Jamison is playing in a contract year (as is Arenas) and I see huge production out of those two.  They play a lot of offense and very minimal defense .. and that will bite them when they play the west teams.  Lucky for them .. they don't play the western teams until possibly the finals.  So I'm giving them the dreaded vote of approval to win the East.

I don't know.  I look at my prediction and still don't see anything dreadfully wrong with it .. but they just have become bland to me.  I no longer look at Arenas as an elite player .. I think he's more infatuated with himself than he is winning .. but they may still make noise in the playoffs when fully healthy.  The problem is .. they're never fully healthy.

5) New Jersey Nets - This team is sort of bland.  Jason Kidd is great .. but Vince now has his contract .. and Jefferson's injury history has taken away a lot of his play .. to me anyways.  They still don't have a frontcourt .. and after Kidd .. their toughest player, Mikki Moore .. left.  So they will drop off in my estimation but will still be good enough to get the fifth seed.

Ehh .. I kind of foresaw the decline of the team but I had them at 5 which turned out to be too high.  I also had them ahead of ..

6) Detroit Pistons - My how the once mighty have fallen.  Speaking of bland teams .. this is right up there with them.  They've taken steps back in all positions .. mostly because of age.  Flip Saunders has waisted the last two years with the Pistons .. and unfortunately they just don't seem to play as motivated as they did before.  Nothing on this team excites me (except for Tayshaun Prince) and Billups and Hamilton both took drastic steps back in their game last year.

I'm eating serious crow pertaining to the Pistons and the Lakers.  I can't say anything except for I was wrong .. and putting the Wizards, Nets, and Bulls ahead of them looks horrendously idiotic now.  I still think Saunders will find a way to blow it in the playoffs, though.

7) Toronto Raptors - I'm a big fan of Toronto but don't see where they wind up stepping above anyone I've placed before them.  I like T.J. Ford and absolutely love Chris Bosh .. but the loss of Peterson hurts them.  They got great chemistry and I see them possibly moving up from this spot up to possibly even the second seed .. but I can't get a handle on them and don't think they'll win the division.

I still feel that way about them.  They're better than seventh but I still have a hard time getting a feel for them.

8) Orlando Magic - I pondered them and the Heat .. but I figured I'd go with the younger team that actually has a bit of excitement to them.  They overpayed immensely for Rashard Lewis .. and I'm not sure that Jameer Nelson is the guy at point guard.  Who knows what happened to J.J. Reddick .. and Turkoglu is as streaky a player as I've ever seen.  But Dwight Howard himself should will this team to the playoffs .. but I don't see them making much noise when they get there.

I still don't see them making it deep in the playoffs .. but they're better than eighth.  Who knows what they'll do when they make it though.

9) Miami Heat - I'm probably making a mistake by not putting them in .. but Dwyane Wade will be starting this season on the injured list.  Shaq is also a year older .. and boy did he look sad at times last year.  He's not at all the player he once was .. but that happens to everyone.  It's just he's been "invinceible" for so long that to see him deteoriate like that really shocked me.  This is a team on the downside.

This is a team on the downside.  Unfortunately .. I don't regret not putting them in the postseason and they've declined so rapidly that they can't even sniff the playoffs.  Even in that pathetic eastern confrence.

10) Atlanta Hawks - I really like this team but I just can't put them in the playoffs this year.  Joe Johnson is fantastic .. and the potential .. the players .. it's there.  They strike me as an Eastern version of Portland .. and I guess it's a coincidence I placed both them and Portland in 10th in their respective confrences.  Josh Smith is great as well .. and the two rookies were smart picks .. but I don't know how it will all come together.  I wouldn't be shocked if they made the postseason though .. and if things keep on the right path .. they should make it by next season.

I stand by that.  I hope they make the playoffs though.

11) Indiana Pacers - Speaking of how the once mighty have fallen.  I don't think the trade with Golden State killed them last year .. but they did take a raw deal.  Jermaine O'Neal is the only player on this team that would really scare me.  Other than that there's not much to them .. and O'Neal himself isn't guaranteed to play half a year with his past injury history.  Who knows what direction this team is going to go in.

I still stand by that.  I caught a lot of flack from Pacers fans for this pick too.  Other than hurricane .. none of them are anywhere to be found any longer.

12) Philadelphia 76ers - I like this team and want to think that they'll build upon how they did without Allen Iverson last year .. but I don't see that happening.  Andre Igoudala did great last year .. but I wonder if he'll be able to surpass that this year .. which he'll need to do to get this team in the playoffs.  Andre Miller is one of the best pure point guards in the league because of his passing ability .. but that's basically all he's got is his passing. 

I'm content with that.

13) New York Knicks - I don't like to put them so low but .. man I don't like the Randolph trade.  Now they have two carbon copies of basically the same player with Zack Randolph and Eddy Curry.  The only difference is Randolph can kind of pass out of the paint (and Curry can't pass at all) .. but who do they pass it out to?  Jamaal Crawford, Stephon Marbury, Quentin Richardson, and company are only streaky at best.  And though I want to be wrong here because I really like the guy .. I don't see how much Allan Houston can do for them.  And on a side note .. man how bad do the Jared Jeffries and Jerome James signings look?

I look like a genius with that pick.

14) Charlotte Bobcats - I keep wanting to move them up but just can't.  I actually am one of the few who liked the Jason Richardson deal because it gives them a player who can score now.  But losing Sean May (AGAIN) for the whole year hurts .. Okafor's not very dependable as far as staying on the court is concerned (fouls and injuries) and Raymond Felton is a good player but not a good shooter.  All that factors into another bitter season for them .. which will probably start frustrating the fans.

I still stand by that.  I do hope they make the playoffs though.

15) Milwaukee Bucks - I want to put them up here and I will probably get flack for putting them so low but the drafting of Yi Jianlin made no sense to me and I don't know how Maurice Williams will play now that he's got his contract.  On the flip side .. he did turn down Miami to stay here .. so maybe I'm making a mistake by questioning his drive.  Michael Redd is fantastic .. but he's a one trick pony.  He just shoots.  He's great at what he does .. but I think he's a tad overrated as far as his salary is concerned.

I still stand by that as well.  And then I made my playoff predictions in the East.

Playoff Predictions:
Cavs over Magic
Celtics over Raptors
Bulls over Pistons
Wizards over Nets

Wizards over Cavs
Bulls over Celtics

Wizards over Bulls

And then I have Suns over Wizards in the NBA finals.

I had a lot of people telling me the Bulls wouldn't beat the Pistons in a seven game series and they all were right.  I don't know what I was thinking with Suns and Wizards .. I now would take a safe pick and predict Spurs-Celtics in the NBA finals .. but overall I wasn't horrendously bad in my pre season predictions.  I had some foreshadowing in there and some bad decisions (Lakers, Pistons) .. but overall I thought it was OK.  It's always fun to look back and see what you got right and wrong though .. and I'm not as stupid as I sound sometimes haha.  Take them for what they are .. these are GoHornets21's preseason predictions revisited.

 
 
 
 
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