Posted on: March 2, 2009 9:16 pm
Edited on: March 2, 2009 9:22 pm
 

Conference Tournament Previews: Big South

I am going to preview every single conference tournament one by one. Instead of what I initially started I am going to do them all on separate blog entries because I feel like this will give everyone a chance to discuss these conference tournaments. It will give them a home where everyone can join in and post their thoughts. Please comment.

Big South Conference Tournament:

Quarterfinals
#2 VMI (March 3rd)
#7 Coastal Carolina

#3 Liberty (March 3rd)
#6 Gardner Webb

#1 Radford (March 3rd)
#8 High Point

#4 UNC Asheville (March 3rd)
#5 Winthrop

Semifinals:
VMI/Coastal Carolina Winner (March 5th)
Liberty/Gardner Webb Winner

Radford/High Point (March 5th)
UNC Asheville/Winthrop

Championship: March 7th


Prediction: Radford has been playing the best basketball, which is kind of obvious since they have the #1 seed. VMI is the #2 seed and is pretty experienced. Remember VMI knocked off Kentucky in the Wildcats season opener, sending shockwaves around the entire country. It's crazy how much things have changed. Last year Winthrop played UNC Asheville for the conference championship, and this year they meet in round one. My money is on VMI to win the tourney with their high scoring style of play.

 

 

 

Posted on: March 2, 2009 9:15 pm
Edited on: March 2, 2009 9:22 pm
 

Conference Tournament Previews: Atlantic Sun

I am going to preview every single conference tournament one by one. Instead of what I initially started I am going to do them all on separate blog entries because I feel like this will give everyone a chance to discuss these conference tournaments. It will give them a home where everyone can join in and post their thoughts. Please comment.

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament:

Quarterfinals
#4 Lipscomb (March 5th)
#5 Campbell

#3 Belmont (March 5th)
#6 Mercer

#2 East Tennessee State (March 4th)
#7 Stetson

Semifinals
#1 Jacksonville (March 6th)
Lipscomb/Campbell Winner

Belmont/Mercer Winner (March 6th)
Steston/East Tennessee State Winner

Championship: March 7th

Prediction: Usually these smaller conference tournaments can be a toss up. I really think three teams have a legit chance at being the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament champion. I had Belmont before the season, but both Jacksonville and East Tennessee State are playing extremely well. I wouldn't be surprised if either of those two teams win it. Yet even with that I have to go with Belmont in an upset.  Anything short of a NCAA Tournament appearance would be devastating to the Bruins.

 

 

Posted on: March 2, 2009 12:50 pm
 

Picks: Monday & Tuesday

Beer has requested that I combine today and tomorrow's picks again. Remember he's got the complete rundown on the tournament to be the pick national champion !

Monday  & Tuesday Picks

10-Texas over Baylor
9-Clemson over Virginia
8-Duke over Florida State
7-Eastern Kentucky over Morehead State
6-Ohio State over Iowa
5-Oklahoma State over Kansas State
4-Maryland over Wake Forest
3-Utah over New Mexico
2-Notre Dame over Villanova
1-Winthrop over NC-Asheville



And remember.......check these out:

Cool BRACKETOLOGY (Matchups, Regions, Complete Bracket, ETC): http://onlinesportsfanatic.com/2009
/03/01/nightly-bracketology-march-1
st/

SEEDINGS, 1-65 RANKINGS: http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/
entry/6539696/13841361

CONFERENCE TOURNEY PREVIEWS: http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/
entry/6539696/13833232

CBB FAN AWARDS (VOTING STILL OPEN): http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/
entry/6539696/13804501

BUBBLE WATCH (NEW EDITION SOON): http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/
entry/6539696/13827620

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Picks
 
Posted on: March 1, 2009 10:17 pm
 

Dantheman's Bracketology: March 1st

My new bracketology is finally out but before you check out the seedings below there's a few things you need to know. The first and most important thing is that this is JUST the seedings. The complete matchups, bracket, and regions are available here .

NOTE: The only difference between these seedings and my pairings is that I could not locate the North Dakota State logo here on CBS, so instead I used Oral Roberts for the seedings. It doesn't matter at this point because the auto bid has not been handed out for the Summit League just yet.

The Seedings: (The Bracket )

1 Seeds:

2 Seeds:

3 Seeds:

4 Seeds:

5 Seeds:

6 Seeds:

7 Seeds:

8 Seeds:

9 Seeds:

10 Seeds:

11 Seeds:

12 Seeds:

13 Seeds:

14 Seeds:

15 Seeds:

16 Seeds:

 

Ranking the Seeds 1-65 (My S-Curve):
1) Connecticut
2) North Carolina
3) Pittsburgh
4) Oklahoma
5) Louisville
6) Kansas
7) Memphis
8) Duke
9) Michigan State
10) Wake Forest
11) Washington
12) Villanova
13) Purdue
14) Missouri
15) Marquette
16) Xavier
17) Gonzaga
18) LSU
19) Arizona State
20) UCLA
21) Illinois
22) Florida State
23) Clemson
24) West Virginia
25) California
26) Utah
27) Butler
28) Texas
29) Syracuse
30) Boston College
31) Wisconsin
32) BYU
33) Ohio State
34) Tennessee
35) Miami (FL)
36) South Carolina
37) Dayton
38) Creighton
39) Arizona
40) UNLV
41) Oklahoma State
42) Kentucky
43) Michigan
44) Siena
45) Penn State
46) Virginia Tech
47) Davidson
48) San Diego State
49) VCU
50) Utah State
51) American
52) Western Kentucky
53) Buffalo
54) North Dakota State
55) Stephen F. Austin
56) Cornell
57) Robert Morris
58) Vermont
59) Jacksonville
60) Radford
61) UT-Martin
62) Weber State
63) Morgan State
64) CSU-Northridge
65) Alabama State

BUBBLE WATCH: My latest bubble watch is available here (being updated soon!)
CBB FAN AWARDS: Please continue to vote!
CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT PREVIEW: My take on five of the first conference tournaments!

And remember........the bracketology is available here!

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bracketology
 
Posted on: March 1, 2009 2:15 pm
Edited on: March 1, 2009 4:15 pm
 

Five Early Conference Tournament Previews

Finally conference tournaments are about to start in two days on March 3rd. This is very important because the winner receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament and has a chance to win the national championship. Therefore I will follow these games very intensely. It's a shame that the smaller conference tournaments do not receive a lot of attention. Fortunately for those who care they will here.

I am planning on previewing every single conference tournament. Since only five conferences have released their official bracket those are the only ones I am previewing at this point. Below you will find the Atlantic Sun, Big South, CAA, Horizon, and Patriot League brackets as well as a preview. There are 25 more conference tournaments on the way as well.

For more on the college basketball bubble please check out my bubble watch .

 


 

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament:

Quarterfinals
#4 Lipscomb (March 5th)
#5 Campbell

#3 Belmont (March 5th)
#6 Mercer

#2 East Tennessee State (March 4th)
#7 Stetson

Semifinals
#1 Jacksonville (March 6th)
Lipscomb/Campbell Winner

Belmont/Mercer Winner (March 6th)
Steston/East Tennessee State Winner

Championship: March 7th

Prediction: Usually these smaller conference tournaments can be a toss up. I really think three teams have a legit chance at being the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament champion. I had Belmont before the season, but both Jacksonville and East Tennessee State are playing extremely well. I wouldn't be surprised if either of those two teams win it. Yet even with that I have to go with Belmont in an upset.  Anything short of a NCAA Tournament appearance would be devastating to the Bruins.

 


 

Big South Conference Tournament:

Quarterfinals
#2 VMI (March 3rd)
#7 Coastal Carolina

#3 Liberty (March 3rd)
#6 Gardner Webb

#1 Radford (March 3rd)
#8 High Point

#4 UNC Asheville (March 3rd)
#5 Winthrop

Semifinals:
VMI/Coastal Carolina Winner (March 5th)
Liberty/Gardner Webb Winner

Radford/High Point (March 5th)
UNC Asheville/Winthrop

Championship: March 7th


Prediction: Radford has been playing the best basketball, which is kind of obvious since they have the #1 seed. VMI is the #2 seed and is pretty experienced. Remember VMI knocked off Kentucky in the Wildcats season opener, sending shockwaves around the entire country. It's crazy how much things have changed. Last year Winthrop played UNC Asheville for the conference championship, and this year they meet in round one. My money is on VMI to win the tourney with their high scoring style of play.

 


 

CAA Conference Tournament:

First Round:
#8 Georgia State (March 6th)
#9 Delaware State

#5 Hofstra (March 6th)
#12 UNC Wilmington

#7 James Madison (March 6th)
#10 William & Mary

#6 Drexel (March 6th)
#11 Townson

Quarterfinals
#1 VCU (March 7th)
Georgia State/Delaware State

#4 Old Dominion
Hofstra/UNC Wilmington

#2 George Mason
James Madison/William & Mary

#3 Northeastern
Drexel/Towson

Semifinals: March 8th

Championship: March 9th

Prediction: This league has three very good teams that must casual fans haven't had the chance to watch. Virgina Commonwealth, George Mason, and Northeastern can all win this tournament and all make a small run in the NCAA Tournament. It's hard to pick against the #1 seed in any conference tournament, and it's even harder to pick against an experienced team like VCU. Eric Maynor and the Rams are ready to get back to the NCAA Tournament.

 


 

Horizon League Conference Tournament:

First Round
#3 Cleveland State (March 3rd)
#10 Detroit

#6 Youngstown State (March 3rd)
#7 Illinois-Chicago

#4 Wright State (March 3rd)
#9 Valparaiso

#4 Loyola (March 3rd)
#5 Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Quarterfinals
Valparaiso/Wright State Winner (March 6th)
Loyola/Wisconsin-Milwaukee Winner

Cleveland State/Detroit
Youngstown State/Illinois-Chicago

Semifinals
Val/WSU/Loy/WM Winner (March 7th)
#1 Butler

Clev/Det/Young/ICU Winner (March 7fh)
#2 Wisconsin- Green Bay

Championship: March 10th

Prediction: Most casual college basketball fans don't realize it but there are actually two very good teams in the Horizon League. Everyone knows about Butler, and regardless what happens here they are going dancing. Wisconsin-Green Bay has to win the conference tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, but do not put it past them. I would not be surprised one bit if Green Bay pulls the upset and makes the Horizon League a two bid league. I'm going with Butler though.

 


 

Patriot League Conference Tournament

Quar terfinals:
#8 Lafayette (March 4th)
#1 American

#5 Lehigh (March 4th)
#4 Army

#7 Bucknell (March 4th)
#2 Holy Cross

#6 Colgate (March 4th)
#2 Navy

Semifinals:
Lafayette/American Winner (March 8th)
Lehigh/Army Winner

Bucknell/Holy Cross Winner (March 8th)
Colgate/Navy Winner

Championship: March 13th

Prediction: Last season the Patriot League was a battle between American and Navy all season. This year it looks like it could end up the same way. American won the regular season title and is my pick to win the conference tournament. One of the more interesting first round matchups has Bucknell taking on Holy Cross, two pretty big rivals in the league. Don't be surprised if there's a Cinderella run but put your money on American.

 

 

 

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 1, 2009 12:46 am
Edited on: March 1, 2009 12:53 am
 

Sunday Picks: Big Bubble Games

On Sunday there are a couple of big bubble games, inlcuding Florida-Tennessee. It has been scorched into our minds that these teams are tournament quality based on their name alone, but this season that is not true.

The Volunteers have been very disappointing this year, and while they are considered a lock by some they still need some wins. Florida has feasted on a weak schedule and is now at the danger point of their season. Losing both games to Tennessee would be really bad for the Gators.

Last time I designated a game as the top game of the day and gave it its own little space I flamed out. UAB lost to Memphis and my gutsy pick resulted in a loss. This time I'm hoping that doesn't happen.

With the Gators playing for their NCAA Tournament lives I think they finally get a decent win on Sunday in Gainesville. Expect Nick Calathes to play well (doesn't he always) and Erving Walker to be the difference maker for Florida. 


But I can't just leave this at one big bubble game, because there are actually two. Michigan-Wisconsin is really big for both teams, although it appears the Badgers would have a slight edge if the field was selection today.

The Wolverines have big wins over Duke and UCLA out of conference and also played soon to be #1 Connecticut to the wire earlier this year. The Badgers have survived a six game losing streak and now appear on their way back to the NCAA Tournament, as long as they can avoid a long losing streak to the end the season.

I expect Michigan to win behind a big day from Manny Harris, although the Wolverines will play at Wisconsin's tempo for most of the contest.


Sunday's Picks :

8-Maryland over North Carolina State
7-Syracuse over Cincinnati
6-Rhode Island over Duquense
5-Louisville over Marquette
4-Michigan State over Illinois
3-Missouri over Kansas
2-Michigan over Wisconsin
1-Florida over Tennessee

 

BUBBLE WATCH: I posted my bubble watch just before this.......please check it out if you can. It takes hours to complete.

BRACKETOLOGY: COMING TOMORROW!

BEER's BLOG : FOR ALL THE LATEST ON THE PICKS CHAMPIOSHIP!

CBB FAN AWARDS (PLEASE KEEP VOTING):
Player of the Year
Coach of the Year
Most Surprising Team
Most Disappointing Team
Most Improved Team
Most Improved Player
Game of the Year
Team You Don't Want In Your Bracket
Best Mid Major Team
1 Player, 5 Seconds Left: Who Gets the Shot?
Freshman of the Year
Performance of the Year

Upset of the Year

 

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Picks
 
Posted on: February 28, 2009 11:59 pm
Edited on: March 1, 2009 12:15 am
 

Bubble Watch: After Saturday's Games

There were a few big bubble winners on Saturday night and a few big bubble survivors. Survivors include Penn State, who trailed late to Big Ten bottom dweller Indiana before coming back to capture its ninth conference win.

A couple of bubble teams missed out on big chances to solidify at large berths. Virginia Tech missed a big chances to knock off Duke on its home floor, Arizona failed to knock off Washington the road, and Kentucky lost to LSU in Lexington to drop yet another SEC game. California also missed a very big opportunity to defeat UCLA at home with the world watching and College Gameday in apperance.

Florida State was the only team that moved into lock status after today's games. The Seminoles win over Clemson was enough to wrap up a NCAA Tournament profile. BYU landed a large win over Mountain West leading Utah, while New Mexico was able to survive a double overtime marathon against Colorado State. One other big winner on Saturday was Oklahoma State, who took advantage of an opportunity to knock off Texas in Stillwater. Georgetown stayed alive by knocking off Villanova in Philadelphia.

Bubble losers included Notre Dame, Arizona (as already mentioned), and Kentucky (also already mentioned). The Fighting Irish had a chance to knock off the soon to be #1 Connecticut Huskies but fell late in the game.

All of these games have helped make the bubble picture clearer in some places and murkier in others. Let's break it down mathematically.

At Large Spots: 34
Locks: 26
Locks (minus teams projected to win conference tournament): 26-7=19
At Large Spots Remaining: 34-19=15

My math shows that I am projecting that 15 at large spots remain .

I have 38 teams listed on the bubble below to fight for those spots. If your team isn't on the list below they probably need to win their conference tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, but it is possible that a few teams can still win their way onto the bubble.

Here's today's bubble watch:

ACC

Locks (5):



Boston College (20-9, 8-6): The Eagles have wins over Duke, Wake Forest, and North Carolina this season so it's going to be hard for the selection committee to leave Boston College out of the Big Dance. The last two are very winnable so a 10- 6 finish in conference play is very likely.

Remaning Schedule: N. C. State, Georgia Tech
Nice Wins: UAB, Duke, Wake Forest, North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: St. Louis, Harvard

Virginia Tech (17-11, 7-7): The Hokies have wins over Clemson & Wake Forest, but they haven't helped themselves lately outside of their road win over the Tigers. On Saturday the loss to Duke at home was costly because the Hokies had a chance to really solidify their resume.

Remaning Schedule: North Carolina, Florida State
Nice Wins: Boston College, Wake Forest, Clemson
Bad Losses: Georgia, Seton Hall

Maryland (17-10, 6-7): The Terps win over North Carolina was shocking, mainly because they had been blown out by good competition in most meetings this year. The victory tremendously helped Maryland because it brought wins they had early in the year over both Michigan and Michigan State back into the fray.

Remaning Schedule: N. C. State, Wake Forest, Virginia
Nice Wins: Michigan State, Michigan, North Carolina, Miami (FL)
Bad Losses: Morgan State

Miami FL (17-10, 6-8): The Hurricanes have played a lot of good teams this season, including Connecticut and Kentucky out of conference. The key is that their computer numbers are fantastic and they have two very winnable games remaining on their schedule against Georgia Tech & NC State.

Remaning Schedule: Georgia Tech, N. C. State
Nice Wins: Kentucky, Boston College, Maryland, Wake Forest, Boston College
Bad Losses: N. C. State

Big East

Locks (5):



Providence (17-11, 9-7): The Friars were really a forgotten bubble team before their huge win over #1 Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. Now the entire college basketball world is in shock and Providence is the talk of the bubble world. If Providence beats Rutgers (very likely) then they will have 10 Big East wins. That's important.

Remaining Schedule: Rutgers, Villanova
Nice Wins: Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Cincinnati (2),
Bad Losses: Northeastern, Baylor

Syracuse (20-8, 8-7): Orange fans are starting to feel uneasy after missing the NCAA Tiurnament the last two seasons, but let me do some re-assuring for just a second. I don't see how Syracuse can miss the Big Dance at this point unless they lose out. This is mainly for precausionary reasons.

Remaning Schedule: Cincinnati, Rutgers, Marquette
Nice Wins: Memphis, West Virginia, Kansas, Florida, Notre Dame
Bad Losses: Cleveland State,

West Virginia (19-9, 8-7): The Mountaineers great computer numbers have them within range to capture an at large bid (just like Syracuse). West Virginia's loss to Cincinnati on Thursday night wasn't exactly what they needed, but it didn't hurt them too bad just yet. Two of the last three are very winnable.

Remaning Schedule: South Florida, DePaul, Louisville
Nice Wins: Providence, Notre Dame, Ohio State
Bad Losses: None (did lose to Davidson & Kentucky though)

Cincinnati (18-10, 8-7): The Bearcats are looking for that gigantic win that pushes a resume over the top (like Providence over Pittsburgh). Beating West Virginia was nice but it wasn't the kind of win that gets you into the NCAA Tournament. Beating Syracuse on Sunday would probably do the trick.

Remaning Schedule: Syracuse, South Florida, Seton Hall
Nice Wins: UAB, UNLV, West Virginia, Georgetown
Bad Losses: None

Notre Dame (16-12, 7-9): Things are starting to look bleak again for the Fighting Irish. Coming into Saturday they had renewed hope after wins over Providence and Louisville had helped counter a seven game losing streak. Connecticut outlasted Notre Dame for the win on Saturday though, leaving ND's main hope relying on a 9-9 Big East record.

Remaning Schedule: Villanova, St. Johns
Nice Wins: Providence, Louisville, Georgetown, Texas
Bad Losses: St. Johns

Georgetown (15-12, 6-10): How many lives the do the Hoyas have? Every time they seem gone for dead they find a way to stay alive. On Saturday they knocked off Villanova to keep their chances of a miracle finish alive. Still wins over St. Johns and DePaul are absolutely necessary before a decent run in the Big East Tournament. The Hoyas have the #1 SOS.

Remaining Schedule: Villanova, St. Johns, DePaul
Nice Wins: Syracuse, Providence, Maryland, Memphis
Bad Losses: Seton Hall


Big Ten:

Locks (3):

 

Ohio State (18-9, 8-8): Ohio State has now lost four of five games to fall squarely back on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Winning out would give Ohio State a 10-8 Big Ten finish, which will probably be enough with the list of good wins they have. The problem is one of those games comes against pesky Northwestern, a team OSU has already lost to once.

Remaning Schedule: Iowa, Northwestern
Nice Wins: Penn State, Michigan, Purdue, Miami (FL), Notre Dame, Butler
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Penn State (20-9, 9-7); Whew! That's the sound of Penn State fans after their comeback to knock off Big Ten bottom dwellar Indiana. Another win over Indiana (hopefully not as ugly as last time) and a win over Indiana would give the Nittany Lions a total of 11 Big Ten wins. That certainly may do it.

Remaining Schedule: Illinois, Iowa
Nice Wins: Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan
Bad Losses: None (did lose to Rhode Island)

Wisconsin (17-10, 8-7): Wisconsin's resume reminds me a lot of Notre Dame's resume (except they lost six straight games compared to seven), but the Badgers have much better computer numbers. Before losing to Michigan State the Badgers have won five straight games to get back into relatively safe territory.

Remaning Schedule: Michigan, Minnesota, Indiana
Nice Wins: Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: Iowa

Minnesota (20-8, 8-8): The Golden Gophers appeared destined for an at large bid early in the season after a 18-3 start to the season that included a win over Louisville. Since then the Gophers are 2-5 with losses to Penn State & Michigan included.  The last two aren't easy but winning at least one is very necessary.

Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin, Michigan
Nice Wins: Louisville, Wisconsin, Penn State, Ohio State
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Michigan (18-11, 8-8): The Wolverines are up and down as evident by their wins over Duke & UCLA and losses to Maryland & Iowa. Still, how many teams have ever been left out of the NCAA Tournament when having wins over Duke and UCLA in the same season? I'm guessing it's a short list. Nine Big Ten wins might be enough.

Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin, Minnesota
Nice Wins: Purdue, Minnesota, Duke, UCLA, Illinois
Bad Losses: Iowa

 

Big 12

Locks (4):

 

Kansas State (20-9, 8-6): The Wildcats are quietly very alive in the bubble picture. Kansas State knocked off Nebraska on Saturday and moved farther towards an at large bid. The next two games against Oklahoma State and Colorado are going to be must wins for Kansas State to get an at large. The downside is they defeated nobody of importance outside of conference.

Remaining Schedule: Oklahoma State, Colorado
Nice Wins: Texas
Bad Losses: Baylor, Nebraska, Oregon, Iowa

Oklahoma State (19-9, 8-6): Finally the Cowboys won an eye opening game to back up their fantastic computer numbers. I'm not sure if Texas knows what hit them. The Cowboys have a huge bubble game against Kansas State next week before finishing with a chance to add a huge win to their resume versus rival Oklahoma.

Remaning Schedule : Kansas State, Oklahoma
Nice Wins: Siena, Nebraska, Texas A&M
Bad Losses: Texas A&M, Baylor

Texas A&M (21-8, 7-7): The Aggies seem like the forgotten team that just won't fade away. Texas A&M can't afford a slipup against Colorado before playing Big 12 monster Missouri. Winning out would make the committee think twice about leaving the Aggies out, especially with a split against Oklahoma State and a win over SEC champion LSU.

Remaining Schedule : Colorado, Missouri
Nice Wins: Nebraska, Oklahoma State, LSU
Bad Losses: Baylor, Kansas State

 

Pac 10

Locks (3):

 

California (21-8, 10-6): The Golden Bears missed a huge chance to lock up a bid on Saturday night against UCLA. The Bears have Arizona and Arizona State left on the schedule. A win in either game would probably be enough to lock up an at large bid. Even if Cal loses out it's going to be tough to deny them a bid with 10 conference wins.

Remaining Schedule : Arizona, Arizona State
Nice Wins: Washington (twice), Arizona, Utah, UNLV
Bad Losses: Oregon State (2)

Arizona (18-11, 8-8): Arizona has lost three straight games to Arizona State, Washington State, and Washington. A win over the Huskies on Saturday would've immensely improved their profile. Instead Arizona has to look at the plus side, which is two games remaining against mediocre conference foes. Wins over Gonzaga, Kansas, UCLA, and Washington are all nice.

Remaining Schedule : California, Stanford
Nice Wins: UCLA, Washington, Gonzaga, San Diego State, Kansas
Bad Losses: None (did lose to USC though)

USC (16-12, 7-9): USC's inconsistency has left the Trojans needing a deep run in the Pac Ten Tournament. Even winning their last two games will not be enough after losing to Stanford, which is inexcusable at this point in the season. Two wins and at least two more in the Pac Ten Tournament (maybe even reaching the Pac Ten finals) is needed.

Remaining Schedule : Oregon, Oregon State
Nice Wins: California, Arizona, Arizona State
Bad Losses: Oregon State, Seton Hall

 

SEC

Locks (1):

 

Tennessee (17-10, 8-5): A lot of people are calling the Volunteers locks, but things are not that simple in Knoxville. Games against Florida and South Carolina won't be easy with at large bids on the line. It's very possible that 9 SEC wins could be enough as long as they don't lose early in the SEC Tournament.

Remaining Schedule : Florida, South Carolina, Alabama
Nice Wins: Siena, Georgetown, South Carolina, Florida
Bad Losses: Auburn, Mississippi (also lost to Kentucky twice)

South Carolina (20-7, 9-5): I spent last night explaining how games against Vanderbilt and Georgia left South Carolina staring at 11 SEC wins at the minimum. Nobody expected Vanderbilt to whoop them, especially after South Carolina's murdered Kentucky on Wednesday. The profile is iffy now, even with wins over Florida and a sweep of Kentucky.

Remaining Schedule : Tennessee, Georgia
Nice Wins: Florida, Kentucky (2)
Bad Losses: Mississippi State, College of Charleston, Vanderbilt

Florida (21-7, 8-5): The Gators have feasted on a soft out of conference schedule and aside from beating Washington & South Carolina they have struggled to beat good teams. Florida missed chances to knock off both Syracuse, Kentucky, and LSU. Their remaining games against Tennesee and Kentucky are huge.

Remaining Schedule : Tennessee, Mississippi State, Kentucky
Nice Wins: Washington, South Carolina
Bad Losses: Georgia

Kentucky (19-10, 8-6: Well, well, well what do we have here? I really can't figure out if this is a team that wants to go to the Big Dance or a team that is okay being the first UK team since 1991 to miss the NCAA Tournament altogether. Back to back losses to South Carolina & LSU have left the Wildcats in big need of two wins to close their season.

Remaining Schedule: LSU, Georgia, Florida
Nice Wins: Tennessee (2), Florida
Bad Losses: Mississippi State, Mississippi

 

Mountain West

Locks (1):

BYU (22-6, 10-4): Another bubble team apparently wants to go dancing, and that team is BYU. The Cougars knocked off the only Mountain West team that was locked into the field, Utah on Saturday. Wyoming isn't an easy win but a win there paired with a win over Air Force would give BYU a 12-4 MWC record going into the MWC Tournament.

Remain ing Schedule: Wyoming, Air Force
Nice Wins: San Diego State, Utah
Bad Losses: None

New Mexico (19-10, 10-4):  Somehow the Lobos keep getting forgotten in all of this bubble talk although they are in a tie for second place in the conference. New Mexico came from behind to knock off Colorado State in double overtime, setting up a huge game with Utah.

Remaining Schedule: Colorado State, Utah, Wyoming
Nice Wins: BYU, UNLV
Bad Losses: UCF, Texas Tech, UTEP

San Diego State (19-8, 9-5): Knocking off TCU in overtime was really important for the Aztecs at large hopes. A win over Colorado State would set up a huge potential bubble elimination game between San Diego State & UNLV just a few nights before the start of the Mountain West Tournament.

Remaining Schedule : Colorado State, UNLV
Nice Wins: UNLV, Utah
Bad Losses: Wyoming

UNLV (20-8, 8-6): The Rebels have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country thsi year, but all is not lost. With four teams in the Mountain West with a chance to get to 10 conference wins (the maximum for UNLV) the Rebels probably need to win their remaning two and then at least one in the MWC Tournament to feel safe.

Remaining Schedule : Air Force, San Diego State
Nice Wins: Louisville, Utah, BYU, New Mexico
Bad Losses: Colorado State, Wyoming, TCU

 

Others:

Locks (4):

 

Dayton (24-5, 10-4):  The Flyers were in great shape before dropping back to back games to Saint Louis and Rhode Island. On Saturday their win over Temple got them back on track. If the Flyers can beat Xavier again this week then I don't see any way they get left out of the big dance.

Remaining Schedule : Xavier, Duquense
Nice Wins: Xavier, Marquette, Temple
Bad Losses: St. Louis, Charlotte, Massachusetts

Rhode Island (21-8, 10-4): The Rams just keep staying alive. Since starting the season 12-7 Rhode Island has won 9 of 10 games. The next two are very winnable (Duquense, Massachsetts) before the Atlantic Ten tournament. If they win their next two games they will avoid Xavier until the finals.

Remaining Schedule : Duquense, Massachusetts
Nice Wins: Dayton, Temple, Penn State
Bad Losses: Saint Josephs

Temple (17-11, 9-5): The Owls are probably going to need to win the Atlantic Ten Tournament to get into the Big Dance. The wins over Tennessee & Penn State look good on the resume but back to back losses to La Salle & Dayton have really affected their chances of getting an at large.

Remaining Schedule : Saint Josephs, George Washington
Nice Wins: Tennessee, Penn State
Bad Losses: Buffalo, Miami (OH), La Salle

UAB (20-9, 10-4): The Blazers really need to knock off Memphis to have any chance to get into the field, but that fell apart. They do have one more chance to knock off the Tigers, but it will likely be in the Conference USA Tournament final unless they fall to the #4 seed in the standings. In that scenario they'd meet the Tigers in the semifinals.

Remaining Schedule : East Carolina, UTEP, Marshall
Nice Wins: Arizona
Bad Losses: Tulsa, Houston

Siena (22-7, 15-2):  For all intensive purposes losing to Niagara on Friday night pretty much ruined the Saints at large hopes, along with losing to Rider earlier this week. Siena should plan on winning the MAAC Tournament to claim a NCAA Tournament bid, unless a lot of other bubble teams start to fall apart.

Remaining Schedule : Canisius
Nice Wins: Northern Iowa
Bad Losses: Rider, Niagara

Creighton (25-6, 14-4): The Blue Jays are making a huge run towards the Big Dance. After a 5-4 start in conference play Creighton has now taken the lead in the Missouri Valley by winning ten straight games. Beating George Mason in the bracketbuster game was pretty much the capping of a nice profile. If Creighton loses in the MVC final they have a compelling case for an at large.

Remaining Schedule : Illinois State
Nice Wins: George Mason, Northern Iowa, Dayton
Bad Losses: Illinois State, Drake

Davidson (24-6, 17-2): The Wildcats knew their game with Butler was probably for their at large hope lives, and they lost. Grabbing an at large bid would mean the Wildcats had lost three Socon games this year, which is not really an achievement after the way they've run through the conference in past years. Davidson better win the Socon.

Remaining Schedule : Georgia Southern, Elon
Nice Wins: West Virginia
Bad Losses: The Citadel, College of Charleston

St. Marys (23-5, 9-4): The Gaels case is going to be one of the more interesting on Selection Sunday. Will the committee cut them some slack because they lost Patty Mills in a game against Gonzaga where they were in control at halftime? Or will three losses (including one in the WCC Tourney) to the Zags be the doom of them?

Remaining Schedule : Loyola-Marymount
Nice Wins: Utah State, Portland
Bad Losses: Santa Clara, UTEP

Utah State (26-4, 13-2): The Aggies loss to St. Marys in the bracketbusters really killed their at large mojo, and following it up with a loss to Nevada didn't really help the situation any. I will leave Utah State on the list due to their decent RPI and guady record, but unless they lose an incredibly competitive WAC final I think anything short of an auto won't be enough.

Remaining Schedule: Nevada, San Jose State
Nice Wins: Utah
Bad Losses:
Boise State

 

 

 

Posted on: February 27, 2009 11:36 pm
Edited on: February 28, 2009 12:01 pm
 

Bubble Watch: Before Saturday's Games

I finally found some logos I like and amazingly in the same day I found time to start my bubble watch! This will be updated daily as the rest of the season plays out. On Saturday there are some monster bubble games including Georgetown-Villanova, Notre Dame-Connecticut, and Arizona-Washington where the Hoyas, Fighting Irish, and Wildcats fight for their bubble lives.

Which bubble teams can we really count on down the stretch?

It looked like Arizona was one of those teams before they fell to Washington State on Thursday night. Virginia Tech took advantage of a monster game against Clemson that added another large win to their profile. And UAB left a huge game against Memphis on the floor when their leading scorer Robert Vaden went 0-17 from the field.

That ladies and gentlemen leaves us with one very crazy bubble. Let's break it down mathematically.

At Large Spots: 34
Locks: 25
Locks (minus teams projected to win conference tournament): 25-7=18
At Large Spots Remaining: 34-18=16

My math shows that I am projecting that 16 at large spots remain .

I have 38 teams listed on the bubble below to fight for those spots. If your team isn't on the list below they probably need to win their conference tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, but it is possible that a few teams can still win their way onto the bubble.

Here's today's bubble watch:

ACC

Locks (4):


Florida State (21-7, 8-5): The Seminoles are in rare position for a bubble team, because they don't need quality wins. Instead they really just need wins to add to their profile. The closing stretch isn't easy but the Seminoles do have three chances to add a nice win to their already impressive resume before the ACC Tournament starts.

Remaning Schedule: Clemson, Duke, Virginia Tech
Nice Wins: Florida, California, Clemson, Maryland, Miami (FL), Virginia Tech, Cincinnati
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Boston College (20-9, 8-6): The Eagles have wins over Duke, Wake Forest, and North Carolina this season so it's going to be hard for the selection committee to leave Boston College out of the Big Dance. The last two are very winnable so a 10- 6 finish in conference play is very likely.

Remaning Schedule: N. C. State, Georgia Tech
Nice Wins: UAB, Duke, Wake Forest, North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: St. Louis, Harvard

Virginia Tech (17-10, 7-6): The Hokies have wins over Clemson & Wake Forest, but they haven't helped themselves lately outside of their road win over the Tigers. Before the win the Hokies had lost three straight games and had faded from safe territory to very bad shape.

Remaning Schedule: Duke, North Carolina, Florida State
Nice Wins: Boston College, Wake Forest, Clemson
Bad Losses: Georgia, Seton Hall

Maryland (17-10, 6-7): The Terps win over North Carolina was shocking, mainly because they had been blown out by good competition in most meetings this year. The victory tremendously helped Maryland because it brought wins they had early in the year over both Michigan and Michigan State back into the fray.

Remaning Schedule: N. C. State, Wake Forest, Virginia
Nice Wins: Michigan State, Michigan, North Carolina, Miami (FL)
Bad Losses: Morgan State

Miami FL (17-10, 6-8): The Hurricanes have played a lot of good teams this season, including Connecticut and Kentucky out of conference. The key is that their computer numbers are fantastic and they have two very winnable games remaining on their schedule against Georgia Tech & NC State.

Remaning Schedule: Georgia Tech, N. C. State
Nice Wins: Kentucky, Boston College, Maryland, Wake Forest, Boston College
Bad Losses: N. C. State

Big East

Locks (5):



Providence (17-11, 9-7): The Friars were really a forgotten bubble team before their huge win over #1 Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. Now the entire college basketball world is in shock and Providence is the talk of the bubble world. If Providence beats Rutgers (very likely) then they will have 10 Big East wins. That's important.

Remaining Schedule: Rutgers, Villanova
Nice Wins: Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Cincinnati (2),
Bad Losses: Northeastern, Baylor

Syracuse (20-8, 8-7): Orange fans are starting to feel uneasy after missing the NCAA Tiurnament the last two seasons, but let me do some re-assuring for just a second. I don't see how Syracuse can miss the Big Dance at this point unless they lose out. This is mainly for precausionary reasons.

Remaning Schedule: Cincinnati, Rutgers, Marquette
Nice Wins: Memphis, West Virginia, Kansas, Florida, Notre Dame
Bad Losses: Cleveland State,

West Virginia (19-9, 8-7): The Mountaineers great computer numbers have them within range to capture an at large bid (just like Syracuse). West Virginia's loss to Cincinnati on Thursday night wasn't exactly what they needed, but it didn't hurt them too bad just yet. Two of the last three are very winnable.

Remaning Schedule: South Florida, DePaul, Louisville
Nice Wins: Providence, Notre Dame, Ohio State
Bad Losses: None (did lose to Davidson & Kentucky though)

Cincinnati (18-10, 8-7): The Bearcats are looking for that gigantic win that pushes a resume over the top (like Providence over Pittsburgh). Beating West Virginia was nice but it wasn't the kind of win that gets you into the NCAA Tournament. Beating Syracuse on Sunday would probably do the trick.

Remaning Schedule: Syracuse, South Florida, Seton Hall
Nice Wins: UAB, UNLV, West Virginia, Georgetown
Bad Losses: None

Notre Dame (16-11, 7-8): The Fighting Irish have somehow survived their seven game losing streak. Since then they have wins over Louisville and Providence that have really turned their season around. The closing stretch isn't easy but a win over Connecticut on Saturday could mean a dance ticket in March.

Remaning Schedule: Connecticut, Villanova, St. Johns
Nice Wins: Providence, Louisville, Georgetown, Texas
Bad Losses: St. Johns

Georgetown (14-12, 5-10): The Hoyas are only on the bubble because of their great RPI and the fact that they've played the nation's hardest schedule. Still if Georgetown can knock off Villanova on Saturday then the final two games are very winnable. Is it possible that an 8-10 Big East record and a win in the Big East tournament could be enough?

Remaining Schedule: Villanova, St. Johns, DePaul
Nice Wins: Syracuse, Providence, Maryland, Memphis
Bad Losses: Seton Hall


Big Ten:

Locks (3):

 

Ohio State (18-8, 8-7): The Buckeyes appeared ahead back to the NCAA Tournament before a three game losing streak put them back on the bubble. Ohio State is still in really good shape at this point, especially after knocking off fellow bubbler Penn State in Columbus earlier this week.

Remaning Schedule: Purdue, Iowa, Northwestern
Nice Wins: Penn State, Michigan, Purdue, Miami (FL), Notre Dame, Butler
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Penn State (19-9, 8-7); The Nittany Lions season is one of streaks. They win a few in a row and always follow up a winning week with a losing week (or two). With Indiana, Illinois, and Iowa left it's time to start wondering whether 10 Big Ten wins would be enough. In most years it is, and this year it will look good come Selection Sunday.

Remaining Schedule: Indiana, Illinois, Iowa
Nice Wins: Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan
Bad Losses: Rhode Island

Wisconsin (17-10, 8-7): Wisconsin's resume reminds me a lot of Notre Dame's resume (except they lost six straight games compared to seven), but the Badgers have much better computer numbers. Before losing to Michigan State the Badgers have won five straight games to get back into relatively safe territory.

Remaning Schedule: Michigan, Minnesota, Indiana
Nice Wins: Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: Iowa

Minnesota (20-8, 8-8): The Golden Gophers appeared destined for an at large bid early in the season after a 18-3 start to the season that included a win over Louisville. Since then the Gophers are 2-5 with losses to Penn State & Michigan included.  The last two aren't easy but winning at least one is very necessary.

Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin, Michigan
Nice Wins: Louisville, Wisconsin, Penn State, Ohio State
Bad Losses: Northwestern

Michigan (18-11, 8-8): The Wolverines are up and down as evident by their wins over Duke & UCLA and losses to Maryland & Iowa. Still, how many teams have ever been left out of the NCAA Tournament when having wins over Duke and UCLA in the same season? I'm guessing it's a short list. Nine Big Ten wins might be enough.

Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin, Minnesota
Nice Wins: Purdue, Minnesota, Duke, UCLA, Illinois
Bad Losses: Iowa

 

Big 12

Locks (4):

 

Kansas State (19-9, 7-6): With three very winnable games remaining its not impossible for the Wildcats to get to 10 Big 12 wins. Their game with Nebraska is probably a bubble elimination game, as is their game with Oklahoma State right after that. The problem for Kansas State is they did nothing outside of the Big 12.

Remaining Schedule: Nebraska, Oklahoma State, Colorado
Nice Wins: Texas
Bad Losses: Baylor, Nebraska, Oregon, Iowa

Oklahoma State (18-9, 7-6): The Cowboys computer numbers are pretty high for a team that hasn't really defeated any NCAA Tournament bound teams. Four straight wins have revived their bubble hopes. Their three final games--Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma--will make or break their season.

Remaning Schedule : Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma
Nice Wins: Siena, Nebraska, Texas A&M
Bad Losses: Texas A&M, Baylor

Texas A&M (20-8, 6-7): The buzzer beating win over Nebraska knocks the Cornhuskers off of this list for now and revives the Aggies small at large hopes. Games against Iowa State and Colorado are very winnable before a potential game for their season against conference giant Missouri.

Remaining Schedule : Iowa State, Colorado, Missouri
Nice Wins: Nebraska, Oklahoma State, LSU
Bad Losses: Baylor, Kansas State

 

Pac 10

Locks (3):

 

California (21-7, 10-5): The Golden Bears are pretty much locked in at this point. The only reason they aren't under my locks section is because I'm not sure the committee would take a California team that goes 10-8 in conference play and finishes up with a loss in the Pac 10 Tournament. At this point they are in great shape though.

Remaining Schedule : UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State
Nice Wins: Washington (twice), Arizona, Utah, UNLV
Bad Losses: Oregon State (2)

Arizona (18-10, 8-7): The Wildcats appeared on their way back into the NCAA Tournament before losing to Washington State on Thursday night. Arizona had won seven straight games before dropping back to back games to Arizona State and Wazzou.  Winning two of three down the stretch will help their cause.

Remaining Schedule : Washington, California, Stanford
Nice Wins: UCLA, Washington, Gonzaga, San Diego State, Kansas
Bad Losses: None (did lose to USC though)

USC (16-11, 7-8): The Trojans have been very inconsistent, but luckily the last three are very winnable against Stanford, Oregon, and Oregon State. The problem is that they have a lot of bad losses-Oregon State, Seton Hall included--to match their big wins over California, Arizona, and Arizona State.

Remaining Schedule : Stanford, Oregon, Oregon State
Nice Wins: California, Arizona, Arizona State
Bad Losses: Oregon State, Seton Hall

 

SEC

Locks (1):

 

Tennessee (17-10, 8-5): A lot of people are calling the Volunteers locks, but things are not that simple in Knoxville. Games against Florida and South Carolina won't be easy with at large bids on the line. It's very possible that 9 SEC wins could be enough as long as they don't lose early in the SEC Tournament.

Remaining Schedule : Florida, South Carolina, Alabama
Nice Wins: Siena, Georgetown, South Carolina, Florida
Bad Losses: Auburn, Mississippi (also lost to Kentucky twice)

South Carolina (20-6, 9-4): The Gamecocks monster win over Kentucky on Wednesday night was extremely large for their NCAA Tournament hopes. South Carolina swept Kentucky and has a win over Florida at the buzzer. Games against Vanderbilt and Georgia make 11 SEC wins a very distinct possibility.

Remaining Schedule : Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Georgia
Nice Wins: Florida, Kentucky (2)
Bad Losses: Mississippi State, College of Charleston

Florida (21-7, 8-5): The Gators have feasted on a soft out of conference schedule and aside from beating Washington & South Carolina they have struggled to beat good teams. Florida missed chances to knock off both Syracuse, Kentucky, and LSU. Their remaining games against Tennesee and Kentucky are huge.

Remaining Schedule : Tennessee, Mississippi State, Kentucky
Nice Wins: Washington, South Carolina
Bad Losses: Georgia

Kentucky (19-9, 8-5): Kentucky's loss to South Carolina made their remaining games even more important. A loss to red hot LSU on Saturday would send them to 8-6 in the SEC with games against very beatable Georgia and SEC rival Florida remaining on the schedule.

Remaining Schedule: LSU, Georgia, Florida
Nice Wins: Tennessee (2), Florida
Bad Losses: Mississippi State, Mississippi

 

Mountain West

Locks (1):

BYU (21-6, 9-4): Other than Utah (which appears locked in) the Cougars appear to be in the best shape of the Mountain West bubble teams to claim an at large bid.  A win over those same Utes on Saturday will pretty much lock the Cougars in, barring a horrendous three game losing streak to end the season.

Remain ing Schedule: Utah, Wyoming, Air Force
Nice Wins: San Diego State
Bad Losses: None

New Mexico (18-10, 9-4):  Somehow the Lobos keep getting forgotten in all of this bubble talk although they are in a tie for second place in the conference. Two of their final three games are extremely winnable, and the other game is against Utah. A win there could really solidify their at large profile.

Remaining Schedule: Colorado State, Utah, Wyoming
Nice Wins: BYU, UNLV
Bad Losses: UCF, Texas Tech, UTEP

San Diego State (18-8, 9-5): If San Diego State wins their next two (TCU, Colorado State) then the Aztecs will play UNLV in a potential bubble elimination game right before the beginning of the Mountain West Tournament. Winning all three of their remaining games would get them to 12 conference wins. Is that enough? We shall see.

Remaining Schedule : TCU, Colorado State, UNLV
Nice Wins: UNLV, Utah
Bad Losses: Wyoming

UNLV (20-8, 8-6): The Rebels have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country thsi year, but all is not lost. With four teams in the Mountain West with a chance to get to 10 conference wins (the maximum for UNLV) the Rebels probably need to win their remaning two and then at least one in the MWC Tournament to feel safe.

Remaining Schedule : Air Force, San Diego State
Nice Wins: Louisville, Utah, BYU, New Mexico
Bad Losses: Colorado State, Wyoming, TCU

 

Others:

Locks (4):

 

Dayton (23-5, 9-4):  The Flyers were in great shape before dropping back to back games to Saint Louis and Rhode Island. Now they are back on the bubble and trying to secure a NCAA Tournament bid by winning three in a row, which would also include a sweep of rival Dayton.

Remaining Schedule : Temple, Xavier, Duquense
Nice Wins: Xavier, Marquette
Bad Losses: St. Louis, Charlotte, Massachusetts

Rhode Island (21-8, 10-4): The Rams just keep staying alive. Since starting the season 12-7 Rhode Island has won 9 of 10 games. The next two are very winnable (Duquense, Massachsetts) before the Atlantic Ten tournament. If they win their next two games they will avoid Xavier until the finals.

Remaining Schedule : Duquense, Massachusetts
Nice Wins: Dayton, Temple, Penn State
Bad Losses: Saint Josephs

Temple (17-10, 9-4): The Owls can thank their computer numbers for remaining on the bubble this long. Beating Dayton on Saturday would make a serious statement, and following that up with two straight wins would give the Owls 20 wins and a 12-4 conference record. Do not sleep on Temple.

Remaining Schedule : Dayton, Saint Josephs, George Washington
Nice Wins: Tennessee, Penn State
Bad Losses: Buffalo, Miami (OH), La Salle

UAB (19-9, 9-4): The Blazers really need to knock off Memphis to have any chance to get into the field, but that fell apart. They do have one more chance to knock off the Tigers, but it will likely be in the Conference USA Tournament final unless they fall to the #4 seed in the standings.

Remaining Schedule : East Carolina, UTEP, Marshall
Nice Wins: Arizona
Bad Losses: Tulsa, Houston

Siena (22-7, 15-2):  For all intensive purposes losing to Niagara on Friday night pretty much ruined the Saints at large hopes, along with losing to Rider earlier this week. Siena should plan on winning the MAAC Tournament to claim a NCAA Tournament bid, unless a lot of other bubble teams start to fall apart.

Remaining Schedule : Canisius
Nice Wins: Northern Iowa
Bad Losses: Rider, Niagara

Creighton (24-6, 13-4): The Blue Jays are making a huge run towards the Big Dance. After a 5-4 start in conference play Creighton has now taken the lead in the Missouri Valley by winning nine straight games. Beating George Mason in the bracketbuster game was pretty much the capping of a nice profile. If Creighton loses in the MVC final they have a compelling case for an at large.

Remaining Schedule : Illinois State
Nice Wins: George Mason, Northern Iowa, Dayton
Bad Losses: Illinois State, Drake

Davidson (23-6, 16-2): The Wildcats knew their game with Butler was probably for their at large hope lives, and they lost. Grabbing an at large bid would mean the Wildcats had lost three Socon games this year, which is not really an achievement the way they've run through the conference in past years. Davidson better win the Socon.

Remaining Schedule : Georgia Southern, Elon
Nice Wins: West Virginia
Bad Losses: The Citadel, College of Charleston

St. Marys (23-5, 9-4): The Gaels case is going to be one of the more interesting on Selection Sunday. Will the committee cut them some slack because they lost Patty Mills in a game against Gonzaga where they were in control at halftime? Or will three losses (including one in the WCC Tourney) to the Zags be the doom of them?

Remaining Schedule : Loyola-Marymount
Nice Wins: Utah State, Portland
Bad Losses: Santa Clara, UTEP

Utah State (26-3, 13-1): The Aggies loss to St. Marys in the bracketbusters really killed their at large mojo, although it's hard to see the committee leaving out a four loss team. The key is that Utah State's schedule is very weak. Other than an 18 games winning streak (when they did beat Utah) their overall resume is pretty weak.

Remaining Schedule: Nevada, San Jose State
Nice Wins: Utah
Bad Losses:
Boise State

 

Category: NCAAB
Tags: Bubble Watch
 
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com