Posted on: November 25, 2009 1:30 am
Edited on: November 25, 2009 1:35 am
Bracketology: Purdue is now a #1 seed, Cincinnati storms into the bracket
Tonight's Bracket (a little info): We have a new #1 seed in the daily bracketology as Purdue grabs a #1 following its victory over Tennessee. The Vols fall to a #2 seed for now. Cincinnati storms into the field after reaching the Maui Invitational Finals (where the Bearcats will meet Gonzaga). Wisconsin and Arizona, two teams that met last night, have been unimpressive in their two wins in Maui and dropped out of the field. Florida rises a spot for its impressive victory over Florida State. Vanderbilt drops the farthest in this addition in part due to their lackluster play versus Cincinnati (and even for the first half against Chaminade) and in part due to Florida’s win. The Gators take Vandy’s spot in the SEC pecking order at this point.
Purdue: The Boilermakers are now a #1 seed (in the South Region) after their win over Tennessee.
Cincinnati: The Bearcats have wins over Maryland and Vanderbilt on back to back days. A win over Gonzaga would help add to what appears to be an incredible out of conference resume for the Bearcats.
Florida: The Gators jumped out early on FSU, allowed a huge Seminoles run, and then finished off the game with a big run of their own. We will know more about Florida when they play Michigan State on Friday, but for now they rise one spot.
Arizona/Wisconsin: Many have described the Wildcats/Badgers game on Monday as "ugly" and "hard to watch". Neither team was extremely sharp. Arizona went on to be taken to overtime by Colorado (after leading by eight with :40 left) before pulling out a win. Wisconsin lost to Gonzaga in a game the Bulldogs controlled most of the way. Both teams are out of my bracket for now.
Vanderbilt: The Commodores fell mainly due to their loss to Cincinnati, but also because they did not impress me during their win over Chaminade. Florida's win moves them temporarily ahead in the SEC's "pecking" order for at large bids, but there's a whole league season left to be played to decide the true pecking order.
Every other move in today's edition is mainly due to other teams moving up/moving down. Teams do not have to be in action on a given night to move up or down. A lot of the movement is based on what other teams do around the country.
Opening the Mailbag....
I will begin answering questions each night for anyone that has a bracketology question. For now, I ask that you just post the questions here. I may answer it in a comment and still use it for this section of my blog. Who knows, I may not get any questions.
Posted on: November 21, 2009 2:12 am
Edited on: November 21, 2009 2:29 am
There weren't a lot of changes tonight, outside of Syracuse's early surge to the top two seed lines. The Orange now own wins over North Carolina, the favorites in the ACC, and California, the favorites (along with Washington) in the Pac 10. For now, that's good enough to vault them to a 2 seed. Two days ago I had them as an 8 seed.
There's weren't many other adjustments tonight though. Mississippi moves in after beating Kansas State and takes the Wildcats spot in the process. Vanderbilt's two point win over St. Mary's gets the Commodores a spot, clearly in the field as a 9 seed. Northern Iowa fell out after a loss to DePaul.
Every other change is mainly things I thought should've been done already. For example, I lowered UCLA to a 10 seed. Right now the Bruins look like an iffy NCAA Tournament team to me. I know that's hard to read, but I said it. If Kentucky can miss the NCAA Tournament, UCLA can. I don't think the Bruins will, but they just might the way their playing now.
Like always I welcome all questions/comments/opinions on my bracket.
Link: Tonight's Bracketology | Forum Discussion: Tonight's Bracketology
Posted on: November 20, 2009 11:22 pm
Edited on: November 21, 2009 2:35 am
Bruce Pearl has to love what's going on in Knoxville right now. His Volunteers are averaging 104. PPG and allowing just 56.3 a game after three blowouts to begin their season.
Tennessee has made 39 three pointers in three games, an average of 13.0 per game. That puts the Volunteers at fourth best in the country, based on the numbers coming into Friday night. The team numbers are a little skewed a little though. Red hot Scotty Hopson has made 14 of 18 (78%) three pointers this season and is averaging 22.0 PPG. When a player shoots like that, your team three point shooting is usually very high.
While Kansas, Michigan State, Texas, and Kentucky get the national headlines, Pearl's Volunteers are getting the job done better than any other team in the country. That's why the Vols moved up to a one seed in my latest bracketology, although it didn't go over well with the Kentucky faithful. Right now I have Tennessee as the favorites in the SEC and as the top seed in the South bracket.
With DePaul, #7 Purdue/Saint Josephs, Charleston, East TN State, Middle TN State, Wyoming, USC, NC A&T up next, it's very likely that Tennessee will go into the Memphis game on December 31st with a near perfect or perfect record and a top five ranking. Imagine that.
For now, it's clear Tennessee is one of the elite teams in the country. While others have had their scares, Tennessee continues to roll.
Edited: Had to add in the DePaul, Purdue/Saint Josephs matchups that aren't listed on the schedule.
Posted on: November 20, 2009 12:51 am
Edited on: November 20, 2009 12:53 am
LINK: Bracketology: Through November 19th's Games
Before tonight I had been only updating the records on my bracketology. I felt that was the only fair way to do it until each team had at least two or three games completed. Tonight, after three top 25 showdowns, I finally changed seedings and moved teams up/down based on the results thus far. From this point on, expect the bracketology to be updated nightly (like always).
Remember: I know we are only two weeks into the season, but a lot of people love this stuff all the time. They want to know where their team stands at all times. This bracketology is based on what has happened so far, along with preseason expectations. It won't be long before preseason expectations are factored out completely, but at this point they have to be included.
Here's some of the risers/fallers:
Tennessee Volunteers (2-0): The Vols move up due to a combination of their own stellar play, and Kentucky's lackluster defense so far. I now have Tennessee projected as the SEC champs and have given them the #1 seed in the South. The other three #1 seeds remain unchanged.
Dayton Flyers (2-0): Although many haven't noticed what Dayton has done so far (neither one of their wins was on TV), I have. Wins over Creighton and Georgia Tech has Dayton on the top five seed line. If you want to argue it, name another team with two wins that can compare to Dayton's.
Syracuse Orange (3-0): Syracuse crushed California tonight and moved up four seed lines in the process. I didn't see that win coming, especially after Syracuse's poor offensive play in its first two outings. Their reward is a 5 seed in my bracket.
North Carolina Tar Heels (4-0): North Carolina, like Syracuse, benefited from a win today over Ohio State. I expected the Buckeyes to win, but outside a big Ohio State run to finish off the game, the Tar Heels were in control. UNC, a team I thought was overrated in the preseason due to last season's title, is a #2 seed in tonight's bracket.
Memphis Tigers (1-1): Memphis fans, it's too early for me to say I was wrong (because were only two games into the season), but I think I was wrong about the Tigers. I've had them just out of all of my brackets until this update. How can I not put a team that took the nation's #1 team to the wire as a top 7 seed? I've adjusted, and due to their seeding (compared to Tulsa's) I have also made Memphis the projected Conference USA champs.
Gonzaga Bulldogs (1-1): Gonzaga fans, I think I might've been wrong on the Zags too. I did have Gonzaga in my field, but I had the Bulldogs as an 11 seed in the preseason. After taking #2 Michigan State to the brink, and leading most of the game, I have rewarded Gonzaga with a #8 seed.
Kentucky Wildcats (3-0): Kentucky is 3-0 and really, that's all that matters, but it hasn't been a pretty start. None of the three wins, Morehead State, Miami (OH), and Sam Houston State, have Wildcat fans pounding their chests in approval. The Wildcats three point defense has been awful and it will bite them if they don't fix it before better competition comes calling. For now, Kentucky falls to a 3 seed.
Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-1): I feel like I should probably move Mississippi State down a few more spots (their a 7 seed) due to their opening loss to Rider, but have hesitated to do so. At this point, preseason expectations are the main reason Mississippi State is still seeded where they are.
UCLA Bruins (1-1): The Bruins opening night loss to Cal State Fullerton had me banging my head on the wall. Why did I have UCLA as a 4 seed anyway? I thought everyone was overlooking them, but I see now that they should be overlooked. I moved the Bruins down to a 6 seed, but might even adjust to move them lower soon. Someone has to make the tournament from the Pac 10, outside Washington and California, right ?
NOTE: Most of the others teams that fell, fell because of lackluster play or another team moving up.
Posted on: November 17, 2009 12:42 am
Edited on: November 17, 2009 12:51 am
Wizardking and I started a new poll on OnlineSportsFanatic.com, that isn't based on any preseason polls. As he puts it:
If you’re expecting a regurgitation of the AP Poll here, I suggest you to any number of college basketball sites that will give you that. That’s not how we do it at OSF. No, at OSF, we don’t base our poll off of the preseason poll. Why? We don’t have one. These are the way the teams should be ranked according to our carefully formulated balance between results and potential. Barring an upset (which could happen) Kentucky (calm down, ‘Cat fans, you’re just an example) will be in the top 5 once again next week. It won’t matter if they turn it over 50 times and win by a total of five points against Sam Houston State and Rider. The AP and Coaches Polls will see Kentucky won twice, and see no reason to drop a team that is 4-0. The OSF T25D will see a young team struggling to find it’s footing, while others win impressively.
You see, those polls are based off of last week’s polls. Which are based off of last week’s polls. Which are based off of…you get the point. And where are all these polls coming from? The infamous Preseason Poll, which is entirely speculative in nature. At OSF, you’re rewarded for winning and doing it in impressive fashion. Not necessarily winning by 50, but by limiting turnovers, looking crisp on offense and playing tough defense. Between myself and fellow poll contributor Daniel Evans, no college basketball games fly off our radar. So rest at ease, little guys. If you put on a show and you’re in Division One, you’ll be noticed.
Our poll is unique in the sense that it includes 27 teams. The top 26 are who we feel are the best 26 teams in the nation-again, based on a combination of results and potential (primarily results). The 27th is our Flavor of the Week pick, the forgotten squad who performed well but won’t receive any AP Poll votes. We live in a world where small market teams are bamboozled by the BCS every year. While the college basketball landscape provides every team with a legitimate shot at the title a chance, the schools that perform very well in the opening weeks are shortchanged. The schools that start off high remain high, through lackluster performances, through close wins against bad teams and through contests that should be won handily-but aren’t.
What else does the T25D bring? How about comments from people who actually watch the teams they rank? Crazy, huh?
The top 5 in the poll are....1. Kansas (1-0): Just what the T25D likes to see, a top team taking care of business in its opener. Not only did the Jayhawks win by 46 in their opener, but they also turned it over only 12 times while shooting 40.7% from the three point line.
2. Michigan State (1-0): Tom Izzo may have found his big man of the future in a lambasting of Florida Gulf Coast. Freshman Derrick Nix totaled 11 points and 14 caroms in just 15 minutes of action. Up next, a pesky Gonzaga squad.
3. Texas (1-0): The Longhorns, like their Big 12 counterparts Kansas, put on a show against UC Irvine. The Anteaters shot just 27.4% against the stiff Texas defense. Something tells us, Mack Brown would be proud.
4. Purdue (1-0): The Boilers knocked off Northridge fairly easily despite having a whole bunch of foul calls leveled on them in rapid succession. A telling stat-Purdue connected on 30 shots from the field. 24 were assisted.
5. Ohio State (2-0): If you haven’t seen Evan Turner play, shame on you. Through two games he’s averaging 19.0 PPG, 17.0 RPG, and 7.0 APG. Through one week of the season, he’d be be the Player of the Year.You can see the rest here .
Latest Daily Bracketology : I haven't made any changes yet (probably going to wait until at least tomorrow's games to change teams seeds around), but you can check it out.
Tomorrow's Picks : At this point I'm still waiting on a few more lines, but will get them up in the morning.
Posted on: November 15, 2009 12:40 am
I was probably one of the few fortunate college basketball fans to see Creighton-Dayton on Saturday, since this weekend was dominated by college football on television. I found the game online and enjoyed the entire thing, as Dayton survived Creighton 90-80.
What did I see?
What I expected to see. Two future NCAA Tournament teams playing tough and making other mid majors around the country proud. Although Creighton played the better first half, Dayton was within striking distance to make a run in the second half. The Flyers did just that, thanks to 25 points from Chris Wright.
Honestly not much else happened on Saturday. After a Friday night filled with games featuring top ranked teams, and some surprising upsets (like Texas A&M Corpus Christi murdering Oregon State), Saturday was pretty quiet. I had Cornell beating Alabama , and they did in Tuscaloosa. Instead of going to that game I chose to watch games at home on my computer. That should tell you how good I expect 'Bama to be this year, although Anthony Grant will turn things around soon.
Texas A&M Corpus Christi did give Texas Tech all they wanted and more today, but the Red Raiders ended up winning with a late surge. Ranked teams were 6-0 on Saturday.
Picks Update: I had a comment about the "Road to the Final Beer", a picks competition we did last year here on CBS. I haven't had a chance to speak with Beer about it, so I'm not sure what the plan is for that this year. I am picking games on my site (OSF) nightly along with a few writers on my site (one of them is Wizardking). Here's my picks for tomorrow . Anyone that wants to pick along for fun in the comments section is welcome to do so, and if we get a few more people I will create a standings for each post.
Bracketology: This year my bracketology link will stay the same all year long. You can check out my bracket here all year long.
Posted on: November 12, 2009 5:58 pm
While Ohio State, Michigan State, California, and North Carolina take on powderpuffs to begin their seasons, real games are about to begin.
Not that anyone will notice.
Don’t worry, college football will still be the main story on your TV screen come Saturday. Non-college basketball fans will still be able to roll around in their fall college football, but there will be games that matter in March on the hardwood on Saturday.
For instance, Creighton-Dayton. I know most fans look forward to the Duke-North Carolina type battles between mammoth programs, but these are the games true fans really love. These teams will be fighting for national attention all year long, but won’t get it because they play in mid major conferences.
It’s too bad too, because, neither Creighton or Dayton play mid major basketball. Both teams should be in the NCAA Tournament this year. Unfortunately, this will be one of the games that helps decide that, but nobody will notice until Selection Sunday.
I will have more on this game later tonight/tomorrow (including a pick).
Latest Bracketology (Thru Wed. Night): http://www.onlinesportsfanatic.com/
Posted on: October 23, 2009 12:02 am
Somewhere in the middle of escorting the national championship trophy back to Lexington, Kentucky ran into a problem. Superstar freshman guard John Wall might be ineligible because his former AAU coach was a certifield agent.
Although some Kentucky fans will tell you that this season is already a "wrap", there's still a lot of issues to work out with the player that Gary Parrish has already called the Player of the Year. It might be true that Wall could be cleared soon, Kentucky could march to Indianapolis, win the national championship and celebrate like they've never won anything before.
In all seriousness, this is the last thing Kentucky fans wanted to hear. Despite the major recruiting class, John Calipari's hiring and off-court success, this season is a mission to get back to the elite level in college basketball. The NIT just doesn't cut it in Lexington, and many high profile magazines have already predicted the Wildcats will reach the Final Four this season.
Without Wall, the key piece to that Final Four run, things get a little shaky.
Dantheman's SEC Preview: Kentucky picked #1 in the SEC East ahead of Tennessee