Tag:Purdue
Posted on: August 31, 2011 11:14 pm
 

Week 1 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

The new season is less than 24 hours away. How freaking awesome is that?

And how awesome is it that CBSSports.com's Experts are now picking against the spread?!

It's about time, right? I agreed with many of your past complaints. "Yea, you guys are real experts. It's real tough to pick Florida over Western Carolina State A&M.

I'm all for picking against the spread, but a wise player knows you can't play every single game. You have to pick your spots. Unfortunately, I didn't do too well at that, going 19-23-1 last season.

But let's not forget my Underdog moneyline strategy during the bowl season was a positive 112.8 units.

This season I'll play along -- here on the message board -- with the 2011 experts, which feature some fresh faces, including new Senior Writer Brett McMurphy -- an excellent addition to the CBSSports.com team.

It will be interesting to see how many of the six experts break .500. I'm going to say none ... not when it comes to picking every Top-25 game.

I will include my top plays each week. Could be one, could be more, could be none. You have to pick your spots and I plan to beat that ugly 19-23-1 showing from 2010.

So on to Week 1.
First team listed is my pick

THURSDAY
UNLV +35.5 at No. 11 Wisconsin -- look for backdoor cover while UW plays third-stringers
-- Top handicap play here: Over of 56 -- I'm going to ride UW overs until it kills me this season

No. 20 Mississippi State -27.5 at Memphis -- notice all the experts like the Bulldogs -- that means guaranteed Memphis cover, right?

FRIDAY
At Baylor +5.5 vs. No. 14 TCU -- wouldn't surprise me if Baylor wins
Youngstown State +34.5 at No. 17 Michigan State

SATURDAY
At No. 1 Oklahoma -24.5 vs. Tulsa
Kent State +36.5 vs. No. 2 Alabama
No. 4 LSU -2.5 vs. No. 3 Oregon (at Arlington) -- Rut roh, looks like I'm the only LSU backer here
No. 19 Georgia +3.5 vs. No. 5 Boise State (At Atlanta)
La.-Monroe +29.5 at No. 6 Florida State

San Jose State +28.5 at No. 7 Stanford
At No. 9 Oklahoma State -37.5 vs. La.-Lafayette
At No. 10 Nebraska -35.5 vs. Chattanooga
East Carolina +20.5 vs. No. 12 South Carolina (At Charlotte)
At No. 13 Virginia Tech -25.5 vs. Appalachian State

Missouri State +40.5 at No. 15 Arkansas
At No. 16 Notre Dame -10.5 vs. South Florida
At No. 18 Ohio State -33.5 vs. Akron
At No. 21 Missouri -16.5 vs. Miami (Ohio)
Florida Atlantic +34.5 at No. 22 Florida

Utah State +21.5 at No. 23 Auburn
Minnesota +21.5 at No. 25 USC

SUNDAY
At No. 8 Texas A&M -15.5 vs. SMU
Marshall +20.5 at No. 24 West Virginia

----------------

TOP HANDICAP PLAYS
Thursday: OVER 56 UNLV at No. 11 Wisconsin
Saturday: Middle Tennessee +17.5 at Purdue
Monday:  At Maryland +5.5 vs. Miami

Posted on: November 18, 2010 12:06 pm
Edited on: November 18, 2010 12:24 pm
 

Week 12 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

Wow. I just keep getting worse. I went 14-10 last week. I'm completely embarrassed.

This drops my overall record to 189-61, falling two more games behind Chip Patterson among the Expert Pickers.

Overall standings: Chip 193-57, Darst 192-58, me 189-61, Adam 186-64, Dodd 183-67 & Horowitz 180-70. I'd like to point out Jay went 20-5 for the week.

I lost on Georgia (to Auburn), Arizona State (to Stanford), Iowa (to Northwestern), Utah (to Notre Dame), Florida (to South Carolina), Baylor (to Texas A&M) UCF (to Southern Miss), Rutgers (to Syracuse) & Ga. Tech (to Miami).

I’m running out of time to successfully defend my title.

As for the big game for me & my Buckeye friends, I just don't see how the Buckeyes win in Iowa City. If the Hawkeyes realize they can run the ball up the middle, our Bucks are in trouble.

Ohio State hasn't had to face too many power teams and when it did, the Bucks had trouble (See Wisconsin & Penn State's first half). I hope I'm wrong, but I have to pick Iowa.

Now to Week 12

THURSDAY
No. 10 Alabama over Georgia State

FRIDAY
No. 3 Boise State over Fresno State

SATURDAY
No. 5 LSU over Mississippi (Take the 16 points)
No. 6 Wisconsin over Michigan
No. 7 Stanford over California
No. 21 Iowa 27, No. 8 Ohio State 24 (Take the 3 points)
No. 18 Texas A&M 30, No. 9 Nebraska 28

No. 11 Michigan State over Purdue (Play over of 48)
No. 12 Oklahoma State over Kansas
No. 13 Arkansas 33, No. 22 Mississippi State 23
No. 24 Miami 28, No. 14 Virginia Tech 27
No. 15 Missouri over Iowa State

No. 16 Oklahoma over Baylor
No. 17 South Carolina over Troy
No. 19 Nevada over New Mexico State (Play over of 61½)
Oregon State over No. 20 Southern Cal
No. 25 Utah over San Diego State (Lay the 2½)

Pittsburgh over South Florida
Northwestern over Illinois
Florida State over Maryland

WEEK 11 HANDICAPPING (1-6)
I said play the over of 63 in Boise State 54, Idaho 12, but the line, which opened at 61½, closed at 67½, so I won't count it as a win or loss.

Losses: Laying the points in TCU 40, San Diego State 35 (closed at 28); Taking the points in LSU 51, La.-Monroe 0 (closed at 33); Over of 61 in Nebraska 20, Kansas 3 (closed at 60); Taking Baylor (+3) in Texas A&M 42, Baylor 30; Taking the points (Ga. Tech +3) in Miami 35, Ga. Tech 10 (ouch!).

Also said take Rutgers (+3) in Syracuse 13, Rutgers 10. It closed at 2.5. My conscious says to count as a loss, so I will.


My one win: Over of 68½ in Nevada 35, Fresno State 34

This unfortunately makes me 14-18 for the season after going 2-10 the past two weeks.

Obviously, time to turn it around. 

Posted on: November 3, 2010 10:58 pm
Edited on: November 3, 2010 11:02 pm
 

Week 10 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 16-5 in Week 9, but it will go down as 15-5 since the experts didn't pick last Tuesday's obvious Boise State win over La. Tech.

That makes me 160-44 on the season. I'm now three games back of Chip Patterson, who went 17-3.

Overall standings:  Chip 163-41, me 160-44, Darst 158-46, Jacobi 157-47, Dodd 153-51 & Horowitz 147-57.

I lost on USC (to Oregon), FSU (to N.C. State), Miami (to Virginia), Texas (to Baylor) and Georgia (to Florida).

Now to Week 10's picks

THURSDAY
No. 20 Virginia Tech over Georgia Tech

SATURDAY
No. 1 Oregon over Washington
No. 2 Boise State over Hawaii
No. 3 Auburn over Chattanooga (Total joke of scheduling)
No. 6 Utah 20, No. 4 TCU 17 (Play the under of 52)
No. 5 Alabama 24, No. 12 LSU 16

No. 7 Wisconsin over Purdue
No. 9 Nebraska over Iowa State
No. 10 Stanford 35, No. 13 Arizona 27
No. 11 Oklahoma over Texas A&M (Lay the 3 points – the line should be 10-plus)
No. 14 Missouri over Texas Tech (Lay the 4 points)

No. 15 Iowa over Indiana
No. 16 Michigan State over Minnesota
South Carolina 31, No. 17 Arkansas 27
No. 19 Oklahoma State 38, No. 22 Baylor 33 (Play the under of 73)
Clemson over No. 23 N.C. State

No. 24 Florida State over North Carolina (Take the 10½ points)
No. 25 Nevada over Idaho

Michigan over Illinois
Air Force over Army
Texas over Kansas State

WEEK 9 HANDICAPPING (0-1)
I suggested the over in Nebraska 31, Missouri 17 (closed at 55½).
Sorry. Can't win 'em all ... but notice, I have five suggestions with the big play on the Sooners.

Posted on: October 21, 2010 3:02 am
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Posted on: October 21, 2010 2:53 am
 

Week 8 picks by JR -- the Real Expert

Wow, did I get my butt kicked in Week 7. I apologize for posting such garbage on here this past week. I went 14-10 – and this was picking games straight up! Uggggh. I guess we’re all allowed to have a bad week, but this was just brutal.

The 14-10 showing makes me 128-34 on the season. The so-called experts are led by Darst, Dodd & Chip at 127-33.

I need to get back on track, so on to Week 8.

THURSDAY
No. 1 Oregon 41, UCLA 23

SATURDAY
No. 3 Oklahoma 33, No. 18 Missouri 28
No. 4 TCU over Air Force
No. 5 Auburn 32, No. 6 LSU 27
No. 7 Alabama over Tennessee
Northwestern over No. 8 Michigan State (Play the over of 53)

No. 9 Utah over Colorado State
No. 13 Iowa 27, No. 10 Wisconsin 20
No. 11 Ohio State over Purdue (Lay the 23.5)
No. 12 Stanford over Washington State (Play the over of 63.5)
No. 14 Nebraska 45, No. 17 Oklahoma State 40 (Play the over of 60)

No. 15 Arizona over Washington
No. 19 South Carolina over Vanderbilt
No. 20 West Virginia over Syracuse
No. 21 Arkansas over Mississippi
No. 22 Texas over Iowa State

No. 23 Virginia Tech over Duke
No. 24 Mississippi State over UAB
No. 25 Miami over North Carolina

Clemson over Georgia Tech
Texas Tech over Colorado
Georgia over Kentucky

WEEK 7 RECAP (14-10)
Losses  on Ohio State (to Wisconsin; yea, I predicted OSU 33-16. Ouch!), Nebraska (to Texas), South Carolina (to Kentucky), Nevada (to Hawaii), Texas Tech (to Oklahoma State), Texas A&M (to Mizzou),  Florida (to Mississippi State), Air Force (to San Diego State), N.C. State (to East Carolina) & Syracuse (to Pitt)

Handicapping: I was 1-2 on my strong plays; I was correct on the over (closed at 54.5) in Iowa 38, Michigan 28, but missed on the over (closed at 48.5) on TCU 31, BYU 3 & was wrong on taking Florida -9.5 in a 10-7 loss to Mississippi State.

In my small plays, I went 1-1, liking the under (closed at 75.5) in Hawaii 27, Nevada 21 & suggesting the over (closed at 50) in Purdue (28-17).

So I even sucked here after nailing six in a row over the previous two weeks.

Posted on: October 14, 2010 6:37 pm
 

Week 7 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

Yep, I picked South Carolina last week. I was off on the score – I said 20-17 – but I still nailed it when calling for the No. 1 team in the country to go down.

None of the so-called experts had South Carolina winning. This must be why they kicked me, the defending champion, out of their club. They were sick and tired of me embarrassing them every week. Did Dennis Dodd really pick Kansas State last week? KSU lost to Nebraska 48-13. Ouch!

Stick to reporting Dennis. Avoid the predictions, will ya?

However, I did drop the ball on Arizona (to Oregon State), Florida (to LSU), Miami (to FSU), Michigan (to MSU) and my upset call of Texas A&M (to Arkansas).

So I went 17-5 in Week 6, making me 114-24 on the year. That leave me in second all alone, one game back of Facts & Rumors blogger Chip Patterson, who had an impressive 18-4 showing, beating me on my A&M pick with Arkansas and my Michigan pick with MSU.

Now to Week 7

THURSDAY
No. 25 West Virginia over South Florida

SATURDAY
No. 1 Ohio State 33, No. 18 Wisconsin 16
No. 3 Boise State over San Jose State
No. 4 TCU over BYU (play the over of 48.5)
No. 5 Nebraska 31, Texas 17
No. 6 Oklahoma over Iowa State

No. 7 Auburn 28, No. 12 Arkansas 27
No. 8 Alabama over Mississippi
No. 9 LSU over McNeese State (this is just wrong, playing a team like this in October)
No. 10 South Carolina over Kentucky
No. 11 Utah over Wyoming

No. 13 Michigan State over Illinois
No. 15 Iowa over Michigan (I like the over of 53.5)
No. 15 Florida State over Boston College
No. 17 Arizona over Washington State
No. 19 Nevada over Hawaii (a small play on the under of 74)

Texas Tech over No. 20 Oklahoma State
Texas A&M over No. 21 Missouri
No. 22  Florida over Mississippi State (lay the 7.5)
No. 23 Air Force over San Diego State
Washington over No. 24 Oregon State

N.C. State over East Carolina
Syracuse over Pittsburgh
USC over Cal

MORE HANDICAPPING
I like (just a little) Minnesota-Purdue over of 51

WEEK 6 RECAP (17-5)
Losses mentioned in lead-in graphs, but for handicapping purposes, I went 1-0, suggesting to take the 22 points in Minnesota-Wisconsin. That puts me on a six-game win streak!!!!

 
 
 
 
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