Tag:Edwin Encarnacion
Posted on: July 31, 2008 5:23 pm

State of the Outfield: Bruce and some ideas

The past few years, the Reds were absolutely STACKED in the outfield. We couldn't get rid of them fast enough. Wily Mo, Hopper, Freel, Dunn, Griffey, Chris Denorfia, Kearns, Hamilton, Hairston, Bruce coming down the chute, and those are just the good ones. If only we could get some pitching, our team would be great. Now, we've got the pitching coming around, and the outfield consists of...Dunn, Bruce, Hairston, Patterson. Woah. Now, consider that Patterson's average is worse than several pitchers, Dunn (at least common sense would sya so) won't be a Red next season and Hairston has a lifetime .260 average, and we look screwed out there. So what do we do? Hopper and Freel will PROBABLY be back next season, but Freel has never been good as a starter and Hopper isn't proven. Drew Stubbs could be good, but he's still at High A, and if Bruce is any indication we aren't going to let that kid play in the majors till he's batting .600. I still say that we trade/sign Alex Rios, although I don't know if we'll be able to But here's one interesting suggestion I heard a little while back that we CAN do. Move Votto, who has played outfield before in high school and possibly in the early minors, to left field and move Edwin to first. Votto has always been noted as a good athelete with an above avearge arm for a first basemen. Dunn was NOT noted for his athleticism or his arm, and he played left for us for several years. Even at worst, Votto can cover more ground than Dunn could out there. The move for Edwin to first also eliminates Edwin having to THROW to first, which is where almost all of his errors come from. This will allow Edwin to give up the attempt to shore up his arm and just focus on what he's still on the team for: his hitting. Of course, now we'd need a new infielder, but we have more of those internally, and this solution also improves the fielding. If Dunn stays, we woulnd't do this move, but we'd also be less desperate for an outfielder. Maybe its too radical for some, but I think that the pieces are falling in place for it to be given a shot.

Posted on: May 16, 2008 2:29 pm
Edited on: May 16, 2008 2:30 pm

Edwin in the 3 hole? Crazy, but why not?

This idea is a little risky for some, and practically blasphemy for others. Batting Edwin Encarnacion, the essence of inconsistancy, third instead of Griffey, he of the 597 home runs. But if you look past first impressions, there are some interesting stats that support it. Check out these stats from Edwin's first two full years in the majors, 2006 and 2007 (2006 first/2007 second)

  1. Normal average: .276/.289
  2. Bases empty: .230/.258
  3. With Runners on: .325/.325
  4. RISP: .306/.360
  5. Base Loaded: .467/.471

Thats a MAJOR difference when Edwin's in an RBI situation, its consistantly been that way over two seasons, and his stats improved the next year. Hitting well with RISP should be the #1 thing for a 3-hole hitter, and Edwin does it better than most. It also allows you to get the most out of a player. If these stats stay true, giving Edwin more RBI situations and less bases-empty ones would raise his average, maximizing his value for our team. Now look at Griffey's same stats over the past 3 seasons.

  1. Normal average: .277/.252/.301
  2. Bases empty: .276/.266/.302
  3. With Runners on: .278/.235/.300
  4. RISP: .244/.216/.263
  5. Bases Loaded: .300/.333/.375

His average actually has gone DOWN at least 30 points with RISP every season, and only with the bases loaded does his average consistantly jump. Again, if these stats hold true, giving Griffey less RBI situations shouldn't hurt his average at all, and POSSIBLY help it. Baseball is all about getting the most out of what you have, and all the stats say that moving Edwin to the 3-hole and dropping Griffey down a bit would make a big improvement to the Reds.

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