Last week went pretty well for my prediction, I predicted Allmendinger would do good, and he did better than what I though, and I said that most won't finish 3 out of their bracket, teir 1 ended just there for me, with a 5,6,7, and of course, a 1 finish, but this is the week that really counts, and now, the pwr rankings!
1.) Kyle Busch Not his best week at California, but when 7th is a bad week, then you are extremely good, this guy knows his way around this track more than any other, with a staggering 5.6 avg. finish, but no wins, how is this possible, how about 3 2nds, 2 4ths, a 5th, and then a not so great 20th, but still, with those kind of results, and with him being the best this season, and a 2nd in the spring, a top 5 maybe underrating him.
2.) Clint Bowyer The goal of everyone was to get far enough away from Bowyer before this race so that they could have enough of a gap, unfortunately for the other 2, he is 12th now, and at his best track by far, at this track, has an avg. of 8.8, and what is his worst finish here, 12th! Keep in mind he also won in the spring, if Ragan or Kahne want in the chase, they need to hope Bowyer or some other driver crashes early...
3.) Denny Hamlin This guy will also clinch easily this week, with a 3rd for momentum, 2nd for best finish, and 24th for worse, although it was in the spring, he had really bad luck then, and now he is back on is game, I expect him to get back to prime form for the chase.
4.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Short track great right now, he and we all remember what happened here right? RIGHT!!!? Well anyway, with that, should have been a 2nd, he has a win here and 11.5 avg. finish, it should be higher, and true, he is not as good as he was back then, but this is like his home track, I think he wil pull off something really nice here.
5.) Kevin Harvick He is on a roll, now 7th in the standings, and in time for a great track of his, after his roll of 4,4,8,6,4 this season, he is nothing short of Kyle status except for a win, and I think he might be able to get the win here, but I don't know, he has a win here, 8th in the spring, and avg. finish of 11.8 puts him in a good chair.
6.) Ryan Newman Aside from Daytona, this is the only track where he is still pretty good, getting a 6th in the spring, 10.7 avg. finish still, a win here, he is one who can show a top 10 here unlike any other track this season.
7.) Mark Martin 6,8,11,17 and 10 for last 5 finishes in the cup, this guy is a great, and he will want to show himself to HMS, now, as for Martin, he has a 2nd and 12.0 avg. finish, maybe we can see Martin finally get a win here, and he got a 3rd in the spring.
8.) David Ragan 13th in the spring, but he is on a roll right now, with a 13, 10, and 3, he could get a top 10 again to at least try to make the chase, he got a 3rd here for best finish, but a 17,3, and 20, I'm going to guess that the fall race will be kinder to him now and in the future.
9.) Matt Kenseth 5, 9,5,12,11, he is great right now, and coming to a good track of his, now remember he was horrible earlier in the season, so he got a 38th here for his worst finish, but he has a win and 15.6 avg. finish, I think he will be top 10 yet again to make the chase.
10.) Tony Stewart Before California he was on a roll, now I am afraid to give him the true pos. he deserves, but it is possible, a win, 10.9 avg finish after 19 races, he can race here, but will his season allow him to finish above that avg.?
11.) Kasey Kahne He won here, 10th in the spring, 8th at Cali, he could do good, but I tend to doubt it, he is either good or bad, and I will say he does pretty good, but he will choke like he did before to not make the chase, and btw, avg. finish is only 17.3
12.) Jeff Burton He got an 11th in the spring, and that was during his roll, still though, RCR is very dominant here, and maybe he can follow Bowyer for once, his avg. is 15.6 with a win, who knows what he can do?
13.) Carl Edwards I'm probably going to kill myself for saying people like Jimmie and Carl will finish this low, but they are already in the chase, they don't have much left to fight for, this guy got his best finish here, a 6th, in the spring, and with an 18.9 avg finish, watch out before you pick this guy this week.
14.) Jimmie Johnson Same precaution goes to Jimmie, he won here, but 18.8 avg. finish here, ewwww.... and for a driver of his status, he got 30th in the spring, and 1st place momentum will only be able to bring that up, only if he is really lucky will he be able to challenge for the win again, true he did sweep in 07, but in 04 he got a 2nd, other than that, he has no other top 10s here.
15.) Greg Biffle He has a 2nd for momentum, and 14th in the spring, I maybe underrating this guy, but with a 3rd for best finish and 15.8 avg. finish, I don't know if he will be able to compete with others who will be trying their hearts out to make the chase, while this guy clinches if he shows up.
16.) Bobby LaBonte Not good recently, but I think he can shoot for a top 20 this week, has a 2nd here, 15.6 avg. finish for 10th overall, I think he will show that Petty can race now and then.
17.) Jeff Gordon At this position, he will still clinch, but I would watch out, I think this guy is the guy who might drop out of the chase, after all, he won here, but a 17.8 avg. finish, a much less than avg. season this season, but a 9th in the spring to redeem him for a top 20 finish, still though, this guy could go under... watch Jeff closely, but he will likely need to crash to go out fo the chase.
18.) Martin Truex Jr. 5th in the spring and 15 in this event last year, he could go up there, but don't count on it... avg. finish is 25.8
19.) Kurt Busch He won here, but he is less reliable than any other driver this season, and he is other than the win bad here, I mean when Ward Burton has a better avg. finish than him, and he is worse this season, watch out is the least I can say, 42nd in the spring , but 4 of 15 top 10s, he isn't the best for reliability, avg. finish, 19.7
20.) Brian Vickers This guy is horrible at this track, he won't stand a chance of going anywhere near the top unlike California, he has an 8th for best finish and 28.4 avg. finish.... oh boy....
Other Drivers of Watch:
Reed Sorenson- with a 20.4 avg. finish could he actually do something... also a 12th in the spring
Sam Hornish Jr.- has a 23rd here, could he improve on that finish?
Dave Blaney- he has a 4th here, and he was on a top 10 roll earlier in the season, you never know... top 20 in spring avg. is 24.2 though
A.J. Allmendinger- not the best at this track, but after next week, he at least deserves a mention
Travis Kvapl- Top 20 in the spring, even a better finish before, an 11th, and 20.8 avg. finish, maybe.