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Category:Auto Racing
Posted on: September 1, 2008 10:46 am
Edited on: September 1, 2008 7:25 pm
 

Prediction for Richmond, Now or Never

Last week went pretty well for my prediction, I predicted Allmendinger would do good, and he did better than what I though, and I said that most won't finish 3 out of their bracket, teir 1 ended just there for me, with a 5,6,7, and of course, a 1 finish, but this is the week that really counts, and now, the pwr rankings!

1.) Kyle Busch Kyle Busch Not his best week at California, but when 7th is a bad week, then you are extremely good, this guy knows his way around this track more than any other, with a staggering 5.6 avg. finish, but no wins, how is this possible, how about 3 2nds, 2 4ths, a 5th, and then a not so great 20th, but still, with those kind of results, and with him being the best this season, and a 2nd in the spring, a top 5 maybe underrating him.

2.) Clint Bowyer Clint Bowyer The goal of everyone was to get far enough away from Bowyer before this race so that they could have enough of a gap, unfortunately for the other 2, he is 12th now, and at his best track by far, at this track, has an avg. of 8.8, and what is his worst finish here, 12th! Keep in mind he also won in the spring, if Ragan or Kahne want in the chase, they need to hope Bowyer or some other driver crashes early...

3.) Denny Hamlin Denny Hamlin This guy will also clinch easily this week, with a 3rd for momentum, 2nd for best finish, and 24th for worse, although it was in the spring, he had really bad luck then, and now he is back on is game, I expect him to get back to prime form for the chase.

4.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Short track great right now, he and we all remember what happened here right? RIGHT!!!? Well anyway, with that, should have been a 2nd, he has a win here and 11.5 avg. finish, it should be higher, and true, he is not as good as he was back then, but this is like his home track, I think he wil pull off something really nice here.

5.) Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick He is on a roll, now 7th in the standings, and in time for a great track of his, after his roll of 4,4,8,6,4 this season, he is nothing short of Kyle status except for a win, and I think he might be able to get the win here, but I don't know, he has a win here, 8th in the spring, and avg. finish of 11.8 puts him in a good chair.

6.) Ryan Newman Ryan Newman Aside from Daytona, this is the only track where he is still pretty good, getting a 6th in the spring, 10.7 avg. finish still, a win here, he is one who can show a top 10 here unlike any other track this season.

7.) Mark MartinMark Martin 6,8,11,17 and 10 for last 5 finishes in the cup, this guy is a great, and he will want to show himself to HMS, now, as for Martin, he has a 2nd and 12.0 avg. finish, maybe we can see Martin finally get a win here, and he got a 3rd in the spring.

8.) David Ragan David Ragan 13th in the spring, but he is on a roll right now, with a 13, 10, and 3, he could get a top 10 again to at least try to make the chase, he got a 3rd here for best finish, but a 17,3, and 20, I'm going to guess that the fall race will be kinder to him now and in the future.

9.) Matt Kenseth Matt Kenseth 5, 9,5,12,11, he is great right now, and coming to a good track of his, now remember he was horrible earlier in the season, so he got a 38th here for his worst finish, but he has a win and 15.6 avg. finish, I think he will be top 10 yet again to make the chase.

10.) Tony Stewart Tony Stewart Before California he was on a roll, now I am afraid to give him the true pos. he deserves, but it is possible, a win, 10.9 avg finish after 19 races, he can race here, but will his season allow him to finish above that avg.?

11.)  Kasey Kahne Kasey Kahne He won here, 10th in the spring, 8th at Cali, he could do good, but I tend to doubt it, he is either good or bad, and I will say he does pretty good, but he will choke like he did before to not make the chase, and btw, avg. finish is only 17.3

12.) Jeff Burton Jeff Burton He got an 11th in the spring, and that was during his roll, still though, RCR is very dominant here, and maybe he can follow Bowyer for once, his avg. is 15.6 with a win, who knows what he can do?

13.) Carl Edwards Carl Edwards I'm probably going to kill myself for saying people like Jimmie and Carl will finish this low, but they are already in the chase, they don't have much left to fight for, this guy got his best finish here, a 6th, in the spring, and with an 18.9 avg finish, watch out before you pick this guy this week.

14.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie Johnson Same precaution goes to Jimmie, he won here, but 18.8 avg. finish here, ewwww.... and for a driver of his status, he got 30th in the spring, and 1st place momentum will only be able to bring that up, only if he is really lucky will he be able to challenge for the win again, true he did sweep in 07, but in 04 he got a 2nd, other than that, he has no other top 10s here.

15.) Greg Biffle Greg Biffle He has a 2nd for momentum, and 14th in the spring, I maybe underrating this guy, but with a 3rd for best finish and 15.8 avg. finish, I don't know if he will be able to compete with others who will be trying their hearts out to make the chase, while this guy clinches if he shows up.

16.) Bobby LaBonte Bobby Labonte Not good recently, but I think he can shoot for a top 20 this week, has a 2nd here, 15.6 avg. finish for 10th overall, I think he will show that Petty can race now and then.

17.) Jeff Gordon Jeff Gordon At this position, he will still clinch, but I would watch out, I think this guy is the guy who might drop out of the chase, after all, he won here, but a 17.8 avg. finish, a much less than avg. season this season, but a 9th in the spring to redeem him for a top 20 finish, still though, this guy could go under... watch Jeff closely, but he will likely need to crash to go out fo the chase.

18.) Martin Truex Jr. Martin Truex Jr. 5th in the spring and 15 in this event last year, he could go up there, but don't count on it... avg. finish is 25.8

19.) Kurt Busch Kurt Busch He won here, but he is less reliable than any other driver this season, and he is other than the win bad here, I mean when Ward Burton has a better avg. finish than him, and he is worse this season, watch out is the least I can say, 42nd in the spring , but 4 of 15 top 10s, he isn't the best for reliability, avg. finish, 19.7

20.) Brian Vickers Brian Vickers This guy is horrible at this track, he won't stand a chance of going anywhere near the top unlike California, he has an 8th for best finish and 28.4 avg. finish.... oh boy....

Other Drivers of Watch:

Reed Sorenson- with a 20.4 avg. finish could he actually do something... also a 12th in the spring

Sam Hornish Jr.- has a 23rd here, could he improve on that finish?

Dave Blaney- he has a 4th here, and he was on a top 10 roll earlier in the season, you never know... top 20 in spring avg. is 24.2 though

A.J. Allmendinger- not the best at this track, but after next week, he at least deserves a mention

Travis Kvapl- Top 20 in the spring, even a better finish before, an 11th, and 20.8 avg. finish, maybe.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: August 27, 2008 5:14 pm
Edited on: August 27, 2008 7:09 pm
 

Prediction for California, Rest in Peace

The reason why I gave it the title Rest in Peace is 1. It's in Dani California by Red Hot Chili Peppers, that's where I got the saying, 2. This year, California can't be a locker race for who gets in the chase, so it won't have to do any deciding this year like in 04.... anyway, to the predictions!!! (by the way, I know it is called Auto Club Speedway now, but I will take that into full account next year)

Tier 1

1.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie Johnson Wait, Carl Edwards or Kyle Busch not picked to win, your crazy, well, that maybe true, and I may regret it later, but this guy won 2 races this year, and other than that crash, he has been on a roll right below Edwards and Kyle, but he excells at this track, winning 2 times, including the night race last year, getting 2nd 4 times, including the spring race this year, and a 3rd, but 7 top 3 finishes out of 11, can you say, RELIABLE, but wait, there's more!!! He also has never finished below 16th in 11 starts, that did happen twice, but still, he is WAY more reliable than any other driver out there at this track, look for him to win. Avg. 6.4

2.) Carl EdwardsCarl Edwards His last 5 finishes have been 1st, 9th, 2nd, 1st, and 1st, this year, so he is on a HUGE  roll, in addition, won in the spring, and in 8 starts, has 6 of 8 top 5s to show, the other 2 finishes were 6th, so right outside the top 5, then a 29th where he had problems, ending 3 laps down, this guy knows this track slightly less than Johnson, but he does have much more momentum, so he or Johnson will win, it will be very close. avg finish, 6.8

3.) Kyle Busch Kyle Busch Not as jaw dropping as Edwards or Johnson, but will still make your mouth wide open, he has 6-8 top 10s, the other 2 finishes were a 23rd and 24th, he has a night race win back in 05, and finished 4th this year, so this guy could very well win as well, as if their momentum wasn't enough, their record will certainly make them shine. avg. 10.3

4.) Matt Kenseth Matt Kenseth He's the last guy who could be competition for the win, the others maybe, but not nearly a spark of what these others guys hold, avg. of 9.9, 5th in the spring, and other than that, look at his last few finishes here... 7,1,7,1,7... Hey! I'm starting to notice something here... the only problem is that all those 1sts are in the spring, and the 7ths for the night race, that hurts him a little bit, but still, great record here with 9-13 top 10s


 

Tier 2

5.) Now I won't be as descriptive for these guys, there are many levels for this track though 5 is, Jeff Gordon Jeff Gordon I honestly think that HMS will be putting all their work into Gordon since the other 2 pretty much made the chase, he also has a momentum swing at Bristol, he has a win and avg. finish of 11.3, and 3rd in the spring, he could pop up for a top 5 finish.

6.) Kasey Kahne Kasey Kahne 2 40ths in a row after having great momentum, this guy might get back on his game given the chance, he will also be racing hard to make the chase, has a win, avg. finish of 13.7, and 9th in the spring.

7.) Clint BowyerClint Bowyer 7th at Bristol, why not here too, has a 3rd for best finish in 5 starts, and not one below 20th, although he got a 19th in the spring, he also has a 6th, 3rd, and 14th, so he might only be top 15 material, but his 3rd was in the night race, I believe this guy will fight.

8.) David Ragan David Ragan Well, now all I need is Denny for a full house of guys struggling to make the chase, unfortunately Denny is further back, but in 3 starts, Ragan has 12th through 16th, and his other finish, you guessed it, 14th, so he is around top 15 material, but he will be fighting very hard for the chase, and will ride up with his roll he is on right now for his first top 10.

9.) Tony Stewart Tony Stewart Here he is either top 20 or doomed, he is good here, with a 4th only for best finish, not quite like Tony, and him not in the shootout will bring down morale, and moving teams, but he does have good finishes recently, so he has momentum, got a 7th in the spring, and from fall 05 to now, has been top 10-15 material (except for 1 crash) so top 10 is very believeable. avg. is 16.0

10.) Jeff Burton Jeff Burton He is not himself lately, but I believe he can get back on his feet, 2nd for best finish and for his last 5 finishes, 12, 4,4, 16, 5, so he is good at the night and day, good recently at this track, so a top 10 is very reasonable. avg. finish 15.8


Tier 3

11.) Jaime Mcmurray Jamie McMurray 12, 10, 16, 9 and 6 his last few races, getting some of his steam back for a good track of his, at this place, he has top 15 finishes all the way from 2003-2006 (spring), but since then, he lost it, not getting in the top 15 once, and got a 22nd in the spring race, but with redemption on his side, and with one of the 4 being a crash, could he go for a top 15 again? avg. finish 13.7

12.) Brian Vickers Brian Vickers 11th in the spring, 3rd for best finish, I might be underrating this guy, but he is not longera  chase contender, so I think he will drop a bit, keep in mind he got a 20th too last week, but the 3rd was in the fall, so you never know with his breakout season. avg. finish 17.1

13.) Martin Truex Jr. Martin Truex Jr. Truex says, watch me win...  no way, but he does have a 6th here, guess where that was, this season, in his horrible season, he got his best finish here, he might be able to bull it off again, but I doubt it, avg. finish is 17.4

14.) Denny Hamlin Denny Hamlin Well... I can't avoid him forever can I, has a 6th for best finish just like Truex, 5 starts, just like Truex, a 41st worst finish to Truex's 42nd, and Denny has a 17.8 avg. finish to his 17.4, pretty equal, but Truex has a slight edge, especially since he got his best finish this spring, Hamlin's was the 06 night race though, and with his 3rd place at Bristol, could make a nice finish, I just tend to doubt it.

15.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. This guy is either hot or dead here, because of that, I will only rank him here, quite honestly with his variety I can't decide where to put him, 21.6 avg. finish guys, he does have 3 top 5s, and 2 at the last 3 night course, so that gives him hope, but I will pop up this guy's finishes, from most recent to beginning, 40, 5, 40, 2, 11, 38, 32, 34, 19, 6, 36, 3, 12... so lets see, 6 of 13 finishes under 30th, but all the others are top 20s, so he will either finish below 30th or finish probably better than here, honestly though, don't take the risk...

16.) Kurt Busch Kurt Busch Statistically he is a great driver here, but for Busch, statistics don't help much this year, he has a 15th at a track he domianted at, at this track he has an avg. finish of 11.4 and a 1st, and a 13th in the spring, so stats show that he shouldn't go this low, but his season overall says otherwise.

17.) Greg Biffle Greg Biffle 2005 was his only highlight season here, getting a win and a 2nd, other than that, has a 19.6 avg. finish, why? because other than that, he has 3 other top 15s, 2 of the 3 were recently though, 1 in the spring, so if we are lucky, he will show us a spark.

18.) Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick 6th for best finish, but 19.1 for avg. finish, ouch.but he is very good recently, and got an 8th in the spring, but his only other top 10s here came in 05 and 04, and they were both for the spring race, he has a14th for his best night finish, which was last year, so he could get top 15, but that's about it...

19.) A.J. Allmendinger A.J. Allmendinger only 1 finish here, an 18th in the spring, and that wasn't on his roll, I might be underrating this guy, watch this guy closely...

20.) Ryan Newman Ryan Newman He has a 3rd here, but only an 18.6 avg. finish, never mind he is having a worse season than most excluding Daytona, 10th in the spring, but his shine time was in 05 and 04, these last few years obviously took a toll on many drivers at this track...

Other Drivers of Watch

David Gilliland, got a 17th in the spring, but for his best finish here, you never know, but don't count on it

Aric Almirola, only a 31st, but after Bristol, could that give him momentum?

Bobby LaBonte has a 2nd here, and around 18th avg. finish, and with his season and being with Petty, don't expect him to get very high up there...

Elliot Sadler- He won here, but guess where that was!!!? That's right, 05, also good in 04, but other than that, has 2 top 20s to show after 14 starts, so don't expect to see anything jaw dropping.

Sam Hornish Jr.- 1 finish for a 43rd, so we really don't know what this guy can do, only time will tell.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: August 17, 2008 8:19 pm
 

Predictions for Bristol, the Small Bank

1.) Kyle BuschKyle Busch This guy does nothing but win, get a top 5, or crash trying to, at Michigan he did horrible in the spring and his past record, but he proved us wrong with a 2nd place finish, now we are going to a trac where he won before, and not this season, he got a 17th before, 2 laps down due to a problem, but did lead for some time, avg. finish of 14.0 for 6th makes him a good choice.

2.) Carl Edwards Carl Edwards Wow, 2 wins and 2 2nd places, all within 4-6 races, give this guy some credit, has a major momentum shift, and next to RIR (at least for now with the CoT) Roush does the best here, he has a win here and avg. finish of 15.4 for 8th, watch this guy to be with Kyle Busch, just in the opposite order.

3.) Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick with 4 of 5 top 8 finishes, he is just getting a bigger and bigger cushion to be in the chase, just as I predicted he would, had great tracks for him ahead, and still has, at this track, one of the only 2 with an avg. finish below 10.0 (9.9) he won here, and knows how do get around here, oh, and he got 2nd in the RIR domination.

4.) Greg BiffleGreg Biffle Just got a top 5 for momentum, and has the highest avg. finish here (9.7) he also would have won in the spring if no RIR drivers existed, no win, but 3rd for best finish, and with a 22nd for worst after 11 races, he know how to stay out of trouble.

5.) Dale Earnart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Only 23rd at MIS, but he loves short tracks, almost won at Richmond, we all remember that... put that aside, finished 5th in the spring and has one of his few wins here, with his good season, watch him to be up toward the front.

6.) Matt Kenseth Matt Kenseth Hey, 5th at MIS, we all saw a good finish, but everyone likes momentum, has a win, and avg. finish of 12.4 after 17 starts, including crashes, he is always a threat here, and 10th in the spring, he can run up in the top 10 very easily.

7.) Jeff BurtonJeff Burton Won here earlier, but he was a lot better, still, with RIR dominance here, watch him for the top and to pull off some redemption, got an 11th at MIS, and he is much better at this track with an avg. finish of 15.9, so this guy for a top 10.

8.) Clint Bowyer Clint Bowyer He hasn't been doing good recently, but we all expected it, he had a lot of horrible tracks for him to come, but like last year, this is where he shines, and maybe he can get back in the chase and surprise us all with a 3rd place again. Has a 3rd best place, from the spring, and avg. finish of 16.2, its RIR vs. Roush in a brawl at this track.

9.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie Johnson He is a threat everywhere now, like Kyle Busch, he got a 3rd for best finish, but came back from a lap down this race to get back and stay on the lead lap, just to spin out at track's end, with avg. finish of 16.2, this guy is a threat.

10.) Tony Stewart Tony Stewart 1st here before, but 12th last week, and 14th earlier this year, to be the last car on the lead lap, still, he is getting better, and a top 10 is in his alley, his avg. finish is 16.8 to be 15th (this included Slerling Marlin, who has the 9th to best avg. finish)

11.) Kasey Kahne Kasey Kahne Very consistent, unfontunately went out last week, and he was struggling, but finished 7th at Bristol earlier, 2nd for his best finish, I maybe underrating this guy, so watch him. His avg. is only 18.6 though.

12.) Jaime McMurray Jamie McMurray 16,6,9,10, that's over the last 4 races, he finished dead last in the spring, obviosly due to an accident, but he went back out and finish, other than that, has a 3rd here, 20.1 avg. finish with that 43rd, so not bad, and he has momentum, so watch him to go up there, the dark horse, and probably less of a risk than Bowyer, but Bowyer will do better if he can avoid trouble.

Mark Martin... Mark Martinoh darn, he's not racing... moving on...

13.) Master of Disguise (Elliot Sadler) Elliott Sadler Darn, I can't add a moustashe, well, anyway, has a 9th to bounce off of, finished 19th before, but he actually won here, where esle has he won, not many other places, he has been a consistent top 20 driver recently, and he only has a 22.4 avg. finish, but I am putting my trust into this guy.

14.) Jeff Gordon Jeff Gordon He just keeps on going and going and going....... backwards!!! He got an 11th in the spring, and he would be lower, but there is not much I can put in his way, he is just horrible now.

15.) Kurt Busch Kurt Busch He is getting worse and worse like Gordon, he was 10th, then BAM, out, he is good at this track, won last year, but he is a good driver, he needs to follow Newman out of Penske, him in Stewart/ HAAS would he nice, and I'm sure Newman would like his partner back, and Stewart, since they were rivals that made up, and he is an experienced driver, but enough of my moving ranting, got a 12th in the spring, so he showed signs of hope, but still horrible this season overall, one of his few top 15s, and he might get another if he is lucky, avg. finish is 14.3

16.) Ryan Newman Ryan Newman He never won here, but got a 2nd, avg. finish of 21.2 only though, this guy won't be much of a threat.

17.) Denny Hamlin Denny Hamlin He got 6th in the spring for his best finish, after he should have won, but he is horrible now and crashed again, he even said, "We shouldn't even be in the chase", is that a sign that he is giving up? avg. finish of 16.6, but shouldn't be that great.

18.) Aric Almirola Aric Almirola (R) He ran here last year, and got a 36th, but ran again and got an 8th, this year to give him hope, now he could build it up again, I doubt it, but better than other drivers to choose. He could be a surprise and get a top 10, we will have to wait and see though, maybe he just needs some 500 laps of experience on a track before he starts running well on it.

19.) David Reutimann David Reutimann He got a 20th here in the spring, for his only finish, but after a 14th at MIS, he stands a shot of going up there, sigh, if only McDowell could do this good.

20.) Brian VickersBrian Vickers He had problems in the spring race for a 39th, he only has a 12th for best finish, but he is better this season, and riding off a 7th finish, he could be a top 20 or even top 15, his avg. finish is only 26.4 though.

Other Drivers to Watch

Bobby LaBonte- He got a 3rd here, but has been a disappointment lately, this guy won't go too far I don't think, Petty Enterprises broke him.

Juan Pablo Montoya- got a 15th in the spring, but he was a lap down, the only one, so he really didn't need to do much but avoid trouble to stay here, still, could be a surprise.

Martin Truex Jr.- Only and 11th for best finish, after 5 races, 23.4 avg. finish, he has a 16th at a great track for him, he doesn't have it at all this season.

David Ragan- He only has a 21st for best finish, but hey, he is a Roush driver.... could that help...

David Gilliland- Got a 9th for best finish in the spring this year, still avg. of 30.0 after 4 tracks otherwise, trouble follows him here, but if it doesn't, he could show something.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: August 13, 2008 3:55 pm
Edited on: August 16, 2008 8:06 am
 

Prediction for Michigan

1.) Carl EdwardsCarl Edwards 2 seconds and a win recently as said by Edwardsfan, and at this track expect another win, he has a win here, hot this season, and an avg. finish of 7.3, better than anywhere else, got a 7th earlier this year, so watch him closely, plus he's birthday boy, and maybe that will bring him good luck?

2.) Matt Kenseth Matt Kenseth Still pretty hot, though losing it, he should make it back up here, where he has a great record, 3rd last race, and 9.3 avg. finish after 18 races, and a win, so he knows his way around here.

3.) Kasey KahneKasey Kahne not worse than 15th since New Hampshire, and got a win here, 13.8 avg. finish, look for this guy to regain his lowe's dominance, though a bit of a risk. 2nd earlier this year

4.)Tony Stewart Tony Stewart back to back runner up finishes put him here, has a win and avg. finish of 12.5. 5th earlier this year.

5.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. This is where he got his win earlier, and you can't think that momentum will ride him to a great finish, lets just hope he makes a good pit call and not a bad one like at the Glen. avg. 16.3

6.) Greg Biffle Greg Biffle This guy won here, one of the few tracks where he is good at, but earlier got a 20th, now he is near chase elimination, and at a great track, will move ahead when it counts.

7.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie Johnson 4 straight top 7s, so I have to put him at least here, maybe he is underrated, avg. finish of 14.2, but no wins here, a 3rd is nice though, and got a 6th earlier, so he is a guy to watch.

8.) Brian Vickers Brian Vickers He got 4th here in the spring for his best finish here, with his season, he could be a threat here to get back up toward the chase, though its pretty much a lost cause now, avg. finish 18.4, I moved this guy up after qualifying, I mean wow, there was like, a .300 from 2nd to about 25th or something like that, but this guy goes and gets .300 ahead of 2nd Jimmie Johnson, I can't rate him above Johnson, but this guy could go for the win.

9.) Martin Truex Jr. Martin Truex Jr. 5th at the Glen for momentum, this guy is great at this track, probably his track of choice (besides maybe one other that escapes my mind), though he doesn't have a win here, he does have a 2nd with an avg. finish of 13.4.

10.) Denny Hamlin Denny Hamlin a good track for him, after 5 races, has 2 14ths (one earlier this year) a 12th, 9th, and 5th, with all this combined, but with him not being in top shape, he could go for a top 10, but a top 15 is almost a lock.

11.) Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick 3 of 4 races top 6 as said my Edwards, still, he is barely hanging on in the chase, so he isn't the best, still has a 2nd here, 15.7 avg. finish and 12th earlier this year, right around here sound good for Harvick.

 

12.) Jeff Gordon Jeff Gordon This guy is just so down this season that I can't rank him high until I see a top 3 again, he is not reliable, and he will either race a top 15, or be way down in the field, I need to see improvement from Gordon, he also finished 18th in the summer. avg. finish, 12.4

13.) Kyle Busch Kyle Busch He got 13th in the spring race, and this is not one of hist strong suits, 6th for his best finish, and 19.6 avg. finish which puts him 23rd overall, he is not a good choice at this track, if he wins here, then I will put Kyle Busch as the winner for every track until the chase.

14.) Mark Martin Mark Martin avg. finish of 11.5 as said by Edwardsfan in the last 5 races, watch this guy, he could go higher than this, but he just hasn't had any breakout performances this year (besides maybe 1) so I can't put him ahead of some of these other guys, 25th in the spring, but he was a lap down.

15.) Jeff Burton Jeff Burton Not as reliable as earlier in the season, this guy has a 14.3 avg. finish and a 3rd here, but he got a 15th in the spring, and he was a bit hotter then, but I will still put him right here.

16.) David Ragan David Ragan this guy has been under the radar, doing pretty good recently, he is chasing the chase, and I maybe underranking this guy, got an 8th in the spring, and worst of 21st, avg. 15.7, so he could be a dark horse to get up there.

17.) Jaime Mcmurray Jamie McMurray he got a 10th in the spring, has a 4th for best finish, but 19.3 avg. finish, if he can avoid bad luck, he could go up there.

18.) Bobby LaBonte Bobby Labonte This guy is struggling, but he won here before, but got a 31st in the spring after a bad day, still, has a 14.3 avg. finish, and could ride up there.

19.) Ryan Newman Ryan Newman This guy won here, but he had engine failiure in the spring for a 42nd, so can't really use that, has an avg. finish of 18.4, but he is struggling big time this season.

20.) Kurt Busch Kurt Busch has a first, but avg. finish of 19.1, and with a 21st on the lead lap in the spring, he only deserves a top 20 spot.

Other Drivers of Note

Elliot Sadler, been decent recently, and got a 9th in the spring, but other than that he has struggled, having a 23.3 avg. finish, but he got a top 5 once, could be a surprise, but don't count on it again.

Paul Menard- has an 11th for best finish, which was right here in the spring, if he can show that magic again, you never know, but his stats and 20.5 avg. finish and worse this season all say to stay away.

Casey Mears- Has a 4th here, but 30th, 2 laps down in the spring, and 19.5 avg. finish, being worse than before, you can only pray for the best for this guy.

Sam Hornish Jr.- he did get a 22nd here, but will that transfer to a top 20 now, its possible, this is his home track, but I need to see more from this guy before I start putting him in top 20 contention, after all, he let me down on the road courses.

Clint Bowyer- 26th in the spring, 16th best finish, 26.2 avg. finish for 39th overall, need i say more about why you shouldn't pick this guy as your chaser, or expect him to get back in the chase.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: August 6, 2008 8:58 am
 

Prediction for Walkins Glen, the Turning Madness

Now this should be mostly predictable since its a road course, but you will see some surprises that do make sense...

1.) Tony StewartTony Stewart A person that knows his way around this track, he can win all the time here, and has never got a DNF here, so he can avoid bad luck here for his first win of the season. avg. 6.1

2.) Jeff Gordon Jeff Gordon The old rivalry is coming back, look for Jeff to lead a lot of the race. avg. 12.6

3.) Kyle BuschKyle Busch He showed us that he can win anywhere this season, and his record at the Glen was better than Infineon, got a 7th here, and with his season, will improve and get back on his game. avg. 16.3

4.) Carl EdwardsCarl Edwards This guy knows his way around this track, got a 5th, 8th, and 19th, he is better than Kyle here, but Kyle is better this season, still, could use the momentum from Pocono to beat Kyle, maybe even win, watch out for Carl.

5.) Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick This guy is a road racer, with a win here, avg. finish of 12.0, and that huge rebound from Pocono, as long as he avoids bad luck, watch this guy go somewhere.

6.) Robby GordonRobby Gordon He is new in the new cars, so I'm rating him a little worse than normal, but look at his record here, 5,4,2,16,1,3,4,4,40, 7 top 5s, and 2 non top 5s, where one he had an electrical accident, and the other he had a problem, because he led 12 laps...

7.) Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin In his 2 tries, started 2nd, finished 2nd, and started 10th, finished 10th, looks like he's going to finish wherever he qualifies, but he has shown skill here.

8.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie Johnson avg. finish of 14.2 to be ranked 8th (7th w/o including Martin) and with his roll, should be right around there.

9.) Juan Pablo Montoya Juan Pablo Montoya last year he just had trouble to get 42nd, but he is a good road racer as shown by Infineon, he's pretty unpredictable right now, but he could be better or worse, watch him closely...

10.) Ryan Newman Ryan Newman Edwardsfan said he finished 15th or better in 5 of his last 6 races, with an avg. finish of 14.7 and a 2nd here, he could get a top 10.

11.) Boris Said Boris Said got a 3rd and 8th here, but that's about it for good finishes, I maybe overranking this guy... avg. finish 21.4

12.) Jeff Burton  Jeff Burton avg. finish of 19.5, but great 2nd here, he could pop up for a top 15, maybe even a top 10.

13.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. got a 3rd here, but avg. finish of 20.6, but better this season, watch him.

14.) Jaime McMurray Jamie McMurray got a 3rd and 2 13ths here, and not great this season, but he does pop for a top 10 sometimes, will pop for a top 15 this race. avg. finish, 17th

15.) Clint Bowyer Clint Bowyer He has a 14th and 16th here, should finish right around there, maybe could do better if he races hard for staying in the chase.

16.) Martin Truex Jr. Martin Truex Jr. Only outside top 20 once in 9 races as said by Edwardsfan, has a 6th and 28th, should get in the middle with his season this year.

17.) Matt Kenseth Matt Kenseth 8th here, but avg. finish of 16.8, with his not so great road skills, should be right around there.

18.) Bobby LaBonte Bobby Labonte 2 24ths in his last 2 races, but did get a 5th here, I think he can pull off the top 20. avg. finish 19.7

19.) Brian Vickers Brian Vickers Has been off his game recently, but has an 8th and 16th here, and is better this season, could be a surprise. avg. finish 23.8

20.) Kasey Khane Kasey Kahne avg. finish of 19.8 and in 4 races, not better than 14th, but no worse than 26th, so I just averaged him out.

Others to watch for

Kurt Busch- avg. finish of 23.0 and only a 10th for best finish, with his season so far I don't see him up there.

Greg Biffle- 10th place here, but that's about it for good finishes, when their avg. finish is 30.2 after 5 races, you know they can't race here...

David Ragan- A 32nd here, but he is better this year, could pop up there.

Casey Mears- 4th here and avg. finish of 21.8, but he is bad this year.

Aric Almirola- Way too unpredictable, after that top 10 at Bristol, you need to expect the unexpected from this guy.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: July 30, 2008 8:37 am
Edited on: August 1, 2008 5:14 pm
 

Prediction for Pocono, the Triangle

Well last week was just horrible and unpredictable due to those tires, 3 of my 5 guys got lost to the tires (Kevin Harvick, Matt Kenseth, and Brian Vickers) which killed me in all my fantasy lineups except my Draft and Play, but hopefully, this week will be better, and now we can get actual predictions that might come true.

1.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie Johnson This guy just won at Indy, a similar track to Pocono, he also has the 3rd to best avg. finish of 10.3 here, and is getting hotter and hotter to run for another championship, this will be the crusher of Kyle Busch.

2.) Denny Hamlin Denny Hamlin How can you not put this guy up here, got a 3rd at Indy, and oh, look, 5 starts, and not a single finish below 6th, he has an avg. finish of 2.8 here guys! I don't care how bad or good he is he will do good here!

3.) Jeff Gordon Jeff Gordon Got a 5th at Indy and has the next to best avg. finish here 9.3, watch this guy to get his first win here.

4.) Brian Vickers Brian Vickers Wait what!!! Brian Vickers in 4th, ya right... well don't be so confident guys, he has a 2nd here, and has an avg. finish of 13th, the 5th to best, and he is hotter this season, watch out for this guy...

5.) Carl Edwards Carl Edwards  avg. finish of 16.1 to be in 14th, but he did win here before, is hot, and got a 2nd place at Indy, adds up to a top 5 combination or even a win.

6.) Tony Stewart Kyle Busch No not you Kyle, I know you not being in the top 5 is a heart attack moment for you, but you have to wait, now where was I... Tony Stewart he has an avg. finish of 13.6 to be 6th here, has a win, has Denny to help him, getting hotter, just had bad luck at Indy, as long as bad luck stays away watch out for Tony.

7.) Mark Martin Mark Martin He has been up and down this season to say the least, but he got an 11th place at Indy with the bad luck, but he is better at this track with an avg. finish of 11th, which is 4th total, so he should ride up there.

8.) Jeff Burton  Jeff Burton He is going to get another top 10 guys, 14.9 avg. finish, 11th to best, but does have a 2nd place here.

9.) Matt KensethMatt Kenseth I maybe underrating this guy, but he only got a 3rd here, that set aside, has an avg. finish of 14.4, but I didn't get to see how good he really was at Indy thanks to tires.

10.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. He is hot this season, consistent, top 10 down his alley, becoming the new Jeff Burton, got a 12 at Indy, 15th avg. finish here with 16.5 but got a 2nd here, wow that's a mouthful.

11.) Kyle Busch Kyle Busch O.K. I can't avoid this guy forever, but his best finish is a 4th here, other than that has an avg. finish of 20th for the 20th to best avg. finish, he needs help at this track, but he is the hottest driver, still didn't show the greatness we expected at Indy. He also got 43rd last time after a real tough week, and 25th in qualifying, I don't see him up there.

12.) Kurt Busch Kurt Busch Was hot recently, now losing it, however, before Denny, Kurt was the hottest driver here, won here, and got a 14.2 avg. finish, he also crashed at Indy, so we can't use that, leading to a mysterious guy, he is the sleeper for a top 10, and looks, the bros will finish side by side this week...

13.) Ryan Newman Ryan Newman Kurt will be surrounded by buddies, won here and has an avg. finish of 13.9, and Newman got 13th at Indy, all set up for a pretty good combination...

14.) Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick A guy I could rate much higher if he just finished, since he would have had a good result at Indy, only has a 5th for a best finish, but he is getting better this season, and you know he in good at these kinds of tracks due to his success at Indy, could be another sleeper...

15.) Martin Truex Jr. Martin Truex Jr.  got a 3rd here and avg. finish of 15.2, he also never got a DNF here, and with his results this season, he will stay right here.

16.) Bobby LaBonte Bobby Labonte  4 of 5 finishes between 10th and 20th as Edwardsfan said, he should end up here again, true he has a win here, avg. finish of 13.9, but he is not what he used to be now is he, besides, some others in front of him will likely crash giving him the top 15.

17.) Kasey Khane Kasey Kahne 2 top 10s in the last 3 races doesn't phase me, he is still struggling, and I can't rate him higher although he has a win here, avg. finish of 17.7 to be the 16th place in avg. finishes, watch him, could be a sleeper... but its either up or down for him. ( I will rate this guy higher if he does better on final practice, the first one he was horrible, and he is usually better in qualifying, living up to my prediction so far)

18.) Greg Biffle Greg Biffle 4th here, but avg. finish of 18.8, should be around there this week.

19.) Elliot Sadler Elliott Sadler He is getting better this season, but only got a 9th here, and avg. finish of 20.4, but Yeley won't be up here, so he deserves a good top 20.

20.) Dave Blaney Dave Blaney He is up and down this season, but has a 9th here and avg. finish of 22.1, could be a pleasant surprise.

Others of notice

J.J. Yeley- O.K.at this track with around 19th avg. finish, but only an 11th best finish, and horrible this season, could be a top 25 at best.

Casey Mears- avg. is around 21st and got a 4th here, could be a surprise.

Scott Riggs- He got an 8th here, 24th in avg finishes, 22 around, watch him.

Jamie McMurray- got a 9th here and 22.5 avg. finish, could be up there.

Wait, RoushFenwayGuy, you forgot Clint Bowyer!!! Clint Bowyer- No not really, and 8th for highest finish, and 24th ish avg. finish, 27th in avg. finishers rank, this guy will drop out of the chase after this track.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: July 13, 2008 1:01 pm
Edited on: July 23, 2008 7:26 am
 

Prediction for Indinapolis, the Brickyard

Well, last week was hard to predict since it was a night race, but I got 1st and third dead on, and I swapped 6th and 7th I learned that I will never trust Reed again no matter what his status, and I'm won't aknowledge Michael until he does better, and also congradulations to Greg Biffle this week, earning his first top 10 at Chicagoland. that being said, lets move on to this weeks predictions.

1.) Kyle BuschKyle Busch Here we go again with Kyle Busch, in his 3 starts here, never finished below 10th, and this track is usually reflected on who is the most dominant over the season, and Kyle Busch has that title this year. avg. finish 7.0

2.)Tony Stewart Tony Stewart I have a feeling this will be the most dominant driver of the race, he proved himself last week that he has it, and he is VERY dominant here, I have a feeling he will be the Jimmie Johnson of Chicagoland. He also never finished below 17th, so he knows how to avoid trouble here. avg finish, 7.6

3.)Kevin Harvick Kevin Harvick He got third at Chicago, and I have a feeling he will rebound from that, he is a good driver, and he won here before, and one of the best drivers here, watch him go up there, and never finished below 19th. avg finish 7.7 (sorry about that last 17.7, with a lowest finish of 19th and a win, that is a lot of 19th's he would need)

4.) Matt KensethMatt Kenseth Recently he has been hot, getting from 21st to 8th in the standings is no easy task, so he is dominant right now, has a 2nd place here, avg. finish of 13.3, look at him toward the front.

5.)Carl Edwards Carl Edwards He was dominant at Chicago until that problem, and is the most dominant driver other than Kyle, and maybe Junior, but he finished between 9th and 18th at this track, but he is much better this year, and dominance is the key, look for him up at the top. avg finish, 13.0

6.)Juan Pablo Montoya Juan Pablo Montoya Here is the other people to watch for, the open wheelers, they love Indy 500s, and expect them to be up front, he was runner up last year!

7.) Jeff GordonJeff Gordon He is very good here, but not so dominant this season, he is always finishing right outside the top 10, at a veteran's track, he should get a top 10, but I can't give him a top 5 with his performance recently. avg. finish, 7.3

8.) Brian Vickers Brian Vickers He is pretty hot right now, and with a 3rd under his belt here and a 17.5 avg. finish, he should be top 10 material.

8.) Dale Earnhart Jr. Dale Earnhardt Jr. I maybe ranking him too high, but he is dominant this season, before Chicago he had the best avg. finish, ahead of Kyle Busch. At least ESPN said so, but they may have been wrong, because now Jr. moved from 10.1 to 11.2 after a 16th place finish after seeing NASCAR's so don't listen to ESPN guys. But either way he is very dominant this year, and he did get a 6th before, so lets see this guy do good! avg finish, 21.1

9.) Jimmie Johnson Jimmie JohnsonHe did win here before, but he is 27th in avg. finishes, so I maybe ranking him too high, but if he can avoid trouble, after his 2nd place last week, he could do good. avg finish. 23.5

10.) Clint BowyerClint Bowyer He will be fighting to get back into the chase, and finished 13th and 4th here before, expect at top 15 at least.

11.) Mark Martin Mark Martin He got runner up here before and is good this season, expect a quality finish out of him. avg. finish, 14.3

12.) Bobby LaBonte Bobby Labonte He has won at this track before, and he has shown that he can very well get top 15's in a race, this one should be no different. avg. finish 15.5

13.) Kasey Khane Kasey Kahne Not the driver he used to be since Lowe's, but he did get a 2nd here, watch this guy. avg. finish, 20.5

(John Andretti WILL NOT be racing, so he loses this spot)

14.) Sam Hornish Jr. Sam Hornish Jr. (R) He is an open wheeler, and he proved that at Daytona, he is top 15 material, should be the same here.

15.) Kurt BuschKurt Busch Did get a 5th here, but not the best this season, expect him a top 20. avg. finish, 14.9

16.) Denny Hamlin Denny Hamlin Had bad luck early last race, he is as bad luck as Tony, but finished 10th and 22nd here, hopefully his luck will somewhat turn around when he hangs in mid-pack.

17.) David Ragan David Ragan got a 16th here last season, but this is a veteran's track, expect a top 20, but that's about it.

18.) Jeff Burton Jeff Burton did get a 5th here, but has been off his game, he never had dominance, only consistency, and you need dominance here, avg. finish, 17.2

19.) Greg Biffle Greg Biffle Did get a 6th here, and a 4th at a track he never got a top 10 at, he could be a surprise, but I don't think so. Avg. finish, 19.2

20.) Martin Truex Jr. Martin Truex Jr. This guy got a top 10 at Chicago, proving that he can get a good finish from a bad track, and he does have a 12th and 19th here from 3 starts, also a 42nd, so I maybe under ranking him, but he is worse this season..

Other Drivers of Note

Ryan Newman- did get a 6th here, but he is bad this season like the last, he only has Daytona for good runs, I don't see him doing good this race.

Patrick Carpantier- Anyone who is an open wheel driver will be on this list.

David Gilliland- Finished 17th with his only start, was shocking for some of the year, you never know.

Jaime McMurray, 17.2 avg start and finish and finished 3rd here, but not even a shadow of what he was last year.

Bill Elliot- Did win here, but that was in his Golden Years, maybe he can show a shade of his former glory.

Category: Auto Racing
Posted on: July 6, 2008 10:13 am
 

RoushFenway's Predictions for Chicagoland, top 20

O.K., I think I am coming up with an idea, but any ideas would still be nice, noticing nobody posted in my last blog

And I know ESPN does this, but sometimes they give crappy advice, and there is none on CBS yet, at least that I know of.

1.) Kyle BuschKyle Busch This guy has finished 3rd here, also a 13th and 14th, and he is the hottest driver in NASCAR right now, I predict another win.  avg. finish, 10th


2.) Jeff GordonJeff Gordon He won in 06 here, and overall is a great driver here, he was really good last week until the crash, and I expect to see him up there again. avg. finish, 10th


3.) Kevin HarvickKevin Harvick I know what Section is thinking right now, YES, top 5! but let me explain, he is the best avg. finisher at this track, and at the first 1/4 of this season, he was very hot, sitting around 2nd in the standings, he has dropped now, from bad luck and bad cars, but this is pretty much his best track, and I expect to see this guy fighting for the front, after all, he was doing it at Loudon recently, he still has skill, just needs to connect, he also won here before. Pick this guy or Brian Vickers for your chaser. avg. finish, 8th


4.) Dale Earnhart Jr.Dale Earnhardt Jr. He is now 2nd in the points standings, and he is great this season, he won here before back in 05 for one of his few wins, so he can race here, expect him up toward the front. avg. finish, 15.1


5.) Jimmie JohnsonJimmie Johnson Now it is true he never won here, but he did get a 2nd, and is 2nd in avg. finishes, with a 9.2, I think he is good for a top 5.


6.) Matt KensethMatt Kenseth He has been hot recently, getting from 21st to 9th in the standings, and a 3rd in Daytona puts him as a hot driver, avg. finish of 10.1 and 7th overall, he did finish 2nd here before, and expect another good run.


7.) Brian VickersBrian Vickers He finished 4th here before, and no worse than 14th, that is not including his breakout season this year, so this guy has to be put up there.


8.) Carl Edwards Carl Edwards He finished 3rd here before, but in his other 2 races, struggled for an avg finish of around 20th, but he finished 2nd in Daytona and is great this season, so this guy should be toward the front.


9.) Tony Stewart Tony Stewart Now I know what you all are thinking, a first here in 07 and 04, the defending champion here, avg. finish of 11th including crashes, and you are putting this guy here!!!! Well he does have good stats, but every race he has decent stats, and right now, he is not doing good, a driver who needs to bring his game up before I put him any higher, true he has had bad luck, A LOT OF BAD LUCK, but I still need to see good results.


10.) Clint BowyerClint Bowyer I think he is going to get a top 10 this week, a talented driver who has been off his game recently, but he has a 9th and 10th here, so finishing right around this area seems like a good bet right now.


11.) Jeff Burton Jeff Burton He only has an avg. finish of 19.3 here, but he finished 2nd here before, he is always finishing around here, and although his first non top 15 came last week, he should stay around this area, he could go for a 6th or something though, he is flexible.


12.) Kurt BuschKurt Busch He did get a 6th here before, and has a 15.7 avg. finish, and his morale is higher than ever this year after a win and a top 5, he should start to compete for at least top 15s again.


13.) Greg BiffleGreg Biffle In 5 starts, always finished in the top 20, but never in the top 10, so he should be around here this week.


14.) Ryan NewmanRyan Newman He won here in 2003, but has an avg. finish of 18.8, he is not great here, but he could be a surprise.


15.) Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin In two races, finished 14th and 17th, was great at the start of this year, but bad luck and more is slowing him down, so he should be about avg. for him, getting him around his average.


16.) Mark MartinMark Martin finished 6th here, and an avg. finish of 13.6, I just needed to put some other guys in front of him, and he is good this season, but not as great as last year, we will have to wait and see on this guy.


17.) Reed SorensonReed Sorenson Wait, Reed Sorenson, the guy who is not even in the top 30 in standings, up in 17th this week! That's right, for his 2 starts here, finished 7th and 12th, so he is good here, but he isn't as hot as the last 2 seasons, so he should be a top 20 with his finishes, so that is why he is here.


18.) David Ragan David Ragan One start here for a 25th, and he is good this season, falling, but still better, so he should be top 20 material.


19.) Kasey KhaneKasey Kahne He is great this year, and at Infineon, a weak track of his, he was running strong until he had problems and went a lap down, but at this track he is even worse, 4 starts ranging from a 23rd to a 41st, bad luck follows him at this track, be grateful if he gets a top 15.


20.) Martin Truex Jr.Martin Truex Jr. He is riding the same boat as Kasey Khane, just not quite as bad, in 2 starts, a 16th and 39th, so he may have just have had bad luck on that second one, but he isn't as good this season as last season, so top 20 at best.

Other guys to watch:

Juan Montoya, finished 15th with his only start here, could be there again, but I don't see it happening

David Gilliland, he is a bit better this season than last season, and last season he finished 16th here, I don't see a top 20, but he could get in there, especially if someone like Kasey Kahne crashes.

Casey Mears, finished 5th here, but low on overall performance, maybe he could show us something.

Robby Gordon, same as Casey, but best finish is 7th.

Michael Waltrip, he has a 5th here as well, and he has a 2nd this year and was in the top 10 late last race before the crash, so he is looking up and could shock us.

Category: Auto Racing
 
 
 
 
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