In light of some of the recent debates about recruiting I thought I'd do a little research. The following is the final AP rankings of NU in each of Bo's 4 seasons. Also next to it is our recruiting ranking the 4 years prior according to rivals.com Essentially what this shows is how the recruiting class produced as juniors and seniors.
2008 final AP- (not ranked) 2004 Rivals ranking- 27
2009 final AP- 14 2005 Rivals ranking- 5
2010 final AP- 20 2006 Rivals ranking- 20
2011 final AP- 25 (estimated) 2007 rivals ranking- 13
Note...in 2008 NU was one of the highest vote getters outside the top 25 so their ranking would have been extremely close to 27.
So to sum it up 2 out of the 4 years in BO's tenure his teams have finished literally EXACTLY where those upperclassmen were ranked in their respective recruiting class. The highest recruiting ranking was directly proportional to the highest end of season ranking where Suh and company caused Havoc. Furthermore this 2005 recruiting class saw many of those kids either fail to qualify or transfer before ever seeing the field. Taking that into account you could easily say that our 2005 recruiting ranking would have actually ranked around sayyyyyyyy....14!! That makes 3 out of 4 of BO's years EXACTLY proportional to their recruiting rankings. This year was the biggest letdown and I think it's safe to say that most of us agree that this year was an underachievement based upon the expectations of the talent in the program.
In conclusion...how can you possibly say that "recruiting rankings don't matter"??? Recruiting rankings DO MATTER! In 2008 our final recruiting ranking by Rivals was 30. It pains me to say it but that's probably about what you can expect for the Big Red next year.
Thoughts??
Nut...you do bring up some excellent examples of counterpoints however I believe those type examples are the exception to the rule..not the rule.
Auburn won the national title last year, and in 2008 their recruiting class was ranked 24th08 is only 2-3 years prior to their title. In the examples I provided i went back 4 years. In 2007 Auburns class was ranked #7 and #10 in 2006. And oh yeah this guy named Cam Newton wasn't part of either of those classes as he would join the team later. He was kind of a "big deal". He also just so happened to be a 5 star.
There's no reason why a 2 star player with great God given talent can't be coached up to be a great playerYes you might catch lightening in a bottle every once in a while with a severly underrated prospect but it's few and far between. Rivals will occasionally do reports on this and the % of 2 star All-Americans is overwhelmingly lower than that of 3, 4, and 5 star recruits.
The defense needs speed.....PERIOD100% agreed. And if i'm not mistaken this is one of if not THE most important measurable that recruiting services use to rank a recruit, along with size and strength obviously.
The B1G, Big 12, and Pac-12 all have rules in place to ensure against over-signing while the SEC only recently implemented the same rules. Don't be surprised when the gap between the SEC and the rest of the conferences significantly diminishes over the next couple years.Great point and I hope you are right about the gap closing. DA*N the SEC!!
As we look at past NC's in recent years and where they ranked in recruiting, I fail to see where the #1, #2 or #3 classes ended up at. We can look back and say "Oh, they won the NC because 4 years earlier they were ranked #4 in recruiting". That's not really an accurate description of why teams are doing great. Yeah, some schools are consistently high in the recruit ranking and do well during the course of the season. However; many of these schools weren't #1, #2 or even #3 for that matter. Also, it isn't just seniors playing all year long either to say that that recruiting class made the team for that year.I refer to both of my illustrations here. I took it a step further and averaged the 4 recruting rankings in my first post along with the 4 season ending rankings. What I came up with was an average recruiting ranking of 16.25 and and average season finish of 21 (pretty close). I don't have the time to sit here and do that with every team but I'd bet some serious coin that you will see a very high majority of top 25 teams (particularly the top 10 teams) finish in a similiar fashion as how this came out for Nebraska. Now if we do the things you guys are referring to as far as coaching is concerned I don't see any reason why we can't flip this from being 5 worse to being 5 better putting our average finish around #11-12 in a given 4 year period.
I think our most complete game this year was against Michigan State. We dominated them because we played our brand of football (no gimmicks), the execution of plays were stellar, no mistakes and we win. We have the players to play against anyone and if we have the discipline to play as we're taught, then there's no reason not to beat anyone else. In '09 and '10, we lost close games to good teams, but we lost because we beat oourselves with mistakes. The other team wasn't necessarily better or had better atheletes. Could we beat this year's Alabama or LSU even if we played a perfect game? I think it's possible. We would probably need to catch a break here or there and have them make a mistake or two, but it is possible. We do need better talent, so don't misconstrude on what I'm saying. I think we just need to get a solid identity on what we want to do. It's better to get recruits that way tooA lot of good stuff that I agree with in here. BUT...here is where I think you aren't necessarily connecting the dots. There is not a team out there that plays with 100% efficiency every game of the season. Every single team out there makes mistakes during the course of the game. The thing about having gobs of talent however is you are able to mask those mistakes and they aren't so glaring and game changing. A DB can make a wrong read and the guy with 4.5 speed gets burned for a touchdown where as the guy with 4.4 speed can recover. That goes back to what you said about needing "speed". Same thing can be said for size and strength ala Alshon Jeffery's Hail Mary catch. You think any of our WR's could have made that play? The more guys like that you stuff your lineup with the better your chances are of offsetting whatever mistakes you happen to make in lack of player development, coaching, X's & O's, etc. etc. I agree that we currently have the talent to beat anyone however in order to do so we have to be operating at about a 95% efficiency where as a more talented team (say LSU or Alabama) could operate at about a 65-75% efficiency level to beat us. The margin for error is magnified bigtime if you don't have top tier talent.
If recruiting stays the way it is...i.e- 15ish-30ish year in year out we WILL NOT ever win another National Championship. Neither will any other team for that matter with that recruiting. This is something that I am not saying out of opinion it's something I am saying due to the recent Historical evidence provided. It just doesn't happen!
Some of the SEC dominance is due to oversigning. If a player isn't playing well, they just drop their scholarship and pick up some more recruits. Bo never does that. How many scholarship seniors graduated this year that weren't contributing on the field? I remember reading the list of graduates a while back and there were at least 5 or 6 guys that were on scholarship but weren't seeing any playing time. Now, in your opinion which is right? Personally I like Bo's mentality, you recruited this guy, you can't just throw them in the wind like the SEC schools do. It's BS to me that schools can just take away a scholarship like that. It should be honored as long as the player wants to go to school there. That right there would level the playing field. I think the SEC has cut back the oversigning that is allowed, so that's going to level the playing field a little bit in the coming years.I said this sort of on my first post in this thread. It comes down to standards. The media is supposed to be for the most part unbiased towards what they report. Today there is a flood of how DOMINANT Alabama's defense was against LSU. There's no denying that, but where's the mention in that LSU's offense was WAY over-rated? I said it all year long that although they have a great defense, their point scoring was produced by good defense and special teams play. Since the the media (especially ESPN) is in love with the SEC, they would not dare waterdown Alabama's performance last night and are now talking "Greatest Defense Ever". REALLY??????????? What great offense did they defend against? Penn State? Florida? Vanderbilt? Had LSU won that game, they would have been all that and a bag of chips. The question would have been: Should Alabama even have been there? Since Alabama won, now it's presumed that the best team was chosen to play. That's the biggest crock of S*^T that I've heard since they announced the match-up. It's the first time in 75 years......75 YEARS, that a non-conference winner has won the NC and the media allowed it to happen through their biased view of the SEC.