With the 6th pick?

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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 11:14 am

I am not caught up in the Weeden as the next coming pro Bowl player, what I want to see is a QB that "SHOULD" develope behind a good OC like Norm Turner.Smile  With Shurmur's offense, Weeds had a foot in a bucket and the offense was not going to be stellar.  I don't know if Chud's offense will set the worldUndecided on fire but if Norm Turner can't get Weeden to near a 90 passing rating, then look to find someone else next year.  I just think with the investment (the past regime)Yell made at least, give Weeden a shot at improving instead of going and finding a retread and start over again in year two of his developement no matter how old he is.
Bluepigpen
SinceSep 1, 2006
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 11:21 am

Unfortunately we don't have a DeLorean equiped with a flux capacitor, so I guess we'll never know how successful Newton might have been in 1999....I agree with JYD.  The position hasn't changed THAT much.  The basics still exist...

Cam Newton will "never be considered a cerebral QB"....Hmmmmm.  Sounds like he's being unfairly judged too.   

TOPDAWG
SinceOct 12, 2006
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 11:34 am

Unfortunately we don't have a DeLorean equiped with a flux capacitor, so I guess we'll never know how successful Newton might have been in 1999....I agree with JYD.  The position hasn't changed THAT much.  The basics still exist...

Cam Newton will "never be considered a cerebral QB"....Hmmmmm.  Sounds like he's being unfairly judged too.

Does Newton strike you as a rocket scientist, TD? I also said I didn't think Weeden was all that bright, but you didn't jump to his defense.  It's really not so much about the position changing, but the changes in defensive schemes and the rules that make passing easier than it was in the past.

I don't think you need a flux capaciter to simply look at the numbers from the 90s and now. But, if you are inclined to find one, don't forget the plutonium, as well. 
dtgold88
SinceOct 29, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 11:44 am

You really don't see a difference in today's NFL, JD? You think it's an accident Cam Newton (who will never be considered a cerebral QB) was able to put up impressive passing numbers (never mind his running) as a rookie, while Manning's numbers were nothing short of awful (at least by today's standards) in his rookie season, along with Elway, etc.? 
Never said I didn't see a difference in "Today's NFL"... But I don't see much of a change at the QB position... Every season there are rookie QB's that put up sub par numbers and rookies that put up great numbers... happens every year! Nothing out of the oridinary! Is it an accident that Aaron Rodgers sat on the bench his first three years in the league, came in and hit the ground running? Then guys like Weeden, get thrown into the fire immediatlely and stumble?


   
JunkyardDAWG
SinceOct 31, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 11:56 am

Does Newton strike you as a rocket scientist, TD? I also said I didn't think Weeden was all that bright, but you didn't jump to his defense.  It's really not so much about the position changing, but the changes in defensive schemes and the rules that make passing easier than it was in the past.

I don't think you need a flux capaciter to simply look at the numbers from the 90s and now. But, if you are inclined to find one, don't forget the plutonium, as well.

No, Newton doesn't strike me as a "Rocket Scientist"... But to even think for one second the the QB position is any less cerebral 15 years ago than it is today... is a rediculous statement to make! Do I think Weeden is all that bright? He's no dumber than Newton that's for sure! And let's just compare numbers of JUST the 1998 season for a second!

Randall Cunningham - 106.0
Vinny Testaverde - 101.6
Steve Young - 101.1
Chris Chandler - 100.9
Horseface Elway - 93.0

There's your top 5 QB Ratings

Kerry Collins - 62.0
Donald Hollas - 60.6
Craig Welihan - 48.0
Bobby Hoying - 45.6
Ryan Leaf - 39.0 (Wow, he was just baaaaaaad!)

There's your bottom 5

Peyton Manning (23rd in the league) - 71.2

These numbers are based on a min of 224 pass attempts... Apples to Apples... Manning WAS NOT GOOD his rookie season!!! Wow, you're right, no time machine needed! Wink         
 
      
      




    

JunkyardDAWG
SinceOct 31, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 12:04 pm

You really don't see a difference in today's NFL, JD? You think it's an accident Cam Newton (who will never be considered a cerebral QB) was able to put up impressive passing numbers (never mind his running) as a rookie, while Manning's numbers were nothing short of awful (at least by today's standards) in his rookie season, along with Elway, etc.?
Never said I didn't see a difference in "Today's NFL"... But I don't see much of a change at the QB position... Every season there are rookie QB's that put up sub par numbers and rookies that put up great numbers... happens every year! Nothing out of the oridinary! Is it an accident that Aaron Rodgers sat on the bench his first three years in the league, came in and hit the ground running? Then guys like Weeden, get thrown into the fire immediatlely and stumble?


I think it shows you it all depends on the QB. Did RG3 or Wilson appear to "struggle"? That's the point...seemed QBs all either sat the bench or struggled in the past. Now they can get thrown into the fire and succeed. 
dtgold88
SinceOct 29, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 12:20 pm

Does Newton strike you as a rocket scientist, TD? I also said I didn't think Weeden was all that bright, but you didn't jump to his defense.  It's really not so much about the position changing, but the changes in defensive schemes and the rules that make passing easier than it was in the past.

I don't think you need a flux capaciter to simply look at the numbers from the 90s and now. But, if you are inclined to find one, don't forget the plutonium, as well.

No, Newton doesn't strike me as a "Rocket Scientist"... But to even think for one second the the QB position is any less cerebral 15 years ago than it is today... is a rediculous statement to make! Do I think Weeden is all that bright? He's no dumber than Newton that's for sure! And let's just compare numbers of JUST the 1998 season for a second!

Randall Cunningham - 106.0
Vinny Testaverde - 101.6
Steve Young - 101.1
Chris Chandler - 100.9
Horseface Elway - 93.0

There's your top 5 QB Ratings

Kerry Collins - 62.0
Donald Hollas - 60.6
Craig Welihan - 48.0
Bobby Hoying - 45.6
Ryan Leaf - 39.0 (Wow, he was just baaaaaaad!)

There's your bottom 5

Peyton Manning (23rd in the league) - 71.2

These numbers are based on a min of 224 pass attempts... Apples to Apples... Manning WAS NOT GOOD his rookie season!!! Wow, you're right, no time machine needed! Wink        


Looking at guys in the top 10, they range from 106-87 in rating with 4 above 100 in 1998,   108-90 with 4 above 100 (122-90 in 2011) last season

yards -   4200-3200 with 2 above 4000 in 1998,     5177-4020 with 11 above 4000 in 2012

TDs  -  36-21 with 3 above 30 in 1998,    43-26 with 5 above 30 in 2012

completion % - 63-59% in 1998,       69-63% now

See a difference?    Obviously without the FC we can;t know for sure, but my guess is Manning would put up better numbers in today's NFL as a rookie.

dtgold88
SinceOct 29, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 12:43 pm

I think it shows you it all depends on the QB. Did RG3 or Wilson appear to "struggle"? That's the point...seemed QBs all either sat the bench or struggled in the past. Now they can get thrown into the fire and succeed
Now they get thrown into the fire and succeed? How did you come up with that, cuz a couple exceptions come in and do well? I think we can all agree that 2008 would qualify as "Today's NFL", so here's a look at QB's taken in the first (high Second) round and "Thrown into the fir"

2008 - Matt Ryan - Ranked 11th in the league - Succeded
Joe Flacco - 22nd - Slighly below avg

2009 - Matt Stafford - 29th - FAIL
Mark Sanchez - 28th - FAIL
Josh Freeman - 30th - FAIL

2010 - Sam Bradford - 25th - FAIL
Jimmy Clausen - 31st - FAIL

2011 Cam Newton - 15th - Avg
Blaine Gabbart - 34th - EPIC FAIL
Chrisitain Ponder - 31st - FAIL
Andy Dalton - 20th - Avg

2012 - Andrew Luck - 26th - FAIL
RG3 - 3rd - Succed
Ryan Tannehill - 27th - FAIL
Brandon Weeden - 29th - FAIL

Sorry... I don't see where Rookie QB's that get thrown into the NFL in "Today's NFL" always succed! The RG3's of the world are few and far between, they're the exception, NOT THE RULE!

JunkyardDAWG
SinceOct 31, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 12:55 pm


Looking at guys in the top 10, they range from 106-87 in rating with 4 above 100 in 1998,   108-90 with 4 above 100 (122-90 in 2011) last season

yards -   4200-3200 with 2 above 4000 in 1998,     5177-4020 with 11 above 4000 in 2012

TDs  - 36-21 with 3 above 30 in 1998,    43-26 with 5 above 30 in 2012

completion % - 63-59% in 1998,       69-63% now

See a difference?    Obviously without the FC we can;t know for sure, but my guess is Manning would put up better numbers in today's NFL as a rookie.
You're right... they passed the ball less in 1998... No arguments here... You're right again, the rule changes favor the passing game, I 100% agree with that.... BUT in 1998 Manning was the 23rd best QB in the league, in that year, when every QB was playing "The same NFL" in an Apples to Apples comparison, Manning was 23rd best, period, plain and simple, only better than 8 other QB's... So, regaurdless of your view of how the NFL is played today, Manning just wasn't a good Rookie in 1998!!!



   
JunkyardDAWG
SinceOct 31, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:00 pm

Hummm . . .

I've been enjoying this read so far with good points being made by all.  But, I have to question this point;

2012 - Andrew Luck - 26th - FAIL

Really?  The dude got his TEAM into the playoffs.  Granted, his stats weren't great but, (IMHO) he was far from a "FAIL".

The same could be said of Andy Dalton in 2011 (whom you have rated as "Avg").  Not great stats (close to McCoys if I recall correctly) but, the Bengals were in the playoffs last year and this year.

I think the question that begs to be asked here is do we want a Stats machine at QB or a QB that leads the TEAM into the playoffs and (hopefully) beyond?
Lymanacoconut
SinceSep 4, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:07 pm

Really?  The dude got his TEAM into the playoffs.  Granted, his stats weren't great but, (IMHO) he was far from a "FAIL".

The same could be said of Andy Dalton in 2011 (whom you have rated as "Avg").  Not great stats (close to McCoys if I recall correctly) but, the Bengals were in the playoffs last year and this year.

I think the question that begs to be asked here is do we want a Stats machine at QB or a QB that leads the TEAM into the playoffs and (hopefully) beyond?
I agree, really I do, I'm not saying that Andrew Luck isn't a good QB... Not by any stretch... and there's alot more to a QB than just stats, I'm just saying that all the "Weeden Sucks" people need to realize that yes, his Rookie Year SUCKED... but he ain't the first Rookie QB to suck his first year, and he sure as hell won't be the last!!! Luck, RG3, Wilson... all had phenominal seasons... but they are the EXCEPTIONS, not the rule, I don't give a chit what "Era of the NFL" we're in! If anyone thinks this years crop of QB's is gonna light it up like last years, I have a feeling they'll be very disappointed!



   
JunkyardDAWG
SinceOct 31, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:12 pm

I think it shows you it all depends on the QB. Did RG3 or Wilson appear to "struggle"? That's the point...seemed QBs all either sat the bench or struggled in the past. Now they can get thrown into the fire and succeed
Now they get thrown into the fire and succeed? How did you come up with that, cuz a couple exceptions come in and do well? I think we can all agree that 2008 would qualify as "Today's NFL", so here's a look at QB's taken in the first (high Second) round and "Thrown into the fir"

2008 - Matt Ryan - Ranked 11th in the league - Succeded
Joe Flacco - 22nd - Slighly below avg

2009 - Matt Stafford - 29th - FAIL
Mark Sanchez - 28th - FAIL
Josh Freeman - 30th - FAIL

2010 - Sam Bradford - 25th - FAIL
Jimmy Clausen - 31st - FAIL

2011 Cam Newton - 15th - Avg
Blaine Gabbart - 34th - EPIC FAIL
Chrisitain Ponder - 31st - FAIL
Andy Dalton - 20th - Avg

2012 - Andrew Luck - 26th - FAIL
RG3 - 3rd - Succed
Ryan Tannehill - 27th - FAIL
Brandon Weeden - 29th - FAIL

Sorry... I don't see where Rookie QB's that get thrown into the NFL in "Today's NFL" always succed! The RG3's of the world are few and far between, they're the exception, NOT THE RULE!

Was actually paying close attention until you listed Luck as a fail. Perhaps you'd like to tell us the difference in the Colts which improved them from 1 win to the playoffs. The guy threw for 4400 yards and 23 TDs AS A ROOKIE. This is a fail in your eyes? 

And perhaps you'll need to brush on your comprehension skills as I said they get thrown into the fire and can succeed. Who said they ALWAYS succeed? 

No one said rookie QBs will be top 10 from the start in QBR. To me, a success as a rookie is showing you belong in the NFL and in time look like you will become a solid (or better than solid) QB. And why no Russell Wilson from this season? Not enough passes, so we can't call him a success?

You do get you are comparing guys with zero NFL experience against seasoned vets, and if they don't perform as the vets do they are failures?

Love the "logic".   
dtgold88
SinceOct 29, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:17 pm

I agree, really I do, I'm not saying that Andrew Luck isn't a good QB... Not by any stretch... and there's alot more to a QB than just stats, I'm just saying that all the "Weeden Sucks" people need to realize that yes, his Rookie Year SUCKED... but he ain't the first Rookie QB to suck his first year, and he sure as hell won't be the last!!! 
JYD,

I underlined the part of your response that I was talking about.  FFB nerds may get off on QB stats (speaking of which - where's Duff?), but I would rather have an "average" QB that gets the Browns into the playoffs year in year out than one who simply wows the media with gaudy numbers and then disappears.

And, yes, I am one of those who dissed Weeds this past season.  However, I am willing to accept that his crappy play was, in part, a result of Pat Shurmur.  Let's see what he can do this year with what we all believe to be an improved system in which to work.
Lymanacoconut
SinceSep 4, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:18 pm

I agree, really I do, I'm not saying that Andrew Luck isn't a good QB... Not by any stretch... and there's alot more to a QB than just stats, I'm just saying that all the "Weeden Sucks" people need to realize that yes, his Rookie Year SUCKED... but he ain't the first Rookie QB to suck his first year, and he sure as hell won't be the last!!! Luck, RG3, Wilson... all had phenominal seasons... but they are the EXCEPTIONS, not the rule, I don't give a chit what "Era of the NFL" we're in! If anyone thinks this years crop of QB's is gonna light it up like last years, I have a feeling they'll be very disappointed!

Hope you're not lumping me into the "Weeden Sucks" group.   I do believe he could improve, I'm only saying I don't think he will be much better than an average QB (and that might be a stretch). But also admit I could be wrong.

If you want to say he's comparable to Blaine Gabbert, Ponder, et al, OK, but I'm not sure that is going to elicit much confidence in Weeden.

Some of those on your list weren't all that high in QBR, but they looked like they would imrpove and showed something their rookie seasons. Some, like Weeden, Gabbert, Ponder, Leaf, etc. did not.

I have said I would not dump him just to dump him. Only if they have someone in mind who is a clear improvement and can be their QB for a long time. Otherwise, I'd see what he can do with Turner.     
dtgold88
SinceOct 29, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:20 pm

 underlined the part of your response that I was talking about.  FFB nerds may get off on QB stats (speaking of which - where's Duff?), but I would rather have an "average" QB that gets the Browns into the playoffs year in year out than one who simply wows the media with gaudy numbers and then disappears.

And, yes, I am one of those who dissed Weeds this past season.  However, I am willing to accept that his crappy play was, in part, a result of Pat Shurmur.  Let's see what he can do this year with what we all believe to be an improved system in which to work.

That's about where I am with him, Lyman. I don't think he'll be a good QB if I had to guess, but I hope he proves me wrong. I'm not one of those posters who would prefer to give an I-told-you-so over the Browns being successful and me being wrong about a guy. 
dtgold88
SinceOct 29, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:37 pm

just a couple things.....first of all;  BPP, It's Norv Turner. (with a  v)  Not Norm, like the guy on Cheers.....

and Gold,  I agree that Weeds doesn't consistently make good decisions.  The final play in Baltimore comes to mind.  When we had a shot in the red zone to win it, and he air mailed 10 yards over everybody, seemed like an example of a"bone headed" play....That, among a few other questionable decisions, is why I didn't jump to his defense .....It just seemed to me like you were insinuating that Cam Newton is dumb, and I don't think that's the case.  I think it's sometimes in our nature to see an obviously superior athelete, and make the assumption that he might not be that bright...That's all. 
TOPDAWG
SinceOct 12, 2006
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:54 pm

I wouldn't want Newton . he sulks . he whines he pouts during intereviews rolling his eyes . that is not a LEADER no matter how talented he may be .

like it or not the QB gets to much credit when a team wins and sometimes gets to much blame when they lose . suck it up butttercup & move on to the next game .

a guy with a attitude problem isn't what i want in a QB no matter how talented he may be .  which is a leadership postion ..like it or not .

Shurmur threw Weeds under the bus last year more than once blaming him for his own scewups . he bit his tounge and moved on . IMHO we will see a much improved QB this year . just give him a fair shot & some veteran competition . there are no rookie QB'S in this years draft worth a high pick .

I have had enough of growing pains . we had those last season .

tis happy hour or close enough to it for me



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bluezhound32
SinceNov 8, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 1:59 pm

Please explain to me what has changed with the QB position in the last 14 years to suggest that, that isn't an apples to apples comparison? 14 Years ago the QB still did a pre snap read, had to read zone/man coverage, identify the blitzing LB, audible.... hmmmm... don't really see what has changed?

JYD... Thoughts like this are why I fear we cannot have an honest and fruitful discussion.  For the benefit of the doubt, I'm going to assume you were just passionately arguing and not serious when you suggest the game "hasn't changed" much.

For starters, we can look at 1998 and see that only *TWO* quarterbacks threw for more than 4,000 yards (Manning -- a rookie -- was third, BTW).  The two ahead of him?  HOFers Brett Favre and Steve Young.

Contrast that with 2012 when 11 QBs threw for 4,000+ yards.  That's almost a 400% increase.

Now... you would probably consider Steve Young and Brett Favre to be two of the best of all time to play the position... would you also posit that, since the game hasn't changed, Matt Ryan, Andrew Luck, Tony Romo and Carson Palmer are on the same level as Steve Young and Brett Favre?

No!

Hell man, throw the statistics out.  In 1998, the offensive coordinator didn't have a direct line to the QB via radio receiver in the helmet and wasn't able to help with adjustments up and until the snap of the ball.  

Defensive backs used to be able to jam up to 15 yards off the line of scrimmage.  Tony Dungy got that rule changed and he hasn't coached for five seasons. 

I could go on and on but to even *suggest* that the NFL is the same in today's world as it was in 1998 is simply absurd. 
The Real SAS
SinceMar 16, 2012
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 2:04 pm

Was actually paying close attention until you listed Luck as a fail. Perhaps you'd like to tell us the difference in the Colts which improved them from 1 win to the playoffs. The guy threw for 4400 yards and 23 TDs AS A ROOKIE. This is a fail in your eyes?
I was speaking of individual stats, not TEAM success... as far as JUST Andrew Luck, he was the 26th best QB in the league, he threw 23 TD's yes, also threw 18 INTS and only posted a a 54.1% comp percentage AND took 41 sacks... that's not great!!! Compare to Weeden 57.4% and 28 sacks.. now, I'm not saying Weeden had a better season, but as far as INDIVIDUAL stats, Luck was Avg... the TEAM made it to the playoffs

In the playoffs (one game), Luck threw 0 TD's, 1 INT completed 51.9% and was sacked 3 times.. once again, not great, but atleast they made it...  

And perhaps you'll need to brush on your comprehension skills as I said they get thrown into the fire and can succeed. Who said they ALWAYS succeed?
Sorry, must have misunderstood because of this statement YOU MADE:
...seemed QBs all either sat the bench or struggled in the past. Now they can get thrown into the fire and succeed
No one said rookie QBs will be top 10 from the start in QBR. To me, a success as a rookie is showing you belong in the NFL and in time look like you will become a solid (or better than solid) QB. And why no Russell Wilson from this season? Not enough passes, so we can't call him a success?
Maybe you should brush up on YOUR comprehension skills as I clearly stated that I was taking a look at QB's drafted IN THE FIRST or EARLY SECOND ROUND... Wilson was a THIRD ROUND (he also benefitted greatly because of Lynch, one hell of a defense, and a "Fail Mary" play, that without that "win" might not have even made the playoffs... not sure who would've won the tie breaker between them and Minnesota)

Did Andrew Luck single handily make his TEAM a playoff contender? The numbers would suggest not!   
 


  
JunkyardDAWG
SinceOct 31, 2007
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With the 6th pick?

February 13, 2013 2:06 pm

SAS, I'm of the opinion the guy is probably a bust. Worst characteristics for me is he is not that bright, and doesn't strike me as a leader. Bad combo for a QB. That said, I'm not sure I want to dump him unless there is a clear better option.

DT... I agree with you there.  Unless we can get draft picks (too late for that now, probably) for Weeden, we shouldn't move him without a better option.

That said, I do see several rookies who would offer more upside than Weeden.

This is something I've yet to get the Weeden apologists to explain.  They throw out excuse after excuse as to why he was the second-worst performing QB in the NFL last season.  Despite the fact that those comlaints really aren't valid -- what's his ceiling?

I have to admit I'm curious what he might do in Norv's offense.

Empirically, we've established his floor is exceptionally low -- only better than Mark über-bust Sanchez.  Where's his ceiling at?  

I fully expect him to develop and improve in Turner's offense, as you suggest.  But people are simply not being realistic when they think he'll somehow go from worst-to-first.  Weeden is not going to jump to a Top 15 QB by the end of next season.  

The guy is 30 years old.  To keep plugging away with a guy who should already be on his second NFL contract by now and hoping that somehow he can become the next great QB is flat-out crazy.
The Real SAS
SinceMar 16, 2012