“DRAFTMETRICS decided to use a weighted combination of four measures to measure each team’s draft success.” The four metrics that he used to create the index: (1) total games started; (2) number of players active for the 2012 season; (3) average share of annual starts (calculated by finding what percentage of total annual starts a team’s draft class accounted for and then averaging that out over time; (4) Pro Bowl selections. Those metrics can be affected by a combination of draft position and other factors, of course, but Villiotti also created a formula to try to determine what a team’s “expected rank” would be based on position and total number of picks. In the five past years — which also coincides with General Manager Jeff Ireland’s tenure in Miami — the Dolphins outperformed their expected rank (eight) by six spots.That's a typical reason people say stats can be manipulated. Miami has been a poor team over the last 5 years, meaning more opportunity for rookies to get playing time. Outside of Jake Long who is obvious how many drafted players were named starters in a Pro-Bowl? Answer = None.
Chiefs, Dolphins, Cardinals, Browns, and Eagles. None are better then average NFL teams. The way they manipulate the data is not representitive of good drafting in my opinion, but rather a greater opportunity to play.
Staying healthy is extremely important, but marginal starters starting 16 games does not equate to a Super Bowl run,Yup
To me it's pretty simple - The 2012 roster had the talent of about a 6 win team heading into the season. Maybe a few more if everything broke right, certainly capable of less if there were injuries and other issues arose.
Looking at where the team was September 1st - I still see the end result of 7 wins as very respectable.
Looking at talent - They were right about where they should be.....And I'd imagine most here would agree, as I recall predictions ranging from 4-9 wins, if I recall correctly the majority in the 6-8 range.
But thanks for posting Igguy. Interesting read.Absolutely.