Why can't all high school players be NBA draft-eligible and then are allowed to go to college if they are not drafted? If they are, then they have to go to the team that drafted them? Helps everyone, doesn't it?
Playing at 5000 feeet above sea level gives Colorado State one of the most dominating home court advantages in college basketball especially when playing a team from sea level. With an average victory of over 20 points a game in MWC games this year. San Diego state has struggled on the road in elevation games losing to Wyoming (w/o Martinez and Wyoming is 1-7 in conference w/o Martinez) and Air Force who are team at elevation that are not as good of teams as Colorado State. SDSU has struggled against good defensive teams and CSU has really improved this year holding teams to 43.7 percent (55th nationally) of attempts to be successful, down from 48.5 percent (199th) last season. It also helps that opponents don't get the ball back after many of those misses, because Colorado State leads the nation in defensive rebounding percentage. You almost do not get 2nd shot attempts against this CSU team. As always Good Luck and play at your own risk.
Great to see you back USC Holmey, and you're doing a fantastic job as usual. But I can tell you for sure there's no way I'm 3-1 in Locks. I think I'm 1-2 or possibly 2-2 at best and will rarely post a lock, so tonight is an exception. You can decide if it qualifies or not.
Florida St. is the best game on the board right now. I'm using SI data to make calls and things can shift quickly, but the FSU numbers are lopsided enough to call now. The sampling that SI uses is showing the public is all over Miami U at 77%. The line opened at 7 and I tracked it through the day today (light wagering though until the last hour or so) and it's been bouncing between 6 - 6 1/2. This is a perfect scenario - big moves in the line to me means anything can happen. So I'm going FSU as a big play tonight.
Other sides worth noting at this point are Wake Forest, UAB, Depaul, Tennesee, Fresno St. and UConn. These are games I'll play if the trends are consistent with what they've shown so far. I'm going to be around and watching so I'll post any significant moves I see.
Got caught up in some things that took me away from my research for tonights games. No lock for me, I would look hard at the under in the UNC/DUKE game. Traditionally these teams play high scoring games, but both these teams are lacking the athletes that they normally have. Hate playing unders, but this seems to be the way to go in this. I see a few on the thread are liking FSU against Miami tonight. Normally I would agree with this thought process, Miami is in the perfect spot for a let down, just kicking the shit**** out of the Heels and doing the same to the Dukies not so long ago, but I don't think coach Larranaga will let that happen. GL LUCK with all your plays.
Holmey, add a loss to my lock record, make it 3-3. Really blew it on Cincy last night despite what I thought was a pretty solid eval, sorry fellas...strikes and gutters. Lock St. Joe -4.5 vs. Richmond tonight. (hook it of course). Two statistically even teams except for one thing, rebounding. Richmond is absolutely tiny. Richmond 2-7 on the road losing last 5. They looked awful against St. Louis who bullied them on the front line. I think St. Joe's does the same: slows it down and looks interior first, finding high percentage shots and outboarding the Spiders. St. Joes is on a 2 game skid of their own, but has played respectably at home. Expect them to pull away in the 2nd half. They were preseason favorites and are going to try and salvage something of the season down the stretch. Finally, its Ash Wednesday, so you know the Big Spaghetti Monster in the sky has the Hawks tonight. Also like Iowa St. Locks 3-3 CBB 13-7
LOCK BC -5.5 Just stating stats that every one can see. Saw this last night and looked a little closer today. WF is 0 - 6 away in conference play @UNC lost by 25 @Mary lost by 26 @GTech lost by 20 @VTech lost by 1 @Clem lost by 16
BC has been in tight at home their last 5 NCState lost by 1 Miami lost by 1 UNC lost by 12 Clem won by 7 Duke lost by 1
Just think that this looks like a tough place for WF to play giving up 14 turnovers a game.