READ THIS BEFORE YOU POST!!!!!!!!!

REMEMBER - A MAXIMUM OF 4 LOCKS PER WEEK!

AND A MAXIMUM OF ONE LOCK PER DAY!

 

LOCK THREAD CONCEPT -

This thread has been created for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

PLEASE make special note of this!!! If you have an area of expertise - Pac-10, AFC East, Big East, NHL, etc. - please make some LOCK choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "LOCK". The difference between a PICK and a LOCK is that a PICK is a game you like, a LOCK is a game that you KNOW. We are here to help each other win. If you are claiming your choice is a LOCK, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

RULES FOR POSTING -

I take it upon myself to donate my time and track everybody's LOCK every day, as long as you agree to do your part by doing a few simple things. I will not track your picks if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, I won't be putting your LOCK on the spreadsheet.

- Post only 1 LOCK per day.  You may post a MAXIMUM of 4 LOCKS per week.  A week starts on Monday, and ends on Sunday.  Choose NCAA, NBA, NFL, or NHL.  You do not have to stay in one sport.  Spread them around if you like.

- No "buying" points.

- First half lines are OK.  No second half or quarter lines.  We want the LOCKS posted early enough so we can all benefit.  Time constraints make second half lines too tough to track.

- No other "line-manipulations: like teasers, etc.

- No props.

- No moneylines.

- Hockey and soccer plays need to be -129 or better.  No HUGE favorites for LOCKS.  If you have a -200 line or something, take the -1.5 goals if you feel like it is still a LOCK.

- Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the LOCK doesn't go into the spreadsheet.

And, THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

You must give an original explanation as to why you KNOW this LOCK will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. And if you are going to try and fool us by cutting and pasting from another website, at least figure out how to remove all the HTML and other garbage. People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation. They are stats that any of us can get anywhere on the internet. Also, how about if you have actually SEEN the team play that you pick. I'd say that if you haven't seen a team play at least a few times, you can't really be an expert on said team.

FOLLOW THESE RULES AND I WILL TRACK EVERY LOCK YOU POST - FREE OF CHARGE!!!!!!

I will try to get CONSENSUS statistics out before the first tips each day around 3:40 PM, PST.  There is no guarantee, however.

Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

Good luck today and let's work together to win some cash!

-USC Holmey

1st lock....Indiana St. -7

Indiana St is a perfect 8-0 at home while Evansville is 1-7 on the road.  These two teams played back in December @ Evansville and Indiana St. won the game by 14.  Indiana St. has lost 3 out of their last 4 but those losses were all on the road and to the better teams in the MVC.  They are a much better home team than road team and should take care of the worst team in the Valley by more than 10.

LOD = UNC -8

UNC is perfect on the road and Miami is perfect at home.  UNC suffered their first lost this past weeked while Miami has lost their last two...something has to give.  I think that it will be Miami that gives.  Miami has a great player in McClinton from the Baltimore area but he is their only source of scoring.  Roy will have the boys fired up after that horrible loss at home vs Maryland.  UNC is too deep for Miami and they will run a double team at McClinton if need be.  I can see this game being close in the early stages of the 2nd half but UNC pulling away at the end.

Hello New to this site. posted on covers

Went 4-0 tonite with Sacramento, Kentucky, Northerm Ill, Wake

Lock

Memphis -13.5

Memphis is a scoring machine. Tulsa can not keep up with Memphis' tempo.

this will be an easy blow out. Get the line now cause i see this going up to at least to15.

other plays i am playing 

JMU-4

Kansas St -4.5

Florida -1

 

0-5 ON Locks, but oh well.  I'm putting my last "whatever amount of units" on

Florida State -4.5 (hopefully, but by the time I get to it....It will be -5 or -5.5)

Florida State has just come off a very tough part of their schedule.  Virginia has one quality win all year.  Their last game at home versus Boston College (who previously climaxed beating ranked team at home (miami,Fl)).

Florida States last three opponents (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS)

• @ Clemson
• Duke
• @ Wake Forest

In comes the "bottom feeder" Virginia.

it is what it is.

biz man going to 1-5 on lOCks after tomorrow night.

Florida State is 1-8 ATS their last nine.

That pace can't possibly keep up.  I don't see them overlooking this valuable WIN because they welcome NC St their next game.  I will probably have to take FSU -9.5 that game after this Blood Bashing tomorrow (tonight January 23rd).

FSU 82
Virginia 67

yzziB

Rough night last night for the Thread.  Too much 'piling-on' LOCKing in my opinion.

But let's all try to find out OWN LOCK today.  Please do your research and check over the board and find your own LOCK before you come read the board.  The arguments on here are so persuasive sometimes that its easy to be swayed to another's opinion.

Just some up with you own LOCK and stick with it.

And, remember, LOCK what you KNOW.

Baylor is 15-2 and 3-0 in the Big 12.  They have five double-figure scorers with junior Curtis Jerrells leading the way. BU is a good shooting team that is solid defensively and has depth with eleven players averaging double figure minutes.

• Baylor is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
• Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
• Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Baylor is  5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Baylor is  5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• Baylor is  9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Baylor is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Baylor is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Baylor is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. Big 12.
• Baylor is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Wednesday games.

My pick is Baylor +9

MY LOCK FOR DAY 10 is:

PURDUE -2 @ Penn State: 

Before even looking at the overnight on this game, I thought it would be Purdue 5-6 point favorite.  This line might be lower for the following reasons: Purdue has not won back to back Big 10 road games since the 1999-2000 season, and have only won 3 in the past three conference years.  Penn State also played very well at Indiana until the final 8 minutes, so that may be a factor as well.  With that all said, without Claxton Purdue should be able to disrupt the Lions guards enough to take them out of their offense.  That would help limit the effectiveness of Cornely, who will actually will be in for a battle with the emergence of Namanja Calason down in the post.  Overall, Purdue is playing with a ton of confidence which is huge when you go on the road in the Big Ten.  They got a big win last week at Iowa, which IMO is a tougher place to play then in Happy Valley.  Purdue may struggle early on, just like they have in every conference game, but they will eventually pull through and win this game by 5 or more. 

Lock Iowa +16 @ Iowa

I'm high on Iowa +16 @ Indiana and here are my reasons.....

This is the second meeting of these two teams this month (Iowa covered the +10.5 spread at home on 1/2....76-79)  Iowa has been on a steady incline of respectible play now that the players and coaching staff have settled in together.  Iowa has shown some of that with a nice 8 point win at Michigan, a close 5 pt loss to Purdue and a 7 point win against Mich ST....latter two at home. 

Indiana has not been playing exceptionally well as of late.  Double digit spread wins they've had have in conference play have been against Penn State (16) and Michigan (14) but have had a harder time against defensively oriented teams:  e.g.  Iowa (3), Illinois (4), Minnesota (5).

Indiana is on a 12 game win streak and they don't have that great an incentive to bowl over Iowa as this game, although meaningful, isn't going to get the team up.  Add the factor of Connecticut coming into town Saturday, played on national tv (CBS) where they'll want to showcase, on a better stage, their worthiness as a top 10 team.  This game smacks of one where they're looking ahead and Vegas has you wanting to believe this #7 team can cakewalk over Iowa.  Not going to happen.  Iowa has shown their defense is in order.  Iowa has nothing to lose here and will be playing all out whereas Indiana is in maintenance mode.  I see an Indiana 10 point win at most.  Could go below that.

Lock: Iowa +16..............3-1 YTD locks

Locking Louisville -6.5 @ S.Florida

South Florida has been hurting in Big East play since they joined the league. They are currently on a 5 game losing streak, all which they have lost by double digits. This line looked low at first, but then again they were 7 pt dogs this weekend vs WVU and that turned into a 17 pt loss. Louisville has won 8 of their last 10 including a 14 pt win @ Kentucky, 9 pt win vs WVU, and a 20 pt thrashing vs Marquette. They are gonna be reeling after a loss to Seton Hall.

L'Ville 72 USF 59

Lock Iowa +16 @ Iowa

Geeeeeez,  sorry guys/girls. 

Lock:  IOWA +16 @ Indiana

Hello Everyone!  First time on the forum here and I absolutely love the activity.  I have been getting an early look at tomorrow night's games and can't help but notice Kansas State -4 at Colorado.  Kansas State is coming off a huge win against Texas A&M by 21pts.  The same Texas A&M team that beat Colorado by 17.  Kansas State is currently tied for first in the Big Twelve Standings and is right in the middle of 3 ranked teams (Kansas 1, Baylor 25, Texas 12).  Kansas State shows up tonight and will continue to show the Big Twelve that they belong with the previously 3 mentioned teams atop the Big Twelve Standings. 

Colorado at Home this year

Loss 47-54 New Mexico
Loss 43-67 Standford
Loss 65-67 New Orleans
Loss 68-81 Tulsa

With wins only coming against Savannah State, Colorado Christian, Grambling State, SMU, and Nebraska....I fully expect Kansas State to come into Buffalo Nation and having it's way with a bottom tier team in the BIG 12. 

MY FIRST LOCK

KANSAS STATE -4

Good luck to everyone! Let's all have a profitable day today.

For the love of God there is a game tonight that I am making my Lock of the Century!

Take the Florida Gators and give the point to South Carolina! Its not often that a game like this comes along. I am putting 5 dimes on this game. Im not a heavy gambler but when something like this comes along you have to do whatever it takes to maximize your profits.

<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td>Florida's Overall Scoring vs South Carolina's Overall Defense</td> <td>81.26</td> <td>20</td> <td>69.76</td> <td>203</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td>Florida's Away Scoring vs South Carolina's Home Defense</td> <td>75.33</td> <td>33</td> <td>68.73</td> <td>252</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td>Florida's Road Rebounds vs South Carolina's Home Rebounds Allowed</td> <td>35.00</td> <td>37</td> <td>35.09</td> <td>321</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td>South Carolina's Overall Scoring vs Florida's Overall Defense</td> <td>75.88</td> <td>65</td> <td>63.42</td> <td>69</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td>South Carolina's Home Scoring vs Florida's Road Defense</td> <td>79.64</td> <td>69</td> <td>78.00</td> <td>275</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td>South Carolina's Home Rebounds vs Florida's Road Rebounds Allowed</td> <td>33.27</td> <td>161</td> <td>34.67</td> <td>253</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="statsHeaderRow" colspan="5">

SMART CHART

</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">FLA</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="center" width="30%">TEAM</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">S.CAR</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">81.3</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="center" width="30%">PTS FOR</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">75.9</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">63.4</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="center" width="30%">PTS AGNST</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">69.8</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">17.8</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="center" width="30%">DIFF.</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">6.1</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">23.0</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="center" width="30%">DEF. REBOUNDS</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">21.8</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">10.5</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="center" width="30%">OFF. REBOUNDS</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">10.4</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">50.7</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="center" width="30%">FG%</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">44.7</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">70.5</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="center" width="30%">FT%</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="right" width="30%">72.8</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">8.0</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="center" width="30%">3 POINTERS</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="right" width="30%">8.0</td> </tr> <tr class="statsBlock"> <td align="left" width="30%">6.4</td> <td width="5%"> </td> <td align="center" width="30%">STEALS</td> <td width="5%"></td> <td align="right" width="30%">7.8</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

This is a classic mismatch.  Bet as much as you can on this game. Folks this one is going to be easy!!

Why not start on Day 10!

LOD for Wednesday

Texas Tech vs Missouri

Good Luck all

the time was 4:20...im back now at 4:33...wow

 

LOCK

Pistons -6

 

explanation when i wake up...and can think...

2-1 today posted picks(3-1 i had pho 2nd half)

130-69-9 overall

 

BIG NBA DAY TOMM...

gonna have a big card, i think so far 10 picks maybe more or less...

GOOD LUCK!!

Loc Review:  Finally broke the seal by winning Pho -7' last night.  A bit closer than expected.  This bringing my record to 1-1. 1-0 in the NBA.

Next LOC is going off today:  Orl -3

Point 1:  Early line, there is question on Gasol playing tonight.  Right now he is questionable, keeping the number low.  If he goes out, their leading rebounder goes out, the number I expect to go to atleast 5 maybe 6.  Still a go but would not be the ultimate loc.

Point 2:  The soft number is driven through the Magic's past struggles in Memphis, losing the past 6 years.  So here history is our frind.  Perception is that Orlando can not win here.  However this is a new Magic squad, they have the taste of blood.

Point 3:  Orlando has the most road wins in the NBA.  They are proven road warriors.  Recent struggles on the road, 5-7, may suggest otherwise.  The magic's overall road record 16-9 is stating otherwise.  Orlando has more road wins than Memphis has wins for the season, 12.

Point 4:  Orlando is 3-2 last 5 games, 2 straight wins.  These last two wins have been against divisional leaders Portland and Detroit respectively.  The later being that emotional last second shot by Lewis.  Orlando is a young squad riding the highs of this season.  These last two wins and the way they did so is enough to weigh in 3-5 points.

 

 

Good day everyone...

Certainly looking to rebound after BillyBall showed up at Rupp Arena last night....

You hockey guys have got a good thing going....will be trying to follow more today...

Hope all have a profitable day and will check in later....

hey guys i just checked the lines for today and i see a mistake. Uconn -3 is a gimmy. Bookmakers have scewed this line because of cincys latest victories at home. yes they play better at home but Uconn is on a mission now after the layed that egg to providence. cincy plays strong defence but uconn is much quicker and deeper then cicny. thabet will block atleast 4-5 shots and will have cincyies bigs in trouble. I see a uconn victory 67-54. i have followed the big east for a while and i feel this is the right play.  LOCK 1 FOR THIS WEEK IS UCONN -3.

LOD#3. NC State -2.

They are at home against a GT team which is horrible on the road.  GT beat VT Saturday but don't let that fool you.  They