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Braves' unlikely victory in graph form

By C. Trent Rosecrans | Blogger
Atlanta's Paul Janish scored the go-ahead run in the top of the ninth and then drove in the winning run in the 11th. (Associated Press)

We may have a front-runner for game of the season -- the Braves' 11-10 11-inning victory over the Nationals. With Stephen Strasburg on the mound with a 9-0 lead, it seemed Washington would extend its lead to 4 1/2 games in the National League East.

According to FanGraphs.com, when the Nationals took a 9-0 lead in the fifth inning, their win expectancy percentage was 99.8. Check out the chart:



Source: FanGraphs

On the flip side, the Nationals had just a 10.4 percent win expectancy after Michael Bourn's triple, only to force extra innings with Danny Espinosa's homer off of Craig Kimbrel in the bottom of the ninth.

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnBaseball on Twitter, subscribe to the RSS feed and "like" us on Facebook.

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