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Fantasy Baseball Today

Drew Stubbs trade talk should terrify his Fantasy owners

By Chris Towers |

Drew Stubs' Coors Field-fueled resurgence might be nearing an end. (USATSI)
Drew Stubs' Coors Field-fueled resurgence might be nearing an end. (USATSI)

On this blog yesterday, Chris Cwik took a look at some of the biggest Fantasy names who might be on the move in the coming days. With the trade deadline less than a week away, the rumors should begin to fly around even more, with a plethora of All-Stars being bandied about as trade chips this summer.

One smaller name came up in rumors Friday, as the Mariners have reportedly inquired on the availability of Rockies outfielder Drew Stubbs. After failing to harness his swing and seeing his progression stall out in recent years, Stubbs is currently enjoying the best season of his career in Colorado.

The operative part of that paragraph is "in Colorado," as Stubbs has taken advantage of the thin air in Denver to an almost comical degree. Stubbs is hitting like Troy Tulowitzki at Coors Field (.379/.379/.619) and Troy Percival on the road (.229/.277/.343), even with an unsustainable .361 batting average on balls in play on the road.

A series of high-profile articles about the presence of a ball-deadening humidor system in Denver has shifted the public perception of Coors Field somewhat, but it is still the best hitter's park in the league. Though it isn't locale of offensive lunacy like during the Blake Street Bombers heyday, Coors is still an awfully nice place for hitters to ply their craft. The Rockies' collective OPS is nearly .200 points higher in Coors.

Stubbs is owned in 33 percent of Fantasy leagues right now, and it isn't a stretch to give nearly 100 percent of the credit for that to his home park. A move from Coors to Seattle's Safeco Field would be particularly damaging for Stubbs' chances of sustaining any value, given how tough it has historically been for hitters. But the key here is that nearly any move that takes Stubbs away from Coors would likely destroy any Fantasy value.

Stubbs rediscovering his power-speed combo has been a pleasant surprise for Fantasy owners this season. Unfortunately, nearly all of his value is tied up in the park he calls home, and there is no guarantee he will still be there by this time next week. If the Rockies move Stubbs, all Fantasy owners should look to do the same; a pre-emptive move might not be a bad idea as well.

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