In terms of opponents' winning percentage, no team in either league has an easier September schedule than the Mets. Their opponents this month have a combined .443 winning percentage this season. It's good to play in a division with two clubs in the middle of a massive rebuild.

Of course, any team can beat any other team on any given night in this game, so victories aren't guaranteed even with such a soft schedule. That's why the Mets came into Thursday riding a three-game losing streak. They had just been swept at home by the last-place Braves. Ouch.

The Mets were headed for their fourth consecutive loss Thursday in their series opener against the Phillies, but Jose Reyes came to the rescue with a tying two-run home run in the bottom of the ninth inning. To the action footage:

What a hugely clutch hit. When you're in a postseason race like the Mets, those are the hits fans remember. Reyes kept the Mets alive in a game that is very important to their postseason position.

The home run sent the game to extra innings, and, in the bottom of the 10th, Lucas Duda nearly gave New York a win with a solo home run. The ball hooked foul at the very last moment. Check this out -- you can see the shadow of the ball on the foul pole:

It doesn't get much closer than that, folks. A few inches to the left and that ball hits the pole, making it game over. Instead, they played on.

The Phillies took a 7-6 lead in the top of the 11th inning on a two-out bloop single by A.J. Ellis, who helped beat the Mets with a two-run double in his first game with Philadelphia back in August. A bases-loaded walk by Maikel Franco stretched the Phillies' lead to 8-6.

Needless to say, a two-run deficit in the 11th inning did not look good for the Mets. Yeah, Reyes hit a game-tying two-run homer earlier in the game, but getting those kind of heroics twice in one game doesn't happen all that often.

Well, it happened Thursday. In the bottom of the 11th, Asdrubal Cabrera clobbered a walk-off three-run home run to give the Mets a 9-8 win (box score), stopping their three-game slide. Here's the incredible video:

Amazing. Or Amazin', I should say. I'm not going to lie, I thought the ball was about to get hung up and die on the warning track, but nope. It carried over the wall for the walk-off.

Check out the bat flip. Think Cabrera knew it was gone?

Send that bat flip right to Cooperstown. That's an all-timer. Bonus points for creativity, too. You don't see many two-handed bat flips nowadays.

With that home run, the Mets are now 1-63 this season when trailing after eight innings. Pretty good time for their first win in such situations, I would say.

Here's what the back-and-forth game looks like in win probability form. This shows each team's chances of winning the game at any point based on the score, the outs in the inning, the number of runners, all that stuff:


Source: FanGraphs

The Mets had a 3.5 percent chance to win the game after Brandon Nimmo grounded out to short to lead off the 11th inning. They had a 17.5 percent chance to win after Jose Reyes singled to put the tying run on base later in the inning, which brought Cabrera to the plate.

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Asdrubal Cabrera's walk-off homer may have been the biggest hit in baseball in 2016. USATSI

Cabrera's homer was worth +0.825 win probability added, which essentially means it improved New York's chances of winning by 82.5 percent. That's astronomical. In fact, it was the single biggest hit by a National League player this season. Here are the four biggest hits of the 2016 season in terms of WPA:

  1. Adam Lind, Mariners: Three-run walk-off homer against the White Sox on July 18 (+0.91 WPA).
  2. Adrian Beltre, Rangers: Two-run walk-off homer against the Athletics on July 25 (+0.89 WPA).
  3. Leonys Martin, Mariners: Two-run walk-off homer against the Athletics on May 24 (+0.86 WPA).
  4. Asdrubal Cabrera, Mets: Three-run walk-off homer against the Phillies on August 22 (+0.83 WPA).

Win probability does not consider outside factors like the standings and the postseason races and all that. Given where the Mets sit in the wild-card race, I think it's fair to call Thursday's walk-off dinger the single biggest hit in all of baseball this season.

To date, of course. There are still 10 days left for baseball to wow us.