Vargas has been on a roll recently, homering in back-to-back games while going 9 for 26 over his current six-game hitting streak. He grabbed an RBI on a fifth-inning single before smacking a two-run home run one inning later. Vargas has hit .319/.340/.511 with six home runs and 31 RBI in 135 at-bats. Despite the high rate stats, he still owns an ugly 37:4 K:BB ratio.
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But that projects to, what, 24 homers in 600 at-bats? It certainly isn't why he's the No. 4 first baseman in Head-to-Head leagues since arriving Aug. 1. And that worries me.
It worries me because if it's supposed to be his strength, then other, less sustainable aspects of his game are carrying him, leaving him vulnerable to collapse.
I don't think it's at all a stretch to say he won't keep hitting .337. He has already struck out 27 times in those 95 at-bats, and with only four walks. Once opposing pitchers pick up on his tendencies, they'll take advantage of his aggressiveness. To put it another way, his .424 BABIP is ridiculous.
Vargas has also accumulated 23 RBI in only 23 games. The law of averages says that won't last even before you apply the correction in batting average. Cut those two measurements down to size, and Vargas is looking more like a Kendrys Morales-type player.
Which may seem unfair to those only familiar with the 2014 version of Kendrys Morales, but basically all I'm saying is Vargas is a serviceable corner infielder at this stage of his career, nothing more. You can ride him while he's hot, but ultimately he won't measure up to first basemen like Justin Morneau and Matt Adams.
Vargas drove in one with his double in the second inning and cleared the bases with another in the seventh. He added a sacrifice fly to give him five RBI in the game and 10 in the last seven combined. Vargas has seven hits in the last three games to improve his stat line to .326/.366/.553.
I've got to hand it to Al Melchior: His predictions this year have been spot-on.
To say I didn't like
So of course that afternoon, Vargas goes 3 for 4 with a homer. The timing is incredible.
I'm still not willing to endorse him over Morales, who has a steady track record, or Pearce, who CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman spoke enthusiastically about on Thursday's Fantasy Baseball Today, but he's now officially surprised people. No "could" about it.
Given his strikeout rate, his batting average could be in for a steep regression, but I think Vargas deserves at least as much hype as C.J. Cron got earlier this season. His ownership rate reached 56 percent at one point. Vargas' is currently 35.
|CBSSports.com Player Ranking|
|9/17/2014 vs Detroit|
|vs Price (Career)||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|Last 7 Games|
|Complete Game Log|
| 14 |
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| 21 |
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|More Batting Stats|
|Minor League Batting Stats|
|2013||AFA-Fort Myers Miracle||125||457||68||122||33||1||19||93||50||105||0||0||.344||.468||.267|
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