Power Rankings: Don't be fooled, it won't be an Astros-O's World Series

by | Baseball Blogger

Bold prediction: Hunter Pence's Phillies will not finish the season averaging two runs per game. (AP)  
Bold prediction: Hunter Pence's Phillies will not finish the season averaging two runs per game. (AP)  

Remember this?

The 2011 Orioles started 4-0. Then they were 6-1. By the end of the season, they were 69-93 and in last place in the AL East.

The 2011 Brewers started 0-4. They finished 96-66 and went to the NLCS.

The 2011 Rays began the season on a six-game losing streak and then sat at 1-8. They finished 91-71, winning the AL wild card.

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We can find a handful of examples like these every single year. Yet it never ceases to amaze me when I see the overreactions on our message boards and in our Twitter feeds.

On the other hand, we have seen some baseball in 2012, so we have to react. React. Not overreact.

That means we need to consider what we've seen while also having to weigh that against possible flukes and the level of competition -- balanced with the realization that a team with five games played right now has completed roughly 3.1 percent of its season. If you want to look at the standings, go look at the, you know, standings. We have a cool page for it and everything. It's labeled, oddly enough, "standings."

The Power Rankings aren't the standings. They're a combination of what we've seen and what we expect to see in the coming weeks and months. Worry about the offenses for the Braves and Phillies? Sure, within reason. Believing in the Astros or Orioles as constructed for this season? Feel free, but I'm not joining that camp.

We can start raising concerns or believing in something without going overboard and thinking a five-game sample is a tell-all.

But if you want to act like what we've seen thus far has already told us all we need to know about this coming season, go ahead. I'll simply ask you to Google "Tuffy Rhodes."

Note: There are seven day games Wednesday, which is atypical. Thus, comments, records and numbers are through Tuesday night.


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