LCS picks: I hate these picks, but I'm sticking with Tigers, Dodgers

By Danny Knobler | Baseball Insider

My picks stink. I hate my picks.

When a friend who works for the Braves complained that I picked against them in the Division Series, I texted him, "Based on my prediction history, you should be happy."

So here we are, heading into the NLCS and the ALCS, and I got all four of the teams right.

My picks didn't stink. And now I really want to change them.

I was right that the Tigers would play the Red Sox, but after seeing the Red Sox, I can't believe they'll lose to the Tigers.

I was right that the Dodgers would play the Cardinals, but after watching the Cardinals, I don't see how they lose to the Dodgers.

Can I change my picks?

No, I'm not changing them. I'm sticking with what I picked when October began, whether or not I believe in it now.

American League: The Red Sox have everything going for them, but if there's one team they really ought to fear, it's the team that can throw Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander at them twice each in a best-of-7 series (with Anibal Sanchez and Doug Fister splitting the other three games. A healthy David Ortiz is more dangerous than an injured Miguel Cabrera, but as Cabrera showed in Game 5 against the A's, you'd better not make a mistake. Tigers in 7 (with Verlander doing in Game 7 exactly what he did in Game 5 against the A's).

National League: The Cardinals have everything going for them, but I picked the Dodgers when the month began because no other team had Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. As much as I love watching Adam Wainwright, Michael Wacha and Joe Kelly, I'm still going with Kershaw and Greinke, who will start four of the possible seven games in this series. Dodgers in 5, with Greinke and Kershaw winning in St. Louis, and the Dodgers taking two of three at home.

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