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Brian De Los Santos

Power Rankings: When fall arrives, percentages in J.J.'s favor

Updated Nov. 5

The Chase was made for Jimmie Johnson.

When summer has turned to fall over the past several years, nobody has come close to matching Johnson's pace, though it has amounted to only one title ... so far.

Texas is Jimmie Johnson's third consecutive win. (Getty Images)  
Texas is Jimmie Johnson's third consecutive win. (Getty Images)  
Of 38 Chase races held, Johnson has now won 10, including three in a row. Think about that for a second. He has won 26 percent of the races held during the Chase since its inception. That's astonishing. It's well above his overall success rate over the past four seasons, 18 percent.

He has finished in the top five in 50 percent of the Chase races and in the top 10 68 percent of the time.

And let's not forget 2003, a year before the Chase was instituted, in which he just missed running down Matt Kenseth for the championship. Down the stretch that season, he finished no worse than third over the final six races.

Johnson says he has been asked many times about why he has enjoyed so much success as the season winds down, but he's as stumped as anyone to come up with an explanation.

"I think tracks have something to do with it," Johnson said after prevailing in a thrilling duel with Matt Kenseth at Texas Motor Speedway on Sunday.

Chase standings
DriverPointsDeficit
1. Jimmie Johnson6,723---
2. Jeff Gordon6,646-77
3. Clint Bowyer6,377-346
4. Matt Kenseth6,298-425
5. Kyle Busch6,293-430
Complete Chase | Traditional points

"There are good tracks that we see in the spring and fall, and that has a lot to do with it. We just show up and we do the same job every week that we always do, but there are certain tracks that we are better at."

Crew chief Chad Knaus is a big believer in momentum and the ability of the 48 team to run with it.

"It's a great thing," Knaus said. "It's a very powerful tool as long as you're able to keep it in check. Momentum can just as much be an enemy as it can be an asset because you'll see guys go out there and they will start to gain momentum, get a little cocky, a little lax and have a mistake.

"I think our team does a good job of taking momentum and turning it into a good thing and using it to almost like an energizer. When you go to the racetrack feeling comfortable with the decisions that you make, it makes me feel more comfortable when I'm making the pit calls on the pit box that the guys actually have good pit stops; so it boosts everybody's energy level up a good bit."

Power Rankings after Texas:

POWER RANKINGS
CurrentDriverPrevious
1Tony Stewart1
It took the most incredible Chase performance in NASCAR history for Stewart to pull it off, but his five wins in the final 10 races of the playoff schedule earned Smoke his third Sprint Cup championship. Turned in one of the most driven efforts in NASCAR history Sunday to claim the title in a finale for the ages.
2Carl Edwards2
Any other year Edwards' 4.7 average finish over the course of the Chase would have been good enough to win the championship. Edwards did all he could to bring Jack Roush a Nationwide and Cup title in the same season, but could not deny Stewart. If you have to lose one first before winning a championship, Edwards is in fine shape for next year and beyond.
3Matt Kenseth3
Rebounded from a trip into the wall for a top-five finish in another vintage Kenseth performance that was indicative of his season. Had it not have been for his feud with Brian Vickers at Martinsville, perhaps Kenseth could have stayed in the draft of Stewart and Edwards to at least be in the championship picture down the stretch. But he can still be proud of his consistent campaign.
4Brad Keselowski4
The 2011 season will be remembered as Keselowski's breakthrough campaign and when he firmly established himself as a Sprint Cup title contender. He was on the short end of some pit strategy Sunday but still ran at the front of the field most of the afternoon and appears poised to make the jump to the next level in 2012.
5Kevin Harvick5
Got involved in a bit of controversy with Edwards, who accused Harvick of not racing him above board. But that may be the least of Harvick's concerns as rumors of some sweeping changes at Richard Childress Racing could point to a drastically different looking 29 team next year, including a new crew chief to replace Gil Martin.
6Kasey Kahne6
Did not back down one bit from his impressive late-season performance and followed up his Phoenix win with another top-10 finish. The future of Team Red Bull may be very much in doubt but there's no wondering about where Kahne is in his career as he makes the move to Hendrick Motorsports next season.
7Jimmie Johnson7
His year went up in smoke with a very uncharacteristic spin Sunday and a finish well back in the field. But while Johnson did not meet the high level of expectations he's set for himself (could anyone, really?), he was hardly a non-factor this season. The question now is will Johnson be able to bounce back next season and if crew chief Chad Knaus is indeed calling the shots or moving on to a new role as has been speculated.
8Clint Bowyer8
Bowyer showed that he's talented and a pro's pro by ending his tenure at Richard Childress Racing going as hard as he could. The next phase of his career should be very interesting to watch as he migrates to Michael Waltrip Racing as part of that organization's overhaul.
9Jeff Gordon9
The 2011 season will be remembered as one of rebirth for Gordon, who broke a long winless drought while also being part of the championship picture. He had a strong car Sunday at Homestead and finished the campaign with a solid outing and one that should provide a nice boost of momentum and confidence into the offseason.
10A.J. Allmendinger9
The Richard Petty Motorsports driver didn't join the first-time winners list as many predicted but did elevate his game from last year when he was part of the uncertainty surrounding the race team. There's no reason to believe Allmendinger will lose a step in 2012, and look for him to get that first career Sprint Cup victory then.
11Dale Earnhardt Jr.11
Had one of the fastest cars of the weekend at Homestead, which was a pleasant surprise for Earnhardt who has struggled at the track during his career. Ultimately he wasn't able to challenge for the win and will carry his victory drought into 2012. But compared to where Junior was at this time last year, there's a marked improvement for the driver of the No. 88 Chevrolet.
12Denny Hamlin13
It must have been bittersweet for Hamlin to return to Homestead a year after being in the thick of the title Chase. But he continued his turnaround at season's end with a strong outing and has at least a good head start to 2012, when Hamlin hopes to return to championship contention.
13Kyle Busch14
Was stout at Homestead and had the Joe Gibbs Racing No. 18 at the front of the field and in the mix for a potential win. But now Busch enters the most important offseason of his career as decisions will be made about his future and perhaps his role in the Nationwide and Camping World Truck Series. The 2012 season will be the most pivotal of Busch's career and he'll need to focus on his priorities during the winter months.
14Kurt Busch14
A transmission failure on Lap 2 frustrated Busch to the boiling point early Sunday with a single-digit salute to some lucky soul caught on his in-car camera. It appears a new crew chief will take the job of trying to harness Busch next year with Steve Addington's reported departure to Stewart-Haas Racing.
15Greg Biffle15
As predicted, Biffle did challenge for a win Sunday and was in the mix until an engine failure, one of several for Roush Yates engine drivers. Showed he could be a factor at times this year but will have to find a more consistent level in 2012 to be a Chase candidate.
 
 
 
 
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